Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Tuesday - July 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   07/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOODLINE Jun19 May28 Apr29     (asmussen stev)LYNCH FEARGAL 119 1.40 43% 1.30    
2  NORTH BAY Jun08         (holsapple hu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 ★    
3  LUNAR MISSION         (williams gary )ARAUJO DENIS 124 12.00    
SCR  SCOOBER         (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50 ★    
5  GOLDEN HORNET         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.00 17% 4.90    
6  MALIBU MIKE         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 6.00 16% 5.40    
 
CNL-2   07/19/2022 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXPECT OURS Jun07         (brinkman br)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.50 ★    
2  BEACH HOUSE         (mccutchen jaso)ROCCO S 122 4.50 30% 2.30    
3  PLATINUM FROLIC Jul02 May20 Mar05     (godsey karen)ZAYAS J 122 12.00 7% 14.20    
4  RAISON D'ETAT GIRL May06 Apr02       (locklear j)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 12.00    
5  MADAME CLAUDE (IRE) Jun25 May14 Apr14 Apr02 Feb21 (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 118 6.00    
6  PALMGIRL Jan12         (munoz carlos)MENESES MARCOS 122 8.00    
7  MOON OF LOVE (IRE) May26 May13 Mar19 Feb18   (gambolati c)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  CHECK THE GRADE Jun03         (munoz carlos)REYES LEONEL 118 4.50 36% 1.80    
9  OIL ON CANVAS Jul08 Jun25       (meyers madiso)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 8.00    
 
CNL-3   07/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 2:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANDELION         (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.50 ★    
SCR  X Y LADY Jun22         (lopez bernardo)CHAVEZ DEIVY 119 10.00    
3  HUMOR SENSE         (ochoa gerard)REYES LEONEL 119 10.00 ★    
4  WILMA MANKILLER         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 2.50 26% 2.90    
5  PHLOX         (danner kel)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 5.00    
6  ALMA ROSA Jun17         (lopez bernardo)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 49% 1.00    
7  ACTION ROSE         (sano antonio)ZAYAS J 119 6.00 ★    
 
CNL-4   07/19/2022 5940ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BESSIE BLUE Jul04 Jun18 May06     (davis g)ACOSTA D 118 8.00    
2  C J 'S CAT FIVE Jul11 Jun29 Jun14     (connelly teresa)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 15.00    
3  GALILEI May15         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 118 4.50 27% 2.70    
4  SURYA (ARG) Jun08 Apr24       (russell britta)BOYCE FOREST 118 4.00 44% 1.30    
5  SEARCH Jun29 Jun08       (rubley kelly)ALVELO C 118 5.00 ★    
6  AFRAID NOT Jun25 Apr16 Mar12 Jan22   (ryan s)KARAMANOS A 118 2.50 ★    
7  MORENA DANCER Jul02 Apr17 Apr03 Mar09 Jan28 (wetherington mar)AVILES YAN 117 15.00    
8  MELIPONINI BEE Jul04 Jun18 May26 May05   (cooney s)ARAUJO DENIS 118 3.50 ★    
 
CNL-5   07/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCANNO         (stidham mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.50 ★    
2  LEFTY COMMING May24         (russo anthon)WHITACRE GRANT 123 20.00    
SCR  EXTRASEXYBIGDADDEE Jul04 Jun13 May24     (trombetta)CARRASCO R 123 8.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  GUILLAUME Jun17 Apr15 Feb25     (stidham mic)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 4.00    
5  SUPER E Jul01 Jun17       (smith hamilto)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 8.00 ★    
6  LA HARA (IRE) Jun26 Jun18       (morris r)ACOSTA D 123 12.00 5% 18.10    
SCR  WING COMMANDER Jun23 Apr01 Feb19 Jan22   (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 125 5.00 40% 1.50    
8  I AM THAT I AM Jul02 Jun17 Jun04 May20 Mar19 (williams ab)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 15.00    
9  TOM HAGEN Jun18         (meyers madi)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 15.00    
10  MINT GAME Jun19 May30 May13     (magana )ORTIZ ORLANDO 123 12.00    
SCR  READY REWARD Jun15 May30       (dowling wi)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 12.00    
12  PERFORMING ARTS (IRE) Jun10 May21 Apr29 Mar31 Feb27 (mcgoey monica)REYES LEONEL 123 10.00    
SCR  SPERLE Jun24 May01 Apr01 Mar10 Feb18 (gambolati cam)LUZZI J 118 15.00    
 
CNL-6   07/19/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR STRONG VOWS         (godsey de)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  DIFFERENTBUTOK Jun01 Mar31 Feb10     (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 10.00    
3  ISLAND PHILO Jun18 Jun05 Apr28 Apr15 Mar20 (cooney susa)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 4.50 27% 2.70    
4  SILVERY RILL Jun02 Apr10 Mar13     (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.00 26% 2.80    
5  MARGIE'S KITCHEN Jun12 May14 Apr10 Feb26   (lovell michel)GILLIGAN JACK 118 3.00 22% 3.50    
6  RENAISSANCE (IRE) Apr14         (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 5.00    
7  SWEET ANNABELLA Jun24         (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 12.00    
SCR  MORNING COCKTAIL Jul01 Apr08 Mar19 Feb23 Jan23 (foley d)CAMACHO SAMY 122 15.00 ★    
9  STILL MY BABE Jun19         (lynch catha)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 8.00    
 
CNL-7   07/19/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUNEDIN         (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 119 4.50 23% 3.40    
2  OPPOSITES ATTRACT Jun12         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 119 5.00 7% 14.40    
SCR  SIGMUND         (boniface c)AVILES YAN 112 8.00    
4  ZEN JOURNEY         (foley thomas)MENESES MARCOS 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  POINT LOMA         (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 2.00 30% 2.30    
6  DUKE OF GLOUCESTER         (williams abdu)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 10.00    
7  JIMBO'S DREAM         (reardon m )ALONSO LUIS 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPICY SATISFACTION         (foley d)CAMACHO SAMY 116 10.00    
9  BARAK         (munoz carl)URDANETA J 119 10.00    
 
CNL-8   07/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NICK PAPAGIORGIO Jul16 Jun19 May30     (lecesse micha)KARAMANOS A 123 8.00    
SCR  ROADSTER Apr02         (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  HARD LOVE         (thomas jona)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 2.00 38% 1.70    
4  CANNON'S ROAR Jun19         (capuano dal)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 8.00    
5  ENTERTAINMENT Mar19         (brinkman br)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 15.00    
6  BIZZEE CHANNEL Jun25 May28 May07 Apr10   (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 8.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  CONFESSOR May28 Apr08 Mar11     (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 123 12.00    
SCR  CAPTIVATING MOON Jun25 May28 Mar26 Feb19   (block chris)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 8.00 7% 13.50    
9  EAMONN Jun18 May21 Apr22 Mar27 Jan30 (orseno jo)CAMACHO JR 123 6.00 12% 7.20    
 
CNL-9   07/19/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATCHTHISWINNER Apr15         (munoz carl)URDANETA J 124 20.00    
2  DOM GERVASIO Apr23         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 8.00    
3  LUCKY HERB Jun05 May28 Apr29 Apr02 Mar18 (mcclure )BUTTERFLY L 119 30.00    
4  HELL'S KITTEN May22         (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 124 3.00 34% 2.00    
5  BREAKWATER Jul02 May05 Apr03     (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 119 2.50 27% 2.70    
6  PHAROAH'S FURY         (salazar marco)CRUZ ANGEL 124 8.00 ★    
7  LONG STORY         (paterno rober)MARTIN MATTIE 112 20.00    
8  SANCTIFIED Jan09         (stidham mic)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 8.00 ★    
9  GUARANTEED SPECK Jun12         (russo anthon)WHITACRE GRANT 119 20.00    
10  CHARMING COUNCIL         (lusk r)CAMACHO SAMY 119 15.00    
11  BUDDY BUDDY Jun04 May25 May11 Apr27   (collins tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 114 15.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  SOLAR SHIELD May08 Apr29       (foley thomas)MENESES MARCOS 119 20.00    
13  ABENDEGO Jun30 Jun04       (clement roland)REYES LEONEL 119 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.