Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - January 04, 2026
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(3/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(3/7/6/2)-(4/5/2/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (3/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/2)-(3/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/2)-(3/7/6/2)-(3/7/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/6/2)-(4/5/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6/2)-(4/5/2/3)-(2/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (4/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/2/3)-(4/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/2/3)-(4/5/2/3)-(4/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/2/3)-(2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2/3)-(2/4/5)-(13/5/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-4   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/8/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/8/4/5)-(2/8/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(13/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(13/5/4/3)-(5/7/10/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-5   WIN (13/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (13/5/4/3)-(13/5/4/3/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (13/5/4/3)-(13/5/4/3/11)-(13/5/4/3/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (13/5/4/3)-(5/7/10/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (13/5/4/3)-(5/7/10/1)-(7/12/5/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-6   WIN (5/7/10/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/10/1)-(5/7/10/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/7/10/1)-(5/7/10/1/6)-(5/7/10/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/7/10/1)-(7/12/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/10/1)-(7/12/5/2)-(6/9/1/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-7   WIN (7/12/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/12/5/2)-(7/12/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/12/5/2)-(7/12/5/2)-(7/12/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/12/5/2)-(6/9/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/12/5/2)-(6/9/1/3)-(3/9/2/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-8   WIN (6/9/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/1/3)-(6/9/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/1/3)-(6/9/1/3)-(6/9/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/9/1/3)-(3/9/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TAM-9   WIN (3/9/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/2/6)-(3/9/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/2/6)-(3/9/2/6)-(3/9/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/04/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($31K) 3 F PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISTY MONEY Dec06 Oct04 Aug16 Jun21   (gallegos jose )CASTANON L 118 1.20    
2  LA CHISMOSA Nov19 Oct02 Sep12     (gallegos jose )MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.50 34% 2.00    
3  MUCHO MACHO LADY Dec12 Nov19 Oct24 Sep26 Aug30 (alanis franci)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 12.00    
4  DIXI SO FAST Dec06 Oct26 Sep03     (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 8.00 28% 2.50    
5  MISS THALIA Oct09 Sep19 Aug25     (kintz matt)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 15.00 6% 16.40    
6  PRANCIN INTHE DARK Dec06 Oct22 Sep15 Aug24 Aug06 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 3.00    
 
TAM-2   01/04/2026 5400ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($18.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY LADY BAE Dec19 Nov26 Aug09 Jul30 Jul05 (wasiluk peter)ROJAS MARTINA 122 20.00    
2  GAMBI Dec27 Oct06 Sep30 Sep17 Sep02 (alessi james)HESS SARA 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  AWESOME CAMPAIGN Dec19 Oct31 Sep19 Sep06 Aug15 (barboza victor)MARIN SAMUEL 122 0.80 52% 0.90    
4  NORMA'S IRISH LASS Dec03 May04       (mckathan kevi)MORALES ANGEL 122 15.00    
5  NEW CENTSATION Dec10 Nov26 Oct06 Sep14 Jul05 (avila juan)MEJIAS A 115 10.00    
6  LIL MISS LOLLIPOP Oct11 Sep22 Aug31 Aug15 Jul26 (yanez re)RODRIGUEZ O 120 10.00 5% 18.30    
7  KATIE KING Nov19 Oct27 Oct04 Sep18 Aug24 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 122 1.80 21% 3.70    
 
TAM-3   01/04/2026 5610ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KHOPESH Nov17 Oct13 Sep30 Sep08 Aug27 (rodrigue)MARTINEZ A 118 3.50    
2  EMBRACE MY UNCLE Oct30 Oct05 Sep06 Aug17 Aug01 (wright micha)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  DR. PERRY Dec17 Nov29 Oct23 Oct02 Sep03 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  PRINCE OF AYRSHIRE Dec17 Oct09 Sep19 Sep03 Aug15 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 6.00 51% 1.00    
5  LACE UP Dec03 Nov08 Oct18 Aug30 Aug16 (wilson tony)MENESES MARCOS 118 5.00 20% 4.00    
6  EL CHISPAZO Nov26 Oct16 Jul08 Jun09 May26 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 1.80    
7  PEACE CLOUD Dec10 Oct07 Sep20 Aug30 Aug02 (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 4.50    
 
TAM-4   01/04/2026 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMANDERS PALACE May22 Apr04 Mar16 Dec15 Nov02 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 118 30.00    
2  MOTOWN OMI Oct25 Sep21 Aug23 Mar01 Dec14 (vanwinkle david)HO WESLEY 118 2.50 68% 0.50    
3  MI BELLA GENIO Dec20 Dec03 Sep18 Sep01 Aug07 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.00    
4  WILDCAT MINNY Dec05 Sep18 Aug24 Aug09 Jul12 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  DEETZ Dec05 May08 Apr19 Feb16 Nov29 (rodriguez ar)CASIQUE UBARDO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  MISS CLASSIFIED Sep20 Sep07 Aug13 Jul04 May26 (arnett g)MARIN SAMUEL 118 5.00    
7  TWIN EMPIRE Dec03 Sep03 Jul26 Aug24 Aug04 (vanwinkle david)LEON SONNY 118 8.00    
8  GLORIOUS LADY Dec05 Oct08 Jul13 May25 May04 (o'connell kath)COTTO L 118 6.00 ★    
 
TAM-5   01/04/2026 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22.3K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MICHAELA Oct17 Sep20 Sep06 Aug09 Jul26 (pompay t)MARTINEZ A 119 10.00    
SCR  DERBY EFFORT Dec17 Jul11 Jun19 May31 May04 (smith robert )GONZALEZ ALEX 119 15.00    
3  HIT SONG Dec27 Dec10 Nov02 Oct05 Sep13 (mcgoey monic)CASIQUE UBARDO 123 4.50 8% 11.10    
4  TINKATWO Nov19 Oct18 Sep05 Aug22 Jul13 (yates michael)GOLIBRZUCH S 119 8.00 17% 4.90    
5  DANCE ON AIR Nov28 Nov19 Nov08 Oct01 Sep13 (simone micha)BATISTA A 119 8.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  COCKTAIL KISSES Jul03 Jun24 Jun02 May04 Apr05 (kintz matthe)CAMACHO SAMY 119 1.80    
7  FAR ABOVE Aug23 Aug01 Jun21 May25 May04 (dobber w)HO WESLEY 119 20.00    
8  CHICA MUSIC Sep05 Aug15 Jul23 Jun12 May15 (ochoa gerard)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 20.00    
9  FOREVER AGAIN Dec20 Nov28 Jul05 May08 Apr27 (alanis franc)MENESES MARCOS 119 8.00    
10  PATIENT FI Nov18 Oct06 Sep17 Aug10 Jul24 (crook-demasi kat)LEON SONNY 119 5.00    
11  C C GIRL Dec20 Nov22 Oct20 Aug30 Aug10 (wilson tony)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 4.00 ★    
SCR  MIDWAY VOW Dec13 Nov11 Oct17 Sep23 Sep07 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 119 6.00    
13  QUITE CONTINENTAL Sep17 Aug28 Oct04 Sep14 Jul24 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
 
TAM-6   01/04/2026 4620ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3 ALL PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAY BEAST Dec19 Nov14 Aug30 Jul06   (soler edisley)MORALES ANGEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  BATTALION LEADER Dec26 Dec14 Nov30     (crooks s)HO WESLEY 119 15.00    
3  JAZZERATOR Nov29         (stewart chad )SANTOS ADEMAR 119 15.00    
4  MONEY MAGIC Dec19 Nov26 Oct04 Sep04 Aug13 (mendieta alej)GONZALEZ ALEX 119 30.00    
5  ASHRYVER Dec19 Sep07 Aug16 Aug01   (birdwell te)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 2.00 41% 1.50    
6  POLIZON Dec19 Dec06 Nov26 Oct25 Sep26 (sano antonio)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.50 ★    
7  ALEXANDER K Dec13 Dec06 Oct03     (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 119 8.00 29% 2.50    
8  NIGHT RAVEN Dec06 Nov26 Nov09 Oct16   (sano antonio)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 12.00    
9  TUSCAN THUNDER Dec19 Nov21 Oct09 Sep28   (wasiluk peter)ROJAS MARTINA 119 20.00    
10  FIFTEEN HUNDRED R Dec19 Nov26 Sep28     (vazquez eduard)CAMACHO SAMY 119 5.00 6% 15.10    
11  CHANCE ON ME Dec26 Dec12 Oct25 Oct12 Aug23 (bacallao-vega j)LEON A 119 20.00    
 
TAM-7   01/04/2026 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($29K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BRING ME A CHECK Dec17 Nov03 Oct07 Sep20 Aug31 (rodrigue)RODRIGUEZ O 123 3.00    
2  MAX'S MAP Nov29 Nov19 Sep20 Sep03 Aug15 (arnett g)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 20.00 6% 15.60    
SCR  UNCLE TRULY Oct16 Sep23 Sep03 Aug15 Jul03 (arriagad)GALLARDO A 119 4.50    
SCR  PUTTHEBLAMEONME Dec17 Oct07 Sep19 Jan18 Dec28 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 119 6.00    
5  POWER ATTACK Dec17 Nov19 Oct22 Sep10 Jul24 (gallegos jose )CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.50 12% 7.70    
6  MR CROWLEY Dec05 Aug16 Jun21 May24 Apr18 (harney heather)HESS SARA 119 12.00    
7  FIDELIGHTCAYUT Oct11 Sep13 Aug09 Jul19 Jun21 (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 119 3.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  BRAMBLE BLAZE Nov29 Oct11 Sep19 Aug15 Aug02 (dini mike)ROJAS MARTINA 119 20.00    
SCR  SPANISH NOBLE Nov19 Sep20 Aug17 Jul06 Jun15 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 119 10.00    
10  GROWTH CAPITAL Nov28 Oct16 Sep29 Aug26 Aug12 (vargas an)MARIN SAMUEL 119 15.00    
11  INITFORTHELOVE Oct04 Sep12 Jul27 Jun21 May03 (gonzalez fer)HESS SARA 119 30.00    
12  SMART STRIKER Dec19 Dec05 Nov19 Oct12 Oct04 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.00 23% 3.40    
 
TAM-8   01/04/2026 5400ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMART STYLE Nov09 Oct12 Sep12 Aug24 Aug02 (laurin roger)BATISTA A 118 10.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  DOROTEA DREAM Dec12 Nov28 Nov22 Oct23 Oct06 (baez ralp)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 12.00    
3  CHEERFUL TROUT Dec05 Nov28 Oct23 Oct14 Sep17 (baez ral)MARTINEZ A 120 8.00 5% 18.80    
4  EVERY LOVING WISH Nov29 Sep05 Jul24 Jul02 Jun07 (wittek karyn)HESS SARA 118 30.00    
SCR  MISHKA Dec19 Nov28 Sep06 Aug01 Jul17 (seale christop)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00    
6  QUEEN ATLAS Dec19 Nov19 Oct14 Oct02 Sep14 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.40 37% 1.70    
7  SPECIAL AFFAIR Dec19 Nov29 Oct04 Sep19 Aug17 (hernandez )FERNANDEZ MARVIN 108 30.00    
8  EARLY DELIVERY Dec27 Dec12 Nov19 Oct31 Oct17 (lopez ra)LEON A 118 15.00    
9  ANSWER THE CALL Dec05 Oct18 Oct08 Aug28 Sep25 (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 118 3.50 21% 3.80    
10  LUNAR UNIT Dec26 Sep17 Sep01 Aug18 Jul30 (vitali j)HO WESLEY 118 30.00    
 
TAM-9   01/04/2026 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($29K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OLD FLAG (IRE) Dec27 Nov01 Oct08 Sep20 Sep13 (mcgoey monic)MENESES MARCOS 119 5.00    
2  ARTEMPUS Oct23 Oct08 Sep23 Sep02 Aug12 (arriagada)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 112 6.00 14% 6.40    
3  AMERICAN UNITY Dec19 Nov29 Nov01 Oct09 Sep20 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 3.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  CONSULTANT Nov28 Oct11 Sep19 Aug23 Aug09 (cahill f)HO WESLEY 119 20.00    
5  DRAMA CHORUS Dec05 Oct12 Aug30 Aug03 Jun28 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 4.00    
6  JAILHOUSE JUSTICE Dec17 Nov19 Oct23 Oct02 Sep10 (granitz antho)ROJAS MARTINA 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  SYNTACTIC Dec17 Nov15 Oct26 Sep25 Sep13 (escobar marti)GONZALEZ ALEX 119 15.00    
8  EXTRASEXYBIGDADDEE Oct20 Sep30 Sep19 Aug29 Aug20 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 4.50    
9  STARSHIP EMPIRE Nov29 Oct22 Oct07 Sep19 Aug25 (potts g)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  OVERHAUL Aug23 Jul10 Jun19 Apr09 Mar28 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 119 30.00    
11  MAD DOG N JOE Dec07 Nov20 Oct04 Sep06 Aug23 (wright mich)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 6.00    
SCR  JOE FROM KIEV Dec12 Aug22 Jul25 Jul10 Jun07 (curto jea)HO WESLEY 119 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.