Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - July 26, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   07/26/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIDIRA Jul04 Jun20 Jun06     (mustard doug)CHICKENESS S 123 10.00 8% 11.80    
THEWHISKEYWORKED Jul12 Jul04 Jun14 Jun07 Apr30 (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 123 1.80    
HEY HEY RUN AWAY Jul12 Jul04 Jun20 Jun06   (brown)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 123 2.50 43% 1.30    
MISSION REALITY Jul11 Jun29       (gaskin steven)ALI RONALD 123 12.00    
TUFFENOUGHTOSTART Jul19 Jun29 Jun15     (dickey elton)CHOW CHAVION 123 4.50    
MIZZENHOWER Jul12         (gardipy t)CHADEE JR 123 3.50 17% 5.00    
 
ASD-2   07/26/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREUDIAN SIP Jul11 Jun18 May14 Apr30 Apr08 (delaronde lee)BELLE SHAVON 124 2.50    
HOT RODIN Jul13 Jun15 Jun01     (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 10.00 10% 8.70    
SOUL OBSESSION Jul13 Jul04 Jun20     (danelson gary)CARRENO J 124 3.00 25% 3.10    
SNAZZY DRESSER Jun22 Jun01 Feb17 Feb03   (brown)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 1.80 36% 1.80    
WITT'S COCO Jul05 Jun21       (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 124 5.00    
HE'S A LADY TAMER         (zawislak dale)BUDHU ARTHUR 122 15.00    
 
ASD-3   07/26/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GET UP EARLY Jul05 Jun15 Jun01     (miller blair)CARRENO J 119 1.00 28% 2.60    
STEELY CAPER Jul13 Jul05 Apr04 Mar22 Mar04 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
OH MAN OH MAN Jul13 Jun27       (hrymak br)CHADEE JR 124 10.00    
NONOJOJO Jul12 Jun28       (delaronde lee)CHOW CHAVION 119 20.00    
DEVILS TIME Jul11 Jun14       (thompson steve)BELLE SHAVON 124 12.00    
ROGER THAT B Feb11         (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 124 15.00    
MOSIE'S ON MAIN         (miller)LEWIS ANTHONY 119 5.00 25% 3.00    
 
ASD-4   07/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT SALUTE Jul05 Jun28 Jun15 Jun01   (brown shelle)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 10.00 10% 9.40    
TIMELY RUCKUS Jul13 Jun29 Jun13     (brown )LEWIS ANTHONY 124 15.00    
NOT AFRAID Jul12 Jun13       (buffalo marvi)CUMBERBATCH R 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
STRIKING OIL Jul11 Jun20 Jun01 Apr29 Apr01 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 4.00    
SCR  IRRESISTIBLY SEXY Jul05 Mar09 Feb22 Jan18   (wise a)BUDHU ARTHUR 124 20.00    
SPY A STAR Jun21 Apr06 Mar23 Feb10 Jan21 (gardipy jr)ALI RONALD 119 3.50 13% 6.70    
HARRYKEEPTHECHANGE Mar08 Feb15 Jan26     (brown jared)CARRENO J 122 2.00 13% 6.60    
 
ASD-5   07/26/2022 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($50K) 3 F PT-10:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAVAGE LOVE Jul06 Jun20 Jun06 Apr05 Mar15 (dickey elton)NELSON C 119 10.00    
FAVORITE Jul15 Jul04 Jun22 Jun15 May31 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 114 7.00    
KIM'S TEXAS BLING Jul06 Jun14 May31 Mar31 Jan20 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 8.00 31% 2.20    
MIAMI SOUVENIRS Jul18 Jun15 Mar13 Feb17 Jan21 (jordan jennife)BELLE SHAVON 114 12.00    
THRILL OF THE NITE Jul04 Jun22       (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 114 25.00    
INSPIRATUS Jul06 Jun20 Jun06 Apr29 Apr08 (gourneau jerry)BUDHU ARTHUR 114 6.00 13% 6.80    
BURROW DOWN Jul06 Jun14 May08 Mar13 Feb19 (duncan mu)CHADEE JR 119 0.40 35% 1.90    
 
ASD-6   07/26/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROTTEN TO THE CORE Jul12 Apr28 Mar21 Feb14   (jordan jennif)AUSTIN NIRONE 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WITTS MAGIC Jul18 Jul12 Jun22 Jun06 Mar03 (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 117 25.00    
BOUND TO BE SMART Jun06         (gardipy jr)NELSON C 121 8.00 33% 2.10    
OUTCLASSEDYOU Jun20 Jun06       (anderson wen)BADRIE PRAYVEN 121 1.20    
MOORE'S MIRACLE         (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
CRITICAL CONDITION Jul12 Jun29 Jun22 Jun06 Apr11 (maxwell curtis)CARRENO J 117 2.50    
GO WITT GO Jul20         (delaronde lee)CHICKENESS S 121 6.00    
HOME EARLY SHIRLEY Jul20 Jun29       (delar)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 121 20.00 23% 3.30    
 
ASD-7   07/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-11:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WITT'S MEMORIES Jul12 Jun28 Jun15     (anderson )CHADEE JR 123 8.00    
DIAMINI Jul12 Jun28 Jun15     (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 117 5.00    
WITTS QUESO Jul04 Jun03 May21     (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 6.00    
IN DETENTION         (anderson)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 10.00 20% 4.00    
HALO'S PHENOMENON Jul12 Jun22 Jun06     (desjarlais r)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 20.00    
VICTORIAVILLE Jul12 Jun28 Jun15     (kidd blair)CHOW CHAVION 123 12.00    
SILVER HEIGHTS Jul12 Jun22       (mille)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 123 1.00 54% 0.90    
ZIBO Jul12 Jun28 Jun15     (mooney bill)BUGEAUD L 123 30.00    
LADY OF THE FORT Jul04         (jordan jennife)BELLE SHAVON 117 25.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.