Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - November 05, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-1   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(6/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(6/1/3)-(3/6/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-2   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(3/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(3/6/4/5)-(5/8/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-3   WIN (3/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/5)-(3/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/5)-(3/6/4/5)-(3/6/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/4/5)-(5/8/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4/5)-(5/8/3/6)-(2/5/4/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-4   WIN (5/8/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/3/6)-(5/8/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/3/6)-(5/8/3/6)-(5/8/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/3/6)-(2/5/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/3/6)-(2/5/4/7)-(6/10/8/2/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
MVR-5   WIN (2/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/7)-(2/5/4/7/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/7)-(2/5/4/7/12)-(2/5/4/7/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/5/4/7)-(6/10/8/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4/7)-(6/10/8/2/7)-(6/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-6   WIN (6/10/8/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/10/8/2/7)-(6/10/8/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/10/8/2/7)-(6/10/8/2/7)-(6/10/8/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/10/8/2/7)-(6/5/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/10/8/2/7)-(6/5/2)-(2/9/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-7   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2/7)-(6/5/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(2/9/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (2/9/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/3/5)-(2/9/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/3/5)-(2/9/3/5)-(2/9/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MVR-1   11/05/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15.6K) 2 ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GONZALO Oct16 Oct02       (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 3.00    
MOMBO JUMBO         (farrior anthony)BOWEN ROCCO 122 2.50 68% 0.50    
SHUKRAN Oct15 Sep26 Sep12     (urieta johanna)PARKER L 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
STRIKE BREAKER Oct15         (re)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GUNN'S ROAR Oct11 Aug27       (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 122 6.00    
SCR  BEE THE FORCE         (cash l)BRACHO A 122 2.00    
COSMIC COLLISSION Sep17 Aug17       (cash l)AVILES YAN 122 8.00    
 
MVR-2   11/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKY KEY Oct06 Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 Aug08 (melancon pau)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PHOTO HOP Oct08 Sep10 Aug21 Jul29 Jul02 (castillo jab)HALDAR J 124 6.00    
OUTA JAIL ON BAIL Oct09 Jul08 Apr24 Apr07 Mar27 (erdel john)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CLOUD FOREST Sep27 Aug22 Jun05 Apr27 Feb23 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00    
LAST U TURN Sep26 Sep15 Aug26 Aug13 Feb21 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
COCKTAILS AT NOON Oct04 Sep05 Aug09 Jun21 May25 (farrior anthony)PARKER L 124 1.20 74% 0.40    
MOON CHARGER Oct19 Oct06 Sep24 Sep04 Aug13 (cambray andres)DIAZ CESAR 124 15.00    
 
MVR-3   11/05/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIVING IN STYLE Oct22 Oct01 Aug26 Aug05 Jul01 (morales s)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
COUNTRYCLUB COUPLE Oct10 Sep18 Aug29 Aug22 Jul16 (farrior anthony)PARKER L 124 4.50    
AMERICAN OF COURSE Oct15 Sep08 Aug05 Mar22 Mar02 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
INNER HARBOR Oct22 Aug09 Jul30 Jul05 Jun21 (smith larry)BOWEN ROCCO 124 4.00 8% 11.20    
REMEMBER ME Oct08 Jun26 May21 Apr29 Apr03 (crumley jevon)DIAZ I 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
MALI BALI Oct22 Oct01 Sep16 Aug26 Aug05 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.00 33% 2.10    
ROWDY DAISY Oct22 Oct09 Sep10 Aug26 Jul01 (galloway k)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 119 12.00    
 
MVR-4   11/05/2025 5490ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHIVAREE (GB) Oct23 Oct13 Sep24 Sep09 Aug03 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 4.00    
RHUMJAR Oct20 Oct01 Sep01 Aug01 Jul19 (farrior anthony)PARKER L 124 6.00    
BOLDNESS Oct20 Oct08 Sep25 Jul21 Jul03 (rivera ne)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
DR SCHUSTER Oct21 Oct07 Sep23 Sep11 Aug18 (schuster robi)BRACHO A 126 5.00    
SWEEPING GIANT Oct07 Sep11 Aug21 Aug03 Jul08 (galloway khadee)FELICIANO R 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
DR JACK FLYER Aug04 Jul10 Jun17 Jun02 May08 (reed r)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
ANDY CANT Oct13 Sep24 Sep03 Aug10 Jun11 (meyers)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 12.00    
PUFF'SMAGICDRAGON Oct07 Sep11 Aug07 Jun17 May22 (juarez-mendoz)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50 27% 2.80    
 
MVR-5   11/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THAT'S FAIR Oct22 Oct04 Sep20     (smith larry)DIAZ I 122 12.00    
  (by GREAT GLADIATOR out of UNDER LOCK AND KEY by BOLD WARRIOR)
SOUP TODAY Oct04 Sep19 Aug13 Aug01   (stephen anthony)PARKER L 122 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by EVENT DRIVEN out of PAOLA by MISREMEMBERED)
MOTOWN DREAM Oct01 Sep12 Aug25 Aug06   (rone m)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 15.00    
  (by MOBIL out of DREAM ON JILLY by OVERANALYZE)
SCR  DR SPIRITO         (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 122 15.00 19% 4.40    
  (by DOMINUS out of LOVE SPUN by HARD SPUN)
SAMMY'S HALO Oct22 Oct01 Sep12 Aug25 Aug06 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 122 4.50 22% 3.50    
  (by DRILL out of REFLECTING RIVA by LION HEARTED)
RASCAL FLASH Oct22 Oct01       (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 8.00    
  (by DRILL out of ZARLANZ by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
CLASSIC DAVID         (lopez jacint)TAPARA BRANDON 122 20.00 11% 8.10    
  (by AIR STRIKE out of CLASSY KATHERINE by OLD FORESTER)
CHASING ORION Oct22 Oct01       (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 6.00    
  (by ONE SIDED out of NOMIRACLESNEEDED by UNION RAGS)
DREAM BOY Oct22         (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 122 20.00    
  (by DREAMLINER out of REIGNING GAL by FIRST DUDE)
10  MY PAISAN Oct22 Oct01 Sep12 Aug25   (casalinova ti)CEDILLO MAURO 122 20.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of DOUBLE STUFF by DOUBLE HONOR)
11  RIVERS OF WEALTH Oct22 Oct01 Sep12 Aug25 Aug06 (faulkner )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of CALLMEBELLA by PALACE MALICE)
12  RINGTHATBELL Oct22 Oct01 Sep12 Aug06 Jun25 (cline c)HOUGHTON D 122 4.00    
  (by INDY WIND out of OCTOBER SONG by BERNSTEIN)
 
MVR-6   11/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRIT OF AKRON Oct21 Oct09 Sep23 Sep11 Aug19 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
RAISE THE PURSES Jun17 May28 May07 Apr21 Mar19 (morales m)AVILES YAN 124 12.00 13% 6.70    
A PRAYER FOR KIDS Sep30 Sep18 Aug27 Aug12 Jul09 (re)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00    
GOLDSTRIKER Oct13 Jul16 Jul03 Jun17 May27 (morales m)VIGIL NOEL 124 15.00    
RED HEAD KID Sep30 Sep10 Aug29 Aug07 Jul26 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 124 6.00    
INTO GOLD Oct21 Oct14 Sep18 Sep09 Aug19 (mahan )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 33% 2.00    
DERBY INCLUDED Oct21 Sep26 Sep12 Aug21 Feb26 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
GAPPER Oct21 Oct09 Sep18 Aug29 Aug12 (poole m)BRACHO A 124 5.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  WORTHY OPPONENT Oct09 Sep18 Aug27 Aug06 Jul01 (huffman candace)BOWEN ROCCO 124 12.00    
10  MO DONT NO Oct21 Oct07 Sep11 Aug12 Jul10 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 17% 5.00    
 
MVR-7   11/05/2025 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PATRIARCHAL Oct22 Oct03 Sep22 Jul09 Jun10 (vecchio c)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 6.00    
RAMSEY Oct21 Oct08 Sep22 Sep09 Aug07 (castillo jab)HALDAR J 124 10.00 5% 18.60    
LAW OF THE JUNGLE Oct21 Oct07 Aug26 Aug04 Jul03 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 4.00    
ED'S REWARD Oct13 Sep04 Aug01 Jun21 Jun06 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 124 2.50    
K KID Oct07 Sep17 Aug27 Aug04 Jul01 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 12.00 25% 2.90    
STRATEGIST Oct16 Sep25 Sep13 Sep05 Aug09 (farrior anthony)PARKER L 122 2.00 39% 1.60    
THAT'S THE WAY Sep25 Sep01 Aug04 Mar19 Feb26 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00    
SIGHT UNSEEN Oct21 Oct07 Sep10 Aug20 Aug04 (ray kevin)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 119 15.00    
 
MVR-8   11/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
S'MOR CRAFTY Oct14 Sep09 Aug21 Jul15 Jun21 (guciardo robert)FELICIANO R 124 10.00    
ILLUMINATE (IRE) Oct21 Sep23 Aug22 Jul14 Jun21 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 122 1.60 55% 0.80    
PRIDE AND ATTITUDE Oct21 Oct03 Sep16 Aug06 Jul14 (poole m)BRACHO A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
J. P INDY Oct21 Oct04 Sep04 Aug08 Jul05 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 124 12.00    
ELECTRIC MELODY Sep24 Jul14 Jun25 May19 Dec27 (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
LESOTHO Oct21 Oct04 Aug22 Jul12 Feb10 (cline c)AVILES YAN 124 15.00    
EXALTADA Oct21 Sep23 Aug29 Aug11 Jun25 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 6.00    
SCR  I BELONG FIRST Oct10 Sep16 Aug12 Jun21 Nov07 (fadlovich meg)CEDILLO MAURO 122 8.00    
CARMEL ROSE Aug29 Aug01 Jul18 Jul05 Jun06 (stephen anthony)PARKER L 122 2.50 22% 3.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.