Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Saturday - November 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (3/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/7/8)-(3/4/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/8)-(3/4/7/8)-(3/4/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/7/8)-(1/3/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7/8)-(1/3/6/8)-(7) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
TUP-4   WIN (1/3/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/8)-(1/3/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/8)-(1/3/6/8)-(1/3/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/6/8)-(7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6/8)-(7)-(9/2/4/6) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
TUP-5   WIN (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (7)-(7/5/1/3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (7)-(7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7)-(9/2/4/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7)-(9/2/4/6)-(5/7/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TUP-6   WIN (9/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/4/6)-(9/2/5/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/2/4/6)-(9/2/5/4/6)-(9/2/5/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/2/4/6)-(5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/2/4/6)-(5/7/2)-(4/6/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-7   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/2)-(5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/2)-(4/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TUP-8   WIN (4/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/5)-(4/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/5)-(4/6/1/5)-(4/6/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   11/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOOLITTLETOOLATE Sep05 Jun08 May18 May04 Apr19 (christian)JENSEN P 122 20.00    
2  CENTRAL PARK Aug30 Aug10 Jul26 Jan25 Jan06 (silva jose )HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50    
3  ROLLIN DICE Oct12 Sep29 Sep07 Aug24 Aug10 (rosales jorge)MONTALVO C 122 5.00 38% 1.70    
4  ALWAYS ON CAY Oct12 Sep29 Sep08 Aug29 Aug22 (rosales jorge)MOJICA O 122 6.00 37% 1.70    
5  K P KWEST Apr20 Mar15 Mar01 Jan26 Dec17 (evans justi)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 4.00    
6  GODSEND (GB) Oct03 Aug29 Jun27 Jun01 Nov18 (evans j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00    
7  CROSS THE CAUSEWAY Sep06 Aug16 Aug02 Jul13 Jun28 (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  A VIEW FROM ABOVE Oct13 Sep29 Sep06 Aug29 Aug10 (perez se)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-4   11/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOWHEE Aug31 Aug08 Jul19 Oct06 Jan13 (navarre jacqui)ALVARADO T 124 2.00 37% 1.70    
2  CHIEF RENEGADE Nov04 Oct24 Oct01 Sep12 Sep01 (valerio)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 2.50    
3  REACH HIGHER Sep22 Sep08 Aug08 Jul19 Jun22 (lucarelli f)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 4.50 22% 3.60    
4  POCO YO Aug22         (maravill)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 121 5.00    
5  PONDEROSA Sep17 Sep06 Feb20 Jan31 Dec04 (laufenberg )HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 6.00    
6  BADGERS FACE         (nunnally jen)NUNNALLY BLAKE 121 12.00 14% 6.20    
7  TIGER BY THE TAIL May26 Apr21 Mar04 Feb02 Jan12 (beltran more)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 15.00    
8  COME HOME Sep22         (crowe shelly)LOPEZ KARLO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-5   11/15/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLATINUM DIVA Aug15 Jun27 Apr19 Mar22 Feb22 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 122 3.00 ★    
2  ISLAND JIVE Sep17 Sep03 Aug16 Jul24 Jul10 (woolley bennie )CORBETT W 122 6.00    
3  DONTMESSWITHTESS Oct03 Aug31 May09 Apr26 Apr05 (ortiz l)ALVARADO T 122 5.00 ★    
4  ROLLIN BLACKOUT Sep20 Aug30 Aug03 Jul02 Jun18 (ortiz i)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.00    
5  DERRYGOOLIN Sep13 Aug30 Aug03 Jul23 Jul10 (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 ★    
6  ALICESHOUSEOFHEART Aug24 Jul18 Jun14 May11 Feb13 (essex char)AMERICANO MANUEL 122 5.00    
7  POKER ALICE Oct12 Oct05 Sep29 Sep07 Aug24 (perez sergi)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00 73% 0.40    
 
TUP-6   11/15/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEQUILALITTLETIME Sep22 Sep08       (gibson)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 121 10.00    
2  MENDELSSOHNS MUSIC Sep14 Aug16 Jul30 Jul13 Jun28 (gutierrez j)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 6% 15.20    
3  SHAME THEM Mar21         (beltran mor)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 20.00    
4  SEB N' SAM Apr02 Mar24 Feb27     (diaz fernando)GARCIA F 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STREET GUN Oct24 Mar12 Jan22 Dec18 Apr25 (kereluk ed)AMERICANO MANUEL 121 3.00 ★    
6  KROME'S KIDDO Mar07 Feb07 Dec17     (beltran more)CARBAJAL KEVIN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  ALI JAC Sep20         (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 121 6.00    
8  COLONEL HORTON Aug31 Aug08 Jun01     (koch a)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00    
9  TOUGH AS AN OX Oct05 Sep15 Aug03 Jul19   (lucarelli f)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 3.50 73% 0.40    
 
TUP-7   11/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OLIVIA'S CHOICE (IRE) Nov02 Oct19 Oct03 Aug22 Aug03 (villamar candelari)GARCIA F 124 4.00    
2  UNIFIED A. P. Oct05 Sep14 Sep04 Aug03 Jul19 (fulmer drew)CRUZ M 122 8.00 9% 9.50    
3  SORORITY PARTY Oct11 Sep21 Sep07 Aug16 Jul13 (tubbs scott)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00    
4  KAMIKAZE BLUE Apr29 Apr17 Mar31 Mar11 Feb06 (marin )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 122 20.00    
5  LOVEABOVEANDBEYOND Sep21 Aug15 Jul18 Jul07 Apr01 (buffalo marvin)CORBETT W 122 1.00 52% 0.90    
6  VELLA Sep20 Aug22 Aug03 Jun08 May26 (whitehouse w)NUNNALLY BLAKE 122 12.00    
7  LULA BELLA Aug31 Aug02 Jun29 May25 Apr28 (nunnally jenni)ALVARADO T 119 5.00 12% 7.40    
SCR  IRISH PRANCER Oct05 Sep21 Sep06 Aug30 Aug16 (dunford jus)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 12.00    
 
TUP-8   11/15/2025 4950ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISTORTED LOUV Sep17 Aug30 Aug06 Jun18 May31 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  SPARTA F. C. Sep27 Sep05 Jul27 Mar23 Feb10 (belvoir vann)ALVARADO T 124 3.50    
3  CAITLIN FEVER Oct10 Sep26 Sep06 Aug17 Aug08 (miller pete)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 6.00    
4  WITHOUT A POUT (IRE) Oct17 Sep26 Sep06 Aug10 Jun18 (diodoro robertino)MOJICA O 121 3.00 59% 0.70    
5  THEY SEE ME DO IT Sep27 Aug31       (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  RIDE ELBOW RANCH Oct18 Aug31 Jul25 Jun14 May25 (diodoro robertino)KRIGGER K 121 5.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  NATURALLY BLONDE Sep27 Aug24 Aug03 Jun15 Apr26 (evans j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00    
8  SWISS DANCER Sep21 Sep07 Aug17 Jul12 May26 (eikleberry kevi)VERGARA P 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.