Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hawthorne
Thursday - September 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-1   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(3/2/5)-(3/4/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-2   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(3/4/1)-(2/5/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-3   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(2/5/6)-(1/2/8/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-4   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(1/2/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(1/2/8/3)-(8/2/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-5   WIN (1/2/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/8/3)-(1/2/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/8/3)-(1/2/8/3)-(1/2/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/8/3)-(8/2/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/8/3)-(8/2/6/3)-(6/3/4/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-6   WIN (8/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/6/3)-(8/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/6/3)-(8/2/6/3)-(8/2/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/6/3)-(6/3/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/2/6/3)-(6/3/4/5)-(5/3/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-7   WIN (6/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/5)-(6/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/5)-(6/3/4/5)-(6/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/4/5)-(5/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HAW-8   WIN (5/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/9)-(5/3/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/9)-(5/3/9)-(5/3/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HAW-1   09/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LINE TO GAIN Aug28 Aug17 Jul31 Jul20 Jun29 (villalobo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 4.50    
GABAGOOL Sep11 Aug17 Aug03 Jul17 Jun19 (campbell j)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 1.40 36% 1.80    
FINDAWAY Aug07 Apr24 Mar21 Feb13 Dec08 (miller pa)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 117 2.50 34% 1.90    
CHAMPAGNE MIKE Aug28 Aug17 Jul31 Jul20 Jul03 (rosas rig)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
CAN MAN DO Sep04 Aug07 Jul17 Jul03 May29 (moreno irvin)TAVARES JAVIER 122 8.00    
I'M YOUR CAPTAIN Aug30 Jul01 Jun12 Apr24 Apr03 (alonso fernan)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-2   09/18/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLIE WRAYS KITTY Aug31 Jun29 Oct06 Sep15 Jul21 (rednou)ORTEGA JOSEPH 124 20.00    
  (by BIG BLUE KITTEN out of MALLORY'S CHANNEL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
LAUREN'S WAR Aug31 Aug19 Jul26 Jun29 Oct29 (rednour jo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WAR CORRESPONDENT out of KARAH'S CHANNEL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
NELLA Aug23 Jul26       (essenpreis ed)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 4.00 63% 0.60    
  (by LORD NELSON out of SAYALILPRAYERFORME by READY'S IMAGE)
SCR  SADIE'S SWEET RIDE Aug10 Jul17 Jun12 Jun01   (block chris)FELIX E 121 0.80    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of FORT PRADA by FORT PRADO)
WAHIDA OF MARDAN Aug31 Aug10 Jul17 Jun29 May08 (nesbitt a)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SKIPSHOT out of STUPEFACTION by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
HOT T'MATER Sep09 Aug10 Jul08 Jun21 Oct12 (essenpreis )ARRIETA REYNIER 121 3.50    
  (by ALTERNATION out of LIMEHOUSE DANCER by LIMEHOUSE)
 
HAW-3   09/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LALY Aug24 Aug07 Jul13 Jun26 Sep12 (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
MISS MIKOS Aug24 Jul13 Jun26 Jun05 May04 (robertson hugh)MOJICA O 124 2.50    
LITTLE POISON Aug29 Jul26 Jul05 Jun05 Nov24 (tracy tann)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 1.80 52% 0.90    
DISGUISED DEVIL Aug07 Jul13 Jun07 May15 Apr24 (reavis mic)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 119 4.00 19% 4.30    
CLOEY ATTACK Aug07 Jul13 Jun26 May10 Apr22 (childers shane)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 3.50    
 
HAW-4   09/18/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ICE AXE Aug28 Aug07 Jul20 Jul03 Jun26 (villalobos heri)REYES FRANK 122 8.00    
SIXWILLBERICH Aug28 Aug14 Jul20 Jul12 Jun08 (rodriguez hugo)MOJICA O 124 2.00 37% 1.70    
DICK BEST Aug31 Aug21 Jul19 Jul03 Jun19 (simonovic)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.50    
BLURT Aug28 Aug14 Jul10 Jun29 Jun15 (dizeo dino)TAVARES JAVIER 122 4.50    
RICKY BOBBY Aug22 Jul31 Jul13 Jun22 Feb14 (rosin coty)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 3.00 33% 2.10    
REGIMENTAL Aug30 Jul20 Jul06 Jun12 May29 (rodriguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-5   09/18/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZOOMBIE Sep04 Aug10 Aug03 Jul14 Jun24 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 1.00 37% 1.70    
GRAND HIDEAWAY Aug31 Aug03 Jul06 May11 Dec12 (reid r)COLON H 122 6.00 26% 2.90    
DEVILS RED Aug31 Aug10 Jul17 Jul06 Jun19 (reid david)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00 5% 18.90    
CYCLONE ATTACK Aug31 Oct03 Aug29 Jul28 May25 (childers shane)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 8.00    
NEON DEION Sep04 Aug10 Jul20 Jun26 Jun08 (simonovic)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 4.50    
SAFE Sep11 Jun17 Jun03 May20 Apr26 (wilborn kevin)REYES FRANK 122 20.00    
STORM'S REFLECTION Sep04 Aug17 Jul20 Jun29 Jun08 (reyes martin)TAVARES JAVIER 122 20.00    
RACE DRIVER Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 Jun24 May10 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00 10% 9.10    
 
HAW-6   09/18/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRET OPERATION Aug17 Aug03 Jun26 May22 May01 (slager mike)LOPEZ A 122 20.00    
KELLY'S GIRL Aug07 Jul13 Apr24 Sep08   (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 2.50 24% 3.20    
CALL ME CHRISTINE Aug25 Jul15       (martinez a)FELIX E 119 8.00 10% 9.00    
MARY MOONGLOW Aug21 Aug03 Jul10 May22 Apr22 (dizeo dino)REYES FRANK 119 12.00    
LA REYNITA Aug28 Jun12 May22 Apr27 Apr06 (rodriguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 8.00    
CANTOO Sep06 Aug17 Aug02 Jul08 Jun03 (wainwrigh)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00 11% 8.40    
THINK FAST Aug30 Jun12       (clay pat)MOJICA O 121 4.00    
SULTRY KITTEN Jul13 Jun20 Dec01 Oct07 Sep01 (rosin coty)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 3.50 33% 2.10    
 
HAW-7   09/18/2025 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIVE O' SOMEWHERE Aug10 Jun03 Apr06 Dec01 Nov17 (spraggins ken)HERNANDEZ K 122 15.00    
INDYVILLE Aug21 Jul31 Jun19 May17 Oct29 (boyce michel)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 4.00    
LEADING THE CHARGE Aug28 Jun14 May12 Aug21 Jul25 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 5.00 27% 2.70    
CONGRATS ON FIFTY Aug21 Jul10 Jun05 May25 Apr06 (robertson )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
LOOKIN FOR BALA Jul01 Jun10 Apr26 Oct17 Sep14 (essenpreis ed)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
ONE TIMER Jul02 May24 Dec14 Oct05 Sep07 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 0.80 41% 1.40    
DINOS DIXIE Aug31 Aug14 Aug03 Jul06 May11 (simonovic)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
SCR  KING CAB Aug24 Jul04 May25 May17 Apr26 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 8.00    
SCR  RAVIN'S RANSOM Aug21 Aug12 Jul19 Jun26 May17 (rivelli larry)FELIX E 121 6.00    
 
HAW-8   09/18/2025 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DANVILLE Sep11 Aug28 Aug10 Jul20 Jun12 (banks chr)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 117 10.00    
SCR  BYWORD Sep04 Aug17 Jul24 Jul06 May29 (candelas b)GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 20.00    
MCMONEY Aug28 Jul10 Jun29 May29 May04 (banks chris)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 8.00 7% 12.40    
SCR  MILLARD'S SMILE Aug30 Aug09 Jul17 Jul05 Jun12 (manley steve)FELIX E 122 10.00    
POLTERER Aug30 Jul31 Feb24 Feb08 Jan19 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 122 12.00 41% 1.40    
GENERAL ISSUE (FR) Aug31 Aug10 Jul17 Jun29 Jun08 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.50    
GOLD SMOKE Aug30 Aug07 Jun21 May17 Apr26 (essenprei)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
HOODLUM Aug31 Aug10 Jul03 Jun22 May18 (reavis mic)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 1.80    
LUCKY BOSS Aug19 Aug02 Jul19 Jun07 May03 (rodriguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.