Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Finger Lakes
Monday - August 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FL-1   08/08/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONORABLE AVENUE Jul13 Jun07       (tasso mark)COA J 124 1.50 30% 2.30    
ORB IN THE TOWER Jul19 May31 Jan20     (baker charlton)CRUZ JOEL 121 8.00    
LABAN M MO Jul19 Jun27 Jun13 May19 Apr23 (sells ra)DAVIS A 120 3.50    
DOC ADVANTAGE Jul18 Jun20       (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 121 5.00 15% 5.60    
EIGHT WEEKS LONG May18 Apr10 Mar16 Feb20 Jan28 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 121 1.80 25% 3.00    
 
FL-2   08/08/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHTNING ROB Jul27 Jun29 Jun13 May23   (clarke dylan)PEREZ E 122 6.00 19% 4.40    
COACH BAHE Jul19 Jul06 Jun15 May30 Apr22 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
CORAGESCONTENDER Jul18 Jun27 May31     (dixon li)DAVIS A 122 8.00    
TRUE PALACE Jul20 Jul06       (clarke dylan)BAEZ JOSE 124 5.00    
FLORIDA ENDEAVOUR Jul13 Jun14 May11     (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 3.50    
SCR  INALIENABLE RIGHTS Jul19 Jul06 Jun22     (englehart chr)DAVILA R 124 1.80 30% 2.40    
 
FL-3   08/08/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLIRTACIOUS KISS Jul18 Jun15 Jun01 May16 May02 (d'alessa)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 124 2.00 47% 1.10    
FLOWERS GALORE         (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 124 4.00 13% 6.50    
ROLL'OVA Jul18         (progno christopher)GOMEZ O 120 3.50    
TESSARION Jul18         (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 6.00    
COUNT ON FRIENDS         (progno s)FRATES D 124 6.00 8% 10.90    
AFTER ALPHA Jul20 Jul05 Jun15 Jun07 May25 (huertas )DAVIS A 120 3.00    
 
FL-4   08/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALARMING MISSION May10 Apr16 Mar18     (miller-)NAVARRO J 120 6.00    
UNCLE VIC Jul27 Jul04       (breed de)HERNANDEZ BENJAMIN 120 4.00 11% 8.50    
RUN WHITE RABBIT Jun07 Mar19 Feb18     (rohena rafa)CAMILO D 124 6.00    
N Y ANTHEM Jul08 May31 May14 Apr05   (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 3.00 19% 4.20    
MARC'S HUMOR         (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 5.00    
JUPITER RAIN Jul25 Jul12 Jun21 Jun04 May29 (seyler d)DAVIS A 120 12.00    
ANTHONY'S ROCKET         (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 120 12.00 8% 11.70    
HANGOUT Jul13 Jun29 May31     (mastin kath)IGNACIO RODOLFO 124 3.50 40% 1.50    
 
FL-5   08/08/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORM ALFEET Jul20 Jul06 Jun28     (huertas )DAVIS A 121 15.00    
BELLAGIO Jul04 Jun13       (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 121 12.00    
OUR MAN MIKE Jul18 Jun16 Apr16 Feb20 Jan14 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
THE REVENGER Jun27 Jun08 May10 Mar27   (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 1.60    
MANDATORY PAYOUT Jul19 Jun27 Jun07 May18 Feb20 (miller-saul beth)CRUZ JOEL 121 6.00 15% 5.70    
UNO Jul19 Jul05 Apr30 Mar25 Feb19 (ferraro michae)COA J 121 2.00 25% 3.00    
 
FL-6   08/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTH COAST (IRE) Jul13         (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 2.50 55% 0.80    
REDEMPTION ROAD         (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 120 4.00 8% 10.90    
NEMO'S FORTUNE Jul13         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.00 10% 8.80    
WARALO Jul14         (englehart chr)DAVILA R 120 8.00    
GOD BLESS AMERICA Jul27         (wright jam)DE EMANUEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
DAY AT THE BEACH         (loaiza ilmar)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 12.00    
CRYPTO CAUSEWAY Jul15         (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 12.00    
DR. DARBY         (dixon k)COA J 120 6.00    
 
FL-7   08/08/2022 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($24.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPECIAL STORY Aug01 Jul20 Jul06 Jun14 May31 (torelli)NAVARRO J 122 10.00    
LETTERCARRIERHENRY Jul26 Jun29 Jun01     (barrow paul)GOMEZ O 122 4.50    
HARRISON KNOWS Jul27 Jul11 Jun27 Jun14 May31 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 124 1.80 34% 1.90    
NOBLE ENDEAVOR Jul11 Jun14 May31 May10 Apr26 (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 2.00 22% 3.50    
NUEVA YORK Jul13 Jun13 May31     (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 124 8.00    
NUMBER ONE DILLON Jul26 Jul11 Jun22 Jun06 May25 (huertas )DAVIS A 124 4.00 15% 5.90    
 
FL-8   08/08/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.1K) 2 F PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACCENDO Jun14         (rohena rafa)CAMILO D 120 10.00    
1A  LA CHANCE Jul15 Jun14       (rohena jos)CRUZ JOEL 120 10.00    
WAITWAITDONTTELLME         (ferraro anth)COA J 120 6.00 9% 9.50    
PUZZLE Jul18 Jun05       (barrow p)DAVIS A 120 5.00    
FLUTIE FLAKES         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 8.00    
SCR  E Z TOLL Jun25         (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 20.00    
ICE'S IRONICDANCER         (sells rache)FLORES JEREMIAS 120 20.00    
ISABEL LUVS GOLD Jul18         (ferraro mic)IGNACIO RODOLFO 120 2.00 63% 0.60    
TRUE DESTINY Jul18         (progno christopher)GOMEZ O 120 10.00    
SCR  DR LARCARBEAU         (grusmark karl)PIERMARINI T 120 20.00    
SCR  SMALL PEBBLES         (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.