Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fairmount Park
Saturday - October 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FP-1   WIN (6/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/5)-(6/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/5)-(6/7/1/5)-(6/7/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/1/5)-(6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1/5)-(6/3/2)-(3/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FP-2   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(3/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(3/5/6)-(1/2/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-3   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/6)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(1/2/5)-(3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FP-4   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(3/6)-(7/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FP-5   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/6)-(7/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(7/2/1)-(3/4/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FP-6   WIN (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/1)-(7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/1)-(3/4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1)-(3/4/6/5)-(7/6/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FP-7   WIN (3/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/5)-(3/4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/5)-(3/4/6/5)-(3/4/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/6/5)-(7/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FP-8   WIN (7/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/8)-(7/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/8)-(7/6/8)-(7/6/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FP-1   10/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ODIN THE ACCIDENT Sep27 Aug23       (fridle)ORTEGA JOSEPH 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  MY SECRET Sep30 Sep16 Aug12 Jul22 May17 (laux clay)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 4.00    
3  LUCKY DESTINY Sep06 Aug12 Apr06 Mar15   (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 3.00    
4  YORKTON WHEAT Sep30 Sep19 Aug26 Aug03   (becker scott)FELIX E 120 6.00    
5  HARLEY'SRUNAWAYKID Sep30 Sep16 Aug26 Jun24 Jun07 (lynch e)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  CAJUN CRUISER Sep27 Sep02 Aug22 Jul26 Jun15 (watkins james)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 2.00 43% 1.30    
7  CRYPTOCOURAGE         (delong ben)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 12.00 31% 2.30    
 
FP-2   10/11/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAFE Sep18 Sep11 Jun17 Jun03 May20 (wilborn kev)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 8.00    
2  KEEN RESPONSE Sep19 Sep06 Aug09 Jul19 Jun17 (mosier harol)TAVARES JAVIER 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  MAASAI WARRIOR Sep11 Aug03 Jul12 Jun21 May03 (leonard georg)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 1.80 29% 2.40    
4  YOU'RE IN COREY Sep27 Sep06 Aug09 Jul03 May31 (pompell rober)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 4.00    
5  HIGHLY PERFECT Sep16 Aug30 Aug02 Jul19 Jul01 (quinon)ORTEGA JOSEPH 126 12.00    
6  SHADY MCGEE (IRE) Sep11 Aug24 Jul31 Jul20 Jul10 (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 1.20 44% 1.30    
 
FP-3   10/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  K J 'S RANSOM Sep19 Aug26 Aug05     (rednour jo)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 120 10.00    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of KARAH'S CHANNEL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
SCR  SENOR RUBEN         (becker sco)HERRERA C 120 3.00    
  (by GHAALEB out of CANNETELLA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
3  DON'TTAPTHETILL Sep19 Aug26 Aug05     (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 2.00 45% 1.20    
  (by KHOZAN out of BLUE BABY by TOUCH GOLD)
4  PLAYGROUND WARRIOR Sep19 Aug26 Aug05 Jul12 Jun07 (plasters lori)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 4.00    
  (by DRILL SERGEANT out of LEGACY TYPE by WILDCAT HEIR)
5  LOOKN MACHO         (coontz arthu)TAVARES JAVIER 120 6.00 29% 2.40    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of LOOKN EVEN FINER by POINT GIVEN)
6  LORD BLOCK Sep14 Aug26 Aug03 Jul24 Jul05 (alonso fern)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SUNTRACER out of ROMAFLAME by BURNING ROMA)
 
FP-4   10/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD APPLE Sep19 Aug26 Jun08 Oct13 Aug25 (childers )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 2.00 43% 1.30    
2  GRAYHOP Sep30 Sep09 Aug26 Jul19 Jun28 (plasters lori)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 3.00 25% 2.90    
3  HAND OVER MY HEART Sep19 Jul01 Jun03 May17 Oct29 (essenpreis )ARRIETA REYNIER 124 4.00    
4  GOD GUNS N GUTS Aug12 Jul24 Jul01 Jun03 May17 (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 126 5.00    
5  WESLAN Sep19 Aug23 Aug02 Jul19 Jun24 (wainwright john)FELIX E 124 6.00 7% 12.60    
6  LONESOME DREAM Sep19 Sep02 Aug12 Jun03 Jul09 (higgins denn)GILES EMMANUEL 124 10.00    
 
FP-5   10/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ZEES CLOZURE Sep30 Aug20 Jul21     (delong ben)TAVARES JAVIER 117 10.00    
SCR  PARAYKO Sep06 Aug12 May31     (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 6.00    
3  UNIFIED USYK Sep02 Jul26 Jun17 May31   (becker scott)WALES T 120 2.00 36% 1.80    
4  YOUNG MISCHIEF Sep27 Sep02 Aug23 Jul22 Jun17 (essenpreis )ARRIETA REYNIER 126 3.00    
5  SNEAKY FEET Sep27 Sep06 Aug23 Jul22 May31 (bahena ferna)GILES EMMANUEL 120 4.00    
6  SAND CAST Apr19 Nov28 Oct27 Oct12 Sep05 (leonard georg)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 5.00 15% 5.50    
 
FP-6   10/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON THE MONEY RED Sep16 Aug23 Jul12 Jun24 Jun03 (retana gabe)DIEGO JAVIER 124 10.00 7% 13.50    
2  GIRLOLAMO'GLORY Sep13 Aug09 Jul15 Jun14 May31 (plasters lori)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 5.00 22% 3.60    
3  ST. LOUIE LOUIE Sep21 Jun19 May17 Apr26 Oct26 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 4.50    
SCR  DANZA TAXI May04 Oct06 Aug27 Jul09 Jun08 (becker scott)WALES T 124 2.50    
SCR  GRANDDADDYLONGLEGS Sep16 Sep02 Aug02 Jul19 Jul01 (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 8.00    
6  FEVER NATION Sep25 Sep06 Aug09 Jul19 May31 (jansen kenny)GILES EMMANUEL 124 3.50    
7  JUNIOR BUG Sep06 Aug09 Jul12 May29 May10 (martinez a)FELIX E 122 6.00 29% 2.40    
 
FP-7   10/11/2025 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STROPE Sep13 Jul12 Jun24 Jun08 May06 (wainwright john)FELIX E 124 10.00    
2  WHAT A COUNTRY Sep09 Aug30 Jul31 Jun21 Sep12 (bahena ferna)TAVARES JAVIER 124 12.00    
3  DEL RAYO Sep21 Jul08 May03 Mar15 Feb26 (rodriguez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
4  GOLD SMOKE Sep18 Aug30 Aug07 Jun21 May17 (essenpreis ed)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 4.50 16% 5.40    
5  MISTER SHARPIE Sep13 Aug30 Aug19 Aug02 Jul12 (durham mike)DIEGO JAVIER 124 10.00 7% 13.10    
6  TAPINYOURBLUEJEANS Sep27 Aug05 Jul19 Jun17 May20 (becker scott)WALES T 124 6.00 9% 9.60    
7  BOOGIE BODE Sep09 Aug23 Jul19 Jun21 May29 (watkins m)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 3.50    
8  GET THROUGH Sep09 Aug02 Jul01 Jun14 May10 (plasters )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
 
FP-8   10/11/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPICITA Sep19 Sep02 Aug05 Jul01 May31 (durham mike)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 4.50    
2  DELTA LADY (CHI) Sep16 Aug19 Aug05 Jul01 Jun17 (pompell rob)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 8.00    
SCR  MISS TENA MARIE Sep19 Sep02 Aug05 Jul08 Jun21 (martinez a)FELIX E 124 6.00    
4  FANCY HILL Sep06 Aug09 Jun28 Jun17 May27 (bahena fernand)DIEGO JAVIER 124 10.00    
SCR  BETHY Sep30 Sep06 Aug05 Jul08 Jun24 (randazzo fra)TAVARES JAVIER 124 10.00    
6  ALLABOUTTHEIMAGE Sep19 Sep06 Aug08 Jul04 Jun12 (blea jr)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 3.50 15% 5.80    
7  BIG SALLY Sep30 Sep02 Aug09 Jul08 Jun21 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 2.50 61% 0.60    
8  TENSE Sep30 Sep06 Jun17 May20 May06 (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.