Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - June 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   06/17/2022 5490ft TURF RC4 YIELDING Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COURT AND SPARK May14 Apr20 Mar09 Feb17 Jan23 (velez irving)ADORNO ABNER 120 4.50    
2  SHADOW BOAT May25 May12 Apr22 Mar18 Mar11 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 15.00    
3  VITESSE May11 Apr20 Mar30 Mar15 Jan12 (graci kim)VARGAS L 120 12.00 ★    
SCR  CORT'N ASONG May20 Mar09 Feb18 Feb04 Jan19 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 64% 0.60    
5  GET A VALENTINE Apr27         (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 ★    
6  ESPRESSO CALIENTE Apr06 Mar16 Mar04 Jan28 Jan12 (sinnefia pau)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 4.00 ★    
7  SCREEN STAR May25 May06 Apr20 Apr08 Mar11 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 12.00    
8  I SAY I PLAY Apr30 Apr09 Jan08     (carrascojr victor)BISONO J 120 3.50 ★    
9  CAUSE OF ACTION May25 May11 Mar29 Mar11 Feb10 (geist w)BAKER J 120 12.00    
 
PEN-2   06/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST DIVINE Apr13 Mar14       (kravets m)AGUILAR M 121 2.50 35% 1.80    
2  DOUBLE TIME BAY May12 Apr27 Mar25     (kulp brando)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 10.00 12% 7.40    
3  BUFF AND SHINE May27 May12 Apr27 Mar23 Mar01 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.00 15% 5.50    
4  KNOCKDOWN KID May27 Apr27 Mar16 Feb16 Jan19 (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 121 4.00 ★    
5  NOTEWORTHY May13 Apr08 Mar25     (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 121 3.00 15% 5.90    
6  JEKYLL ISLAND         (stowers mi)CABALLERO HECTOR 124 30.00    
SCR  FIRST FORCE May27         (kulp l)WHITNEY G 121 6.00    
 
PEN-3   06/17/2022 5490ft TURF RC4 YIELDING Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIX CIDER Jun04 May29 May08 Apr27 Apr12 (farro patr)GILARDO COURTNEY 115 10.00 ★    
2  JOZANI R V F Jun09 May12 Mar09 Feb11 Feb02 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 50.00    
3  MINE TO HOLD May21 Apr20 Mar25 Feb11   (rafter carl)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00    
4  MY FRIEND FRANK May24         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 29% 2.50    
5  RIPPOLINO Apr20 Mar30 Mar09 Feb18 Jan28 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 ★    
6  THE TRAIN         (rodriguez franklin)CORA D 120 3.50 20% 3.90    
7  ESKENFORTIME Jan26         (salvaggio micha)WHITNEY G 120 6.00    
8  DRAMATIZED May30 Jan31 Jan12     (bouchard les)HERNANDEZ ANDY 113 4.50    
9  BEACH TRAFFIC May25         (woolley tim)AGUILAR M 120 5.00 19% 4.20    
 
PEN-4   06/17/2022 3300ft TURF RC0 YIELDING Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MADE TO HUSTLE Jun05 May18 Jan14     (rogers ro)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 31% 2.30    
2  IDES OF MARCH (IRE)         (rivera just)SPANABEL SKYLER 122 3.50    
3  TAK E LADY Jun02 May06 Mar23     (stites p)CHIAPPE R 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
4  PANDORAS CHARM May21         (houghton thomas)CORA D 119 8.00    
5  PRINCESS EMMA JO May25 May09 Apr11 Mar15 Feb22 (aro michael)RAMOS C 119 8.00 ★    
6  LUNA FORTUNA Jun06 May17 Apr18 Mar09 Feb16 (padilla-pre)OCASIO JONATHAN 119 12.00    
7  NINJA PRINCESS Mar25 Mar01       (houghton thoma)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 11% 7.90    
8  SOCIAL EXCLUSION Jun02 May12 Apr20 Mar25 Mar11 (hillegass ale)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00 5% 18.80    
 
PEN-5   06/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRODIGY DOLL Apr23 Feb19 Jan29     (schoenthal ph)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 6.00    
2  CINNABUNNY May21 Apr25 Mar07     (lynch cathal)RUIZ JORGE 124 4.00 27% 2.70    
3  DECO STRONG Apr28 Mar25       (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 12.00    
4  HEY MAMALUKE Apr25 Mar30 Mar07 Feb24   (farro patric)HERNANDEZ ANDY 124 3.00 11% 8.20    
5  FILLE D'ESPRIT May21 Apr16 Mar19 Feb19 Jan29 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 124 3.50 16% 5.40    
6  KAYLASAURUS Apr23 Mar13 Feb19 Jan29   (kreiser timot)KARAMANOS A 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
SCR  BOLD CONFECTION May21 Mar30 Feb19 Jan05   (servis c)PENNINGTON F 120 10.00 ★    
 
PEN-6   06/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NO CENTS May15         (lynch cathal)RUIZ JORGE 118 8.00    
2  BEREN Apr25         (reid e)PENNINGTON F 118 4.00 20% 3.90    
3  DONTMESAWITHME May13 Apr26 Mar19 Feb16 Feb01 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 124 10.00    
4  SIR ALFRED JAMES May21 May07 Apr23 Apr16 Mar29 (cash norm)CARRASCO R 124 6.00    
5  STUDIO B May21 Apr28 Apr19 Mar23 Mar13 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 118 12.00 9% 10.10    
6  THREES OVER DEUCES May21 Apr16 Feb19 Jan29   (capuan)ENRIQUEZ JR 118 8.00    
SCR  EXCULPATORY         (savoye jacqeli)CEDENO CAROL 118 12.00 14% 6.30    
8  JUMPMASTER May11 Mar01       (kravets m)AGUILAR M 118 12.00 8% 11.50    
9  LOST IN NEWYORK May13 Mar02 Feb16     (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 118 30.00    
10  PICTOR May28 Apr29 Mar16 Feb13 Jan26 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 118 10.00 9% 10.10    
11  NY TRAFFIC Apr29 Mar05       (joseph saffi)GONZALEZ EDWIN 124 2.50    
 
PEN-7   06/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POLISHED GEM Jun09 May05 Apr07 Mar04 Feb10 (maroun dougl)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00    
2  CHARGE THROUGH         (pino michae)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 6.00 ★    
3  GOLDEN LAW May25 Apr27 Apr07 Mar08 Feb02 (dimitriou e)CORA D 124 4.50    
4  AWESOME PAL May26 Feb28 Feb07 Jan25 Jan04 (martinez al)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 113 4.00 12% 7.50    
5  LIKEUONLYPRETTIER May26 May05       (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  ELITE SPEED         (johnston r)GILARDO COURTNEY 113 10.00    
7  MIZ CHAPLIN May05         (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 ★    
SCR  QUEEN'S DREAM May26 Apr29 Apr08 Mar16 Feb18 (beattie cody)WHITNEY G 122 5.00 18% 4.50    
 
PEN-8   06/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRANK N DUCKY May24 May02 Apr06 Mar08 Jan18 (diaz jorge)NUNEZ Y 122 2.00    
2  SECOND LINE DAVID May12 Apr29       (crane clovis)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00 5% 17.60    
3  IRON CLASH May20 May05 Apr20 Mar25 Mar11 (cifarelli f)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 20.00    
4  KATZ ME AT NOON Jun03 May05 Mar23 Feb23   (johnston rob)CORA D 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
5  HAPPY GUY May20 May05 Mar25 Mar11 Feb23 (jacavone )VARGAS L 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  JACK BE NIMBLE May11 Apr22 Mar26 Mar02   (arnold pamela)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 2.50 23% 3.40    
7  ORASHI Jun01 May12 Apr29 Mar25 Feb25 (albright r)AGUILAR M 119 4.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.