Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - May 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   05/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOP THE LOOP         (shea h)WHITNEY G 120 8.00 ★    
2  PAPI'S BABY GIRL         (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 5.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  SHOW MAID May12 Apr28 Apr07 Mar22 Feb16 (valdez moises)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 ★    
SCR  KATESALUCKYGIRL May05 Mar15 Feb22 Feb09 Jan14 (velez irv)HERNANDEZ A 120 1.60 53% 0.90    
5  WINDY GLO SAL May12 Apr27 Mar15 Feb09 Jan19 (o'callahan carl)AGUILAR M 120 1.50 ★    
6  ABOVE THE LINE May12 Mar23 Mar02 Feb16 Feb02 (miller ma)VARGAS L 120 8.00    
 
PEN-2   05/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN ABARRIO Apr28 Apr11 Feb21 Feb01 Jan10 (moreno-bar)CABALLERO HECTOR 120 8.00 10% 9.30    
2  LEGS LIKE SHACK May05 Apr20 Apr01 Jan25   (fields kevin)CORA D 119 2.50 27% 2.80    
3  JANE         (rodriguez fr)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 20.00    
4  MISCHIEF MANAGED Apr28 Apr07 Mar15     (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 4.50 ★    
5  DASHI Mar23 Mar15 Feb18     (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 ★    
6  IAMPROUD May07 Apr20 Mar11 Feb22 Feb06 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 1.40 41% 1.50    
 
PEN-3   05/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COPPERHEAD CREEK May06 Apr07 Mar15 Feb22 Feb01 (stites flin)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 ★    
2  RON DON SCORESE May07 Apr01 Mar04 Feb15 Jan28 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 ★    
3  TRIPLE A. PLUS May06 Apr07 Mar23 Feb22 Feb01 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 1.80 37% 1.70    
4  LORD WINSALOT Apr25         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 ★    
5  MIDNIGHT HAULER         (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 5.00 28% 2.60    
 
PEN-4   05/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUFF AND SHINE May12 Apr27 Mar23 Mar01 Feb08 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 121 1.80 22% 3.60    
2  FIRST FORCE         (kulp l)WHITNEY G 121 5.00 ★    
SCR  RIDUNCULOUS         (stowers mic)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 117 12.00 8% 10.90    
4  SACHMO Jan07         (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 124 2.50 30% 2.40    
5  FREEDOM'S START         (albright g)GILARDO COURTNEY 114 6.00 ★    
6  KNOCKDOWN KID Apr27 Mar16 Feb16 Jan19   (crook-demasi kath)CHIAPPE R 121 3.50    
 
PEN-5   05/27/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BERMONDSEY Apr29 Apr20 Mar23 Mar01 Feb15 (nunley rand)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 2.00 32% 2.10    
2  MY MAGICAL MAN May12 Apr22 Apr08 Mar25 Mar08 (graci kim)VARGAS L 120 1.80 42% 1.40    
SCR  FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY May11 May02 Apr12 Feb28 Feb02 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 3.50 ★    
4  DOMINANT FACTOR May12 Apr29 Mar20 Mar01 Feb18 (hillegass ale)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 3.00 ★    
5  SWEEPIN HARD Mar29 Feb23 Jan19     (jacklin theodora )AGUILAR M 120 12.00 ★    
 
PEN-6   05/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 3 ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEIKO KRAHE         (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 119 2.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  SASSY LAD May07 Jan12       (houghton thomas)CORA D 119 8.00 ★    
3  GANDI May07 Apr21 Apr08 Mar15 Mar01 (albright r)AGUILAR M 121 3.00 ★    
SCR  BANKING ON BIZ May05 Apr08       (rathman eli)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 8.00    
SCR  CATTY'S UNCLE May03 Apr11 Mar28     (pattershall)WOLFSONT ANDREW 119 8.00    
6  CRITICAL THINKING May07 Apr06 Mar16     (shea h)CHIAPPE R 119 6.00 ★    
7  COWBOY MALICE May11         (stites w)CONNER TYLER 123 4.00 22% 3.50    
 
PEN-7   05/27/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIRACLES SUNSHINE May20 May05 Apr27     (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00 ★    
2  MELODIA May07 Mar11 Feb22 Feb02 Jan11 (zalalas michael)CORA D 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  SAYYIDA AL HURRA Apr06         (bracho she)ROWLAND MADELINE 110 5.00 ★    
4  SKY OF DREAMS May12 Apr21 Mar23 Mar08 Feb09 (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 120 1.40 45% 1.20    
5  SWEET SAMURAI Apr19 Mar22       (linder loui)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 1.50 33% 2.10    
 
PEN-8   05/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARIE FROM PARIE Apr28 Apr08 Mar09 Feb22   (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 5.00 ★    
2  TUFF BIRD May12         (crane clovis)CHIAPPE R 124 1.40 31% 2.20    
3  TIZ PROMISING RVF May12 Apr28 Apr08 Mar23 Feb22 (zalalas micha)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 4.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  NATIONALIST Apr10         (pickett crys)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.00 30% 2.30    
5  MOSCOWS GOT TALENT Apr28 Mar23 Feb22     (jacklin theodora )LLOYD W 124 15.00 ★    
6  LADYOFDRAGONSTONE Apr28         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.