Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - March 04, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-1   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(4/5/1)-(4/7/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(4/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(4/7/6/3)-(3/4/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-3   WIN (4/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/6/3)-(3/4/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6/3)-(3/4/1/5)-(9/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (3/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/1/5)-(9/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/5)-(9/2/3)-(2/6/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-5   WIN (9/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/2/3)-(9/2/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/2/3)-(9/2/4/3)-(9/2/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/2/3)-(2/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/2/3)-(2/6/3/1)-(5/7/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (2/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/3/1)-(2/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/3/1)-(2/6/3/1)-(2/6/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/3/1)-(5/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3/1)-(5/7/4)-(1/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-7   WIN (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/4)-(5/7/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/4)-(5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/7/4)-(1/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-8   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   03/04/2026 3960ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIGGER POINT Feb23 Jan15 Dec22 Nov17 Nov03 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 2.00 42% 1.40    
REINVEST Feb12 Jan05 Dec10 Nov19 Oct07 (johnson g)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 4.00 14% 6.20    
FIVEFIVE SIX CHAMP Feb12 Jan14 Dec20 Dec07 Nov19 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 1.60    
THRU THE VINE Feb12 Feb05 Dec20 Oct28 Aug29 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 126 3.50    
ALTOBELLI Nov26 Nov04 Oct11 Sep20 Sep06 (alvarez nery)ORANTES CESAR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-2   03/04/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDSTRIKER Feb05 Jan15 Jan06 Dec08 Nov05 (morales sau)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
HARTSTEIN Feb19 Feb04 Jan21 Jan06 Dec08 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 124 6.00    
MATTHEW'S PATRIOT Feb09 Jan21 Jan06 Dec03 Nov13 (juarez-mendoz)BRACHO A 124 4.50    
PARTY POOPER Feb09 Jan06 Dec10 Dec03 Nov20 (pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 124 2.00 30% 2.30    
INTO GOLD Feb05 Jan15 Dec20 Dec03 Nov05 (mahan )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 27% 2.70    
CONDEMNATION Feb09 Jan15 Dec24 Dec03 Nov11 (morales saul)TAPARA BRANDON 126 1.60    
 
MVR-3   03/04/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COASTERTOTHEMOON Feb19 Dec02 Oct29 Oct20 Oct10 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 124 3.00    
STORMIN'UNCLEJACK Feb18 Sep25 Sep04 Aug19 Jun12 (faulkner rodn)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00    
PANTHOR Feb18 Jan22 Jan13 Dec19 Nov15 (lopez e)TAPARA BRANDON 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
TONIGHT Feb17 Feb01 Jan12 Dec18 Dec02 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 2.00 41% 1.50    
FRENCH ONION Jan15 Jan04 Oct08 Sep21 Sep02 (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00    
MORETHANREADYEDDIE Jan22 Dec18 Dec02 Nov12 Oct28 (gonzalez ricar)DIAZ I 124 3.50 13% 6.80    
BELLA FUTURE Jan22 Dec18 Oct20 Sep30 Sep16 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.00 14% 6.20    
 
MVR-4   03/04/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR LOOOCH Feb20 Jan12 Dec20 Nov07 Oct29 (poole c)BRACHO A 124 8.00 15% 5.80    
ENVELOPE PLEASE Feb17 Jan14 Nov20 Oct02 Aug20 (radosevich justi)RIVERA R 126 6.00    
NEED TO KNOW BASIS Feb12 Feb01 Dec20 Nov13 Oct27 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 25% 3.10    
KINDERHOOK Feb01 Jan12 Dec22 Dec02 Jun25 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.00 17% 5.00    
GONE IN A FLASH Jan13 Nov07 Oct07 Sep23 Aug06 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
PROSECUTOR Feb01 Dec19 Nov13 Sep30 Sep09 (guciardo rober)DIAZ I 124 4.50    
ELLIOT THE DRAGON Feb05 Dec04 Nov07 Oct10 Apr12 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00    
 
MVR-5   03/04/2026 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUDY ELAINE Jan09 Apr27 Dec23 Oct05 Sep19 (brown h)BRACHO A 124 20.00    
ULTIMA GRACE Jan14 Sep12 Jul17 Jun21 May17 (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 124 2.00 22% 3.50    
HONESTLY Feb16 Nov17 Oct21 Oct12 Sep10 (blankenshi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
CHAPTER AND VERSE Feb05 Jan02 Nov06 Oct13 Sep29 (rone penny)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00    
SHE'S A ONE OF ONE Feb18 Jan29 Jan21 Jan01 Nov02 (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00    
STARCOURT Feb05 Nov17 Oct30 Sep25 Aug23 (romero jose )GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
STYLE IN TIME Feb16 Feb05 Jan02 Dec16 Dec02 (hi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
SCR  THUNDER IN PARIS Feb06 Jan21 Jan09 Nov16 Jul26 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 8.00    
HOLIDAY LIGHTS Oct07 Apr16 Mar05 Jan25 Jan07 (morales sau)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 124 3.50 53% 0.90    
 
MVR-6   03/04/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAY MAKER Feb09 Jan14 Jan06 Jul24 Jul12 (langle)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
SPECIAL BEACH Dec09 Oct27 Oct15 Oct01 Sep10 (mahan josep)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 126 4.00 29% 2.40    
DATTTSAFANCYFOX Feb20 Feb01 Dec23 Dec09 Nov10 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 126 6.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  GENERAL GINNY Feb16 Jan14 Dec11 Nov10 Oct07 (smith larry)DIAZ I 126 2.50    
D' KITTEN Feb16 Feb02 Dec23 Nov10 Oct22 (juarez-m)FERNANDEZ R 126 2.00    
HERE KITTY KITTY Feb20 Feb09 Jan15 Dec04 Aug12 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 10.00 29% 2.50    
SABELLE Feb16 Dec09 Nov10 Sep10 Aug28 (castro raque)TERRAZA GERMAN 126 15.00    
TAKING CHARGE DESI Feb16 Feb02 Jan14 Dec23 Dec11 (szczepanski )TAPARA BRANDON 126 8.00    
 
MVR-7   03/04/2026 5490ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHIELDMEWITHPRAYER Feb19 Jan02 Dec17 Dec04 Nov07 (morales saul)TAPARA BRANDON 126 4.00    
TIZ INDEPENDENCE Feb19 Feb02 Dec11 Nov12 Oct29 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
LATE NITE LIZZIE Feb19 Feb03 Jan02 Dec16 Nov04 (juarez-mendoz)BRACHO A 124 20.00    
GRACIE DANCE Feb19 Jan14 Dec22 Dec11 Nov04 (skerrett jef)KEISER CHELSEY 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
DREAMING OF AUDREY Feb19 Jan14 Dec22 Nov04 Oct20 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 49% 1.00    
GOSHEN Feb18 Jan14 Jan06 Dec27 Dec11 (rivera nesto)HALDAR J 126 3.00    
ABSOLUTE MIRACLE Feb19 Jan06 Nov17 Oct23 Sep24 (skerrett)SKERRETT JEFFERSON 119 2.00 23% 3.40    
 
MVR-8   03/04/2026 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONIRICO Dec16         (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 124 1.20 57% 0.80    
MY TROOPER Dec17 Nov07 Sep20 Aug22   (smith larry)DIAZ I 116 12.00 9% 9.70    
MACHICO MADEIRA Feb01 Dec09 Oct23 Sep24 Aug05 (rone penny)RIVERA R 116 5.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  GUNNER GLORY Aug14 Aug05       (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 116 3.00    
SCR  LITTLE SHANCE Jan02 May29 Apr22 Mar30 Feb09 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 8.00    
DR SPIRITO Feb09 Dec08 Nov20     (fadlovich megan)BOWEN ROCCO 118 6.00    
HE'S MY BOY Feb12 Jan02 Dec16 Dec02 Nov13 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.