Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill 3yo Pick 3
Thursday - April 30, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CH3-1   WIN (6/1/2/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/8/9)-(6/1/2/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/8/9)-(6/1/2/8/9)-(6/1/2/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/1/2/8/9)-(12/4/7/9/14) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2/8/9)-(12/4/7/9/14)-(1/6/14/8/13) 125 $1.00 $375 
CH3-2   WIN (12/4/7/9/14) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/4/7/9/14)-(12/4/7/9/14) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/4/7/9/14)-(12/4/7/9/14)-(12/4/7/9/14) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (12/4/7/9/14)-(1/6/14/8/13) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CH3-3   WIN (1/6/14/8/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/14/8/13)-(1/6/14/8/13) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/14/8/13)-(1/6/14/8/13)-(1/6/14/8/13) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CH3-1   04/30/2026 5280ft DIRT RC13 Pat Day Mile Purse ($750K) 3 ALL PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENGLISHMAN Mar19 Sep19       (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 26% 2.90    
  (by GENTLEMEN (ARG) out of CHALAND by HIGHLAND BLADE)
2  TROUBLE CALLING Apr03 Feb14 Jan17 Nov23 Oct19 (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 11% 7.80    
  (by DIALED IN out of INTO TROUBLE by INTO MISCHIEF)
3  WORK Mar14 Feb15 Jan18 Nov30 Oct13 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 118 50.00    
  (by MENIFEE out of PACIFIC CITY by CARSON CITY)
4  SECURED FREEDOM Mar07 Feb07 Dec28 Nov22   (yakteen tim)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SECURELY by UNCLE MO)
5  STOP THE CAR Mar21 Jan17 Nov29 Oct24   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 20.00    
  (by MAXIMUM SECURITY out of PUSSYFOOT by CIANO CAT)
6  CRUDE VELOCITY Apr04 Mar07       (baffert bob)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by BEAU LIAM out of SWEETNSOUR KITTY by LEMON DROP KID)
7  CROWN THE BUCKEYE Feb28 Jan17 Dec20 Oct25 Aug14 (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00    
  (by YAUPON out of FEISTY TOMBOY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
8  CREOLE CHROME Apr04 Feb28 Jan18 Dec13 Nov20 (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 10% 9.30    
  (by VOLATILE out of FUNNY MOON by MALIBU MOON)
9  LOCKSTOCKNPHAROAH Mar14 Feb07 Dec19     (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of LOCKSTEP by NYQUIST)
10  GREAT WHITE Apr04 Feb21 Jan17 Dec12   (ennis john)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00    
  (by SEA SALUTE out of CONDUCTRICE by MISWAKI)
11  ONE MORE FREUD Aug30 Aug01       (hess b)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
  (by TONALIST out of FREUDIAN FINISH by HAYNESFIELD)
12  BAYTOWN DREAMER Mar21 Feb21 Feb06 Jan03 Oct23 (mcentee paul)SHEEHY DANNY 118 50.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of COLERFUL BRIDE by MUNNINGS)
 
CH3-2   04/30/2026 5610ft TURF RC14 American Turf Purse ($1000K) 3 ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STREET BEAST Apr03 Feb21 Jan17 Oct31 Sep07 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of FLOWER PARTY by DUKE OF MARMALADE)
2  LET'S BE FRANK Mar20 Oct31 Oct03 Sep13   (mccarthy mich)FRANCO MANUEL 122 30.00    
  (by TALE OF THE CAT out of RACING QUALITY by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
3  BLINGING IT BACK Mar28 Oct05 Sep10 Aug02 Jul05 (casse mark)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 30.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of IMA THREE BLINGER by TOO MUCH BLING)
4  STARK CONTRAST Mar21 Jan08 Oct31 Oct05 Sep06 (mccarthy micha)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of CATCH THE EYE by QUALITY ROAD)
5  BLACKOUT TIME Mar28 Mar01 Oct04 Aug02 Jun29 (mcpeek g)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BEAUTY PARLOR by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
6  BLACK HORNET Mar21 Feb28 Feb05 Dec20 Nov22 (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 122 20.00    
  (by ESSENTIAL QUALITY out of BRATTATA by MORE THAN READY)
7  ALPYLAND Mar07 Jan31 Jan01 Dec07 Oct12 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 12% 7.70    
  (by VEKOMA out of IL BRIGANTE by KELA)
8  GREENWICH VILLAGE Feb22 Jan25 Jan10 Dec06   (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of HOUTZEN by I AM INVINCIBLE)
9  HONEY DUTCH Apr03 Feb28 Jan01 Nov07 Sep28 (beckman d )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00 11% 8.10    
  (by KNICKS GO out of MS V TIME by TIZNOW)
10  VASY (IRE) Apr03 Feb28 Jan25 Nov30 Oct12 (walsh brendan)VELAZQUEZ R 122 10.00    
  (by SPACE BLUES out of BEAUTIFUL ENDING by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
11  STEEL IMPERIUM Mar21 Feb21 Feb07     (caramori cai)TORRES A 122 30.00    
  (by ESSENTIAL QUALITY out of SUMMER SOLO by ARCH)
12  REMEMBER MAMBA Apr03 Jan22 Oct25     (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 26% 2.80    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of GIZMO by UNCLE MO)
13  THOUSANDSTICKS Feb28 Jan31 Jan11 Dec06 Oct26 (lynch a)ROSARIO JOEL 122 15.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of LOTTIE by ARCH)
14  FINAL SCORE Oct05 Aug28 Aug10 Jul13   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TWO PUNCH out of CITY LADY by CITIDANCER (IRE))
 
CH3-3   04/30/2026 6600ft DIRT RC14 Kentucky Derby Purse ($5000K) 3 ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RENEGADE Mar28 Feb07 Dec06 Oct17 Aug16 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 126 4.00 16% 5.40    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SPICE IS NICE by CURLIN)
2  ALBUS Apr04 Feb27 Nov29 Oct16   (mott riley)FRANCO MANUEL 126 30.00    
  (by STUDENT COUNCIL out of HELAINE'S HONOUR by HONOUR AND GLORY)
3  INTREPIDO Apr04 Feb07 Oct31 Oct04 Aug23 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 126 50.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of OVERLY INDULGENT by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
4  LITMUS TEST Mar28 Mar01 Dec13 Oct31 Oct04 (baffert bob)GARCIA MARTIN 126 50.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of STUDY HARD by MALIBU MOON)
5  RIGHT TO PARTY Apr04 Feb28 Jan10 Dec13   (mcpeek )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 126 30.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of HAVIN' A PARTY by EMCEE)
6  COMMANDMENT Mar28 Feb28 Jan03 Nov01 Oct04 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 126 6.00 15% 5.70    
  (by CHARISMATIC out of RADU COOL by CARNIVALAY)
7  DANON BOURBON         (ikezoe man)NISHIMURA ATSUYA 126 20.00    
  (by MAXFIELD out of WILD RIDGE by TAPIT)
8  SO HAPPY Apr04 Mar07 Jan10 Nov22   (glatt mark)SMITH E 126 15.00 11% 7.80    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SO CUNNING by BLAME)
9  THE PUMA Mar28 Mar07 Feb07 Jan10   (delgado gust)CASTELLANO J 126 10.00    
  (by ESSENTIAL QUALITY out of EVE OF WAR by DECLARATION OF WAR)
10  WONDER DEAN         (takayanagi dai)SAKAI RYUSEI 126 30.00    
  (by DEE MAJESTY out of WONDER SIANG PRAW by WONDER ACUTE)
11  INCREDIBOLT Mar14 Jan31 Oct26 Sep28 Aug22 (mott riley)TORRES A 126 20.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SAPPHIRE SPITFIRE by AWESOME AGAIN)
12  CHIEF WALLABEE Mar28 Feb28 Jan10     (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 8.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of A LA LUCIE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
13  SILENT TACTIC Mar28 Mar01 Feb06 Jan03 Nov02 (casse mar)TORRES A 126 20.00 11% 8.30    
  (by TACITUS out of MAGICAL SIGN by GUN RUNNER)
14  POTENTE Apr04 Mar07 Jan31     (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 126 20.00 14% 6.10    
  (by BLACK MINNALOUSHE out of PRIVATE TREATY by PRIVATE TERMS)
15  EMERGING MARKET Mar21 Feb07       (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 15.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of WILD EMPRESS by EMPIRE MAKER)
16  PAVLOVIAN Mar21 Feb15 Jan17 Dec14 Oct31 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 126 30.00    
  (by PAVEL out of MANDY'S GRACE by BELLAMY ROAD)
17  SIX SPEED         (seemar bhu)HERNANDEZ J 126 50.00    
  (by SARATOGA SIX out of BROWSE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
18  FURTHER ADO Apr04 Mar07 Nov29 Oct10 Aug30 (cox h)VELAZQUEZ R 126 6.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SKY DREAMER by SKY MESA)
19  GOLDEN TEMPO Mar21 Feb14 Jan17 Dec20   (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 126 30.00    
  (by CURLIN out of CARRUMBA by CARR DE NASKRA)
20  FULLEFFORT Mar21 Feb21 Jan17 Oct23 Sep10 (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 20.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of CALLMETHESQUEEZE by AWESOME AGAIN)
21  GREAT WHITE Apr04 Feb21 Jan17 Dec12   (ennis john)ACHARD ALEX 126 50.00    
  (by SEA SALUTE out of CONDUCTRICE by MISWAKI)
22  OCELLI Apr04 Mar14 Feb07 Jan17 Dec20 (beckman wh)RAMOS D 126 50.00    
  (by CONNECT out of ZALIA by SCAT DADDY)
23  ROBUSTA Apr04 Mar07 Feb07 Jan09 Nov22 (o'neill doug)JARAMILLO E 126 50.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of URBANE LEGEND by INTO MISCHIEF)
24  CORONA DE ORO Apr11 Mar07 Jan24 Oct16 Sep12 (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 126 50.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of LEMON DE ORO by LEMON DROP KID)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.