Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - January 05, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (4/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/7)-(4/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/7)-(4/3/5/7)-(4/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/5/7)-(2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5/7)-(2/3/6)-(1/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(1/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(1/4/6)-(6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-3   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(6/1)-(4/5/8/9/6) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
MVR-4   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/1)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/1)-(4/5/8/9/6) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(4/5/8/9/6)-(3/4/5/2) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
MVR-5   WIN (4/5/8/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/8/9/6)-(4/5/8/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/8/9/6)-(4/5/8/9/6)-(4/5/8/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/8/9/6)-(3/4/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/5/8/9/6)-(3/4/5/2)-(9/7/4/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-6   WIN (3/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2)-(3/4/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/5/2)-(9/7/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5/2)-(9/7/4/3)-(3/5/7/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-7   WIN (9/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/4/3)-(9/7/5/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/7/4/3)-(9/7/5/4/3)-(9/7/5/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/7/4/3)-(3/5/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/7/4/3)-(3/5/7/2)-(6/7/8/1/10) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-8   WIN (3/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/7/2)-(3/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/7/2)-(3/5/7/2)-(3/5/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/7/2)-(6/7/8/1/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/5/7/2)-(6/7/8/1/10)-(2/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-9   WIN (6/7/8/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/8/1/10)-(6/7/8/1/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/8/1/10)-(6/7/8/1/10)-(6/7/8/1/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/7/8/1/10)-(2/8/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
MVR-10   WIN (2/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/1)-(2/8/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/8/1)-(2/8/1/4)-(2/8/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   01/05/2026 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOTTOMAKEITHAPPEN Dec10 Nov20 Oct30 Sep18 Aug06 (johnson ga)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 119 6.00    
2  RUMBLE STRIP RON Dec10 Nov20 Oct09 Sep18 Aug28 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.50    
3  WATCHOUTFORWEAVER Dec08 Oct21 Aug12 Jul14 Jun24 (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
4  OAKS HONEY Dec08 Nov20 Oct30 Sep30 Sep09 (poole m)BRACHO A 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
5  MUCHO PRIMO Dec10 Nov20 Oct30 Oct09 Sep23 (urieta jo)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 8.00 8% 12.00    
6  ORVILLE B Dec18 Dec03 Oct28 Aug27 Aug11 (morale)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00    
7  CARSON N SPENCE Dec03 Oct28 Oct10 Sep22 Aug07 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-2   01/05/2026 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STATE OF GRACE Dec22 Dec09 Nov10 Oct28 Oct10 (gonzalez do)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 124 15.00    
2  ANGEL I'M NOT Dec22 Dec08 Oct27 Oct08 Sep17 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 1.60 43% 1.30    
3  MOBIL MEMORY Dec22 Oct27 Oct08 Sep16 Aug28 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
4  SHES A STORM Dec22 Oct27 Aug05 Jun11 May22 (radosev)RADOSEVICH J 119 3.00    
5  ROSETTA Dec22 Dec08 Oct27 Oct10 Sep17 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
6  COUSIN MINNIE Dec08 Nov12 Aug22 Jun27 Jun14 (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 10.00 7% 13.50    
 
MVR-3   01/05/2026 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OVID Dec03 Nov18 Oct09 Jun26 Jun07 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 1.60 63% 0.60    
2  MAN'S CHOICE Dec11 Nov25 Oct25 Oct03 Sep22 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00    
3  TEMPERED DREAM Dec16 Nov20 Oct28 Sep22 Aug28 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 124 2.00    
4  BLUE NOMORE Dec16 Oct13 Sep22 Sep03 Aug14 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 124 3.00 12% 7.30    
5  C V DYNAMIC Dec03 Oct28 Oct21 Oct06 Sep10 (gonzalez agus)BRACHO A 124 15.00    
6  PAINT THE TOWN Dec18 Dec03 Oct28 Oct13 Sep11 (bailey ricard)SIMPSON JASON 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-4   01/05/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHIVAREE (GB) Dec18 Nov26 Nov05 Oct23 Oct13 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 8.00 21% 3.90    
2  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO Dec11 Nov06 Oct20 Oct07 Sep28 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 4.00    
3  POPPY'S PRIDE Dec18 Dec01 Nov17 Nov03 Oct20 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 ★    
4  ERNIE'S MARTINI Dec23 Nov03 Oct07 Sep02 Aug11 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 5.00    
5  ME AND CHILI Dec23 Nov13 Oct28 Oct15 Sep22 (juarez-mendoza r)PARKER L 124 3.00    
6  GAME BOY BENNY Dec01 Nov10 Oct12 Sep09 Aug10 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
 
MVR-5   01/05/2026 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT YET CHARLIE Dec24 Dec08 Nov06 Oct08 Sep08 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 126 15.00    
2  HAD RIGHT Dec08 Jul09 May29 May17 May06 (huffman candac)DIAZ I 126 20.00    
3  CREDIT RIVER Dec24 Dec09 Oct27 Jun18 May29 (castro ra)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 12.00    
4  GHOST BIKE Nov18 Mar12 Feb26 Jan03 Dec04 (crawford g)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 121 6.00 35% 1.90    
5  PARKER Dec03 Nov13 Nov04 Sep30 Sep22 (gonzalez agus)BRACHO A 126 3.50 25% 3.10    
6  GOLD BUCKLE Nov13 Sep29 Jun15 May06 Apr10 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  DREWPOWER Dec19 Nov30 Oct28 Oct07 Sep23 (brown john)WEATHERLY BAILEY 126 20.00    
8  HAGLER Dec19 Nov30 Nov16 Sep01 Aug10 (carmichael mikh)BOWEN ROCCO 126 2.00 10% 8.70    
9  PACE Dec19 Dec08 Sep11 Aug19 Aug11 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 2.50 9% 10.20    
10  FOREVER LASTING Dec09 Nov16 Oct28 Oct12 Sep02 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 15.00    
 
MVR-6   01/05/2026 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BETTY WHO Dec24 Sep14       (salcedo ramo)TAPARA BRANDON 126 10.00    
  (by MOUNTAIN CAT out of HERE COMES BETTY by COX'S RIDGE)
2  SHE'S MAD Oct22 Sep26 Sep15 Jul24 Jul03 (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of KORITSI by ATREIDES)
3  DARK THIRTY (IRE) Sep14 Aug20 Jul14 Jun26 Jun06 (martinez kel)HALDAR J 126 1.80 43% 1.30    
  (by OUTWORK out of SUNNYSIDE GAL by SUNGOLD)
4  RED ROYALTY Dec27 Aug20 Jun14 May18 Apr29 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 2.50 28% 2.50    
  (by TEXAS RED out of THE ROYAL WAY by THEWAYYOUARE)
5  IDES OF DEMARCH Dec12 Nov10 Sep30 Sep10 Aug15 (martinez kel)TERRAZA GERMAN 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of COFFEE POND by HAVANA GOLD)
6  SECRET JOURNEY Dec05 Nov20 Oct23 Sep04 Aug06 (o'callahan carl)BOWEN ROCCO 126 4.00    
  (by FLYING CONTINENTAL out of TARA'S SECRET by SECRETO)
7  CLEARLY INISH Dec24 Nov10 Oct02 Sep14   (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 5.00    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of ROAN INISH by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
MVR-7   01/05/2026 3960ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH ROLLING DUDE Dec23 Dec01 Oct26 Oct14 Sep29 (cain crystal)PARKER L 124 20.00    
2  MORE THAN FIVE Dec27 Dec10 Nov05 Oct13 Sep17 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 6.00    
3  STOMPING MOON Dec23 Dec08 Aug05 Jul10 Jun25 (bernardin)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  DIXIE'S TWO STENTS Sep03 Aug21 Aug04 Jul16 Jun18 (sondej amy)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  DON'T STOP Dec04 Nov13 Oct29 Oct10 Sep22 (galloway k)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 119 3.50 ★    
6  ABSOLUTE GRIT Dec03 Nov11 Oct22 Oct10 Nov03 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.00    
7  TIME THE AVENGER Dec23 Dec11 Nov06 Oct28 Sep22 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 4.50 26% 2.90    
8  FATIH Dec03 Oct27 Oct10 Sep17 Aug26 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
9  REINVEST Dec10 Nov19 Oct07 Sep22 Sep03 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 5.00 47% 1.10    
 
MVR-8   01/05/2026 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST MINUTE MIKEY Dec18 Dec04 Oct25 Sep03 Aug11 (pappada j)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 12.00    
2  JUDY'S COMET Dec18 Nov18 Sep12 Aug20 Jun21 (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  BIGPICLITTLEPIC Dec03 Nov13 Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 (poole m)BRACHO A 124 1.60 41% 1.50    
4  JAC'S EMPIRE Aug06 Jul09 Jun17 May28 May07 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 20.00    
5  KICKSTART Dec18 Nov18 Oct20 Sep15 Jun16 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.50 25% 2.90    
6  PROFESSOR NICK Dec04 Oct25 Sep25 Sep03 Aug11 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 124 6.00    
7  MAGIC MOTOWN Dec18 Nov18 Sep12 Aug20 Jul07 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 124 2.50 10% 8.80    
 
MVR-9   01/05/2026 5490ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC MOVER Dec11 Nov20 Nov06 Oct17 Oct01 (joy j)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  LOOK TO THE CROSS Dec03 Oct17 Oct08 Sep11 Aug15 (crumley j)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
3  SUNSET TOWN Dec24 Dec02 Nov12 Oct29 Oct16 (bailey ricard)SIMPSON JASON 124 8.00    
4  PEARL OF ACLAIM (GB) Dec07 Nov11 Oct23 Oct13 Aug27 (gilmartin br)KEISER CHELSEY 124 12.00    
5  SWING STATE Dec03 Oct29 Oct21 Sep01 Aug14 (gonzal)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
6  LAW OF THE JUNGLE Nov24 Nov05 Oct21 Oct07 Aug26 (calderon ivan)BRACHO A 124 4.50 26% 2.90    
7  LOMACHENKO Nov12 Oct21 Sep14 Sep01 Aug03 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
8  ROMANIAN PRINCE Dec11 Nov20 Oct28 Sep22 Sep03 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 124 8.00 21% 3.80    
9  JUS TOO FLY Dec20 Dec05 Oct25 Sep21 Sep01 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 3.50    
10  THIRD CITY Dec22 Dec11 Nov17 Oct22 Oct07 (pappada a)BOWEN ROCCO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-10   01/05/2026 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3 F PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POP'S GIRL         (smith larry)DIAZ I 122 8.00 20% 4.10    
  (by TENKOZ out of FANCY KELLY by BIG ATLANTIC)
2  STACY ELLEN Dec19 Dec03 Nov03 Sep10 Aug25 (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 122 2.00 24% 3.20    
  (by AIR STRIKE out of PRECOCIOUS by EXPLOIT)
SCR  PLAYKOZ         (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 122 10.00    
  (by TENKOZ out of BE PLAYFUL by PURE PRIZE)
4  TRUEST AIR Oct14         (rone penny)RIVERA R 122 3.50 ★    
  (by AIR STRIKE out of TRUE CINDER by ALCINDOR)
5  JAC'S COCOABELLA Dec19 Dec03 Nov18 Oct25 Oct14 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 122 4.00    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of SPIT'S IMAGE by MOBIL)
6  SWEET VIVIAN Dec03 Nov03 Sep27 Aug16   (poole m)BRACHO A 122 15.00    
  (by DRILL out of SWEET TESSA MARIE by EL CORREDOR)
7  LIL SHARPIE Dec19 Nov18 Nov03 Oct23 Oct14 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 122 6.00    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of KARMA'S COMIN by INCLUDE)
8  NATIVE LUCCI         (faulkner r)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 117 12.00 22% 3.60    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of TARALLUCCI by LEMON DROP KID)
9  MO DON'T STOP Dec19 Dec03 Nov04     (zielinski ri)TAPARA BRANDON 122 20.00    
  (by MAKE MUSIC FOR ME out of MO MARGARITA by UNCLE MO)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.