Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - September 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (8/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/4/7)-(8/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/4/7)-(8/5/4/7)-(8/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/4/7)-(5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/5/4/7)-(5/2/6)-(2/1/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(2/1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(2/1/4/3)-(2/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (2/1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/4/3)-(2/1/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4/3)-(2/1/4/3)-(2/1/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/4/3)-(2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4/3)-(2/1/4)-(6/5/8/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(6/5/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(6/5/8/2)-(1/4/8/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (6/5/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/8/2)-(6/5/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/8/2)-(6/5/8/2)-(6/5/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/8/2)-(1/4/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/8/2)-(1/4/8/7)-(6/5/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/4/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/8/7)-(1/4/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/8/7)-(1/4/8/7)-(1/4/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/8/7)-(6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/8/7)-(6/5/7)-(5/4/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/7)-(6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/7)-(5/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (5/4/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/1)-(5/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/1)-(5/4/3/1)-(5/4/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   09/18/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER KENDALL Jul31 Jul10 Jun13 May23 May10 (smith osborne)LARA VICTOR 110 20.00    
SCR  SONG AND A BREEZE Aug23 Aug15 Jul25 Jul06 May08 (murdock st)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 1.20    
3  HOLY BRICK Sep06 Aug13 Jun29 Jun08 May04 (shankle joan)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 5.00    
4  NEW YORK LIGHTS Aug24 Aug09 Jul31 Jun27   (brown ronney)BELISARIO JUAN 111 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  HIS CHOICE Sep05 Aug08 Jul05 Jun27 May22 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 4.50 33% 2.00    
6  FELINE FACTOR Apr18         (barr h)ACOSTA D 120 15.00    
7  SWEET MANHATTAN Sep06 Aug14 Jul25 Jul05 Jun13 (gillespie r)RAMGEET R 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  DON'T BLINK Aug23 Jul12 Mar03 Feb06 Dec28 (figgins o)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.00 44% 1.30    
 
CT-2   09/18/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCONSCIOUS MIND Jul31 Jun12 May02 Apr03 Mar13 (davis rus)BOCACHICA J 120 8.00    
2  COUNTRYCLUB COUPLE Aug29 Aug22 Jul16 Jun08 Mar03 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 1.40 35% 1.90    
3  SKY BUY Aug09 Jul31 Jul12 Jun12 May16 (smith osborne)LARA VICTOR 112 20.00    
4  BITCOIN BABY Sep04 Jul23 Jul12 Jun13 May24 (shanley timoth)HIRALDO JOHN 120 15.00    
5  LOVELY LUCY Aug15 Aug07 Jul25 Jun27 Jun12 (ramos m)CHILO MAXIMO 120 1.60 35% 1.90    
6  WOODCUT Jul31 Jun12 May15 Apr26 Mar16 (comi w)HO WESLEY 118 6.00 8% 12.10    
SCR  LOVE THE SAUCE Sep06 Sep01 Jul31 Jul12 Mar19 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00    
 
CT-3   09/18/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT SO HOLY Aug31 May31 May04 Apr03 Feb09 (mckenzie )HERNANDEZ F 120 4.50 20% 4.00    
2  CELTIC PRIDE Aug24 Aug08 Aug02 Jul10 Mar29 (rodriguez m)LOPEZ E 120 1.40 44% 1.30    
3  ROCKET SCIENCE Aug15 Aug08 Jul03 May29 May15 (gillespie r)RAMGEET R 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  NO TIME TO BOOGIE Aug15 Aug08 Jul12 Jun12 May30 (atkins mic)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  NO BRAKE NEEDED Aug15 Jul26 May29 May09 Apr23 (keller)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 4.00    
6  BIG DILEMMA Aug16 Jul17 Jun20 May30 Apr27 (brown ronney)BELISARIO JUAN 113 3.50    
7  BREEZING UP Aug15 Aug01 Jul05 Jun07 May16 (barr h)ACOSTA D 120 6.00    
 
CT-4   09/18/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($32.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LATE IN THE GAME Aug07 Jul19 Jun07 May24 May10 (sigler g)LARROSA G 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  MUAD'DIB Aug22 Jul19 Jun21 Jun07 May17 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.20 70% 0.40    
SCR  JUNGLE BEAST Sep04 Aug06 Jun07 May17 Apr19 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.50    
4  ROYAL PAIN Jul19 Mar13 Feb01 Jan15 Dec04 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  NOCASHREFUNDS Sep04 Aug07 Jul11 Jun12 May23 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 3.00    
6  PAYMENGOLD Jul19 Jun21 May24 Apr25 Apr19 (johnson dewa)BATISTA A 120 12.00    
7  I'M THE MONEY MAN Aug21 Aug01 Jun05 Nov16 Oct12 (sigler)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 10.00    
 
CT-5   09/18/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FU MAN SUE Jul31 Jan02 Dec14 Sep21 Apr21 (sewell lenwort)CHILO MAXIMO 122 30.00    
2  EDWARD MADDEN Jul31 Jul09 Jun12 May15 Apr23 (carlisle c)LARA VICTOR 110 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  MEAN JAKEY Aug15 Jul31 Jun28 Jun01 May10 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50    
4  ON THE COME UP Jul26 Jul17 Jun06 May08 Apr23 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 4.50    
5  TIZAFASTBULLET Jul31 Jul10 Jun06 May15 Apr23 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00 15% 5.80    
6  CARIBBEAN PLEASURE Aug23 Aug02 Jun27 Mar29 Feb26 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 2.00 58% 0.70    
7  SUMMERSTATEOFMIND Aug16 Jul24 Jul05 Apr29 Apr04 (knoblauch-pe)BELISARIO JUAN 115 5.00    
8  STELLARS IN CHARGE Aug31 Jul10 Jun19 May08 Apr23 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-6   09/18/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALBOT HEIRLOOM Aug23 Jul31 Jul05 Jun13 May01 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 2.00 35% 1.90    
2  LUCKY PARTNERS Sep06 Aug23 Jun29 Jun22 May23 (mccue )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 20.00    
3  ALWAYS TO THE END Sep05 Aug08 Mar21 Mar05 Feb19 (hanagan lela)DIAZ JR 124 3.50    
4  EFFERVESCENT Sep06 Nov28 Oct11 Sep14   (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 4.50 33% 2.00    
5  BEWITCHEDBYPRALINE Aug22 Aug08       (stites fli)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 20.00    
SCR  LEELINDA Sep07 Aug23 Aug09 Jun29 Jun08 (haughton do)RAMGEET R 120 15.00    
7  CAJUN PRIME Sep05 Feb05 Jan12 Dec22 Nov10 (pyke joseph)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  DANCING DAKOTAH Aug14 Jun13 May23 Mar27 Feb22 (jones michae)BELISARIO JUAN 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  MARMARA Sep04 Aug06 Jul10 Jun29 Jun08 (magee kieron)ACOSTA D 120 3.00    
 
CT-7   09/18/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  YOUTHINKTHATSFUNNY Aug22 Aug01 Jul05 Jun20 May22 (farrior anth)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 4.50    
SCR  COLONEL VARGO Aug29 Jun29 May27 Apr27 Apr13 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00    
3  TINY LAKE Aug21 Jul09 Jun07 May17 Apr25 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 118 20.00    
4  STORMPROOF Jul04 Jun13 May29 Apr13 Mar01 (shanley mark)BELISARIO JUAN 113 20.00    
5  OZONE Jul25 Jul19 Jul03 May01 Apr04 (butts m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00 13% 6.90    
6  TEACHINTHERELEASE Aug22 Aug01 Jul19 Nov16 Nov06 (murdoc)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 0.60 60% 0.70    
7  JUBA'S HAT TRICK Sep05 Aug22 Aug07 Jun21 Jun07 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 6.00 7% 13.50    
8  JUDGEMENT DAY Aug22 Aug01 Jun28 Jun07 May10 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 15.00    
 
CT-8   09/18/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUINN ELIA Sep05 Aug29 Aug14 Jun03 Apr24 (lane j)LARA VICTOR 110 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SISTER WINNIE Aug14 Aug01 Jul18 Jul10 Jun19 (tobin l)MAWING A 122 20.00    
3  LAUGHINTOTHEBANK Aug14 Jul18 Jun21 May04 Apr16 (reynolds j)ALMODOVAR GERALD 122 12.00 8% 11.30    
4  COLLECTING ANGELS Jul24 Jul11 Jun28 Jun12 May24 (brown w)HIRALDO JOHN 120 3.50 17% 4.80    
5  OSCOR Aug05 Jul18 Jun13 May24 Mar27 (figgins olli)DIAZ JR 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
6  DREAM STREET ROSE Aug14 Jul10 May23 Dec07 Nov20 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 2.50    
7  PALACIO Sep01 Aug23 Apr24 Apr04 Mar08 (tobin edwin )BELISARIO JUAN 115 30.00    
8  MOONSHINE MAMA Aug14 Jul24 Jun19 May16 Apr18 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 118 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.