Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Friday - March 04, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-2   03/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYSTIC REALITY Feb21 Feb04 Jan14     (barraza s)VERGARA P 124 6.00 13% 6.50    
SMOOTH PAPA Feb22 Feb08 Jan13     (jime)DA FAUSTO 124 20.00    
FAMOUS ROCK STAR Feb17 Feb08 Jan13     (silva pa)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
RAMBLIN' MAN Feb14 Jan10       (owens kory)CORBETT W 124 1.20 20% 4.10    
MOONLITE GRAHAM Feb21 Jan18       (wong jonathan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 4.50    
HEY PILGRIM Jan19         (owens kory)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.00 41% 1.50    
 
TUP-3   03/04/2022 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($30K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOE GAME Feb22 Jan31 Jan04     (ortiz sr)OSUNA MARTIN 122 6.00    
FOUNDATION Feb03 Jan06       (perren a)CORBETT W 122 2.00 17% 4.80    
LAST PUNCH Jan19         (owens kory)LINDSAY CHAD 122 8.00    
WHO B DAT Feb04         (gleason m)MAWING A 122 5.00    
ARIZONA SUN Feb04         (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 124 1.80 58% 0.70    
SUPAH SISTA Feb02 Jan20       (simp)DA FAUSTO 120 12.00    
BURNADEBT Jan21 Jan03       (owens kory)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 10.00    
 
TUP-4   03/04/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($11.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELLE VICTOIRE Feb21 Feb10 Jan04     (burney robert)SCRIVER L 124 15.00 7% 12.60    
CHARMINGKINDAGAL Feb10 Jan25 Jan03     (wolf ashlee)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 4.00    
DATQUICKCAT         (van hor)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 124 6.00 8% 11.50    
SCR  FACE OF GRACE Jan24 Jan07       (scot)DA FAUSTO 118 10.00    
CRITICAL CONDITION Jan19         (ross courtney)MAWING A 118 12.00    
BELLA'S GIFT Feb09         (baze robert)YBARRA MICHAEL 118 10.00    
SCR  LITTLE LILY LU         (grissom w)CORBETT W 124 5.00 9% 10.60    
BIG BLUE NOTE Jan06         (woolley l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00    
SNOOZY SUZY Feb21 Jan20 Jan04     (silva juan )VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  LOTSA LENA Feb24 Feb04 Jan07     (moore john)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 2.50 15% 5.70    
 
TUP-5   03/04/2022 4950ft TURF RC0 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($23.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EASY DOES IT Feb02         (gangidino lisa)VERGARA P 124 20.00    
PLUMA Jan14         (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 46% 1.20    
LEMON DROP LADY Feb02 Jan06       (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50    
JEWEL OF DENIAL Feb15         (hedge rick)MAWING A 124 6.00    
LOW DOSE Feb04         (perren a)LINDSAY CHAD 124 5.00    
SLEW SOUTH Jan14         (george cynt)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SEVEN POINTS Feb02 Jan14       (chambers mike)SCRIVER L 124 3.00 11% 7.70    
ADDYDIDIT Feb21 Jan30 Jan08     (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 118 3.50 18% 4.50    
 
TUP-6   03/04/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSED THE BOAT Feb07 Jan19       (person a)CRUZ M 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
EL CHUMELITO Feb18 Feb03 Jan18     (homer jason)MAWING A 122 12.00    
MORE HONOR Feb10 Jan20 Jan04     (tate mary)LOPEZ KARLO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SAYIN GRACE Jan09         (wong jonathan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00    
CAPTAIN RED Feb15 Jan19       (simp)DA FAUSTO 122 8.00    
CZECHMIGHT Feb02 Jan03       (jimenez a)ZUNINO L 122 12.00    
MAGIC MOSCO Feb15 Jan11 Jan01     (valdez-cabral mar)VERGARA P 122 8.00    
PASSED BY PAUL Jan20 Jan04       (hernandez mi)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 12.00    
TOP OF THE GAME Feb14 Feb02 Jan19     (hernandez migu)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.00 37% 1.70    
10  SURPRSINGLYPERFECT Feb18 Jan11       (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.50    
 
TUP-7   03/04/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($27.3K) 3 F PT- 6:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AUTISM PRISM Feb16 Jan10       (wong jonathan)CRUZ M 121 6.00 47% 1.10    
ONEFINEDAY Jan23 Jan10       (metz jeffrey)LOPEZ KARLO 121 15.00    
SCR  SANGRE AZUL Jan23         (cerin vladi)VALENZUELA A 121 4.50 6% 15.50    
I AM YOURS Feb06 Jan14       (wong jonathan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 7% 12.40    
RUNNINGONTHETAFUEL Feb16         (toye joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 8.00 7% 13.80    
DYNAMIC MIMI Jan30 Jan10       (eikleberry kevin)VERGARA P 121 5.00    
WORKIN NINETOFIVE Feb16 Jan31 Jan19     (sepich edward)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 6.00 6% 15.80    
FIRST PROMISE Feb16 Jan28 Jan10     (george cynthia)ZUNINO L 121 6.00    
ROSES FOR SUZZETT         (silv)DA FAUSTO 121 5.00    
 
TUP-8   03/04/2022 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.14K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:37
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THIRTY SECONDS OUT Jan25 Jan05       (ferguson cu)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00    
BOB'S ALL IN Feb16 Jan31 Jan11     (aspr)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 10.00    
EXETER Jan25 Jan10       (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 9% 10.80    
MONUMENTAL SEVEN Jan31         (campo st)FLETCHER D 124 12.00    
FINAL ROSE Feb10 Jan19       (mccartney jac)SCRIVER L 124 10.00    
EL BORRACHO Jan31 Jan07       (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 15.00    
OUR DANDY'S BOY Jan31         (oberholtzer kevin)ZUNINO L 124 12.00    
MAD AT MONEY Feb16 Feb01 Jan19     (gangidino lis)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00    
THETRAILERGUY Feb10 Jan31 Jan11     (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 63% 0.60    
10  ASSETS INCLUDED Feb16         (birdwell te)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.