Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Friday - August 05, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   08/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($11.55K) 3UP M/F PT-10:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COCOA CENTS Jul22 Jul08 Jun18 Jun04   (abrahamson emil )MAWING A 120 6.00    
2  SMASHING SUCCESS Jul08 Jun18 May22     (harwood dori)OROZCO E 120 15.00 ★    
3  COLLECTING STARS Jul10 Jun25 Jun04 May22   (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 120 3.00 61% 0.70    
4  WILLING TO BURN Jul16 Jun18 Jun04 May15 Apr20 (essex charles)GUTIERREZ M 120 2.50 ★    
5  KERRALIA Jul08 Jun18 May29     (wisdom anne)ZUNINO L 120 8.00 ★    
6  LOOKOUT TAYLOR Jul22 Jul08 Jun04 May15   (cryderman s)RADKE K 123 1.80 10% 9.20    
 
EMD-2   08/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-10:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UPO Jul02 Jun24 May22 Apr16 Mar26 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 3.50 41% 1.40    
2  STEPHEN JAMES Jul22 Jun26 Jun12 May27 Apr21 (metz jeffrey)GUTIERREZ M 124 12.00    
3  BRONZE WARRIOR Jul17 Jun18 May27 May01 Apr15 (wright blain)OROZCO E 124 3.00 10% 8.60    
4  ROBS LUCKY SPIRIT Jul15 Jul02 Jun24 Jun12 May13 (cryderman s)RADKE K 121 6.00    
5  PISTOL POWER Jul23 Jul09 Jun11 May21   (velasquez rigo)SAMUELS JAKE 121 2.50 11% 7.80    
6  MIKE OPERATOR Jul09 Jun24 May15 Mar23 Feb28 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 124 4.50 14% 6.20    
7  HEY SEQUOIA Jul22 Jul09 Jun24 Jun04   (velasque)MURO ISIDRO 121 10.00 ★    
 
EMD-3   08/05/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-11:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CREST DRIVE Jun24 Jun03 May21     (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 122 6.00 6% 15.70    
2  BRONY BOY Jul10 Jul03 Jun11 May28   (soranno jill)RADKE K 122 5.00 31% 2.30    
3  ROUSING RUBBLE Jul10 Jun20 May28 May20 Apr21 (madrigal el)DISDIER NICOLLE 124 8.00    
4  GOLDIE'S HILLS Jul24 Jul01       (bean a)MAWING A 122 12.00    
5  NORTHWEST RAIN Jul15 Jul01 Jun18 Jun03 May15 (gibson vince)MATIAS J 124 4.50 ★    
6  TUMAC MOUNTAIN Jul15 Jul01 Jun24 May21   (toye joe)CRUZ M 122 3.50 ★    
SCR  CODE CHARLIE Jul03 Jun12 May21     (gibson vince)GUTIERREZ M 122 1.60 32% 2.10    
 
EMD-4   08/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3 ALL PT-11:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MILEYS BLUECAT Jul30 Jul16 Jun10 May15 Apr17 (perez sergio)OROZCO E 119 8.00    
2  WHATSTHEDIFF Jul22 Jul02 Jun10     (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
3  SWING FIRST Jul16         (gibson vince)GUTIERREZ M 122 5.00 29% 2.50    
4  OCTAVIUS PRIME Apr20 Apr01 Mar21     (metz jeffrey)RADKE K 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  MISCHIEF ROAD Jul22 Jul08 Jun18 Jan25 Jan18 (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 119 1.80 ★    
6  MOOGIE SON Jun26 May27 May15 Mar25 Feb16 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 122 2.50 14% 6.10    
7  AFTER THE CANDY Jul22 Jan06       (metz jeffrey)SAMUELS JAKE 119 15.00    
 
EMD-5   08/05/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEW EVERY MORNING Jul23 Jul03 Jun11 May28 May15 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
2  FORAGOODTIMECALL         (mccanna tim)GUTIERREZ M 121 6.00    
3  STREET DEMAND Jul08 Jun24 Jun04 May28   (bean a)MAWING A 124 10.00 ★    
4  LASTBESTHOPE Apr03 Mar12 Feb25 Feb04 Jan17 (peery debbie)ZUNINO L 124 12.00 8% 11.20    
5  LOCHNESS Jul17 Jun18 Jun05 May22   (thompson mike)RADKE K 124 4.00 ★    
6  STARZAN Jul23 Jul08 Jun18 Jun04 May21 (baze robert)SAMUELS JAKE 124 4.50    
7  MOSQUITO FLEET Jul08 Jun25 May28 May15   (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 124 3.00 19% 4.40    
 
EMD-6   08/05/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT-12:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEARL RIVER DELTA Jul16 Jun10 May29 May15   (bozell alan)CRUZ M 123 3.50 16% 5.40    
2  ZAZEN Jul17 Jun26 Jun11 May21   (markle dan)RADKE K 120 2.00 38% 1.60    
3  OREO'S DREAM Jul16 Jun26       (moore gregory)GUTIERREZ M 120 5.00 ★    
4  CIELO DIAMANTE Jul01 Jun19 May21 Apr23 Apr02 (cryderman candice )MATIAS J 120 2.50 17% 4.80    
5  PRINCESS PAYTON Jul17 Jul03       (we)MARTINEZ NAHERD 120 8.00 ★    
6  SUDDENLY WINNING Jul16 Jun10       (cooper kay)OROZCO E 123 6.00    
 
EMD-7   08/05/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTIC MAG Jun25 Jun10 May22     (martinez b)MAWING A 121 15.00 ★    
2  VALIDATE Jul16 Jun18 Jun05     (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 118 5.00 ★    
3  MOON CIRCUMFERENCE Jul22 Jul08 Jun25 Jun10 May22 (bean a)SAMUELS JAKE 121 10.00    
4  LIGHTNING STAR Jul15 Jul02 Jun05 May29 May02 (ortega joe)CRUZ M 124 2.50 63% 0.60    
5  WHISPER AND WINK Jul15 Jul02 Jun12 May29 May15 (markle dan)RADKE K 121 3.00 ★    
6  ATTORNEY LOUIS Jul02 Jun12 May29 May15 Apr14 (toye joe)GUTIERREZ M 121 3.50 12% 7.60    
7  GEBO Jul23 Jul02 Jun05 May13 Mar26 (metz jeffrey)ZUNINO L 121 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.