Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - December 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-1   WIN (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/7)-(3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/7)-(2/1/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7)-(2/1/4/8)-(2/6/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-2   WIN (2/1/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/8)-(2/1/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/8)-(2/1/4/8)-(2/1/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/4/8)-(2/6/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4/8)-(2/6/1/3)-(8/3/5/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-3   WIN (2/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/3)-(2/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/3)-(2/6/1/3)-(2/6/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/1/3)-(8/3/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1/3)-(8/3/5/1)-(3/2/9/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-4   WIN (8/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/5/1)-(8/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/5/1)-(8/3/5/1)-(8/3/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/5/1)-(3/2/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/3/5/1)-(3/2/9/6)-(9/7/2/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-5   WIN (3/2/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/9/6)-(3/2/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/9/6)-(3/2/9/6)-(3/2/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/9/6)-(9/7/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2/9/6)-(9/7/2/1)-(4/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-6   WIN (9/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/2/1)-(9/7/2/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/7/2/1)-(9/7/2/1/8)-(9/7/2/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/7/2/1)-(4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/7/2/1)-(4/5/2)-(7/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-7   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(7/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(7/5/3)-(8/6/9/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-8   WIN (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/3)-(7/5/3)-(7/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/3)-(8/6/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-9   WIN (8/6/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/9/10)-(8/6/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/9/10)-(8/6/9/10)-(8/6/9/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   12/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PAM'S FRIEND         (west m)BRACHO A 122 4.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of CONFIDENCEINTERVAL by UNION RAGS)
DADDY'S LIL CHEF Oct10 Sep20       (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 122 12.00    
  (by FRAC DADDY out of CIBOULETTE by PIVOTAL (GB))
BETSY Oct21 Aug30 Aug07     (kenneally eddie)AVILES YAN 122 2.00 47% 1.10    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of ANOTHER BROAD by INCLUDE)
STAR ELLA Nov25 Oct22 Oct15 Sep26 Sep10 (rivera r)RIVERA R 122 10.00 32% 2.10    
  (by UPSTART out of SWEET ELLA by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  MAKING DAISYS Sep10         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 122 1.40    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of STAYCLASSYSANDIEGO by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
OLIVE ON TOP Nov07 Sep10 Aug19     (radosevich jus)DIAZ I 122 20.00    
  (by SHOTICHE out of KUMARA by COGENCY)
LAST CALL JENNA Nov04 Oct04 Sep01     (urieta jo)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GALILEAN out of PLINKING by TALKIN MAN)
FAR REACHING Nov25 Oct22       (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 20.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of EXQUISITE PARKER by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
MVR-2   12/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONIRICO         (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 125 3.00 8% 11.20    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ETHYL ETHER by SCAT DADDY)
DOCS LEGEND Dec04 Mar13 Feb27 Feb03 Jan16 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.20 71% 0.40    
  (by LORD NELSON out of CREATE A LEGEND by MEADOWLAKE)
SKIPTHEGUILTTRIP Nov18 Oct27 Oct10 Sep27 Aug28 (overholt pau)TAPARA BRANDON 126 20.00    
  (by GUILT TRIP out of MY HOPE AMERICA by TALE OF THE CAT)
VANADIUM Sep15 Sep01 Aug21 Aug07 Jun24 (tumblin kristi)DIAZ I 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of AREQUIPA by HOLY BULL)
DYNAMIC VICTORY Sep27 Sep10 Aug22 Jul26 Jun20 (gonzalez a)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 15.00    
  (by VICTORY GALLOP out of DYNACO by DYNAFORMER)
QUALITY KISS Sep27 Sep10 Oct04 Aug30 Aug14 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 125 6.00    
  (by KLIMT out of JANNES PAUL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
LORDBETWENTOTHORNS Oct27 Sep27 Sep10 Aug28 Jul16 (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 125 5.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of FAMOUS ROSE by FOREST DANGER)
COR SPICE Nov23         (ortiz-ruiz ca)SIMPSON JASON 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of BATTALEYS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
MVR-3   12/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIDDEN HEART Dec02 Nov18 Nov04 Sep12 Aug27 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SGT YORK Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 Aug28 Aug04 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 124 1.60 55% 0.80    
WEEKEND RETREAT Dec02 Nov18 Oct21 Oct08 Sep25 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
PLAYFULASITGETS Dec02 Nov18 Oct21 Sep18 Jun28 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
TURKODANCER Dec02 Nov04 Oct25 Oct08 Sep17 (langle)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00    
OL' NELSON Nov18 Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 Aug08 (huffman candace)BOWEN ROCCO 123 1.20 24% 3.10    
DEW IT WITH CLASS Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 Sep18 Aug22 (urieta johanna)PARKER L 123 6.00    
MOONSHINE JOE Dec04 Jun17 May19 Apr30 Apr10 (szczepa)RADOSEVICH J 119 15.00    
 
MVR-4   12/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGNELLO CITY Nov18 Nov04 Sep25 Sep12 Aug27 (skerrett jef)TERRAZA GERMAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MOMENT IN THE DARK Dec04 Nov11 Oct25 Sep16 Dec10 (norris step)PAGAN Y 124 20.00    
TAP THE WIND Oct21 Oct01 Sep15 Aug14 Jul16 (huffman candac)GONZALEZ A 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
BALKI BARTOKOMOUS Nov13 Sep10 Sep01 Aug21 Aug07 (meyers sh)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 6.00    
DYNAMIC GIFT Nov11 Oct25 Oct02 Sep18 Sep05 (andrade h)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
HE'S MY BOY Dec02 Nov13 Oct27 Sep27 Sep10 (faulkner rodne)SWAN KIRSTEN 123 2.50    
BUCKEYE MIKE Dec04 Nov18 Oct21 Oct01 Sep18 (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00    
COUPLE BEERS DEEP Dec04 Oct23 Oct06 Sep17 Aug29 (morales m)VIGIL NOEL 123 3.50 39% 1.50    
 
MVR-5   12/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GREEWHIZ Dec02 Nov19 Oct28 Oct08 Sep23 (juarez-mendoza)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00    
COOL COUPLE Dec02 Nov19 Oct29 Oct06 Aug13 (dacosta jason)BOWEN ROCCO 123 4.00 16% 5.20    
PICARO Dec02 Nov03 Oct07 Sep26 Aug13 (juarez-men)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 2.00 59% 0.70    
GOLDEN TEST Oct20 Oct13 Sep05 Aug23 Aug01 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 123 2.50    
CACIQUE ABARRIO Nov19 Oct09 Sep23 Sep12 Aug20 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 124 15.00    
MARIACHI JUSTICE Nov25 Nov11 Sep10 Jun02 May18 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
JACKSON'S ROAR Nov25 Oct13 Sep30 Aug28 Aug13 (szczepanski emil)VIGIL NOEL 123 15.00    
SPELLED WELL Dec02 Oct28 Sep23 Sep02 Jul09 (vlaun manue)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 124 20.00    
BREEZE THE BAYOU Dec02 Oct06 Sep15 Aug20 Aug05 (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-6   12/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARMARA Dec02 Nov17 Nov01 Oct09 Sep18 (vlaun manue)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
STYLE IN TIME Dec02 Nov17 Oct28 Sep29 Apr06 (higham nic)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.50 11% 8.10    
HUIXTLA Nov17 Oct07 Sep17 Sep08 Aug23 (ccamaque marco)DIAZ R 123 30.00    
LUNA LLENA Nov10 Oct09 Sep17 Sep04 Aug21 (juarez)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 15.00    
KATE WINS Dec02 Nov07 Oct28 Sep16 Sep01 (vlaun manuel)AVILES YAN 123 20.00    
BABE IN THE WOODS Nov11 Oct27 Oct12 Sep23 Sep09 (spiess shan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 15.00    
HAZARD PAY Oct15 Aug19 Aug04 Jul22 Jul03 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.00 18% 4.50    
GAMBLE ON LOVE Dec02 Sep04 Aug07 Jul17 Jun14 (buttigieg kevi)DIAZ I 125 4.00    
MISS FOXANN Oct09 Sep24 Sep08 Aug05 Jul23 (pappada juli)KEISER CHELSEY 124 3.00 50% 1.00    
 
MVR-7   12/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COWGIRL SARA Aug28 Aug05 Jul16 Jun26 Jun16 (juarez-mendoza)DIAZ I 124 10.00    
LA ROSA Jul01 Apr23 Oct09 Sep11 Aug01 (radosevich jus)GONZALEZ A 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AMY'S STAR Nov04 Oct03 Sep16 Aug27 Aug07 (treharne dave)PARKER L 124 3.00    
HELLO SWEETS Dec02 Nov04 Oct20 Sep23 Aug29 (cloust)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 53% 0.90    
CAUSE OF LOVE Dec02 Oct28 Oct20 Oct02 Sep23 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 3.50 18% 4.60    
BEAUTIFUL CHARADE Dec02 Nov13 Oct10 Aug18 Jul08 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 124 4.50    
NATIONAL DIAMOND Dec01 Nov12 Aug11 Jun21 Jun02 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00    
 
MVR-8   12/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE NOMORE Oct13 Sep22 Sep03 Aug14 Jul14 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 124 4.00    
KNOCK WOOD Nov13 Oct28 Oct13 Oct03 Sep03 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 8.00    
TEMPERED DREAM Nov20 Oct28 Sep22 Aug28 Aug13 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
FINALLY FRIDAY Nov03 Oct13 Sep15 Aug21 Aug07 (crumley jevo)KEISER CHELSEY 123 10.00    
WASABI BEACH Nov18 Oct20 Oct01 Aug28 Aug20 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 125 1.80 21% 3.80    
SCR  GHOST OF LONDYN Sep16 Sep01 Aug18 Aug07 Jun25 (romero jose )TERRAZA GERMAN 124 15.00    
FOURDATESFORHOCO Nov20 Oct20 Apr03 Mar18 Mar03 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50 51% 1.00    
 
MVR-9   12/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SEXARITO May11 Apr02 Mar09 Jan12 Dec14 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 20.00    
TOASTMASTER Nov24 Nov04 Oct15 Sep24 Aug29 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 125 2.50    
LATE NITE LIZZIE Nov04 Oct20 Sep26 Sep09 Aug05 (juarez)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00    
SALTMAKESHERSWEET Dec01 Oct30 Oct15 Oct01 Aug18 (johnson ga)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 119 12.00    
SCR  MIZZEN THE POINT Dec01 Nov12 Oct20 Sep23 Aug29 (overholt paul)BRACHO A 124 8.00    
ASHLEE'S RING Mar31 Mar01 Jan09 Dec07 Aug28 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 16% 5.20    
SCR  JE SUIS RAPIDE Nov03 Sep24 Sep09 Jun26 Jun04 (stansbury julie)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00    
THE DEVIL'S DREAM Dec01 Nov12 Oct30 Oct10 Aug29 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 5.00 39% 1.60    
QUEENOFTHEBUCKEYE Dec01 Nov12 Sep25 Sep17 Jun21 (skerrett jeffr)DIAZ I 124 10.00 15% 5.50    
10  DERBY DAY KISS Oct20 Oct10 Sep24 Sep03 Aug04 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.