Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Thursday - July 21, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   07/21/2022 3300ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUNAR LASS Jun03 May12 Apr30     (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 12.00 6% 16.30    
2  ZEEBAR         (dunaway k)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 20.00 ★    
3  JIMENA Jul03 Jun11 Apr30 Mar19 Mar02 (cruz eduardo)QUINONEZ S 123 4.50    
4  SHE'S A RIDGE Jun23 May27 May06 Apr02 Mar19 (kotara ronal)MEDELLIN ERICK 118 30.00    
5  SHERRYS BABY Jul04 Jun19 Jun11 May22 May14 (echeverria hect)BENAVIDES D 123 20.00    
6  L L COOL GREY Jun19 May27 May06 Apr02 Mar03 (clary rena)DIEGO V 120 4.00 10% 8.70    
7  TERE'SDRAMAQUEEN Jun11 May12       (garcia teof)INIRIO J 120 20.00    
8  PROUD VALENTINE         (hebert matt)HAMILTON WESTON 120 15.00    
9  XTRA SPICY         (j)DE CRUZ 120 6.00 12% 7.10    
10  ESPERANZA ROSE Jun11 May27 Mar10 Feb18   (diodoro r)TORRES A 120 1.40 48% 1.10    
 
LS-2   07/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 2 F PT- 8:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TALE OF ATREIDES Jun09         (davidson m )MELANCON JANSEN 119 20.00    
2  IT'S STORMY Jul04 Jun05       (herreros )STEINBERG GARRETT 119 15.00    
3  IN THE FAST LANE Jun05         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 6.00 ★    
4  SING IT BESSIE Jul10 Jun19       (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 119 2.00 ★    
5  HAILEY'S JEWEL Jul03         (garza e)SORENSON D 119 20.00    
6  WIN BABY WIN         (brav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 15.00 20% 3.90    
7  FOREVER FAMILY Jul03 Jun09       (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 119 1.80 25% 3.00    
8  GOTOTHEWINDOW         (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 3.00 32% 2.10    
 
LS-3   07/21/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING ARTHUR RIDGE Jun19 May28 May06 Apr29 Apr09 (kotara ro)TORRES A 121 8.00    
2  MR. G T O May13 Apr01 Jan27 Jan07   (guzman ad)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 121 20.00    
3  MUSTBELIEVE Jul04 Jun04       (butler w)BENAVIDES D 124 30.00 6% 15.50    
4  TEXAS TRILOGY Jun19 Jun05 May29 May15 Mar31 (coats)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 119 3.50    
5  DADA BOOM RIDGE Jun04 Mar03 Jan15     (kotara ronal)MEDELLIN ERICK 116 30.00    
6  REGAL PRIZE Jun24 May28 May01 Apr08 Mar26 (echeverria )HERRERA GUSTAVO 121 30.00    
7  SINGING DIXIE Jun18 May29       (castellanos)INIRIO J 121 10.00 16% 5.10    
8  VICTOR VALENTINO Jun19 May28 May15 Mar16 Feb26 (padilla a)DIEGO V 124 2.50 25% 3.10    
9  GOD'S GOLD Jul02 Jun16 May28     (martin jame)HAMILTON WESTON 121 15.00 7% 13.90    
10  RUNNIN THE RED Jul08 May28 May14 Apr09 Mar09 (fullerton)STEINBERG GARRETT 124 2.00 25% 3.00    
 
LS-4   07/21/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEBOP BABY Jul04 May27 May06 Mar26 Mar16 (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 123 30.00    
2  SHE'SSKYSTHELIMIT Jun23 Jun05 May19 Apr30 Mar23 (scholl kevi)WETHEY JR 123 8.00 5% 18.20    
3  CHIKARA Jun23 May14 Apr30 Mar09 Feb24 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 4.00    
4  RED HOT MOON May28 Apr30 Apr02 Mar03 Feb09 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 118 15.00 7% 12.40    
5  HOLY CREED May21 Mar05 Feb19     (offolter j)ERAMIA E 123 6.00 15% 5.70    
6  RACY JAYCEE Jun23 Jun10 Apr23 Mar23 Mar10 (g)DE CRUZ 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
7  INCLUDING ELLIE         (horner liz)SORENSON D 119 15.00    
8  SENORITA COMETA Jun23 May19 Apr30 Apr02 Mar09 (chacaltana d)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 20.00    
9  THREEWICKEDWISHES Jun05 May19 Feb26 Feb03   (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 2.00 22% 3.50    
10  FROSTY FLIRT Jun23 May19 Mar24 Mar10 Feb19 (bravo franc)MELANCON JANSEN 119 12.00    
 
LS-5   07/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEHIND THE CURTAIN Jun24 May14 Apr30 Apr01 Mar23 (davidson m )HERRERA GUSTAVO 121 30.00    
2  EXCELLENCY Jun26 Apr28 Feb06 Jan20   (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 119 3.00 24% 3.20    
3  DALLAS GOLD May08 Mar16 Feb25 Jan27   (cravens ron)MELANCON JANSEN 121 20.00    
4  G VICTORY Jul04 Jun17 Feb11 Jan20 Jan08 (gelner jayde )CABRERA DAVID 122 8.00 10% 9.20    
5  JAMBI Jun24 May10 Apr19 Apr05 Mar21 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 121 15.00    
6  TOP HAT CAT Jun24 Jun16 May29 May14 Apr28 (davidson sa)HAMILTON WESTON 121 30.00    
7  TENOR Jun25 May22 May08 Apr29 Apr08 (ashford)GONCALVES R 124 10.00    
8  MOTION PICTURE Jun17 Apr29 Feb12 Jan02   (a)DE CRUZ 122 1.40 40% 1.50    
9  GENOMIC Jul04 May14 Mar10 Feb10   (villafran)TORRES A 124 12.00 ★    
10  HEAVENLY TRUMP Jun24 May22 May01 Apr09 Mar05 (chacaltana doming)DIEGO V 124 30.00    
11  TWICE THE PRICE Jun24 May13 Apr04 Mar23 Mar04 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
12  EUROEAST Jun19 Apr29 Apr08 Mar17 Feb23 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 122 20.00    
13  MOUNTAIN BREEZE (IRE) Jun11 May29 May20     (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 15.00    
 
LS-6   07/21/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  D C HERO Jun17 May27 May06 Mar26 Mar16 (villafranco)WETHEY JR 122 20.00    
2  HAPPY ROMANCE (IRE) Jun30 May28       (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L null      
3  SKYWAVE Jul08 Jun16 May14 Apr28 Mar19 (r)DE CRUZ 124 8.00    
4  WHENTHEDOVESCRY Jun02 May19 May07 Apr23 Mar27 (broberg k)TORRES A 124 20.00    
5  MALIBU THUNDER Jun26 May13 Apr08 Mar04 Jan30 (eoff terry)MELANCON JANSEN 119 15.00    
6  JAMES GANG Jul02 Jun04       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 10.00    
7  MISTER K Jul03 Jun09 May20 May06 Apr09 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 4.00 32% 2.10    
8  RIFT VALLEY Jul08 Jun11 May16 Apr29 Mar20 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 124 5.00 ★    
9  IMA BLING CAT Jul09 Jun17 May20 May07 Apr23 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 124 3.50 16% 5.40    
SCR  LAVA BOMB May24 Apr26       (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 121 12.00 9% 10.20    
11  COST AVERAGE Jul04 Mar23 Feb23 Jan27   (caldwell j )HAMILTON WESTON 122 20.00    
12  MAC B QUICK Jun19 May07 Mar09 Feb12 Jan30 (willis mindy)CABRERA DAVID 124 4.50 21% 3.70    
 
LS-7   07/21/2022 5940ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT-10:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLITTERARY Jul08 Jun25 Jun16 May21 May12 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 3.00 28% 2.60    
2  OPTIMISTIC COWGIRL Jun19 May28 May14 Mar25 Jan29 (cruz eduardo)DIEGO V 120 15.00 ★    
3  CHATON ROUGE Jun25 May30 May01 Mar16 Feb17 (glover trac)HAMILTON WESTON 118 15.00    
4  COLORS OF THE WIND May20 Apr08 Mar01     (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 118 3.50 42% 1.40    
5  TAHITIAN BREEZE Jun19 May21 May12 Apr30 Mar26 (hurley tin)ERAMIA E 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  AUNT GEM Jun25 May20 Apr02     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  VISIONOFWILDTIMES Jun20 Jun04 May17 Mar20 Mar04 (gomez c)BACA L 121 15.00    
8  AUTOSTRADA (CHI) Jul03 Jun11 May19 May08 Apr09 (asmussen )TORRES A 121 12.00    
9  STELLACZAR Jul02 Jun16 May12 Apr29 Apr02 (willis mindy)MORA GERARDO 121 5.00    
10  GRASS QUEEN May30 Apr29 Feb12 Jan13   (eoff terry)MELANCON JANSEN 118 15.00    
 
LS-8   07/21/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 F PT-10:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUSTCAUSEICAN Jun26         (ashford)GONCALVES R 119 10.00 ★    
2  SISTER BLING Jul10         (caldwell r)LUZZI J 119 15.00    
3  GOVERNOR ANN Jun26         (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 119 15.00    
4  BLINGONMERCURY Jun26         (mendoza edga)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 30.00    
SCR  SKY TIZZY         (bryant geor)HERRERA GUSTAVO 119 20.00    
6  TWISTED BRADE Jun19 Jun05       (pish dann)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 4.50 8% 11.60    
7  OLIVIA'S RACE DAY Jul10         (pish danny)DIEGO V 119 8.00    
8  IZATIZ Jun19         (gomez c)BACA L 119 2.50 19% 4.40    
SCR  HOP ON IN Jun26 Jun05       (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 119 15.00    
10  JULIE'S PASSION         (scholl kevi)MELANCON JANSEN 119 20.00    
11  DUCHESSOFLOCHWOOD Jun05 May14       (dodw)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 5.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  CANDY BEE Jul10         (s)DE CRUZ 119 4.00 21% 3.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.