Handicappers' Racing Form

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Louisiana Downs
Tuesday - July 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
LAD-1   07/19/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23K) 2 F PT- 4:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMART IZZY         (hatcher d)TORRES HUGO 114 15.00    
ADDI BUG Jul04         (gomez ra)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 2.50 49% 1.10    
HOPEITSMYLUCKYDAY         (hodges e)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 4.50    
TENSAS CANDY         (lara jorge)CULP BRIANNE 114 2.00 30% 2.40    
SHE TOLD YOU SO         (foster jos)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 4.00    
STRAWBERRY SUNDAE         (faucheux ron)LOZADA CARLOS 119 4.00    
 
LAD-2   07/19/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VELVET NIGHT May05 Apr09 Mar17 Feb18 Jan28 (dandridge courtn)CULP BRIANNE 119 3.50    
LIMITLESS MAZIE Jul11 Jun27 Jun04 May07 Mar25 (bruno do)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 5.00    
SCR  G'S DEADLINE Jul04 Jun12 May30 May09 Mar27 (delany sar)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 2.00 27% 2.80    
SILVER SIREN Jun28         (gomez c)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 4.00 20% 4.10    
FASHION MERIT Jun11 May28 Apr21 Mar05 Feb25 (broberg karl)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 2.50 19% 4.10    
STAR'S DREAM Jun18 May31 May15 Mar04 Feb14 (hargrave kenne)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 15.00    
 
LAD-3   07/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FIBRILLATOR Jun27 Jun05 May06 Apr24 Mar17 (dandridge courtn)CULP BRIANNE 119 6.00 18% 4.60    
CAVIAR RESOLUTION Jun25 Jan28       (duhon o)BOREL H 122 1.80    
SCR  DAD'S STAR CAT Jan19         (melancon donal)BARRERA J 117 5.00    
DONTFORGETRDREAMS Jun14 May29 May08 Feb24 Jan05 (lara jorge)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 6.00 52% 0.90    
LADY LUTE Jul05 Jun25       (milligan a)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
SHINING TERRI Jun25 Jun14 Feb21 Jan14   (broberg karl)DEL-CID VICENTE 113 2.50    
STORMY COLLISION Jun28         (dison phillip)MORALES ROBERTO 119 15.00    
 
LAD-4   07/19/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SYDSTER Jul10 Jun14 May10 Mar06 Jan27 (faucheux ron)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 1.50 40% 1.50    
TENSAS TODDY Jun25 Jun17 May27 May14 Apr30 (broberg karl)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 6.00    
CABO'S RUMOR May29 May07 Mar27 Mar06 Feb13 (duke steven)LOZADA CARLOS 124 6.00    
SOURNOIS Jun26 Jun14 May22 May10 Mar05 (antwine mi)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
ITS A CITY DAY Jul10         (lara jorge)CULP BRIANNE 119 8.00    
RELUCTANT WARRIOR Jun26 May16 Mar06 Feb13 Jan21 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 4.00 8% 10.90    
SENATOR CON Jun26 Jun11 May29 May16 Feb26 (balderas alfonso)BACA L 124 3.50    
SCR  DISIDE Jun19 May29 May08 Mar04 Feb23 (borel renay)BOREL H 124 4.00 22% 3.60    
 
LAD-5   07/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SUSAN STRONG Jul05 Jun12 May22 Mar23 Mar03 (reeves a)GUZMAN JORGE 117 20.00    
SCR  SI ES GOYA Jul10 Jun27 May22 Apr09 Mar17 (jeansonne )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.50 35% 1.90    
POST CLOSE Jun29 Jun03 May07 Mar03 Jan22 (tracy greg)LOZADA CARLOS 122 2.50 20% 3.90    
MAU MAU (BRZ) Jun19 May08 Apr07 Mar12 Feb17 (pish danny)MORALES ROBERTO 122 4.50    
CAP ROCK MINER Jun04 May07 Mar10 Jan07   (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
GUITAR SLIM May30 May07 Apr13 Mar16 Feb26 (jeansonne justin)TORRES HUGO 114 4.00    
LUCKENBACHER May30 Mar16 Feb05 Jan08   (foster joseph )NIEVES EMANUEL 119 12.00    
 
LAD-6   07/19/2022 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REECE'S PRIORITY Jun09 May06       (thomas lee)BACA L 121 3.00    
1A  TACTICAL PRIORITY Jun02         (thomas lee)BACA L 121 3.00 38% 1.60    
RECKLESS RANSOM Jun05 May10 Mar16 Feb11 Jan16 (foster m)LOZADA CARLOS 121 6.00    
NATE'S WAY Jun25 May30 Feb26 Feb03 Jan12 (gomez davi)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 4.50 33% 2.00    
HAWKWOOD Jun25 May31 May10 Mar10   (tracy greg)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 4.50    
SCR  MCLEAN Jun21 May30 May08 Feb24 Jan29 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 121 1.80    
MAXI MOON Mar05 Feb09 Jan22     (broberg karl)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 6.00    
 
LAD-7   07/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAJUN ACES Jun14 May16 May08 Mar25 Mar02 (reeves jeffer)DEL-CID VICENTE 112 4.00 26% 2.80    
WITCHY DEVIL         (brinkman)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 15.00    
HOUSTON MIRACLE Jun27 Jun14 Jun05 Apr15   (hornsby tammy)CULP BRIANNE 115 6.00    
DON'T LOOK ETHEL Jun05 May15       (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 121 3.00    
CHATAIN'S EAGLE Jul03         (lara jorge)COTTO L 121 8.00 7% 12.50    
NAVAGATIONALBEACON Jun27 May28 Apr24 Mar31   (wilson melton)BACA L 124 6.00 7% 12.50    
CANDY'S STORY Jun21 May29 Apr29 Apr15 Mar27 (milligan allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.00 31% 2.20    
YES I'M A LADY Jul09 Jun27 May29 Mar25 Feb19 (melancon donal)BARRERA J 115 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.