Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - December 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(6/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(6/7/4)-(2/1/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TUP-3   WIN (6/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/4)-(6/7/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/4)-(6/7/4/3)-(6/7/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/4)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4)-(2/1/5)-(6/2/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-4   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5/4)-(2/1/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(6/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(6/2/4/7)-(2/4/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-5   WIN (6/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/4/7)-(6/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/4/7)-(6/2/4/7)-(6/2/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/4/7)-(2/4/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4/7)-(2/4/3/5)-(2/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-6   WIN (2/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/3/5)-(2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3/5)-(2/3/4)-(7/8/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-7   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/8/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/8/6/4)-(2/3/8/6/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(7/8/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TUP-8   WIN (7/8/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/4/2)-(7/8/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/4/2)-(7/8/4/2)-(7/8/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   12/16/2025 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARINAS TINA (IRE) Nov29 Apr28 Mar31 Mar06 Feb13 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 55% 0.80    
SCR  BE A GOLDFISH Nov14 Oct13 Sep07 Aug14 Jul27 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 4.50    
3  INXPRESS Apr28 Apr01 Mar04 Jan06 Dec18 (guerra jacque)VERGARA P 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  ISLAND JIVE Nov29 Nov15 Sep17 Sep03 Aug16 (woolle)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 122 3.50 15% 5.80    
5  NEPHELE Oct26 Aug31 Aug08 Jul27 Jul13 (tubbs scot)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00    
6  DUTTON STREET GIRL Oct31 Oct03 Aug21 Jun01 Mar29 (davis shawn)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 3.00    
 
TUP-3   12/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GALOPING CAT Jun22 Oct15 Sep24 Sep15 Sep17 (dillenbeck br)LEAHEY HANNAH 124 6.00    
2  KANGAROO COAST Aug16 Jun28 Jun20 May11 Apr17 (davis shawn)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 1.40    
3  CHIEF RENEGADE Dec02 Nov15 Nov04 Oct24 Oct01 (valerio)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.00 ★    
4  NO ORDINARY TIGER Dec04 Sep28 Sep14 Sep05 Aug23 (baze rober)AMERICANO MANUEL 121 12.00 10% 9.00    
5  MENDELSSOHNS MUSIC Dec03 Nov15 Sep14 Aug16 Jul30 (kowalski liz)ALVARADO T 124 8.00    
6  HATAGASAL Apr24 Mar27 Feb27 Feb04 Dec28 (mccartne)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 5.00 34% 1.90    
7  PRINCE OF MEMPHIS Oct14 Oct06 Sep23 Sep07 Aug10 (gilmour jim)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 17% 4.80    
 
TUP-4   12/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARMZ Apr22 Mar24 Mar12     (mccartney jack)MONTALVO C 124 3.50 20% 4.00    
2  RECYCLEYOURHEART Nov29 Aug17 Jul31 Jun22 May26 (valerio ray)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 34% 1.90    
3  MAX'S MAXINE Aug30 Jul03 Jan24 Dec15 Nov10 (guillen is)AMERICANO MANUEL 124 6.00    
4  BURNIN AT MIDNIGHT Aug29 Aug09 Jul26 Jul13 Jun22 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 4.00 ★    
5  VALLEY ECHO Nov29 Sep05 Aug22 Jan22 Jan06 (toye joe)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 16% 5.40    
6  ZACANGO PRIDE Sep27 Aug16 Aug02 Jul19 Nov17 (guadarrama omar)RAMEY CASH 124 6.00    
7  RABBLE Nov11 Oct27 Sep27 Sep11 Aug14 (rosales jo)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 5.00    
 
TUP-5   12/16/2025 4950ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($17K) 2 F PT- 5:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANZING MIST Nov10 Sep26 Sep13 Aug31   (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.50    
2  STANDARD PRESSURE Nov10 Oct04       (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 121 5.00 11% 8.10    
3  UNA MIRADA Nov28 Oct17 Sep05     (belvoir vann)ALVARADO T 121 6.00    
SCR  JOYRIDING Dec08 Nov10 Oct17 Aug22 Jul26 (koch neil )AMERICANO MANUEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  MINISTER CONFESSOR Sep18 Aug23 Aug07 Jul26 Jul03 (fearon j)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 3.50    
6  RUN YOUR MOUTH Nov10 Sep03 Aug17 Jul27 Jul03 (ortiz i)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 2.50 65% 0.50    
7  TRAIN STATION Dec08 Nov07 Aug28 Aug07   (koch neil)TIMENTWA TALLIYAH 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  BOSS GIRL Dec08 Nov10 Oct25 Sep06   (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 121 15.00    
 
TUP-6   12/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPREME LEADER (GB) Dec04 Sep13 Jul26 Jul12 Jun28 (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 122 5.00    
2  SERENADER (IRE) Dec04 Oct25 Oct03 Aug31 Aug14 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
3  EL SIETE LEGUAS Dec01 Nov02 Oct17 Oct03 Aug17 (kemper kasey)RAMEY CASH 122 6.00 13% 6.60    
4  EXTREMELY WICKED Dec04 Nov10 Oct01 Aug31 Aug10 (matt wende)AMERICANO MANUEL 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
5  GOOD FOCUS Nov30 Nov15 Sep29 Sep01 Aug09 (gilmour jim)MONTALVO C 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  MIDNIGHT KID Aug15 Apr30 Mar27 Mar04 Feb12 (castillo joe)RODRIGUEZ JOSE 122 10.00    
7  WITHOUT EQUAL Dec04 Oct16 Sep17 Aug17 Aug02 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50    
 
TUP-7   12/16/2025 4950ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($17K) 2 ALL PT- 6:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HOOD RIVER Oct24         (koch ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 10.00    
2  BLACK PEARL         (drysdale ne)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 64% 0.60    
3  NEED THE PURSE Oct10 Sep06 Jun15     (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 121 3.00 9% 10.20    
4  DANEYKO Nov28 Nov03       (kereluk ed)AMERICANO MANUEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  ARIZONA MOON RISE Nov17 Sep20 Aug16     (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 20.00    
6  FORZA ROAD Nov28 Sep28 Aug30 Aug17 Apr10 (leon alexis)NUNNALLY BLAKE 121 5.00 ★    
7  GIFTED VALOR Dec04 Nov11 Oct16 Sep17 Sep03 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00    
8  MO GREY Nov28 Nov11 Sep03 Aug06   (lawrence heath)KRIGGER K 121 6.00 ★    
9  AL'S BIG BOY Dec04 Nov11       (gilmour jim)MONTALVO C 121 15.00    
10  TAKE A CHANCE INDY Oct10 Sep20 Sep03     (lund v)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 121 20.00    
 
TUP-8   12/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESPERATE MAN Dec03 Sep22 Aug07 Jun29 Jun08 (eikleberry kev)ALVARADO T 122 4.00    
2  MONGOLIAN MEMORY Apr30 Mar19 Mar04 Feb12 Dec31 (ortiz sr)CORBETT W 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  YO DAWG Nov28 Aug30 Aug10 Aug02 Jul24 (silva )ASENCIO MARIANO 122 10.00    
4  BODENHEIMER Dec08 Aug31 Aug06 Jun29 Jun11 (lund valori)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 8.00 8% 11.60    
SCR  PRINCE PRANCEALOT Dec01 Nov07 Oct17 Sep12 Sep05 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 124 6.00    
6  COUSIN RICHIE May16 Apr05 Feb23 Jan24 Dec18 (koch neil)TIMENTWA TALLIYAH 117 5.00    
7  FIRST CALL Nov28 Dec30 Nov26 Nov05 Sep21 (silva jr)MONTALVO C 122 3.50 44% 1.30    
8  CENTRAL PARK Nov28 Nov15 Aug30 Aug10 Jul26 (anderson g)AMERICANO MANUEL 124 2.50 19% 4.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.