Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - February 21, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (1/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/5/3)-(4/1/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5/3)-(4/1/3/8)-(4/7/6/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-2   WIN (4/1/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/8)-(4/1/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/3/8)-(4/1/3/8)-(4/1/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/3/8)-(4/7/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3/8)-(4/7/6/2)-(9/8/6/1/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-3   WIN (4/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/2)-(4/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/2)-(4/7/6/2)-(4/7/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/6/2)-(9/8/6/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6/2)-(9/8/6/1/5)-(1/8/5/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-4   WIN (9/8/6/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/6/1/5)-(9/8/6/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/6/1/5)-(9/8/6/1/5)-(9/8/6/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/8/6/1/5)-(1/8/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/8/6/1/5)-(1/8/5/2)-(7/1/3/6/10) 100 $1.00 $100 
TAM-5   WIN (1/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/5/2)-(1/8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/5/2)-(1/8/5/2)-(1/8/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/5/2)-(7/1/3/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/8/5/2)-(7/1/3/6/10)-(6/2/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-6   WIN (7/1/3/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/3/6/10)-(7/1/3/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/3/6/10)-(7/1/3/6/10)-(7/1/3/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/3/6/10)-(6/2/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3/6/10)-(6/2/4)-(5/7/10/8/3) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-7   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4/9/5)-(6/2/4/9/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(5/7/10/8/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(5/7/10/8/3)-(1/2/7/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-8   WIN (5/7/10/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/10/8/3)-(5/7/10/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/10/8/3)-(5/7/10/8/3)-(5/7/10/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/7/10/8/3)-(1/2/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/7/10/8/3)-(1/2/7/3)-(10/12/2/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-9   WIN (1/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/7/3)-(10/12/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-10   WIN (10/12/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/12/2/3)-(10/12/2/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/12/2/3)-(10/12/2/9/3)-(10/12/2/9/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   02/21/2026 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED ELEANOR Feb08 Jan28 Dec26 Nov26 Oct06 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
2  STAR OF SATURN Feb12 Jan28 Jan16 Jan07 Dec20 (mendieta)RODRIGUEZ O 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
3  WOODS HOLE Feb08 Jan02 Dec05 Oct01 Aug15 (dimmett james)HESS SARA 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  CALENDULA Oct15 Jul09 Jun18 May19 Apr29 (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 6.00    
5  LADYS CHANT Jul03 Jun17 May04 Apr16 Mar16 (bowersock mari)CASTANON L 122 5.00 16% 5.20    
6  SMOOTH CLARET Feb12 Jan29 Jan08 Dec19 Nov29 (simone michael)CAMACHO SAMY 122 1.60    
7  COMMANDERS PALACE Jan30 Jan14 Jan04 May22 Apr04 (alessi james)CASIQUE UBARDO 122 30.00    
 
TAM-2   02/21/2026 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3 F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDY'S AFFAIR         (dini mik)RODRIGUEZ O 119 5.00 10% 9.50    
2  HURRICANE SEASON Feb06         (ellebracht )QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 30.00    
3  LOVE OF J         (morzan ja)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 15.00 9% 9.70    
4  VALI VALI VAL Feb08         (wilson tony)HO WESLEY 119 1.00 60% 0.70    
5  KATHLEEN'S DERBY Jan30 Jan02 Nov23 Oct03   (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 119 3.50    
6  THE BEASTER BUNNY Jan18 Nov23       (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 119 5.00    
7  BELLA COCO Jan30 Dec24 Dec06 Oct18   (morales gui)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 15.00    
8  MOR MISS MOJO Feb11 Jan16 Dec06     (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-3   02/21/2026 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DERBY EFFORT Jan31 Dec17 Jul11 Jun19 May31 (smith robert )GONZALEZ ALEX 119 30.00    
2  I HEARD SOMETHINGS Feb08 Jan21 Dec13 Nov07 Oct17 (ferraro a)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  FUTURE FORTUNE Feb08 Jan24 Nov28 Sep05 Aug22 (dobber w)HESS SARA 119 30.00    
4  LIFE ADVICE Feb04 Jan28 Dec13 Aug28 Aug01 (arriagada ju)GONZALEZ CESAR 112 3.00 61% 0.60    
5  SPUN TO PURFECTION Feb08 Jan24 Dec27 Nov29 Oct19 (bennett gera)BATISTA A 119 6.00    
6  HIGH HEARTS Feb06 Jan24 Jan02 Dec17 Nov22 (seale chr)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
7  ANNA JEAN Feb08 Jan24 Jan02 Dec17 Nov28 (gardea abraha)MORALES ANGEL 119 2.00 12% 7.00    
8  PRINCESS NORMA Feb08 Jan02 Nov22 Sep26 Sep07 (o'connell ka)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 2.50    
 
TAM-4   02/21/2026 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M HUNGOVER Jan23 Jan03 Dec10 Oct19 Sep25 (campbell jo)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  NEW CENTSATION Jan23 Jan04 Dec10 Nov26 Oct06 (avila juan)MEJIAS A 115 15.00    
3  FREE CHARGING Jan28 Aug09 May24 Apr11 Mar20 (curto beverly)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 15.00    
4  QUEEN DIANA Feb01 Dec27 Nov22 Oct19 Sep13 (lusk r)GIL CIPRIANO 122 15.00    
5  WINNING SHOT Jan23 Nov29 Oct11 Sep27 Sep06 (ashmore colee)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SARAS SHINING STAR Jan03 Oct06 Sep25 Sep10   (duffy se)MARTINEZ A 122 3.00 10% 9.10    
7  SUNNY MONDAY Dec27 Dec10 Nov26 May03 Apr25 (drake robe)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 30.00    
8  FORGET TOMORROW Jan16 Dec19 Dec10 Oct16 Oct01 (sillaman richar)CENTENO E 122 1.80 28% 2.60    
9  MIGHTY HEARTLESS Jan23 Oct21       (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 3.00 36% 1.70    
 
TAM-5   02/21/2026 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($28.5K) 3 ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE LAST BULLET Feb05 Jan09 Nov02 Sep28 Jul13 (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.00 40% 1.50    
2  MR IN PERSONAL Nov02 Oct16 Sep17     (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  DIXIE ON FIRE Aug23         (pompay terri)LEON SONNY 119 3.50    
4  ROYAL MERIT         (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.00    
5  EL PACO         (bowersoc)GALLARDO A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  GIFT FROM HEAVEN Jan17         (rarick lynn)HO WESLEY 119 20.00    
7  CHING CHING Feb11 Jan21 Aug17 Aug03 Jul06 (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 30.00    
8  PEPPAPETE Jan31         (arnett g)GIL CIPRIANO 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
TAM-6   02/21/2026 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($28.5K) 3 ALL PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEGACLES Feb04 Jan09 Jun29     (amaya gu)RODRIGUEZ O 119 2.50 11% 8.50    
2  MY REMBRANDT Dec16 Nov18       (bi)DA FAUSTO 119 20.00    
3  TRANQUIL TUNDRA         (smith craig )GONZALEZ CESAR 112 20.00 7% 12.80    
4  PARTY BOY Feb04 Jan18       (mendieta )MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 15.00    
5  IT'S THE MUSCLEMAN Jan31 Sep11 Aug31 Aug15   (mazza joseph )GONZALEZ ALEX 119 30.00    
6  FESTIVITIES         (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 10.00 7% 12.80    
7  RAGS TO LACE Feb04 Aug31       (lerman s)CENTENO E 119 3.00 35% 1.90    
8  THIRSTED Feb04 Dec12 Nov21 Oct11 Sep13 (rodriguez dari)GIL CIPRIANO 119 4.50    
9  LAW ENFORCER         (d'angelo jos)MENESES MARCOS 119 6.00    
10  GIANT'S TRIUMPH         (yanez reynal)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 20.00 6% 16.90    
11  HOTTER THAN DEM Jan22 Dec19 Aug23 Jun29 May23 (d'angelo jose )MARIN SAMUEL 119 10.00    
12  JESS SO FLATTERIN Feb07 Dec31       (torres r)TORRES R 119 20.00    
 
TAM-7   02/21/2026 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARI Feb05 Jan21 Jan07 Dec24 Jul03 (ferraro m )MEJIAS A 116 20.00    
2  LE GRIFFON Feb05 Jan03 Dec17 May11 Apr16 (avila c)BATISTA A 123 3.50 8% 11.60    
SCR  FEELTHEBEAT Jan30 Jan02 Dec24 Dec12 Sep20 (quinones raul)COTTO L 123 10.00    
4  AWESOME MOVE Jan16 Dec31 Sep05 Aug24 Aug09 (birdwell ten)MENESES MARCOS 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  EVERDOIT Feb05 Jan14 Dec27 Dec19 Oct21 (granitz anthon)CASTANON L 123 12.00 ★    
6  ROYAL LUCK (CHI) Feb07 Jan18 Dec27 Nov29 Oct14 (arriagad)GALLARDO A 123 0.80 71% 0.40    
7  HAY MOON Jan30 Jan11 Dec24 Dec03 Oct30 (escobar martin)LARA VICTOR 113 30.00    
8  HOLIDAY FANTASY Jan21 Jan03 Dec17 Nov22 Oct30 (padilla tim)GONZALEZ CESAR 116 15.00    
9  COOL RAGS Feb07 Jan23 Nov28 Aug01 Jun26 (gonzalez)RODRIGUEZ O 123 12.00 ★    
10  BOLD LOOKER Feb05 Jan21 Dec24 Dec07 Oct04 (torres pab)FERNANDEZ MARVIN 113 30.00    
 
TAM-8   02/21/2026 5940ft TURF RC8 FIRM Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($29.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOE FROM KIEV Feb07 Jan30 Jan09 Dec12 Aug22 (curto beverly)GONZALEZ ALEX 111 30.00    
2  SIX FORTYFIVE Jan30 Jan07 Dec13 Nov09 Oct11 (dini mike)GIL CIPRIANO 119 4.50    
3  STANDPOINT Jan24 Dec31 Nov28 Oct28 Oct04 (vargas j)RODRIGUEZ O 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  READY TO FLY Dec17 Oct03 Sep14 Aug02 Jul19 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.00    
5  EXTRASEXYBIGDADDEE Jan17 Jan04 Oct20 Sep30 Sep19 (davis sc)GALLARDO A 119 3.50 27% 2.60    
SCR  PAXTON Feb06 Jan24 Jan09 Dec12 Nov22 (miller rory )MENESES MARCOS 114 30.00    
7  POST COMMAND Jan17 Dec20 Nov28 Oct10 Sep14 (rodriguez darien)LEON SONNY 117 4.50 27% 2.70    
8  SOULMATE Feb07 Jan17 Dec27 Nov28 Nov07 (wright mich)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 116 12.00 6% 16.10    
9  STITZY Feb13 Oct01 Sep18 Aug14 Jul04 (alessi james)CASIQUE UBARDO 112 30.00    
10  TWO'S A CROWD Feb13 Jan24 Dec27 Nov07 Sep13 (ryan s)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00 12% 7.10    
 
TAM-9   02/21/2026 5400ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($55.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWAGGISH Jan31 Jan03 Nov28 Nov15 Oct19 (gallegos jose )MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.00 38% 1.60    
2  CUPID'S DUDE Feb01 Jan18 Dec27 Dec17 Nov28 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 123 4.00 25% 2.90    
3  FORTYSIXCOUNTS Sep17 Aug17 May02 Mar30 Mar02 (o'connell kath)EVANS CECILY 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  TWELVE TREASURES Feb05 Jan16 Dec24 Dec05 Oct04 (richards )RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 112 5.00    
5  VIA DELLA SPIGA Jan25 Dec26 Oct20 Sep13 Jul24 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 119 20.00    
SCR  POWER ATTACK Jan18 Jan04 Dec17 Nov19 Oct22 (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 123 3.50    
7  URANIUM Feb01 Jan18 Jan03 Dec10 Nov28 (hernandez enr)GONZALEZ ALEX 119 5.00 10% 9.30    
8  PAYNTER'S PRODIGY Feb04 Jan21 Jan03 Dec17 Oct29 (hernandez )MEJIAS A 112 8.00    
 
TAM-10   02/21/2026 5940ft TURF RC8 FIRM Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($29.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITS SATISFACTUAL Feb12 Jan10 Dec27 Dec13 Nov19 (spanabel ke)SPANABEL SKYLER 115 30.00    
2  MRS. KATZ Jan10 Jan02 Dec05 Aug17 Aug01 (ryan s)CASTANON L 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  ATMIDNIGHT Feb08 Jan17 Dec20 Nov02 Oct09 (orseno j)RODRIGUEZ O 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  LADY EMBRACE Jan10 Oct15 Sep19 Jul27 Jun27 (ryan s)GONZALEZ CESAR 116 20.00    
5  TELL ME SOME LIES Jan17 Dec12 Nov15 Sep20 Sep06 (orseno f)LEON SONNY 117 6.00    
6  TIC TIC TIC BOOM Feb08 Jan23 Aug08 Jul10 Jun11 (mcgoey monica)MORALES ANGEL 116 20.00    
7  BOTTLE ROCKET (FR) Feb08 Jan16 Dec27 Oct24 Sep28 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 116 8.00    
SCR  CLASSICALS FINALE Feb08 Jan21 Dec26 Nov28 Nov19 (sillaman ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 117 20.00    
9  PERKY Feb12 Jan10 Nov30 Apr11 Mar15 (sillaman richa)MARIN SAMUEL 117 4.00 ★    
10  CRAFTY COLLECTOR Feb06 Dec27 Oct31 Sep20 Aug31 (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
11  CLOCKSTRIKESTWELVE Jan17 Dec20 Oct06 Sep19 Jul19 (alessi james)CASIQUE UBARDO 114 30.00    
12  KINDRED HEARTS Jan17 Nov28 Oct18 Sep10 Jul23 (sacco gregory )GIL CIPRIANO 120 3.50 35% 1.90    
13  MOONSCAPE Feb08 Jan16 Sep04 Aug13 Jul16 (baez n)COTTO L 111 30.00    
SCR  BRAVO KITTEN Jan23 Dec19 Nov29 Aug31 Jul06 (rodrigue)RODRIGUEZ O 114 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.