Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont Park
Saturday - May 14, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BEL-1   05/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CONQUIST         (kimmel john)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 4.50 ★    
2  SAFALOW'S MISSION Apr28 Mar05       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
3  EMINENCY Apr16 Mar19 Feb11 Jan09   (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 3.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  DENIS         (jones ed)DAVIS A 124 30.00    
5  N Y ANTHEM Apr05         (servis tyler)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 ★    
6  DEVIL BOY         (englehart jere)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 28% 2.50    
7  OCEAN'S RESERVE         (gyarmati leah)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00    
8  OUR SON JAKE         (brocklebank jos)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00    
9  FORTUNE'S NEPHEW         (levine bruce)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 ★    
 
BEL-2   05/14/2022 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STANHOPE Apr24 Feb13 Feb03 Jan01   (lucas bo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 2.50 5% 19.00    
2  RING OF FIRE         (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00 13% 6.90    
3  BINGO JOHN Apr28 Mar31 Feb20 Feb06 Jan22 (pregman john)CASTELLANO J 123 12.00    
SCR  SECRET RULES Apr02 Feb27 Jan16     (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 123 0.80 41% 1.40    
5  STEELERSFANFORLIFE Jan09         (gyarmati leah)CARDENAS LUIS 123 15.00    
6  LOADED JOE May05         (diprima grego)SILVERA RUBEN 123 12.00    
7  STANDUP Mar05         (falcone robert)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.50 15% 5.70    
8  TENURE         (falcone robert)ROSARIO JOEL 123 5.00 ★    
SCR  NOT YET CHARLIE Mar25 Feb21       (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 120 10.00    
10  DEE BO Mar26 Feb03       (leg)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 20.00    
 
BEL-3   05/14/2022 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASSERTIVE STYLE Mar25 Feb14       (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 116 20.00 ★    
  (by NYQUIST out of SCA DOODLE by SCAT DADDY)
2  FRANK'S ROCKETTE Apr02         (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 3.00 19% 4.30    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ROCKET TWENTYONE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
3  KEPT WAITING Apr09 Feb13 Feb06     (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00 ★    
  (by BROKEN VOW out of ORIENT MOON by MALIBU MOON)
4  MISS BRAZIL Apr22         (dutrow anthony )CANCEL ERIC 117 3.00 ★    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of BAYTREE by FORESTRY)
5  BELLA SOFIA         (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 123 0.80 52% 0.90    
  (by AWESOME PATRIOT out of LOVE CONTRACT by CONSOLIDATOR)
 
BEL-4   05/14/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THISMIGHTBETHEONE Apr15 Mar11       (abreu jorge)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 8.00    
2  MISSING LINK Apr16 Feb19 Jan06     (walder peter)CASTELLANO J 123 4.00 9% 10.20    
SCR  TRINITY TITOLI Mar19 Feb12       (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00    
SCR  GENTLE ANNIE Apr03 Mar25 Jan28 Jan14   (lynch natalia)RIDER TBA 125 2.50 5% 18.60    
SCR  MIA BEA STAR Apr02 Mar25 Mar11 Feb24 Feb04 (persaud randi)CARDENAS LUIS 125 5.00    
6  U SHOULD B DANCING Apr22 Mar06 Jan23     (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
7  HAPPY HILL LIL         (sciacca gary)ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.50    
8  MISS DELICIOUS Mar25 Jan26       (klesaris robe)ORTIZ JR 125 3.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  HOLIDAY JAZZ Apr29 Mar11       (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 125 3.00 12% 7.50    
10  STELLA MARS Apr16         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 125 6.00    
11  MANDY GREEN Mar12 Feb11 Jan23     (hennig mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00    
12  FREEDOMOFTHEPRESS Apr29 Apr16       (ferraro w)SAEZ LUIS 125 4.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  RED PEPPER GRILL Apr28 Mar27 Mar06 Feb11 Jan23 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 125 4.00    
 
BEL-5   05/14/2022 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHATEAU Mar05         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
  (by FLAT OUT out of DISTINCT SPARKLE by WITH DISTINCTION)
2  DRAFTED Apr09 Feb05       (duggan p)ORTIZ L 124 3.00 ★    
  (by FIELD COMMISSION out of KEEP THE PROFIT by DARN THAT ALARM)
3  REPO ROCKS Apr28 Mar26 Mar05 Feb05   (diprima grego)SILVERA RUBEN 118 3.00 30% 2.40    
  (by TAPITURE out of HAWAIIAN LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
4  ANSWER IN Mar26 Feb19       (falcone robert)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 20% 4.10    
  (by DIALED IN out of D'YA KNOWWHATIMEAN by BROKEN VOW)
5  OFFICIATING Mar27 Mar05 Jan29     (joseph saffie)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00 ★    
  (by BLAME out of COME A CALLIN by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  MR PHIL Apr21 Mar27 Feb27 Feb15 Jan16 (atras rob)ADORNO ABNER 120 6.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of APPEAL TO THE WIN by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 
BEL-6   05/14/2022 5280ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BABY BLYTHE         (mcgaughey clau)ROSARIO JOEL 126 3.00 60% 0.70    
SCR  JOIN THE DOTS Mar18 Jan07       (mcgaughey claude )RIDER TBA 124 3.00 ★    
SCR  COURAGEOUS GIRL Mar27 Feb03 Jan02     (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 126 2.50 11% 8.40    
3  LAY THE GROUNDWORK Feb13 Jan09       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.50 ★    
SCR  MALIBU CURL Apr03         (albertrani thomas)RIDER TBA 124 6.00    
SCR  BELACQUA (IRE)         (motion gra)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00 ★    
SCR  NAKED ON THE BEACH Apr15 Mar18       (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 126 8.00    
7  ANGEL PALM (GB) Apr08         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 124 12.00    
8  MISS BELLA CIAO         (drysdale neil)VELAZQUEZ R 126 6.00    
9  ANGELINKA (FR)         (cox h)ORTIZ JR 126 6.00    
10  CAIRONI         (brocklebank jo)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 7% 14.20    
 
BEL-7   05/14/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEMOGRAPHY Mar27 Feb19       (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 ★    
SCR  SAINT SELBY Mar13         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.00    
2  PRINCE OF PHAROAHS Apr16 Mar19 Jan14     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00    
3  LISTENTOYOURHEART         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00    
SCR  FOOLISH GHOST         (handal raymon)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 12% 7.10    
5  GANDY DANCING Mar31 Mar04 Feb19 Jan27   (pregm)HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  MASKED MARAUDER Apr01 Feb20 Jan02     (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 3.00 37% 1.70    
7  BRONX BOMBER Mar31 Mar19 Jan28 Jan01   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
8  BREW PUB Apr16 Mar20 Feb13 Feb04 Jan14 (arenas marcelo)MENA E 123 20.00    
9  SEVEN LILIES Apr01 Feb20 Jan14     (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.50 18% 4.60    
 
BEL-8   05/14/2022 7260ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($700K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EASTER (FR) Apr15         (motion graha)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00    
  (by EXOSPHERE out of EXCELLENT GIRL by EXCEED AND EXCEL (AUS))
2  GUFO Apr02         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 124 1.40 39% 1.60    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of FLOY by PETIONVILLE)
3  YIBIR (GB)         (appleby cha)BUICK T 124 1.00 32% 2.10    
  (by DUBAWI (IRE) out of RUMH by MONSUN (GER))
4  ABAAN Apr02 Mar05 Jan29     (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 ★    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of ANCHORAGE by TAPIT)
5  HIGHLAND CHIEF (IRE) Apr14         (motion gr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00 ★    
  (by GLENEAGLES out of PINK SYMPHONY by MONTJEU (IRE))
SCR  SO HIGH (GB) Apr15         (cha)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 30.00 ★    
  (by UNKNOWN out of FUGITIVE ANGEL by ALPHABET SOUP)
 
BEL-9   05/14/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SET SAIL Mar27 Feb26       (mandella richa)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 ★    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of FLEET OF GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  ELECTABILITY Apr08 Mar05       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 48% 1.10    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SPINDLE by MARI'S BOOK)
3  COMPLETE AGENDA Apr21 Feb26 Jan29     (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
  (by CURLIN out of CONSTELLATION by BELLAMY ROAD)
4  WE THE PEOPLE Apr02 Mar12 Feb12     (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.00 16% 5.20    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LETCHWORTH by TIZNOW)
5  GOLDEN GLIDER Apr09 Mar12 Feb12 Jan07   (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 11% 8.30    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of GOLDEN SCARF by ORIENTATE)
6  WESTERN RIVER Apr02 Feb26       (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
  (by TAPIT out of MORENA (PER) by PRIVATELY HELD)
7  COOKE CREEK Feb05 Jan01       (o'dwyer jerem)FRANCO MANUEL 120 15.00 ★    
  (by UNCLE MO out of GENRE by BERNARDINI)
8  STATE PLANNING Mar31 Mar05 Feb11 Jan09   (vazquez jua)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of TWO SUSANS by PURGE)
 
BEL-10   05/14/2022 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROUGIR (FR)         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.00 30% 2.40    
  (by TERRITORIES out of SUMMER MOON (FR) by UNKNOWN)
2  LEMISTA (IRE)         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50    
  (by RAVEN'S PASS out of SHORTMILE LADY by ARCANO (IRE))
3  STOLEN HOLIDAY Apr02 Feb23       (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 20% 4.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of SILK AND SCARLET (GB) by SADLER'S WELLS)
4  PLUM ALI Apr16         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 ★    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of SKIPPING (GB) by RAINBOW QUEST)
5  RUNAWAY RUMOUR Mar12         (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00 ★    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of ELUSIVE RUMOUR by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
6  HIGH OPINION Apr16         (dutrow anthony )CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of MORE RESPECT by MORE THAN READY)
7  OUR FLASH DRIVE Mar27         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 17% 4.90    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of DYNAMOTOR by DYNAFORMER)
 
BEL-11   05/14/2022 4620ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPTAINSDAUGHTER Mar27         (cash russell )FRANCO MANUEL 120 15.00    
2  ACT OF CONGRESS Apr14         (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 23% 3.30    
3  MASTEROF THE TUNES Apr14         (lee joseph)ORTIZ L 125 6.00    
4  RIGBY Jan19         (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
5  HIDEOUT         (trites lands)SAEZ LUIS 120 30.00    
6  FINEST WORK         (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 5.00 6% 15.40    
7  DUFRESNE         (trombetta mich)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
8  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN         (abreu jorge)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00    
9  PALACE GOSSIP Apr14         (dutrow anthony )CANCEL ERIC 125 4.50 15% 5.80    
10  THEODORA GRACE Apr16         (albertra)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00    
11  AUTUMN GLORY         (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
12  HIGHWAY QUEEN Apr16 Feb04 Jan01     (klesaris robert)CARMOUCHE K 123 20.00    
SCR  CAUMSETT         (sciacca gary)VELAZQUEZ R 125 15.00    
SCR  WATERVILLE Apr10         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 5.00    
SCR  GALLINA Feb04 Jan02       (bond harold)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 3.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  TELLAPERFECTTALE Apr25 Mar31 Mar04 Feb18 Jan23 (lucas bo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 2.50 11% 8.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.