Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - November 22, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (3/5/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/9)-(3/5/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/9)-(3/5/6/9)-(3/5/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/6/9)-(8/1/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6/9)-(8/1/7/2)-(9/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (8/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/2)-(8/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/2)-(8/1/7/2)-(8/1/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/7/2)-(9/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/7/2)-(9/1/3)-(6/1/10/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (9/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/1/3)-(9/1/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/3)-(9/1/3/4/5)-(9/1/3/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/1/3)-(6/1/10/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/1/3)-(6/1/10/3)-(1/6/7/4/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TAM-4   WIN (6/1/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/10/3)-(6/1/10/3/13) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/1/10/3)-(6/1/10/3/13)-(6/1/10/3/13) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/1/10/3)-(1/6/7/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/1/10/3)-(1/6/7/4/8)-(5/9/7/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-5   WIN (1/6/7/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/4/8)-(1/6/7/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/4/8)-(1/6/7/4/8)-(1/6/7/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/6/7/4/8)-(5/9/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/4/8)-(5/9/7/4)-(10/9/2/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-6   WIN (5/9/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/7/4)-(5/9/7/4/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/9/7/4)-(5/9/7/4/12)-(5/9/7/4/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/9/7/4)-(10/9/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/9/7/4)-(10/9/2/7)-(3/9/5/6/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-7   WIN (10/9/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/9/2/7)-(10/9/2/11/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/9/2/7)-(10/9/2/11/7)-(10/9/2/11/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/9/2/7)-(3/9/5/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/9/2/7)-(3/9/5/6/4)-(9/7/6/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (3/9/5/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/5/6/4)-(3/9/5/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/9/5/6/4)-(3/9/5/6/4)-(3/9/5/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/9/5/6/4)-(9/7/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (9/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/6/4)-(9/7/6/4/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/7/6/4)-(9/7/6/4/10)-(9/7/6/4/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   11/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT-12:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLEW CROWN Sep17 Aug27 Aug13 May05 Feb12 (rini anthony)SPIETH S 118 6.00    
THEE NEW BEGINNING Oct09 Sep24 Sep08 Jun04 May14 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 120 3.00    
NAUGHTY FAVORS Oct22 Oct08 Sep19 Sep02 Aug12 (vargas an)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.50 56% 0.80    
FOXY LADY Oct25 Sep28 Sep13 Aug23 Aug02 (garcia jr)LEON SONNY 120 12.00    
TIMELY REWARD Nov14 Oct19 Sep12 Aug24 Jul26 (simone michael)GIL CIPRIANO 120 2.50 16% 5.40    
BOLD BABY Oct15 Sep25 Sep14 Aug01 Jul13 (villanueva serg)LARA VICTOR 110 10.00 5% 18.90    
MEGAN MAKIN MONEY Aug23 Apr02 Feb21 Nov29 Nov15 (amaya g)TORREALBA LUIS 120 15.00    
SCR  EXPLOSIVE EXCHANGE Nov02 Aug30 Aug23 Jul31 Jul17 (simone micha)BATISTA A 120 10.00    
CLAIRE'S DARLING Oct23 Oct06 Sep29 Sep02 Aug17 (guciardo )RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-2   11/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($23.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOP POCKET PICK Sep28 Aug31 Jul11 Jun14 Apr11 (tsirigotis jam)MARIN SAMUEL 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
VALIANT JANE Feb26 Feb08 Dec07     (dobber w)LEON SONNY 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
QUEEN DIANA Oct19 Sep13 Jul31 Jul12 Jan05 (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 122 30.00    
MAGALA Oct26 Sep26 Sep11 Aug13 Jul12 (rodriguez ange)GIL CIPRIANO 122 3.50    
MAJORING IN GOLD Oct19         (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 4.00    
LOVE THAT GAL Sep05         (gardea abraha)MORALES ANGEL 120 30.00    
AWESOME ELISSA Oct26 Apr10 Mar10 Feb18   (levy tam)MARTINEZ A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
DAME GINA MARIE Apr25         (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
 
TAM-3   11/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY LITTLE WILDCAT Oct09 Sep21 Sep06 Aug16 Aug02 (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 116 10.00 29% 2.40    
C C GIRL Oct20 Aug30 Aug10 Jul05 May24 (wilson tony)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 116 8.00    
COUNTRY ECONOMICS Oct25 Oct04 Sep18 Sep05 Aug15 (vazquez jose )SANTOS ADEMAR 118 10.00 6% 15.90    
SOUND IT OUT Nov02 Aug20 Aug03 Jul04 Jun15 (yates mi)RODRIGUEZ O 120 4.00    
COLLECTED DREAMS Sep12 Aug30 Aug08 Sep04 Jul20 (mcgoey monic)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 20.00    
PRAYED FOR GIRL Sep05 Aug16 May04 Apr19 Apr11 (dobber w)LEON SONNY 116 12.00    
MONEY MAGNETTES Oct01 Aug10 Jul04 Aug11 Jun23 (pompay terri)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.50    
JAANTJE Aug04 Jul23 Jul04 Jun21 Jun02 (lopez ra)LEON A 118 30.00    
BLOODY COLORS WAVE Sep22 Aug05 Jul07 Jun03 May19 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 118 2.00 42% 1.40    
 
TAM-4   11/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITIGANT Aug29 May22 May02 Apr11 Mar23 (ochoa gerard)FERRER C 122 10.00 16% 5.40    
JARLIAN Sep20 Sep11 Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 (quinones raul)SUAREZ JESUS 122 30.00    
BEAR CREEK Oct02 Sep17 Sep02 Aug15 Aug04 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
IKIGAI Oct16 Oct07 Aug15 Jul12 Jun27 (hernandez )MEJIAS A 112 15.00    
NO ANGEL Sep12 Aug22 Jul25 May19 May02 (lusk r)BATISTA A 122 12.00    
OSPREY Jun25 Jun10 May19 Apr06 Mar29 (arriagada)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 112 3.50 52% 0.90    
IMTAKINITTOTHEBANK Oct13 Sep18 Sep06 Aug22 Jul25 (dimmett james)HESS SARA 122 5.00    
AMBUSHED Oct02 Sep11 Sep03 Aug15 Jul11 (ramos ben)MORALES ANGEL 122 30.00    
PAXTON Sep12 Aug02 Jun27 Jun07 Apr26 (miller c)MORALES PABLO 122 15.00    
10  MR. SQUEAKY WHEELS Oct16 Sep29 Aug19 Jul30 Jul02 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 6.00 5% 18.80    
11  GHOST STALKER Sep13 Aug21 Aug06 Jul18 Jul04 (waltke e)LARA VICTOR 112 30.00    
SCR  DANZA TAXI Oct28 Oct14 May04 Oct06 Aug27 (becker scott)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 2.50    
13  ENSIGN PARKER Nov09 Sep07 Aug17 Jun28 Jun15 (richards)GALLARDO A 122 6.00    
SCR  TAP GOLD Oct24 Aug15 Jun14 May16 Apr19 (crichton roh)THOMAS ANTHONY 122 4.00    
 
TAM-5   11/22/2025 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($55.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURLAINE Oct15 May03 Mar19 Feb08 Jan11 (clement miguel)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.50 26% 2.90    
NATIVE ROSE Oct03 Sep06 Apr12 Mar08 Feb08 (mendieta )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 118 15.00    
DOROTEA DREAM Oct23 Oct06 Sep16 Sep03 Aug27 (baez ral)RODRIGUEZ O 118 30.00    
NOTABLE EXCHANGE Oct26 Sep12 Aug21 Aug06 Jul19 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 118 4.50 15% 5.80    
AUTHENTICATE NOW Oct21 Oct10 Aug10 Jul27 Jul05 (dini mike)MORALES PABLO 118 15.00    
WRIGLEYVILLE Oct04 Sep01 Jul19 Jun06 Apr20 (proctor thom)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 1.80 23% 3.30    
DEFLECTION Nov01 Oct04 Sep06 Jul12 Jun14 (sano antonio)CENTENO E 121 4.50 15% 5.50    
LA ARTISTA Oct21 Sep15 Aug29 Aug04 Jun25 (kintz s )MARTINEZ A 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
TWO TURNTABLES Nov04 Oct06 Sep15 Aug21 Jun18 (birdwell te)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 20.00    
 
TAM-6   11/22/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLY DANCE Sep05 Aug06 Jul16 Jun12 Apr23 (ochoa gerard)LEON SONNY 120 15.00    
STORMY DISCO Oct11 Jul26 Jul13 Jun21 May25 (dini mike)ROJAS MARTINA 120 15.00    
PRINCESS NORMA Sep26 Sep07 Aug22 Aug02 Jul05 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 120 12.00    
HIGH HEARTS Sep06 Aug08 Jul23 Jul04 Jun07 (seale chr)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
VESPER CHICKS Jun01 May10 Apr12 Mar28 Feb26 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 118 3.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  DOWN IN THE BAYOU Oct15 Oct01 Aug15 Jul30 Jul08 (bowersock maria)SPIETH S 120 12.00    
SOUNDTRACK Aug07 Jul04 Jun15 May31 Apr30 (goodwin g)HO WESLEY 120 10.00 11% 8.30    
UNICYCLE Oct08 Oct01 Sep18 Aug06 Jun27 (lopez rober)HESS SARA 118 15.00    
GOSHAKI GOSHAKI Oct11 Sep12 Mar07 Feb09 Jan11 (dobber w)LARA VICTOR 108 8.00 20% 4.10    
10  SHILOH Aug15 Jun06 May16 Apr26 Feb28 (narvaez carlos)HENRY WESLEY 120 15.00    
11  RACING THE LIGHT Sep28 Aug21 Aug03 Jul04 Jun05 (campbell jo)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 6.00    
12  LONG GONE SALLY Nov08 Oct11 Sep12 Aug22 Aug06 (braddy david)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.50    
SCR  CHEERFUL TROUT Oct23 Oct14 Sep17 Sep09 Aug26 (baez ral)MARTINEZ A 120 12.00    
SCR  FOREVER AGAIN Jul05 May08 Apr27 Apr04 Mar09 (alanis franci)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 30.00    
 
TAM-7   11/22/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($27K) 2 F PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHABELITA Oct12 Sep05 Aug09     (dominguez hu)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 30.00    
LOVELY CAUSE Sep26 Sep06       (moreno)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 12.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  MARDEL MARIEL Sep05 Aug09       (laurato mich)GONZALEZ CESAR 112 30.00    
VIOLET'S CHARM Oct15         (downing wil)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 20.00    
COUNTRY EMBRACE Oct15 Sep18 Aug03     (o'connel)GALLARDO A 119 8.00    
BEAUTIFUL EMMA Oct17 Sep13 Aug28 Aug08   (ochoa gerard)FERRER C 119 10.00    
TAP TAP COCO Jun05         (morales g)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
INDE ROSE Oct26 Sep12 Aug28     (lusk r)GIL CIPRIANO 119 10.00    
HOT COCOA Oct24 Oct03 Aug20 Aug07 May22 (lightner mar)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 2.50 28% 2.60    
10  GREATEST Oct22 Aug31 Aug03 Jun21   (casse mark)MORALES PABLO 119 1.20 31% 2.20    
11  MAPPY Sep11 Aug21 Aug08 Jul05   (sacco gregory )MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.00    
SCR  PICHIRRE Oct03         (parra hernan)BATISTA A 119 30.00    
 
TAM-8   11/22/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND MORNING (IRE) Oct22 Oct15 Sep24 Sep10 Jul29 (kintz s )MARTINEZ A 118 20.00    
SCR  ST. LOUIE LOUIE Oct11 Sep21 Jun19 May17 Apr26 (becker scott)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 20.00    
THE BEST DISTANCE Oct21 Oct07 Sep19 Aug25 Aug04 (arriagad)GALLARDO A 121 6.00 36% 1.80    
SECRET TREASURE Oct11 Sep20 Aug29 Aug13 Jul03 (richards)RODRIGUEZ O 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
CRABCAKES N BEER Oct16 Sep28 Sep06 Aug21 Aug07 (carrascoj)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 4.00 10% 9.50    
LONELY RIDE Oct16 Oct04 Sep21 Aug31 Aug16 (hernandez enri)GIL CIPRIANO 123 3.00 9% 10.00    
CONSPIRACY FACT Sep22 Sep13 Aug16 Jul27 Mar29 (arnett g)LEON SONNY 121 6.00    
MISSION MIKE Oct02 Sep11 Aug18 Jul25 Jul12 (cahill f)CENTENO E 121 15.00    
HOLIDAY FANTASY Oct30 Oct09 Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 4.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  JADES JAY Sep20 Aug23 Aug01 Jul12 Jul05 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 121 8.00    
SCR  MAYNARD Oct22 Oct09 Sep15 Sep09 Aug27 (baez ralph)BATISTA X 121 8.00    
SCR  AL AMEEQ Oct29 Oct09 Sep27 Aug31 Aug16 (paterno rober)GONZALEZ ALEX 121 15.00    
13  CURLIN GUNNER Sep14 Aug16 Jul03 Jun07 May12 (villanueva ser)GIL CIPRIANO 121 10.00    
 
TAM-9   11/22/2025 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($56.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DARK VINTAGE (IRE) Oct30 Sep04 Aug10 Jun26 Jun11 (becker scott)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 3.00    
PSYCHEDELIC SHACK Nov07 Sep10 Aug27 Aug16 Jul31 (eppler e)CENTENO E 120 10.00    
BAHAMIAN MOON Oct03 Sep04 Aug08 Jul17 Apr27 (ward dennis)HESS SARA 117 8.00    
MORE LOVE Oct07 Sep17 Aug19 Aug04 Jun12 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
ROCKET DRAGON Sep19 Aug11 Jul22 Jul03 Jun02 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 12.00    
FLUID SITUATION Oct15 Sep29 Aug01 Jul03 Jun12 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
ESPERON Oct26 Aug27 Jul19 May04 Apr19 (braddy david)MARIN SAMUEL 120 5.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  SKYLOFT Oct26 Oct04 Mar05 Feb07 Jan18 (dini mike)CASTANON L 120 10.00    
STAR'S IMAGE Aug21 Aug04 Jul04 Jun06 Jan04 (rivelli )GALLARDO A 118 2.50 36% 1.80    
10  JETAROS Oct04 Aug22 Jul20 Jun27 Apr05 (pompay terri)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 20.00    
SCR  CRUZIN MAN Oct26 Sep20 Aug23 Jul13 Jun14 (crichton g)LEON SONNY 120 6.00    
12  MR TYSON Apr18 Mar27 Dec20 Oct11 Sep14 (torres pablo )GONZALEZ ALEX 118 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.