Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - September 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(5/3)-(4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PID-2   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/3)-(4/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(4/6/5)-(7/1/2/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-3   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5/2)-(4/6/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(7/1/2/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(7/1/2/6)-(5/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-4   WIN (7/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/6)-(7/1/2/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/6)-(7/1/2/6)-(7/1/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/2/6)-(5/4/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/6)-(5/4/2)-(4/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-5   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(4/2/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(4/2/3)-(5/2/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-6   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(5/2/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(4/1/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-7   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/1/2/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/1/2/3)-(5/1/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(4/1/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
PID-8   WIN (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/7)-(4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   09/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARGUMENTAL Aug06 Jul30 Jun24 Jun04 Feb06 (russell randall)ALLEN M 123 4.00    
SCR  MINNESOTA MUNNY Sep03 Aug21 Aug01 Jun23 May21 (danner k)GALLARDO A 121 1.60    
3  MO SENSE Jul06 Jun08 May19 Mar07 Jan17 (russell )MARTINEZ A 123 6.00 18% 4.70    
4  WHEREVER WE ARE Sep02 Aug15 Jul28 Jul03 Jun10 (rogers michael)MARTINEZ W 119 2.00 43% 1.30    
5  NELIDA Aug26 Aug06 Jul28 Jul03 Jun10 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 125 4.50    
 
PID-2   09/15/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRYSTAL WATER Sep01 Aug18 Jul29 Jul07 Jun18 (valdez mois)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 5.00    
2  XERCES Aug21 Jul29 Jul15 May02 Jul15 (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 123 1.80    
3  HIGH TRACK Aug19 Aug04 Jul21 Jul04 Jun17 (miller henry )ROJAS MARTINA 125 8.00 6% 15.40    
4  PATH TO VICTORY Sep02 Aug18 Aug06 Jun11 May27 (fennessy john)DELGADO DAVID 123 5.00    
5  JOYS OF SUMMER Sep03 Aug15 Jul30 Jun23 Jun02 (baez n)BAYS BROOKE 112 4.50 44% 1.30    
6  LA CREMA Sep08 Aug18 Jul28 Jul07 Jun04 (bondar e)MARTINEZ A 123 2.50 ★    
 
PID-3   09/15/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YARDMAN Sep01 Aug13 Jul09 Jun23 Nov19 (musarro joseph)STOKES J 123 5.00    
2  SHY DA RUNNER Sep03 Aug09 Jul19 Jun21 Dec13 (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 123 1.80 ★    
3  SILVER STYLE Sep02 Aug18 Jul29 Jul07 Mar07 (rice kevin)BAYS BROOKE 116 5.00    
4  FLAWLESS BOURBON Aug27 Aug12 Oct21 Sep20 Aug14 (pappada )RODRIGUEZ O 123 3.50 21% 3.70    
5  IOYA AGAIN Jun23 Mar19 Mar05 Feb01 Jan18 (van berg)GALLARDO A 123 10.00 19% 4.20    
6  CRAZY KATER Aug28 Aug14 Jul30 Jun26 Jun13 (salvaggio )MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 8.00 20% 3.90    
7  ROUND OF APPLAUSE Sep01 Aug06 Jul21 Jun30 Jun23 (vargas anto)MARTINEZ W 123 4.50    
 
PID-4   09/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($36K) 2 F PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED LITE DISTRICT Jul21         (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 120 3.00 21% 3.90    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of LAURA'S PLEASURE by CACTUS RIDGE)
2  NEENEE         (pappada )RODRIGUEZ O 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of REALLY LIKE LAURA by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
3  CHRISSY'S DREAM Aug06         (skawinski a)GARCIA F 120 12.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of BEAN COUNTER by INTO MISCHIEF)
4  NO ARGUMENT Aug27         (humphrie)GALLARDO A 120 5.00    
  (by FROSTED out of ESSENTIAL POINT by SUPER SAVER)
5  UNLIMITED GOLD Aug25         (arriagada juan)MARTINEZ W 120 4.50    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of BARBECCA by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
6  SISTER HUSTLE         (russell )MARTINEZ A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE CHUCK out of DR MEGANN by LION HEART)
7  JEN D'ORO Aug25 Aug06 Jun27     (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 120 3.50 56% 0.80    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of JENNEMILY by STRONG MANDATE)
8  PRANCIN INTHE DARK Aug24 Aug06       (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 4.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ORINOQUIA by WHYWHYWHY)
 
PID-5   09/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOO FRACING LUCKY Aug03 Jun24 Mar15 Feb28 Jan08 (reed r)MORALES PABLO 123 4.00    
2  THORN OF HEARTS Sep01 Aug11 Jul22 Jul03 Jun11 (miller henry )VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  SHAKIN IT UP LARRY Aug11 Jul28 Jul02 Oct03 Aug06 (russell )MARTINEZ A 123 3.00    
4  IBRIM Aug26 Aug11 Jul23 Jul02 Jun09 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 2.00 20% 3.90    
5  CROOKED DREAMS Aug20 Jul20 Jun29 Jun01 May05 (arriagada juan)MARTINEZ W 125 2.50 52% 0.90    
6  REELED IN Aug25 Aug11 Jul04 Jan18 Oct15 (russell randall)ALLEN M 123 8.00    
 
PID-6   09/15/2025 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALEMAN Aug13 Jul28 Jul09 Jun17 May22 (jarvis kathy)MORALES PABLO 123 8.00    
2  CALVIN'S RIDE Sep02 Aug12 Jul22 Jul08 Jun17 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 119 2.50 35% 1.90    
3  BLESS AMERICA Aug20 Jul28 Jun21 May24 Apr26 (kintz s )MARTINEZ A 123 6.00 7% 13.20    
4  HAPPYISASHAPPYDOES Sep04 Aug13 Jul28 Jul03 Jun23 (connelly)GALLARDO A 123 1.20 37% 1.70    
5  MAYNARD Sep09 Aug27 Aug07 Jul02 May15 (baez n)BAYS BROOKE 116 8.00    
6  SECRET TROUBLE Sep03 Aug20 Aug12 Jul02 Jun16 (rivera nest)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 4.50    
 
PID-7   09/15/2025 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA ARTISTA Aug29 Aug04 Jun25 Jun07 May19 (kintz s )GALLARDO A 119 3.00 ★    
2  EQUINAMOUS Sep03 Jul21 Jul03 Jun11 May26 (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  VANILLA BEAN Aug18 Jul15 May27 Oct16 Oct02 (rogers mich)ROJAS MARTINA 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  KITTEN'S WAR Sep02 Aug18 Jul22 Jul07 Oct16 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 123 3.50    
5  CATALYZED (FR) Aug26 Jul23 Mar29 Dec28 Oct17 (danner kelsey)MORALES PABLO 123 4.00 58% 0.70    
SCR  DOROTEA DREAM Sep03 Aug27 Jul04 Jun17 Jun09 (baez ralph )SEVERINO VICTOR 119 6.00    
7  DELAYED Aug10 Jul13 May02 Feb21 Jan17 (o'connell kathleen)SPIETH S 119 4.50    
8  ALL AMERICAN ROSE Aug25 Aug01 Feb27 Dec26 Nov13 (brafford michel)BAYS BROOKE 116 8.00    
 
PID-8   09/15/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHILL BOSS Sep01 Aug19 Jul04 Jun10 May26 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 119 2.50 29% 2.50    
2  STRATEGYFORYOU Sep01 Aug20 Aug12 Jul15 Jun16 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 123 4.00    
SCR  PALACE REVOLT Aug13 Jul14 Jul03 Jun04 Apr12 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 119 4.50    
4  STREAMSONG Sep01 Aug12 Jul23 Jul04 Jun11 (pappada )RODRIGUEZ O 123 3.50 41% 1.40    
5  FROZEN FOUR Sep03 Aug12 Jul29 Jul03 Jun16 (barron rory)AYALA J 125 5.00    
6  NOBLE WAVE Aug25 Aug10 Sep22 Sep02 Aug20 (gotera j)MARTINEZ A 123 8.00    
7  TWELVETWO Sep01 Aug13 Jul29 Jul15 Jun25 (gilmartin brend)BAYS BROOKE 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.