Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Sunday - July 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   07/17/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTIFIED Jun24 May27 May01     (thomas jonath)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 2.50 40% 1.50    
2  FUSION JAZZ Jun24 Jun05 Apr14 Mar03   (sanchez l)RENDON JAIRO 123 3.50 ★    
3  BRAMBLE BEACH Jun11 May29 Apr01 Mar20 Jan21 (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00    
4  NINTH OF APRIL Jul04 Jun26 May29 Apr21 Apr10 (mc john)PANAIJO JORGE 123 8.00 16% 5.40    
5  ROYAL TIME May29 Apr29 Apr07 Feb24   (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 118 6.00    
6  PERPETUAL CHANGE Jun25 May29 Jan15     (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 3.50 23% 3.30    
7  WIZARD SERRAT Jun03 May01 Apr01 Mar12 Feb13 (avila )ROJAS EDUARDO 118 8.00 ★    
8  THE EQUINEST Jun29 Jun10 Jun02 May07 Apr27 (forde jaso)LUCIA ALEXANDRIA 114 30.00    
9  DIABLO DADDY Jul04 Jun25 Jun05 May29 Mar10 (foglia antho)HERNANDEZ ANDY 113 12.00    
 
MTH-2   07/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INEVTABL CONECTION         (klesar)ROJAS EDUARDO 116 3.00 ★    
2  CYBERVIKING Jul04 Jun18 Apr30 Mar26 Mar04 (delgado jorge)FERRER C 116 2.00 59% 0.70    
3  MOVING PICTURES May21 Apr23       (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 2.50 ★    
4  RHUMJAR Jul01 Jun11 May08 Apr10 Mar20 (hills tim)RODRIGUEZ A 116 8.00 ★    
5  FLASH KISS Jun24 Jun02       (terranova john)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50 ★    
6  SHASTREE Jan08         (pompay terri)RENDON JAIRO 116 6.00    
 
MTH-3   07/17/2022 3630ft TURF RC0 FIRM Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($71.875K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARPENTER         (marquez cesa)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 30.00    
2  HERE COMES BILLY Jul04         (nunn douglas)JIMENEZ ALBIN 115 4.50 14% 6.30    
SCR  DR. DOYLE Jul10 Jun19       (margotta antho)MOYA F 120 10.00 6% 15.10    
4  SUNSHINE CHARLIE Jul04 Jun11 May08 Mar19 Feb20 (dini mike)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 12.00    
5  KRATOS         (sweezey j)RODRIGUEZ A 120 3.50 22% 3.50    
6  MAGICAL JAIME Jun18 Jun03 May08 Mar26 Feb24 (mcburney pat)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.00 19% 4.30    
7  WHAT'S UP MR. Z Jun19         (kendall dennis)RENDON JAIRO 124 4.00 16% 5.10    
8  SAND DUNE Jun18 Jun05       (abrams jack)SILVERA RUBEN 120 8.00    
9  JESTERS HONOR Jun19 Jun04       (dini mike)FERRER C 120 6.00    
 
MTH-4   07/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($62.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMILIA'S MOON Jun23         (hemin)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 8.00    
2  FOOL YOURSELF Jun11 May26       (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 122 5.00 ★    
3  STRIKING CHROME Feb23 Jan28 Jan15     (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 6% 14.60    
4  SONG OF INNOCENCE Jul08 Jun25 Apr30 Feb10 Jan29 (thomas jonath)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
5  B B'S BUSTED Jun24 Jun14 May21 Feb18 Jan20 (padilla-preci)SILVERA RUBEN 120 4.50 ★    
6  FACTOR IN Jun22 May27 May05 Jan20   (russell brit)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 1.80 28% 2.60    
 
MTH-5   07/17/2022 3630ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE MINISTER Jun26 May20 Apr22     (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00 26% 2.80    
2  REAL COOL HAND Jul03 Jun24 May29     (steph)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 12.00    
3  CAPLETON         (richards m)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 15.00    
4  C'MON BLUE         (carvajal lui)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 5.00    
5  HE'S GOT JUMP Jun04         (margotta antho)MOYA F 118 10.00 19% 4.30    
6  JOHN JAY Jun24 Jun04       (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 118 4.00 ★    
7  EMPIRE SKY         (crook-demasi kat)FERRER C 118 4.50 ★    
8  JERRY'S TURN Jun26 May29 Mar03 Feb06 Jan09 (hills timothy)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 1.80 32% 2.10    
 
MTH-6   07/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUSHION Jun18 May22 May08 Feb23   (hills )ROJAS EDUARDO 120 6.00 ★    
2  ABUELO NUNO Jul01 May05 Apr19 Mar16 Jan30 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
3  SAVVY LAYLA Jun17 May22 Apr13 Mar30 Mar02 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 12% 7.40    
4  FLIPPING FISH Jul04 May28 Apr21 Apr08 Feb25 (delgado h)RENDON JAIRO 120 6.00    
5  HOT AND HEAVY Jun26 Jun03 May21 Apr06 Mar20 (wilson tony)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 15.00    
6  CACTUS JACK Jun26 Jun04 Apr16     (russo fra)RODRIGUEZ A 120 8.00 11% 7.80    
7  FEDERAL CASE Jun26 May24 May11 Apr19 Mar09 (arce josue)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.00 26% 2.80    
 
MTH-7   07/17/2022 5610ft TURF RC0 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMITTED Jun25 May22       (lucas bonnie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 2.50 16% 5.30    
2  MORETHANICANHANDLE Jun26 May29       (breen kel)MEZZATESTA ANDREA 118 10.00 6% 15.20    
3  MISTER FERNANDO Jun25 Jun11 May06 Mar25 Mar02 (ortega leopold)RENDON JAIRO 123 10.00 7% 13.20    
4  INAPPROPRIATE         (king clare)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 3.00 41% 1.40    
5  HI MILLIE Jul08 Jun05       (frangella james )FERRER C 118 20.00    
6  URBAN BEACH Jun25 May29 Apr29 Apr09   (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00 ★    
7  ALMOND CIDER Jun25 Jun03 Feb10     (mc john)PANAIJO JORGE 118 20.00    
8  HENRYTHETHIRD Jun25 Jun05 Apr16 Mar19 Feb13 (avila )ROJAS EDUARDO 118 6.00    
SCR  JOSHUA Jun19 May21 Apr23 Mar31 Feb24 (falco)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 5.00    
 
MTH-8   07/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RITHM BOX Jul01 Jun10       (lisowsk)GONZALEZ LUIS 115 30.00    
2  STEADYTILLREADY Jun25 Jun04 Feb26 Feb05   (breen j)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 3.00 ★    
SCR  SECRET RULES May28 Apr02 Feb27 Jan16   (falco)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 2.00 23% 3.30    
4  HE'S SMOKIN NOW Jul06 Jun18 May28 Apr08 Mar12 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  HERO TIGER Jun25 Jun02 May15 Apr16 Mar31 (avila c)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 2.50 ★    
6  THE SICARII Jul02 Jun15 May21 Mar15 Feb15 (kirby t)RENDON JAIRO 120 6.00    
7  DOC AMSTER Jul01 Jun04 Mar20 Feb27 Jan16 (delgado jorge)FERRER C 120 3.00 50% 1.00    
 
MTH-9   07/17/2022 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CENTER MID MADDIE Jun03 May17 Mar29 Feb09 Jan18 (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 118 15.00    
2  ONE TIMER May23         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
3  RADICAL RIGHT Jun29 Jun11 May20     (capuano dale)LOPEZ PASCACIO 116 8.00 ★    
4  GROOMS ALL BIZNESS Jul04 Jun11       (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 116 5.00 18% 4.70    
5  THAT'S RIGHT Jun17 May20 Apr27 Apr07 Mar23 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 3.50    
6  CLASSICSTATEOFMIND May14 Apr10 Feb23 Jan19   (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.00 17% 4.90    
7  TOO MANY TWIZZLERS Jun26 May29       (delac)DIAZ RAFAEL 116 3.50 17% 5.00    
 
MTH-10   07/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAJUN LOVER Jun19 May30 Feb20 Feb06 Jan16 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 117 4.00 13% 6.60    
2  RICKYS REVENGE Jun26 Jun10 Feb19 Jan09   (sim)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 15.00    
3  SHANGHAI WARRIOR Jul04 Jun10 May30 May08 Apr07 (ryan s)SANTOS ADEMAR 117 10.00 ★    
4  I MAKE THE RULES Jun17 Jun04       (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 6.00 20% 4.00    
5  WE READY Jul04 Jun17 Apr29 Apr07 Mar19 (lucas bonnie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 1.00 37% 1.70    
6  VOY A TI Jul01 Jun03 Apr06 Feb16 Jan26 (arce josue)MILAN GERARDO 121 5.00    
SCR  JOHNNY OIL Jun26 Jun18 Jun04 May21 May08 (sweezey j)VARGAS A 121 4.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.