Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Aqueduct
Wednesday - February 11, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

AQU-1   WIN (1/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/6)-(1/4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/6)-(1/4/3/6)-(1/4/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/3/6)-(3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3/6)-(3/1/2)-(1/4/3/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-2   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/4/2)-(3/1/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(1/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(1/4/3/5)-(1/6/2/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-3   WIN (1/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/5)-(1/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/5)-(1/4/3/5)-(1/4/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/3/5)-(1/6/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3/5)-(1/6/2/5)-(1/4/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-4   WIN (1/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/5)-(1/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/5)-(1/6/2/5)-(1/6/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/2/5)-(1/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2/5)-(1/4/9)-(8/10/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-5   WIN (1/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/9)-(1/4/9/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/9)-(1/4/9/5/3)-(1/4/9/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/4/9)-(8/10/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/9)-(8/10/6/3)-(3/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
AQU-6   WIN (8/10/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/10/6/3)-(8/10/6/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/10/6/3)-(8/10/6/3/1)-(8/10/6/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/10/6/3)-(3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/10/6/3)-(3/4/6)-(3/8/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-7   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/1/6)-(3/4/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(3/8/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(3/8/4/5)-(8/11/13/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
AQU-8   WIN (3/8/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/4/5)-(3/8/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/4/5)-(3/8/4/5)-(3/8/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/4/5)-(8/11/13/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
AQU-9   WIN (8/11/13/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/11/13/2)-(8/11/13/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/11/13/2)-(8/11/13/2/6)-(8/11/13/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
AQU-1   02/11/2026 3960ft DIRT RC6 Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($62K) 4UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORGIVING SPIRIT Nov28 Oct18 Oct02 Aug09 Jul06 (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 50% 1.00    
TUSKEGEE AIRMEN Dec09 Oct27 Sep21 Aug19 Jul11 (summers cha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.50    
BRESLAU Dec04 Oct18 Aug13 Jun26 May01 (miceli michael)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 7% 14.40    
TWENTY FOUR MAMBA Nov22 Oct18 Sep20 Aug28 Jul12 (giangiul)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 6.00 11% 8.50    
BIG HAT WILLIE Jan09 Dec05 Nov22 Oct08 May18 (abreu fern)RIVERA R 123 5.00    
TRUST ISSUES Dec05 Nov15 Oct10 Sep13 Aug17 (arriaga anton)SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
RAVIN'S RANSOM Nov22 Oct05 Aug21 Aug12 Jul19 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.00    
 
AQU-2   02/11/2026 5280ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($34K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROGUE JUSTICE Jan02 Dec06 May01 Apr04 Feb16 (handal )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50 21% 3.70    
TIZALLMINE Jan04 Dec05 Nov09 Sep20 Aug23 (metiv)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
YOLO Jun21 May18 Jan31 Jan03 Nov30 (morey william)SILVERA RUBEN 122 2.00 58% 0.70    
KAT STORMY Dec06 Nov09 Oct24 Oct09   (mott i)CIVACI SAHIN 122 4.00    
PARAIBA BLUE Dec05 Oct05 Sep11 Jul24 Jun21 (pregman john)HARKIE K 122 20.00    
JALIMAR Oct25 Jun04       (synnefia)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00    
A. P. SLINGSHOT Jan04 Dec06 Nov09 Oct25 Sep25 (levine bruce)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00    
KATERINA RISTOVA Jan02 Dec05 Nov13 Oct03 Aug29 (chichakly a)KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 122 30.00    
 
AQU-3   02/11/2026 4620ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($83K) 3 ALL PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEDGE RATIO Nov22 Oct17 Aug07     (brown chad )RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 1.40 37% 1.70    
TARTABULL Dec06 Oct25 Aug30 Jul05   (summers chad)PEREZ XAVIER 123 10.00    
BLUE FORTY TWO Nov21 Oct26 Sep27 Aug14 Jun19 (sells r)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 121 12.00 13% 6.90    
IGNITER Dec06 Sep27 Aug09     (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.00 21% 3.80    
HONG KONG PHOOEY Jan22 Oct09 Aug30     (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00 7% 13.90    
CHUMMERS Dec06 Nov14 Oct11 Aug08 Jul06 (handal raymond)LEZCANO JOSE 123 30.00    
RAGING SEA CAPTAIN Dec07 Nov23 Oct23     (rodrigue)SANTANA JR 121 20.00    
 
AQU-4   02/11/2026 5280ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($79K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAGRID'S FLAME Jan14 Dec21 Nov30 Nov14 Apr07 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.50 37% 1.70    
TALL PAUL Dec10 Aug24 Nov10 Oct05 Sep14 (terrano)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 121 6.00 11% 8.20    
WILLINTORISKITALL Jan01 Dec04 Oct11 Sep01 Aug03 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00    
SHADOW DRAGON Dec27 Nov12 Sep27 Jul31 Jul04 (morley t)SANTANA JR 121 2.50    
CUT THE CORD Jan01 Dec04 Nov12 Oct13 Sep13 (abreu ferna)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 8.00 8% 11.10    
THREE B'S Jan17 Dec07 Nov15 Nov01 Oct10 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 21% 3.80    
SHARED SUCCESS Jan10 Nov12 Oct11 Aug16 Jul11 (begg ben)CIVACI SAHIN 121 8.00    
ROCK THE WEEKEND Dec27 Aug31 Aug16 Jul11 Jun04 (shivmangal )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 15.00    
 
AQU-5   02/11/2026 4290ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($42K) 3 ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANYWAY         (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
HOITY MORONI Jan09 Nov20 Oct11 Sep09 Aug11 (ronen assaf)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 15.00    
MACH SCHNELL Jan02 Nov22       (terrano)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 3.50    
BROKEN RECORD Nov24 Nov03 Oct20     (barrow paul)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 12.00 32% 2.10    
B PROVOCATEUR Nov08 Sep21       (rodrigue)SANTANA JR 122 4.50    
PILOT KNOB         (brown bruc)RIVERA R 122 12.00    
TWISTED BANKER Nov14 Oct17       (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00    
TAMPA STORM Jan02 Dec07 Nov14     (englehart chri)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00    
THE LAST DELIVERY Nov22 Oct20 Sep22     (d'alessandro ralph)GOMEZ O 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  CHARLIE CHARMER         (rodriguez gus)SILVERA RUBEN 122 12.00    
 
AQU-6   02/11/2026 5280ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($20K) Purse ($46K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARKET MAVEN Dec28 Nov25 Oct22 Sep19 Sep03 (summers chad)CARMOUCHE K 123 5.00    
SCR  SHARP SPARK Dec27 Oct11 Aug15 Jun01 Apr06 (kantarmaci )KOCAKAYA GOKHAN 121 15.00    
AGGREGATION Jan16 Dec28 Nov12 Oct11 Sep12 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SUERTE Dec27 Nov13 Oct05 Aug22 Jul23 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00    
HOURS IN A DAY Sep27 Aug27 Aug09 Nov30 Oct25 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 10.00    
JACKSON HEIGHTS Jan10 Dec27 Nov22 Nov07 Oct25 (rice linda)CIVACI SAHIN 121 4.50 6% 16.70    
BARNSTORMING Jul17 Jun28 May25 May17 Nov09 (brown bruc)RIVERA R 121 15.00    
FRIZZANTE Dec04 Nov07 Oct24 Oct09 Sep13 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 45% 1.20    
LOTSA TROUBLE Jan18 Dec28 May17 Mar01 Jan16 (atras ro)SANTANA JR 123 5.00    
10  SHIPSATIONAL Dec28 Nov29 Oct11 Sep11 Jul05 (rodriguez g)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 6.00 19% 4.40    
 
AQU-7   02/11/2026 4290ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMPLEX CHARLIE Jan04 Nov22       (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of CHEYENNE AUTUMN by FOUR SEASONS (GB))
IRISH CRAIC         (chatterpaul )HARKIE K 122 50.00    
  (by FROSTED out of LEGENDARY STACEY by INCLUDE)
FELONIOUS Jan10 Nov23 Oct16     (pletcher)SANTANA JR 122 2.50 56% 0.80    
  (by CHARLATAN out of CRIMINAL MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
PRETTY BOY MIAH Jan01         (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 19% 4.20    
  (by BEAU LIAM out of TRYINGTOLOOKPRETTY by MINESHAFT)
INTO THE LIGHT Aug15         (dutrow rich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 10.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BY THE LIGHT by MALIBU MOON)
MARBLE HALL Nov22         (mott i)CIVACI SAHIN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CHARLATAN out of FOREST GAMBLE by FOREST WILDCAT)
SCR  CRUDE INTENTIONS Jan04         (levine bruce)SILVERA RUBEN 122 15.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of HEAVENLY GRACE by TAPIT)
EASY DECISION         (green ameli)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00    
  (by CHARLATAN out of ALL LACED UP by BERNARDINI)
LORD KING Dec31         (jones e)GOMEZ O 122 50.00    
  (by LORD CARSON out of LARRYS DEB by BIG SPRUCE)
 
AQU-8   02/11/2026 5280ft DIRT RC3 Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($83K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANZIT Jan02 Nov20 Sep28 Aug14 Jun15 (pletcher)SANTANA JR 123 8.00    
MURSAL Dec28 Nov28 Oct18 Sep21 Aug06 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00    
WAVELESS (GB) Jan02 Dec04       (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.00 55% 0.80    
PRACTICAL LOV Jan02 Dec06 Nov13 Oct16 Sep21 (mott i)CIVACI SAHIN 121 5.00 7% 13.10    
SAILAWAY Dec26 Nov21 Oct16 Sep25 Jul31 (rodriguez gus)SILVERA RUBEN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
WALK WITH ME Dec13 Nov20 Oct13 Sep28 Sep01 (duggan p)CANCEL ERIC 121 12.00    
SOUNDBITE Oct03 Sep01 Jul31 Apr03 Feb27 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.00    
KHALI MAGIC Jan22 Nov22 Oct25 Sep21 Aug30 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 3.50 11% 8.30    
 
AQU-9   02/11/2026 4620ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REIGN IT IN Jan01 Nov12 Oct16 Sep26   (baker charlto)SILVERA RUBEN 122 12.00    
SOLO STREET Jan09         (duggan d)SANTANA JR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
RICHIES LOVE Nov21         (micel)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 15.00    
SCR  WHISKEY RUNNER Jan09 Dec07 Nov21     (brown bruce)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 12.00    
SCR  TONY HOOKS         (sacco gregory )LEZCANO JOSE 122 15.00    
INTROUBLEAGAIN Jan01 Dec05 Nov12 Oct04   (green amelia )FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00    
THE FRIDGE Jan09         (dutrow richard)CIVACI SAHIN 122 15.00    
KID RICH Dec12 Nov14 Oct11     (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 5.00 30% 2.30    
ALWAYS PACKEN Jan01         (levine bru)RIVERA R 122 12.00    
10  TRANQUIL SEA Jan01 Dec12 Nov08     (englehart j)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 15.00    
11  TINSELTOWN Jan09 Dec10       (atras r)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 3.50 24% 3.10    
12  MONEYBAGS MILTON Dec11 Nov14 Aug01     (ryerson jam)RIVERA A 115 30.00    
13  FLINT STEEL         (rice linda)CANCEL ERIC 122 12.00 22% 3.50    
14  WINSTON D Dec12 Nov21 Oct24     (giddings)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.