Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Saturday - May 16, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/1)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(6/5/2)-(4/5/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
MTH-2   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(5/7/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
MTH-3   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(5/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(5/7/1/4)-(2/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
MTH-4   WIN (5/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/1/4)-(2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1/4)-(2/4/6)-(7/8/3/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-5   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(7/8/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(7/8/3/5)-(5/3/7/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-6   WIN (7/8/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/3/5)-(7/8/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/3/5)-(7/8/3/5)-(7/8/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/3/5)-(5/3/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/8/3/5)-(5/3/7/1)-(9/8/5/4) 64 $3.00 $192 
MTH-7   WIN (5/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/1)-(5/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/1)-(5/3/7/1)-(5/3/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/7/1)-(9/8/5/4) 16 $5.00 $80.00 
MTH-8   WIN (9/8/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/5/4)-(9/8/5/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/8/5/4)-(9/8/5/6/4)-(9/8/5/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   05/16/2026 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE IN THE HILLS Jul12         (marquez)GONZALEZ LUIS 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MISS TIRAMISU Dec14 Nov16       (duarte j)MOYA F 123 1.50    
3  MAXPOWER Nov29 Oct24 Oct03 Sep07 Aug16 (synnefias pana)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.00    
4  NO DENYING         (avila juan )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 4.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  IMAGINE ERIN Jun07 May31 Feb12 Jan27 Oct15 (bertone jo)VASQUEZ JR 113 8.00    
6  BABY ON BOARD Feb13 Jan04       (breen kell)RIVERA R 119 2.50    
 
MTH-2   05/16/2026 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLUFF THE PILLOW May01 Mar30 Mar18 Jan12 Dec23 (bertone joann)SUTHERLAND C 124 8.00    
2  DOCTOR DOOM Apr14 Mar25 May20 Apr28 Apr01 (bertone jo)VASQUEZ JR 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  BULLET BREEZE May11 Mar18 Mar09 Feb20 Feb11 (caban e)CARRERO V 124 12.00    
4  AGARRAMESIPUEDES Apr20 Mar30 Mar09 Feb11 Jan08 (ramirez si)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 119 4.50    
5  STREET GLIDE May09 Apr15 Apr04 Mar08 Feb04 (avila juan )MARQUEZ CHARLIE 124 1.20 25% 3.00    
6  SKYLANDER Apr03 Mar27 Feb06 Dec27 Nov13 (potts wayne)MARIN SAMUEL 124 1.80 53% 0.90    
 
MTH-3   05/16/2026 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIAMONDINTHESAND Dec18 Oct03 Aug24 Jul11 Jun21 (spina charles)SUTHERLAND C 121 5.00    
2  HIPATIA Oct08 Sep27 Aug22 Aug02 Jul13 (harris holl)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  BEE N DEE Apr05 Mar06 Feb06 Jan11 Dec19 (breen kell)RIVERA R 121 1.60    
4  SEXPECTATIONS Apr29 Apr04 Mar06 Feb20 Feb04 (pompay t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 3.00 57% 0.80    
5  EL MA'ANY May01 Apr12 Mar14 Jan25 Nov26 (dini mike)TORRES JOMAR 117 4.50 10% 9.30    
SCR  KATHLEEN'S DERBY May02 Apr22 Mar15 Feb21 Jan30 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.00    
 
MTH-4   05/16/2026 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAW OF UNCERTAINTY         (cash j)MOYA F 119 15.00 11% 7.70    
2  IT'S THE STONES Apr17 Mar27 Feb20     (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 3.00    
3  FRATELLONE Apr17 Apr03 Mar25     (avila ca)MORALES ANGEL 119 6.00    
4  PRETTY SIXXY May09 Nov26 Nov08 Oct31 Oct04 (grullon riquel)MATOS PRANDY 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  BECK'S DREAMER Apr02 Mar19 Jan23 Sep12 Aug23 (potts wayne)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 3.00 38% 1.60    
6  BOLD STATEMENT May07 Apr19 Oct18 Oct02   (duarte )GONZALEZ LUIS 119 4.00    
7  FINAL JOKE May09 Apr16 Feb17 Jan01   (ramirez si)RIVERA R 119 2.50 26% 2.90    
8  ONE BID Apr18 Apr04 Mar20 Mar07 Feb14 (hills timothy )MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00    
 
MTH-5   05/16/2026 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST Serena's Song Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TOWER TWENTY TWO Apr28 Apr02 Feb12 Feb05 Dec29 (ramirez silvino)NO RIDER 118 20.00    
  (by CONNECT out of TOWER SMASH by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  LOST HORIZON Mar29 Feb14 Jan15 Jul10 Jun06 (brown c)MARIN SAMUEL 120 1.60 40% 1.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of WOW CAT by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
3  RIDING PRETTY Apr18 Mar15 Feb14 Dec26 Aug24 (owens edd)VARGAS A 120 6.00    
  (by JACK MILTON out of HIGH RENAISSANCE by GIROLAMO)
4  WAVELESS (GB) Apr19 Mar06 Feb11 Jan02 Dec04 (pletcher a)CANCEL ERIC 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
  (by THREE VALLEYS out of WEMYSS BAY by SADLER'S WELLS)
5  DOMINO VITALI Feb27 Jan08 Nov28     (delgado jorge)CENTENO E 120 3.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of WEST COAST CHICK by MALIBU MOON)
6  IT'S GOODTOBE JOSE Apr22 Mar27 Mar07 Jan07 Dec24 (crook-de)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SECRET PASSION by ARCHARCHARCH)
7  OURDAYDREAMINGGIRL Apr17 Mar29 Feb06 Dec07 Nov08 (linder lo)RODRIGUEZ R 118 4.50    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of ITSINTHESTARS by ASTROLOGY)
 
MTH-6   05/16/2026 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($62.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNT MY BLESSINGS Sep19 Sep06       (harris holl)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 4.00    
  (by FLORIANO out of BEACH BADGE by MEDALLIST)
2  MO VITA Oct17 Sep13 Aug23 Aug02 Jul11 (milne j)GONZALEZ LUIS 123 5.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of RIGHTFUL TIME by BODEMEISTER)
3  GARDEN GAL Sep13 Aug24 Aug03 Jul11   (milne joan)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.50 16% 5.40    
  (by MO TOWN out of LILAC LILLY by BLUEGRASS CAT)
4  LUCIANA Sep19 Aug24       (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of MARY N' EILEEN by INDY KING)
5  MIDNIGHT MILLIE Oct03 Sep27 Aug24 Aug10 Jul11 (frangella jame)MOYA F 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of PURRFECT CRIME by CAT THIEF)
6  LAST FLAG FLYING Oct01 Sep14 Aug24     (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 119 5.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of HIGH FLYING FLAG by OUR EMBLEM)
7  MY ALENA MARIE         (dini mike)RIVERA R 119 6.00 22% 3.50    
  (by DIALED IN out of HEIR STREAM by WILDCAT HEIR)
8  MIDNITE BUST R OUT         (rabadan )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00 22% 3.50    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of BUSTIN OUT by BUSTIN STONES)
 
MTH-7   05/16/2026 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($52.5K) 3 ALL PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARLIE MAC MAC Apr26 Mar06 Feb11 Jan23 Sep20 (wilson tony)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  MY MAN MONEY Apr09 Mar13 Mar01 Jan08 Dec12 (hills timothy )TORRES JOMAR 117 8.00    
3  NEVER COUNT ME OUT Mar27 Feb26 Jan31     (delgado jorge)CENTENO E 117 4.50 17% 5.00    
4  BONSAI WARRIOR Dec12 Nov21 Oct26 Jul13   (synnefias )RIVERA R 117 5.00    
5  MUSIC ON THE RUN Apr19 Mar29       (avila ca)MORALES ANGEL 120 2.00 33% 2.10    
6  FOLLOW THE FELLOW Nov26 Oct30 Sep28 Aug15 Aug08 (spina charles)SUTHERLAND C 117 4.00    
7  DIXIE ON FIRE Apr03 Feb21 Aug23     (pompay terri)MARIN SAMUEL 117 3.50 15% 5.90    
 
MTH-8   05/16/2026 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEACH BEAMER Mar25 Mar06 Feb05 Dec31 Dec06 (wilson tony)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 6.00    
2  CAPITAINE Mar29 Feb27 Dec01     (lynch cathal)CENTENO E 119 8.00    
3  BLISS STREET Aug22 Aug09 Jul23 Jul05 Jun01 (cash j)MOYA F 121 15.00    
4  WHOLELOTOFTROUBLE         (caban e)CARRERO V 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  WAITIN'ONASUNNYDAY Mar20 Feb20 Dec10 Sep28 Aug30 (martin f)CANCEL ERIC 119 4.50 19% 4.30    
6  BALTIC Apr17 Mar15 Jan14 Dec18 Dec06 (lynch cathal)MARIN SAMUEL 123 4.00 ★    
7  ASTERN COMMAND Mar15 Feb21 Jan04 Oct25 Aug23 (cash j)TORRES JOMAR 121 20.00    
8  MAN WITH THE MONEY Apr02 Feb06 Dec13 Oct24 Sep14 (breen kell)RIVERA R 123 2.00 19% 4.30    
9  GHOSTWRITER Apr25         (o'connell kath)SUTHERLAND C 123 3.50 41% 1.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.