Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Saturday - October 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (7/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/8)-(7/2/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/8)-(7/2/4/8)-(7/2/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/4/8)-(4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/2/4/8)-(4/5)-(3/4/1/7) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
SA-2   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/5)-(3/4/1/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(3/4/1/7)-(4/1/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
SA-3   WIN (3/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/7)-(3/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/7)-(3/4/1/7)-(3/4/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/1/7)-(4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/7)-(4/1/3)-(7/3/9/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-4   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(7/3/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(7/3/9/6)-(3/5/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-5   WIN (7/3/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/9/6)-(7/3/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/9/6)-(7/3/9/6)-(7/3/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/9/6)-(3/5/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/3/9/6)-(3/5/4/7)-(6/2/3/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
SA-6   WIN (3/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/4/7)-(6/2/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4/7)-(6/2/3/4)-(6/4/7/1/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
SA-7   WIN (6/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/3/4)-(6/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/3/4)-(6/2/3/4)-(6/2/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/3/4)-(6/4/7/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3/4)-(6/4/7/1/5)-(3/2/7/8/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
SA-8   WIN (6/4/7/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/1/5)-(6/4/7/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/1/5)-(6/4/7/1/5)-(6/4/7/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/7/1/5)-(3/2/7/8/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
SA-9   WIN (3/2/7/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/8/9)-(3/2/7/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/8/9)-(3/2/7/8/9)-(3/2/7/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   10/11/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 35 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRANK ZAPPA Aug24 Jul26 Nov17     (gaines carl)HERRERA A 122 5.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of GHOST JUMPER by GHOSTZAPPER)
2  CHOSEN SON         (baltas ric)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 26% 2.90    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of FAVORITE DAUGHTER by TIZNOW)
3  POOR CONNECTION Sep01 Aug08 Jun14 Aug11   (mccarthy w)DEMURO M 122 6.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of REGAL SERENADE by BROKEN VOW)
4  LEGAL HEIR Jul18 May10       (mandella ric)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 4.50 12% 7.30    
  (by LORD CARSON out of EASY TO PRAISE by ALWUHUSH)
5  ARTIC POWER (IRE) Aug30 Jul19       (damato)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 4.00    
  (by TAMAYUZ out of HANVARANA by LEROIDESANIMAUX)
6  IRON (FR) Aug30 Jul19 Dec01 Oct13   (mccarthy m)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 12.00    
  (by SOTTSASS out of MELIJA by MONSUN)
7  NEVER AMBLING (IRE) Aug30         (damato phil)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of STRUT by BERNARDINI)
8  IRISH ELEMENT Sep28 Aug23 Aug01 Jun29 May26 (o'neill doug)LEZCANO ABEL 122 20.00 9% 10.60    
  (by TEXAS RYANO out of SUSAN B GOOD by GOOD JOURNEY)
 
SA-2   10/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MADEIRA WINE Aug29 Jul27 Jun15 May16 Apr18 (badilla man)CARMONA SERAFIN 122 4.00 ★    
2  MIRACLE BALL Aug28 Aug08 Jun29 Sep14 Aug10 (barocio libr)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 2.00    
3  BIG CELEBRATION Jul26 Jun01 Apr25 Mar15 Feb02 (mullins jef)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 122 4.50    
4  THERESASILVERLININ Aug31 Jul27 May24 Apr16 Feb23 (knapp )BERRIOS ISAAC 122 3.00 44% 1.30    
5  BUDS N SUDS Sep07 Aug01 Jun29 May25 May02 (knapp steve)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 6.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  VALKYRIAN (IRE) Jul27 May16 Apr18 Mar22   (badilla manue)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 5.00    
 
SA-3   10/11/2025 3960ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLT SUPREMACY Aug10 Jun20 Jun07 May03 Mar22 (baltas)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 4.50 11% 8.10    
2  POTITO Sep05 Aug14 Jul24 Mar08 Oct21 (gaines carl)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 3.50    
3  THIRTY TWO CHUNK Aug22 Jun28 Jun01 Mar30   (glatt mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 3.00 35% 1.90    
4  VANCOUGAR Sep13 Aug16 Jul18 Sep17 Aug19 (eurton pet)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.00 23% 3.40    
5  THE RABBI Sep07 Aug17 Jul18 Jul21 Jun13 (ellis ronald )AYUSO ARMANDO 124 4.00    
6  SMILING TIZZY Sep20 Aug21 Aug02 Jun13 Apr27 (oviedo phil)FREY KYLE 122 20.00    
7  MUTT DILLIN Aug21 Aug02 Apr04 Mar08 Feb16 (capestro pa)AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
SA-4   10/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($61K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLOONEY Sep21 Aug23 Aug01 Jun16 May19 (miller pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 123 10.00 16% 5.20    
2  WESTWOOD Aug24 Jun08 Apr05 Mar14 Feb14 (shirre)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 3.50    
3  MINING DISTRICT Sep06 Aug02 Jun14 May17 Apr19 (o'neill doug)KIMURA KAZUSHI 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  DEL MAR JERRY Sep06 Aug08 Jul20 Jun06 May04 (miyadi steven)MALDONADO E 123 1.40 58% 0.70    
SCR  HAPPY SPRINTER Sep13 Jun14 May19     (knapp steve)AYUSO ARMANDO 123 20.00    
6  FIRMUS Sep06 Aug02 Nov17 Nov02 Sep14 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.00    
 
SA-5   10/11/2025 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($33K) 35 ALL PT- 6:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINO AMANTE Aug21         (mclean bill)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 20.00    
SCR  DIRTY WORDS Aug21 Aug15 Mar22 Feb16 Nov17 (o'neill doug)BAZE C 122 10.00    
3  BURNING RUBBER Aug14 Jul19 May23 Apr19 Jan03 (mccarthy s)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
4  SALIENT Sep01 Aug07       (mendez luis)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 122 15.00    
5  KIDDO LIGHT Sep26         (valdez jose)CARMONA SERAFIN 122 20.00    
6  GOLDEN SURPRISE         (cassidy james)SMITH E 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  RENO Sep26 Aug14 Jul19 Jun14   (eurton)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 1.40 34% 1.90    
8  B GRAYSON Aug30 Aug21 Jul19 Jul28 May24 (brinkerhoff )KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 15.00    
9  BENEFICIAL Sep07 Aug02 Dec16 Sep02   (yakteen tim)HERRERA A 124 4.00 18% 4.50    
 
SA-6   10/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 6:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOTAL VAL Sep06 Aug17       (mandella e)DEMURO M 122 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ORBOLUTION by ORB)
2  DATS MS. BLAME Sep06 Aug16 Jul19     (o'neill doug)LEZCANO ABEL 122 20.00    
  (by BLAME out of SOLILOQUY by EXCHANGE RATE)
3  SOUNDS LUCKY Sep06         (baffert bob)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by PHONETICS out of RUNNING LUCK by RUN IT)
4  SUPER CORREDORA Aug09 Jul19       (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 1.80 22% 3.60    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SUPER SIMPLE by SUPER SAVER)
5  MISSTRIAL Aug30 Aug02       (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 25% 3.10    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of BLIP SAYS BYE by FED BIZ)
6  ROCCABELLA Aug02         (mccarthy mic)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 20.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of ROYAL AZAHAR by CURLIN)
7  BANK SHOT Aug09         (hanson ryan)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DEMALOOT DEMASHOOT out of AEROSA by PRIVATE ACCOUNT)
 
SA-7   10/11/2025 4290ft TURF RC11 FIRM California Flag Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEA BRENNAN Aug31 Aug01 Jan18 Dec15 Nov01 (damato phil)RISPOLI UMBERTO 119 3.00    
  (by TOUGH SUNDAY out of CARRIE ROSE by OLD TOPPER)
2  LOVESICK BLUES Jul26 Jun14 May10 Mar30 Mar08 (bar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 126 2.50 21% 3.80    
  (by GRAZEN out of QUEENOFHERCASTLE by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
3  BOOK SMART Aug30 Jul25 May24 Apr04 Mar01 (hess b)SMITH E 122 8.00 19% 4.40    
  (by STANFORD out of MAGIC LILY by ROLLICKING)
4  SIR ROCKET Sep07 Aug10 Jul24 Jun07 May11 (drysdale neil)AYUSO ARMANDO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of DESERT STEEL by DESERT CODE)
5  CALI CAT Aug10 Jul18 May24 Apr06 Feb17 (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 117 12.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of READY FOR ROMANCE by MORE THAN READY)
6  MAN O ROSE Sep13 Nov09 Oct19 Sep14 Aug02 (mullins jeff)MALDONADO E 124 3.50 22% 3.60    
  (by STANFORD out of KATHLEEN ROSE by GOOD JOURNEY)
SCR  STAMP MY PASSPORT Sep13 Jul04 May24 Apr02 Mar13 (powell leon)HERRERA A 119 20.00    
  (by VANCOUVER out of SWEET BOSS by STREET BOSS)
8  FLYOVER Sep07 Jul26 May31 Apr18   (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 118 4.50    
  (by OM out of FIRST CLASS FLYER by IN EXCESS (IRE))
 
SA-8   10/11/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($33K) 2 F PT- 7:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISS ME COCO Aug22 Jul18       (koriner brian)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 4.50 7% 12.80    
2  CAN YOU DREAM Sep21 Aug22 Jul19 Jun22 May30 (deleon rafael)DEMURO M 122 15.00    
3  VICTORIA'S JEWEL Aug22 Aug07       (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 6.00    
4  BLAME IT ON ABBY Sep21 Aug28 Aug10 Jul18   (miller pete)AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 4.00 25% 2.90    
5  A GREAT SHAKING         (hanson ryan)LEZCANO ABEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  IMNOTVANILLASKY Aug30 Jul18       (glatt mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 2.50 27% 2.80    
7  FINAL TABLE LADY Sep27 Aug21 Jul18 Jun28 Jun14 (peri)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 6.00 17% 4.90    
8  PASALUBONG Aug15 Jul19       (bonde jeff)ORANTES R 122 30.00    
9  AGUILA AZUL Jul04 Jun22 May30 May02   (valdez jose)CARMONA SERAFIN 122 50.00    
SCR  FAIRLAWNS WAY         (treece s)FREY KYLE 122 10.00    
 
SA-9   10/11/2025 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHOSPHORESCENCE (FR) Aug02 Apr20 Mar01 Dec28 Nov15 (mccarthy m)GONZALEZ RICARDO 123 15.00    
2  ALIGATO Aug02 Jan18 Apr28 Apr06 Feb16 (glatt mark)LEZCANO ABEL 125 8.00 14% 6.10    
3  OLD PAL Jan18 Nov17 Oct12 Aug22 Aug03 (glatt mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 125 3.00 50% 1.00    
4  LAHAINA FLAVOR Aug02 Jun07 May03 Nov30 Nov02 (gallagher p)RISPOLI UMBERTO 123 12.00    
5  LAMMAS (GB) Aug02 May11 Apr05 Feb01 Dec26 (mullins jeff)FREY KYLE 125 6.00    
6  CITY EXILE (GB) Aug30 Aug15 Jul18 May03 Apr05 (damato phi)HERNANDEZ J 123 3.50    
7  HENRY ADAMS (IRE)         (baltas rich)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
8  BRITISH ISLES Sep04 Aug02 Jun08 Apr24 Apr09 (baltas rich)HERRERA A 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  PACKS A WAHLOP Sep01 Aug02 May26 May03 Apr05 (sadler w)BAZE C 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  MANIATIC (IRE) Aug15 Mar02       (mandella e)DEMURO M 125 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.