Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Century Downs Tb
Saturday - September 20, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTD-3   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(4/5)-(1/3/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CTD-4   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/5)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
CTD-5   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(3/5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTD-6   WIN (3/5/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/6)-(3/5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/6)-(3/5/1/6)-(3/5/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/1/6)-(5/6/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CTD-7   WIN (5/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/4)-(5/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/4)-(5/6/3/4)-(5/6/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/3/4)-(2/1/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3/4)-(2/1/4/7)-(6/4/1/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CTD-8   WIN (2/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/4/7)-(6/4/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CTD-9   WIN (6/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/1/5)-(6/4/1/9/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/4/1/5)-(6/4/1/9/5)-(6/4/1/9/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CTD-3   09/20/2025 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THATZA MY BOY Aug29 Aug08       (vanoverschof ro)CARTER KYLE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
HOLMDEL HORNET Aug15 Jul07 Jun24 Jun07 Oct26 (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 122 2.50    
BLUE QUILL Sep05 Aug30 Aug15 Jul26 Jul18 (hedge rick)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 1.40 46% 1.20    
BROOKLAND Aug29 Jul25 Jun06 Oct13 Sep28 (rycroft tom)WILLIAMS SCOTT 122 3.00    
HABADABADOO Sep05 Aug01 Jul18 May23 Aug10 (russell mo)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00 7% 14.30    
 
CTD-4   09/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY MUNNINGS MODEL Aug30 Aug01 Jul21 Jul07 Jun24 (anderson gon)FOSTER R 125 4.50    
H K RAPPER Aug17 Aug04 Jul21 Jul07 Jun15 (coney jason)HUGHES RASHEED 123 3.00    
REMARKABLE ELI Sep06 Aug23 Nov02 Oct26 Oct12 (gil)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 3.50    
HE LIKES WINNING Sep06 Aug01 Jul07 Jun13 Oct15 (smith craig )TROTMAN KEIMAR 125 1.60 66% 0.50    
STONE HOUSE Sep01 Aug09 Jul07 Jun27 Jun07 (brown r)CARTER KYLE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTD-5   09/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C C SUNRISE Sep05 Aug22 Aug08 Jul18 Jul07 (cone rodney)HUGHES RASHEED 125 3.00 43% 1.30    
SINGING BELL Sep06 Aug16 Aug01 Jun27 Jun06 (hedge rick)NATERA KEIHTON 125 1.60    
TEXAS LEGACY Sep06 Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 Jul07 (bell jess)FLETCHER SAMANTHA 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
WHEELSUPINTHIRTY Sep06 Aug22 Aug08 Aug04 Jul18 (biggs seymour)LUNAN RICHARD 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
BEAUTIFUL BABE Sep05 Aug22 Aug08 Jun27 May30 (calhoun kim)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 10.00    
DAZ LIN FORCE Jul25 Jun28 Jun06 May17 May03 (robertson je)TROTMAN KEIMAR 125 2.00    
 
CTD-6   09/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE APPLE SEVEN         (petrowski )MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00 14% 6.30    
EXPECT THE BIZ         (nichols)CHASE RICHARD 122 5.00    
JACKPOT BAR         (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 122 4.00 23% 3.30    
ITSNOTABOUTHEMONEY Aug16 Jul18 Jun24     (henson rober)HUGHES RASHEED 122 2.50    
SCR  SERENAS LAST DANCE         (a)GRIFFITH DELANE 122 4.50 14% 6.20    
SHE'S ON FIRE Sep05 Jul26 Jul20 Jul13 Oct19 (wippert)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
CRANBERRY CHILL Aug29 Aug02 Jul18 Jun24 Jun06 (hedge rick)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 2.00    
 
CTD-7   09/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TYBOLA Aug02         (hedge rick)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 8.00    
SWOOPED UP LILLY Sep12 Aug09 Jun28 Nov13   (zielke madis)NATERA KEIHTON 122 3.50    
SASSY SWAY Sep05         (nichol)STEADMAN LEON 122 10.00 6% 15.90    
BIZZY LIZZY Aug02 Jul18       (heggie rod)BRYAN D 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
CLASSY REGARD'S Aug30 Jul25 Jul11 Jun24   (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 122 2.00 40% 1.50    
BRIAR'S ROSE Aug29 Aug16 Jul25 Jul13   (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 122 5.00 20% 4.00    
HOLA LOLA Aug04 Jul11 Jun24     (anderson gon)FOSTER R 122 4.00    
 
CTD-8   09/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RICHARDS COMMAND Sep06 Aug15 Aug04 Jul18 Jul07 (cone rodney)HUGHES RASHEED 125 4.50 22% 3.50    
BOOTIFUL ROSE Sep06 Aug15 Aug04 Jul26 Jul07 (frey carson)TROTMAN KEIMAR 125 2.50 40% 1.50    
SHE'S MY NIECE Aug22 Aug01 Jun27 Jun06 May09 (zielke madis)NATERA KEIHTON 125 4.00    
GO MAMA Sep06 Aug22 Aug04 Jun24 May30 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
WHERE'S THE PUMPS Sep06 Aug22 Aug04 Jul18 Jun27 (kenway)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 6.00    
B B'S WILDFIRE Aug01 May17 Nov03 Aug30 Jul17 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.50    
KULSUM Sep06 Jul26 Jun28 Jun13 May31 (rycroft tom)WILLIAMS SCOTT 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTD-9   09/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHICKOUTTHEBIZZ Sep05 Aug29 Aug16 Aug01   (brown r)CARTER KYLE 122 8.00 9% 10.30    
BRI'S BOY Aug30 Aug16 Aug01 Jul19 Jun24 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 4.50    
LIFESBEENGOODTOME Sep14 Aug23 Jul19 Jul13 Mar27 (dennis )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 125 30.00    
HANDSOME HENRY Aug30 Aug16 Aug01 May30 Nov03 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 6.00 14% 6.00    
HARBOR DANCER Aug23 Jul25 Jul04 Jun13 May30 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
DETERMINED FREEDOM Sep06 Aug23 Aug09 Jul25 Jul04 (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 125 10.00 38% 1.60    
SAMURAI CHALLENGE Sep06 Nov03 Sep28 Aug31 Aug16 (smith w)CHASE RICHARD 123 8.00    
TIME 'N TIME AGAIN Aug30 Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 Jun24 (bell ken)LUNAN RICHARD 123 20.00    
ALBERTA BERBON Sep06 Aug23 Jul05 Jun06 May10 (robertson je)NATERA KEIHTON 125 1.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.