Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Mile
Saturday - July 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTM-1   07/30/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTENT TO STRIKE Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 Jun11 May28 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 126 3.00 10% 9.10    
2  NORTHERNLOCOMOTIVE Jun24         (petrowski )BALGOBIN KEISHAN 124 8.00    
3  WAR GIANT Jul09 Jun18 May27 May07 Feb21 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 126 2.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  SURPRSINGLYPERFECT Jun18 May06 Apr14 Mar16 Mar04 (brown r)WALCOTT W 126 2.50 ★    
5  GRAY ADMIRAL Jul16 Jun18 Jun10 May20 Mar16 (brown r)NELSON DANE 126 5.00 15% 5.50    
6  BARE BACK JACK Jul16 Jun24 Jun10     (walper deanna)BYNOE DESEAN 121 6.00 ★    
 
CTM-2   07/30/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAUTIFUL BABE Jun25 Jun11 May28     (calhoun kimber)BYNOE DESEAN 114 8.00    
2  RED CHOCOLATE Jul23 Jul08 Jun25 Jun10 May21 (brown r)NELSON DANE 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
3  TANGERINE TAXI Jul23 Jun24 Jun10 May13   (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 124 6.00 ★    
4  FIRST PRINCE Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 May21 May07 (nicholson)ZENTENO JR 126 3.00 9% 9.70    
5  JUMEIRAH COAST Jul09 Jun18 May28     (smith craig )WALCOTT W 126 2.50 34% 2.00    
6  EXHI KID Jul15 Jun24 Jun11 May28 May14 (humbke che)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 126 5.00 ★    
 
CTM-3   07/30/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOMETHIN HAPPENIN Jul15 Jun25 Jun10 May27   (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 121 4.00 ★    
2  AMEER Jul15 Jun25 Jun04     (cone rodn)ZENTENO JR 121 3.50 9% 10.30    
3  SPIRIT RACER Jun11 May27 May07     (petrowski joan)ROQUE C 126 10.00 8% 11.00    
4  MEAN STREAK Jul15 Jul02 Jun11 May27   (smith craig )WALCOTT W 126 2.00 39% 1.50    
5  REMAIN CALM Jul15 Jul02 Jun18 Jun03 May20 (frey carson)PRESCOD N'RICO 126 8.00    
6  WIDE EYED WILEY Jul15 Jul01 Jun18 Jun03   (walper deanna)ZENTENO EDGAR 121 5.00 12% 7.10    
7  GOLD'S UP Jul15 Jul02 Jun25     (robertson )MALVAEZ MAURICIO 121 6.00    
 
CTM-4   07/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVER TRUE Jul16 Jul02 Jun11 May28 May14 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 126 2.00 31% 2.20    
2  WEEKEND WIZARD Jul16 Jul02 Jun10 May28   (o'hagan coll)PRESCOD N'RICO 126 4.00 ★    
3  CONCUR Jul09 Jun18 May28 May13 Mar25 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 126 6.00 23% 3.30    
4  TANNIN Jun25 Jun10       (walper de)ZENTENO JR 126 5.00 ★    
SCR  NO SUPAH FOR YOU Jun25 Jun10 Apr01 Mar14 Feb10 (rycr)REYES AMBROSIO 126 10.00    
SCR  TOP DEMON Jul16 Jul01 Jun11 May27 May14 (cone rodney)NELSON DANE 121 8.00    
7  MAKE GOOD CHOICES Jun18 May21       (smith craig )WALCOTT W 126 3.50 19% 4.40    
 
CTM-5   07/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. ARTISTIC Jul16 Jul01 Jun18 Jun04 May21 (humbke che)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 126 3.50 ★    
2  SPORTSCARR Jul16 Jul01 Jun18 Jun04 May21 (joseph lione)WALCOTT W 126 6.00    
3  TACOFLAVOREDKISSES Jun22 Jun06 Mar31 Mar17 Feb09 (brown r)NELSON DANE 126 8.00    
4  CABOT TRAIL Jul01 Jun10 Apr19 Mar21 Jan26 (robertson jerr)BALROOP SVEN 121 5.00 11% 7.80    
5  PADDYSDAYCHARM Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 May28 May13 (joseph lionel)BYNOE DESEAN 119 4.00 ★    
6  SOUTHERN WARLORD Jul23 Jun10 May21     (smith cra)ZENTENO JR 126 2.00 47% 1.10    
7  STORMCHASER Jul01         (brown r)PRESCOD N'RICO 124 10.00 8% 11.60    
 
CTM-6   07/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONVINCE Jul22 Jul02 Jun17 Jun04 May06 (brown r)NELSON DANE 125 4.00 7% 12.90    
2  CAGEY Jul08         (grieves ron)BYNOE DESEAN 118 12.00 ★    
3  SAVEITFORARAINYDAY Jun25 Jun10 May28 May13   (grieves r)ZENTENO JR 125 10.00 ★    
4  IT'S ALEXUS Jul23 Jun25 Jun04 May13 Apr12 (brown r)WALCOTT W 125 2.50 63% 0.60    
5  SKY DESTINY Jul09 Jun25 Jun10 May28   (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 3.50    
6  WHEELSUPINTHIRTY Jul22 Jun25 Jun04 May13   (biggs seymour)MUIR SHAMAREE 125 6.00    
7  WE ARE FREE Jul08         (humbke che)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 10.00 7% 13.40    
8  WHISKARITA Jul16 Jul09 Jun25 May28   (smith r)BYNOE DAMARIO 125 5.00    
 
CTM-7   07/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINE ME Jul08 Jun17 May28 May13 Mar11 (hedge rick)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 5.00 ★    
2  JOY IN GRACE Jul08 Jun17 May13 Apr30 Mar25 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 8.00    
3  FLAT AS A PANCAKE Jul08 Jul02 Jun17 May27   (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 10.00    
4  PLUM BLUE Jul08 Jun10 May28     (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 3.50 25% 3.00    
5  SHELTERED BAY Jul02 Jun17 May13     (smith craig )WALCOTT W 125 6.00 20% 4.00    
6  RUN LOLA RUN Jul08 Jun18 May29 May07   (head)REYES AMBROSIO 125 4.00 9% 10.30    
7  DANCE SHOES Jul08 Jun17 May28 Apr12 Mar31 (brown r)NELSON DANE 125 2.00 24% 3.10    
 
CTM-8   07/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUSICAL RELOAD Jul16 Jul01 Jun17 Jun04 May20 (cone rodney)MUIR SHAMAREE 118 6.00    
2  GOTCHA JENNY Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 May28 May14 (humbke che)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 4.00 12% 7.70    
3  SOPHIE MCTROPHY Jul16 Jul01 Jun11     (cone rodney)BALROOP SVEN 118 10.00 ★    
4  MOON AMOUR Jul15 Jun24 May21 May07   (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 2.50 62% 0.60    
SCR  SCARLETTE ROSE Jul16 Jun04 May14     (petrowski joan)ROQUE C 123 12.00    
6  PRECIOUS NOTES May20         (bell ken)BRYAN D 123 10.00 ★    
7  WICKED WOMAN Jul16 Jul01 Jun17 Jun04 May20 (wendland wyat)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 3.50 ★    
8  GET BAKK Jul16 Jul01 Jun11 May21   (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 118 5.00    
 
CTM-9   07/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOREVER LADY Jul09 Jun10 May07     (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 120 3.50 50% 1.00    
2  CAPA BELLA Jul15 May27 Apr30     (robertson je)WALCOTT W 123 3.00 10% 9.10    
3  MISYA GIRL Jul09 Jun17 Jun11 May27 Apr18 (oberholtzer )ANDROS CORRINE 125 15.00    
4  IM A WHISKY GAL Jul01 Jun17       (walper deann)PRESCOD N'RICO 120 5.00 9% 10.50    
5  CORDILLERA Jul15 Jun24 May27 May07   (nicholson)ZENTENO JR 118 6.00    
6  CUVEE TEE Jul02 Jun17       (ward anderson)BYNOE DAMARIO 125 12.00    
SCR  LITTLE HARPER Jul15 Jul02 Jun03     (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 120 10.00 ★    
8  JODEAN Jul22 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 May14 (bourne elige)BALROOP SVEN 115 4.50 7% 12.60    
9  STOLEN JEWEL Jul02 May07       (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 12.00    
 
CTM-10   07/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SASSY BUT CLASSY Jul15 Jun17 May27     (payne jodey)MARTIN ANDRE 118 15.00    
2  QUICK DIAL Jun24 Jun03       (wendla)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 8.00    
3  BE MY ALIBI Jun10         (saunder)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 118 20.00 ★    
SCR  SHAKEITFORMEGIRL Jul02 Jun10       (walper dea)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 120 10.00    
5  QUEEN RHONDA Jul15 Jul02 Jun03 May21 May07 (smith k)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 3.00 17% 5.00    
6  VIVIEN'S CHARM Jun24 May07       (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 125 10.00    
SCR  CARAT'S SONG Jul02 Jun03 May21 May07   (robe)REYES AMBROSIO 123 6.00    
8  WINE TASTER         (frey carson)WALCOTT W 118 12.00    
9  THERUFFSIDEOFEXHI Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 May20 Apr30 (zielke madison)NELSON DANE 125 2.00 40% 1.50    
10  SUDDENLY MISTY Jul08 Jun24 Jun03 May21   (hed)GONZALEZ ALONZO 120 8.00 ★    
11  SASSY CINDERELLA Jul15 Jun17       (walper dea)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 120 5.00 20% 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.