Handicappers' Racing Form

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Lone Star Park
Thursday - June 23, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
LS-1   06/23/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLACK CHEETAH May14 Apr05 Feb23     (ramirez ros)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 5.00    
SHE'S A RIDGE May27 May06 Apr02 Mar19   (kot)GARCIA-ALFARO AROLD 123 30.00    
SCR  JIMENA Jun11 Apr30 Mar19 Mar02   (cruz eduardo)MEDELLIN ERICK 118 4.50    
MORO NALA May27 May06 Apr02     (glover tracey)ALVAREZ L 123 12.00 7% 13.70    
TRINITY QUEEN May27         (pish danny)SORENSON D 123 10.00    
JUST CLAIRE May14 Mar19 Mar02 Feb04   (pish danny)WETHEY JR 123 4.00    
COLD NIGHT AIR May14 Apr02 Mar25 Mar02 Feb12 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 1.20 62% 0.60    
 
LS-2   06/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALADO May14 Apr15 Mar05 Feb11 Jan01 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 124 2.00 30% 2.40    
MIGHTY MATT Jun04 Apr20       (davis h)ALVAREZ L 121 5.00    
ABSTRACT KAT Feb01         (calhoun wil)TORRES A 119 10.00    
FIRST AVENUE May22 May01 Mar16 Feb18 Jan27 (hurley )CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 117 3.00 23% 3.30    
DIA DE PAGO May08 Mar24 Feb04     (hone bart)DIEGO V 122 6.00 18% 4.50    
BLING MOUNTAIN May29 Apr01 Mar11     (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 12.00    
YOU'REOBADBOY May24 May10 Apr12 Apr05   (horner liz)MORA GERARDO 122 3.50    
 
LS-3   06/23/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVER RULER Jun05 May14 Apr09 Mar17 Feb24 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 122 5.00    
AVAILABLE STAR May27 May14 Apr01 Mar12 Feb26 (jacks )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 8.00 23% 3.40    
WILDCAT'S BLING Jun04         (smi)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
ALTERNATE TIME May30 May12 Apr09 Mar09 Feb17 (hebert matt)ERAMIA E 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
DECLINED May30 May14 Apr01 Mar10 Mar02 (davidson brent)MORA GERARDO 124 1.00    
SMOOTHEE LEE May14 Apr29 Mar17 Feb23 Feb05 (bilbrey k)DIEGO V 124 10.00 13% 6.90    
 
LS-4   06/23/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:59
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IRISH EXPECTATIONS Jun04 May12 Apr01 Feb19 Jan20 (hebert matt)ALVAREZ L 120 8.00    
BIG MONEY MACHINE May29 May14 May01 Mar31 Feb16 (caldwell r)LUZZI J 124 5.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  G'S TURN Jun19 May29 May01 Mar17 Mar02 (duhon paul)DIEGO V 124 2.50 23% 3.40    
I'M AN EIGHT May29 Mar10 Feb26 Feb16   (moreno carlos)MORA GERARDO 120 20.00    
FIFTEEN LOVE BACK May12 Apr29 Apr01 Mar04 Feb19 (tor)DE CRUZ 122 12.00    
JUSTINS OMEN May24 May09 Apr25 Apr11   (davidson m )STEINBERG GARRETT 124 20.00    
FOREVAMO May01 Mar17 Feb11 Jan22   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 2.00 12% 7.50    
TIZ SHOWBIZ May22 Apr23 Feb19 Jan08   (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 120 4.00 32% 2.10    
 
LS-5   06/23/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUTCH TREAT Jun11 May20 May06 Mar27 Mar11 (barton am)GONCALVES R 123 15.00 9% 9.60    
RACY JAYCEE Jun10 Apr23 Mar23 Mar10 Feb26 (gov)DE CRUZ 121 20.00    
DORITA'S HEART May30 May15 Mar23 Mar12 Feb04 (davidson sarah)PIVARAL GERBER 121 30.00    
FROSTY FLIRT May19 Mar24 Mar10 Feb19   (bravo francisc)ALVAREZ L 119 10.00    
SENORITA COMETA May19 Apr30 Apr02 Mar09 Feb23 (chacaltana domin)MORA GERARDO 119 15.00    
CHIKARA May14 Apr30 Mar09 Feb24 Feb10 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 3.50 18% 4.70    
LIZZ A BEE Jun18 May27 May18 May04 Apr13 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 123 3.00 31% 2.20    
SIMPLE PLEASURE May30 May08 Mar24 Feb25   (hebert matt)LUZZI J 119 8.00    
SHE'SSKYSTHELIMIT Jun05 May19 Apr30 Mar23 Mar10 (villafranco)TORRES A 123 2.00 18% 4.50    
10  COCO LOCO MAMA Jun11 May21 Apr30 Mar31 Mar03 (echeverria hector)MONTALVO C 123 30.00    
 
LS-6   06/23/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSQUE May29 Apr28 Apr08 Mar11 Feb19 (villafranco)TORRES A 121 4.50 10% 9.50    
FORTI         (gui)DE CRUZ 122 20.00    
UNBRIDLED POSSE May30         (davidson br)HERRERA GUSTAVO 122 30.00    
MORO WARRIOR May30 May14 May01 Feb28   (glover trac)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 6.00 12% 7.20    
TEXAN BOY May30 May19 May08 Apr28 Apr01 (broberg karl)EIKLEBERRY RY 122 3.50    
CRESSON (GB) May30 May19       (davidson sara)MELANCON JANSEN 122 30.00    
LAMP OIL May29 May13       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
TWELVE PACK May22 Feb17 Feb05     (harrison rebe)HAMILTON WESTON 124 20.00    
POLICY LIMIT May01 Feb25 Feb05 Jan21   (brober)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 12.00 6% 15.20    
10  MORO COOL         (payne w)DIEGO V 122 20.00    
11  ON THE HONOR ROLL May30 May19 May01 Mar09 Feb25 (eoff terry)MEDELLIN ERICK 117 8.00    
12  TENACIOUS LION May19 Apr01 Feb25 Feb11   (lucarelli frank)MORA GERARDO 122 10.00    
 
LS-7   06/23/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT-10:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STANS HOME RUN May29 Apr28 Feb11 Jan27 Jan07 (gustafson austi)EIKLEBERRY RY 121 2.50 36% 1.80    
MR B QUIET May15 Apr07 Mar25 Mar09 Feb11 (bryant al)LUZZI J 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
LUCKY PROMISE May29 May15 May07     (gustafson aust)ALVAREZ L 122 5.00 11% 8.50    
OH SNAP Jun16 May19 Apr01 Mar17 Feb11 (brober)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 15.00    
SILVER AND GOLD May29 May14 May08 Apr28 Apr07 (jac)DE CRUZ 122 12.00    
GOLIATH RIDGE May29 May14 May01     (kotara ronald)PIVARAL GERBER 124 30.00    
CINCO RICHIE May29 May15 Feb19 Jan30   (cruz eduardo)ERAMIA E 121 20.00    
FIRST BUMP RIDGE May29 May19 May08 Apr07 Mar18 (pish danny)MONTALVO C 124 10.00    
SCR  SILVER LUKE SILVER May29 May08 Apr29 Apr09 Mar18 (barton am)GONCALVES R 124 4.50 12% 7.30    
10  REYNARDINE May29 May06       (dupuy allen)MORA GERARDO 121 15.00    
11  MR. NIGHTBLINGER May28         (clary jaylan )HAMILTON WESTON 121 4.00 18% 4.50    
 
LS-8   06/23/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT-10:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FAST TO FORTUNE         (lucarelli frank)MORA GERARDO 121 20.00    
ERIN'S CREATION May30         (diodoro roberti)EIKLEBERRY RY 121 6.00    
PRESSLY'S HOPE May19 Apr16 Mar17 Feb20 Jan09 (diodoro robertin)QUINONEZ S 118 20.00    
SIP Jun09 May12 May01 Apr08 Feb25 (davidson sara)MELANCON JANSEN 121 8.00    
THORNY ROSE May30 May13 Mar31 Mar09 Feb16 (villafranco)TORRES A 121 12.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  AUSTIN CITY GIRL May30 Apr29 Apr02 Mar04 Feb10 (willis mind)STEINBERG GARRETT 118 12.00 8% 11.50    
SCR  MIDNIGHT FLYER May07 Mar03 Jan21     (davidson br)MELANCON JANSEN 120 4.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  WYOME May30 May15 Feb23 Jan27   (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 123 12.00    
PAYDIEM Apr29 Mar17 Feb25 Jan28   (pish danny)WETHEY JR 121 3.00    
10  TEXAS TIDELANDS May30 Apr02 Jan27 Jan13   (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 3.50    
11  INDY LOVER Feb25 Jan29       (eoff terry)MEDELLIN ERICK 116 10.00    
12  CROSS BOSS LADY May30 Apr29 Feb12 Jan21   (clary renay)DIEGO V 121 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.