Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Monday - November 10, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-1   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(1/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(1/2/6)-(8/5/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-2   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(8/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(8/5/3)-(7/4/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (8/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/3)-(8/5/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/5/3)-(8/5/7/3)-(8/5/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/5/3)-(7/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/5/3)-(7/4/3/2)-(4/9/2/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (7/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/3/2)-(4/9/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3/2)-(4/9/2/7)-(1/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-5   WIN (4/9/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/2/7)-(4/9/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/2/7)-(4/9/2/7)-(4/9/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/9/2/7)-(1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/9/2/7)-(1/2/5)-(2/4/8/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(2/4/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(2/4/8/7)-(8/1/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-7   WIN (2/4/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/8/7)-(2/4/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/8/7)-(2/4/8/7)-(2/4/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/8/7)-(8/1/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MVR-8   WIN (8/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/2/4)-(8/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/2/4)-(8/1/2/4)-(8/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   11/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STATE OF GRACE Oct28 Oct10 Sep16 Sep03 Aug26 (gonzalez d)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 20.00    
TALL GIRL Oct23 Oct05 Sep14 Aug24 Aug10 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 3.00    
FIONA Sep29 Sep17 Aug18 Jul14 Jun18 (jackson r)PARKER L 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
MAUREENLOVESFRANK Oct15 Sep29 Sep16 Aug26 Jul15 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 1.60    
PRINCESS HALIME Oct29 Oct15 Sep26 Jun16 Feb26 (yoder susa)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 119 4.00 39% 1.60    
PEARLINTHEROUGH Oct29 Sep29 Sep17 Sep01 Aug18 (romero a)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-2   11/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALID CONNECTION Oct20 Oct07 Sep23 Aug16 Jun08 (calderon iva)HALDAR J 124 2.00 75% 0.30    
PREDECESSOR Oct30 Oct15 Sep26 Aug04 Jul12 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PICO PLAT Nov08 Oct23 Oct02 Sep14 Aug14 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 0.80    
EL ADIVINO Oct20 Sep24 Sep03 Aug11 Jul27 (flores christi)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
BLAKELY'S BOY Sep28 Aug21 Jul26 Jul13 Mar27 (nesbitt a)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
MARAVICH Oct30 Oct15 Sep26 Sep09 Aug27 (szczepanski emil)AVILES YAN 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-3   11/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DATTTSAFANCYFOX Oct27 Oct08 Sep21 Aug28 Aug13 (urieta johann)TOLEDO S 124 4.50    
GENERAL GINNY Oct07 Sep20 Jul30 Jun28 May23 (smith larry)DIAZ I 124 3.50    
TAKING CHARGE DESI Oct27 Oct08 Aug13 Jul15 Jun23 (szczepanski emil)AVILES YAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
COUNTLESS DREAMS Oct07 Sep26 Sep10 Jan25 Nov24 (anderson l)PARKER L 124 5.00    
GRACE AND GLORY Oct22 Sep25 Aug27 Aug05 Jul01 (tumblin kristina)VIGIL NOEL 124 8.00 10% 8.80    
SABELLE Sep10 Aug28 Aug11 Jun30 Jun09 (castro raque)TERRAZA GERMAN 124 15.00    
MAGICGIRL Oct27 Sep24 Sep08 Aug11 Jul17 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 6.00    
QUICK RECOVERY Jun03 May08 Apr12 Mar22 Feb28 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 2.50 66% 0.50    
 
MVR-4   11/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAM ON BABY Oct13 Sep15 Sep01 Aug17 Aug08 (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 126 5.00    
EXONERATED PREZ Oct23 Oct10 Jun30 Jun10 May26 (schuster robin)AVILES YAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
MSHINDI Oct13 Sep23 Aug29 Aug13 Jul17 (faulkner )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
LOGICO Oct20 Oct10 Sep18 Jul17 Jul02 (genovese richard)VIGIL NOEL 124 10.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  FATIH Oct27 Oct10 Sep17 Aug26 Nov27 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.50    
PANTHERA'S FATE Oct30 Oct14 Aug26 Jul08 Jun21 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 126 3.00    
GAME BOY BENNY Oct12 Sep09 Aug10 Jul28 Jul01 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
LAND MARK DEAL Oct23 Oct09 Sep21 Aug31 Aug10 (faulkner r)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 119 12.00    
 
MVR-5   11/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SAILINGTHEISLANDS Oct29 Oct03 Mar05 Feb08 Jan16 (mahan p)DIAZ I 124 4.00    
BOUND TO SUCCEED Oct20 Sep26 Aug24 Aug04 Jun26 (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00 6% 16.00    
EILEEN'S DESPERADO Oct29 Sep23 Aug27 Aug13 Jun25 (rettele )FERNANDEZ R 124 12.00    
QUARANTINO Oct29 Oct09 Sep17 Sep02 Aug13 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 124 3.50 44% 1.30    
DAYTONA GOLD Oct29 Oct07 Sep26 Sep09 Aug25 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 5.00    
SCR  ISLAND BOSS Oct09 Sep17 Aug27 Aug04 Jul10 (galloway k)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 117 20.00    
INTERVAL Oct30 Oct07 Sep23 Sep08 Aug25 (vlaun man)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
CUPIX Sep11 Jul13 Jun17 May20 May05 (reed eric )WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 10.00    
STAROFTHEGAME Oct23 Dec11 Oct30 Sep30   (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 122 4.50 21% 3.80    
10  ASK ISAAC Oct29 Oct06 Sep15 Aug20 Aug05 (jackson james)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00    
 
MVR-6   11/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 2 F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAY PERFECTION Oct25 Sep18 Aug06     (rone mike)RIVERA R 120 1.60 38% 1.60    
ECHO VALLEY Oct25 Oct15 Sep22 Aug25   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 2.00 24% 3.10    
STRIKING LADY Oct20 Oct09 Sep22 Aug25 Aug14 (bailey ricardo)VIGIL NOEL 122 8.00    
DUNN'S RIVER Oct25 Oct09 Sep19 Aug14 Jul17 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 120 2.50    
JUST RUNNIN Oct09 Sep02       (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RIVERS ANGEL Oct14 Sep27 Sep02 Aug16 Jul17 (corriveau jo)KEISER CHELSEY 122 15.00    
 
MVR-7   11/10/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUDDEN SHIFT Oct27 Oct13 Sep22 Sep02 Aug07 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 126 4.50    
RUNAWAY HARRY Oct14 Sep30 Sep23 Aug25 Aug04 (pappada jul)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
LONG SHORTS Oct06 Sep20 Sep10 Aug23 Aug02 (decker ann)HERNANDEZ N 122 10.00    
HARVARD Oct30 Oct20 Oct11 Sep06 Aug13 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  NAPA DUDE Oct01 Sep08 Aug26 Aug05 Mar27 (casalinov)MARTINEZ L 124 20.00    
ROYAL DRAGOON Oct27 Oct01 Sep23 Aug03 Jun12 (urieta johanna)PARKER L 124 6.00    
TURNSANDCONDITIONS Oct14 Sep22 Sep01 Aug29 Aug04 (pappada julie)BRACHO A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
VINNY AND LEO Oct27 Oct08 Sep04 Aug18 Jul02 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 5.00 11% 8.50    
 
MVR-8   11/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LATE FOR A DATE Oct26 Sep10       (vecchio ca)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 119 8.00 17% 4.80    
CLEARLY INISH Oct02 Sep14       (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 8% 11.30    
SHADY NIGHTS Oct09 Sep25 Sep04 Aug14 Jul17 (sullivan ellio)DIAZ I 124 3.50    
RUBY RIVER Oct09 Aug23 Jul30 Jul12 Jul04 (sondej)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 5% 17.70    
SMOOVE OVER Oct26 Sep14 Jul04 Jun22 Jun06 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 126 2.00    
FEISTY MAMA Sep25 Sep10 Aug19     (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
LADY ARTIST Oct25 Sep13 Aug30 Jul03 Jun12 (nesbitt a)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 15.00    
IDES OF DEMARCH Sep30 Sep10 Aug15 Jul09   (cruz jesus)SOSA LAUREANO 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.