Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Monmouth Park
Sunday - September 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MTH-1   WIN (8/4/11/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/11/10)-(8/4/11/3/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/4/11/10)-(8/4/11/3/10)-(8/4/11/3/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/4/11/10)-(1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/11/10)-(1/5/6)-(5/6/8/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-2   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(5/6/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(5/6/8/1)-(6/5/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
MTH-3   WIN (5/6/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/8/1)-(5/6/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/8/1)-(5/6/8/1)-(5/6/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/8/1)-(6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/8/1)-(6/5/7)-(1/4/8/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-4   WIN (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/7)-(6/3/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/7)-(6/3/5/7)-(6/3/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/7)-(1/4/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/7)-(1/4/8/9)-(6/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
MTH-5   WIN (1/4/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/8/9)-(1/4/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/8/9)-(1/4/8/9)-(1/4/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/8/9)-(6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/8/9)-(6/7/3)-(9/4/7/3/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
MTH-6   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/3)-(6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/3)-(9/4/7/3/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3)-(9/4/7/3/6)-(6/3/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
MTH-7   WIN (9/4/7/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/7/3/6)-(9/4/7/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/7/3/6)-(9/4/7/3/6)-(9/4/7/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/4/7/3/6)-(6/3/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/4/7/3/6)-(6/3/7)-(4/12/11/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
MTH-8   WIN (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/7)-(6/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/7)-(6/3/7)-(6/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/7)-(4/12/11/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MTH-9   WIN (4/12/11/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/12/11/2)-(4/12/11/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/12/11/2)-(4/12/11/8/2)-(4/12/11/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MTH-1   09/14/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAN WITH THE MONEY Aug22 Jul27 Jul05 Jun05   (lake sco)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 119 10.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of BROADWAY RUN by PROSPECTIVE)
CHANGING THE KARMA Aug24 Aug10 Oct05 Sep14 Aug31 (simon linda)BOWMAN ADAM 123 30.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of KARMAGEDDON by WILDCAT HEIR)
FULLY BOOKED Aug15 Jun28 May11     (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SI SI TEQUILA by YES IT'S TRUE)
WHEELHOUSE Aug23 Feb27 Jan22 Aug29   (breen kel)VARGAS A 123 4.50 14% 6.10    
  (by TAPIT out of LADY PEWITT by ORIENTATE (GB))
FRANKIE G Aug24 Jul12 Jun28 Jun15 Aug31 (cash j)MOYA F 123 12.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of GINNY G by EXCHANGE RATE)
MATTY B GOOD Aug10 Jul19 Jun22     (mazza joseph )JARA FERNANDO 123 15.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of FLY PAST by ZAMINDAR)
BIG ERN MCCRACKEN Aug10 Jul19 Jul05 Jun14 Jun21 (lake a)ADORNO ABNER 123 6.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of HEAVENLY VIEW by DISTANT VIEW)
ATOMIC AGE Oct12 Jul27       (brown c)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.50 61% 0.60    
  (by JUSTIFY out of AMERICAN WEST by CURLIN)
SCR  T V MAN Aug24 Aug10 Jul12 Jun29 Jun15 (frangel)GONZALEZ LUIS 123 30.00    
  (by KING PUMA out of SUMMER STING by INTENSITY)
10  HAPPY OFFERING Aug24 Aug10 Jul12 Jun28 May31 (spina charles)OCASIO M 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by QURBAAN out of AFRAAH by HARD SPUN)
11  MR. FUNTASTICO Jul31 Jul11 Jun14 May22 Apr19 (aguayo ramon)LEON SONNY 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of KALANI by AFLEET ALEX)
 
MTH-2   09/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIVID ARTISTE Jul18 Jul05 Jun21 May10 Aug25 (spina charles)CAMACHO SAMY 123 4.00 46% 1.20    
INDIGO PASS Aug24         (spina charles)LEON SONNY 119 3.50    
NEW CENTSATION Jul05 Dec29 Nov29     (avila juan)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 112 15.00    
LADY CATALINA Aug31 Aug22 Aug02 Jul26 Jul05 (rabadan)GONZALEZ LUIS 119 3.50    
CHAMPAGNE MISCHIEF Aug22 Jul20 Jun09 May20 Apr25 (crook-demasi k)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.50 23% 3.40    
CORRIB QUEEN Aug22 Aug08 Jul18 Jul05 Jun07 (rabadan sergi)OLVER MADISON 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BEE N DEE         (breen kel)VARGAS A 119 3.00    
 
MTH-3   09/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS M M Aug30 Aug17 Aug01 Jul04 Jun20 (crowell susan)OCASIO M 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
POPTHECHAMPAGNE RO Aug03 Jul27 Jul11 Jun17 May21 (brown howard )RIVERA D 121 4.50    
SCARBOROUGH FAIR Jul13 Jun21 Jun14 May23 May01 (ward dan)LEON SONNY 121 5.00    
SCR  FAIRHOPECURLY Aug08 Jul19 May24 May03 Apr12 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 121 4.00    
STORMY MITOLE Aug23 Aug16 Jul20 Jun27 Jun20 (nunn do)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 6.00 34% 2.00    
D' TIGER LILY Aug24 Jul18 Jun15 May17 Apr30 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.50 33% 2.10    
EQUUS Aug29 Aug17 Jul23 Jul10 Jul03 (potts wayne)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.00    
SOFSTER Aug23 Jul27 Jul11 Jun14 Jun07 (ramirez si)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-4   09/14/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52.5K) 2 F PT- 2:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNITE GINNY         (sanchez l)MARIN SAMUEL 117 4.50    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of CLEVER BEAUTY by INDIAN CHARLIE)
BETTER WITH VINO Aug03 Jul12       (margotta antho)MOYA F 117 3.50    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of ORBS BABY GIRL by ORB)
MARAJOLINE         (huston k)LEON SONNY 117 3.50    
  (by MUNNINGS out of GIFT OF THE NILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
CLARIVIDENTE Aug25 Aug03 Jul12     (jimenez jose )JARA FERNANDO 117 3.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of AGUADILLA by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SHIP OF FOOLS         (huston ro)VARGAS A 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of NEXT BEST THING by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
LAST FLAG FLYING Aug24         (spina charles)CAMACHO SAMY 117 4.00 48% 1.10    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of HIGH FLYING FLAG by OUR EMBLEM)
QUALITY OF ESSENCE         (margotta antho)SUTHERLAND C 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ESSENTIAL QUALITY out of SHIPPY by MIDSHIPMAN)
SCR  TASHA DANCER         (avila juan)ORDONEZ R 117 8.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of DIXIE DANCER by UNION RAGS)
 
MTH-5   09/14/2025 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($52.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH BETA Feb02 Nov10 Sep28     (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 117 3.00 40% 1.50    
REAL SENSATION Sep01 Jul26 Jun28 Aug24 Jul20 (poalucc)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 15.00    
VIRGINIA CITY Aug17 Jul04 May25 Apr26 Mar15 (alvarado diane)AGUILAR JEAN 121 10.00    
ONE TIME WILLARD Aug21 Aug02 Jul06 Jun01 May11 (breen kel)VARGAS A 124 2.50 18% 4.60    
MAGICAL MARRIAGE Aug02 Jun15 May18 Apr11 Mar12 (mcburney patr)JARA FERNANDO 121 6.00    
SCR  RECKER POINT Jul25 Jul04 May03 Apr12 Mar08 (ness jam)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 121 8.00    
READY TO FLY Aug02 Jul19 Jun01 May11 Apr06 (mcburney patrick)LEON SONNY 121 8.00    
SAND PIPES Aug09 Jul19 Jun21 May11 Apr09 (schultz lindsa)MARIN SAMUEL 122 3.50 18% 4.70    
PRINCE OF TROY Aug23 Aug01 Jun01 Oct12 Oct05 (cash j)MOYA F 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  X Y PRIME Sep07 Jul19 Jun21 Apr26 Mar29 (delgado jorge)MARIN SAMUEL 117 4.00    
SCR  MR. PAPAGIORGIO Jul19 Jun20 May23 Apr13 Sep21 (dutrow richar)JARA FERNANDO 121 3.50    
 
MTH-6   09/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUELA DENT Aug31 Aug17 Jun28 Jun14 Jun01 (plaza alberto)LEON SONNY 121 6.00    
ANNIEWORKSTOOMUCH Aug18 Jul23 Jun30 Jun15 May10 (williams ab)WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 5.00    
BOLD BABY Aug01 Jul13 Jun20 Jun01 Apr27 (ramirez silvin)MARIN SAMUEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KAREN'S HONOR Aug31 Aug08 Jul13 May09 Apr24 (padilla-preci)RANGEL JOEZER 121 12.00    
SCR  LIKA ROLLING STONE Aug31 Aug06 Jul24 Jun29 Jun19 (arriaga an)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 114 15.00    
UNSOLVED MYSTERY Aug23 Jul27 Jul11 Nov24 Sep21 (rivera lu)VARGAS A 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
JUST LIKE YOU Aug23 Jul10 Jun13 May10 Apr09 (ness jamie)CAMACHO SAMY 121 3.50 26% 2.90    
TAVIN Aug31 Aug08 Jul20 Jun20 Jun01 (gomez pompeyo)COTTO L 121 2.50    
 
MTH-7   09/14/2025 3300ft TURF RC11 FIRM Joey Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VESPARO Aug24 Jul20 Jun29 Jun08 May18 (huston k)OLVER MADISON 118 10.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of FORBIDDEN ISLE by BELONG TO ME)
SCR  DUMB MONEY Sep07 Aug24 Mar07 Feb06 Jan04 (nunn douglas)NO RIDER 115 10.00    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of CYCLICAL by MORE THAN READY)
J J ZO ZO Aug24 Aug01 Jun28 May25 Oct05 (sanchez loz)LEON SONNY 117 8.00 8% 11.10    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of LOST PRINCESS by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
GOLD TRUST Aug23 Jul06 Jun27 May26 Oct18 (dini mik)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 123 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by HANDSOME MIKE out of TATY'S GOLD by TOUCH GOLD)
CASSATION Sep07 Aug24 Jul19 Jun28 Jun08 (margotta anth)JARA FERNANDO 116 12.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of HIGH RENAISSANCE by GIROLAMO)
GROUCH Aug24 Aug01 Jul20 Jun27 Jun21 (clark a)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00 6% 16.90    
  (by HEY CHUB out of KARMAGEDDON by WILDCAT HEIR)
LIKE WHAT I SEE Sep01 Jul12 Jun29 Jun08 Oct25 (ward dan)VARGAS A 119 4.00 12% 7.40    
  (by BOLD WARRIOR out of AFTER THE APPLAUSE by LOST SOLDIER)
PERROTTO Aug24 Jul12 Jun28 Jun15 May31 (rabadan sergio)MARIN SAMUEL 116 20.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of ROCKIN HEATHER by IN EXCESS (IRE))
SMITHWICK'S SPICE Aug27 Aug10 Feb22 Jan25 Dec21 (nunn do)GONZALEZ LUIS 124 2.50 28% 2.50    
  (by FROST GIANT out of SPICY MCHAGGIS by GOOD AND TOUGH)
10  SPIRITINTHENIGHT Aug22 Jul20 Jun27 May26 Dec01 (margotta antho)MOYA F 119 10.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of POOCHY by OFFLEE WILD)
 
MTH-8   09/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALPHA COMPANY Sep07 Aug24 Jul18 Jul05 Jun08 (ward dan)OLVER MADISON 121 4.00    
RUN HAPPY PAPPY Sep01 Aug17 Jul05 Jun15 May26 (sanchez loz)LEON SONNY 121 5.00    
MAGICAL ROAD Aug16 Aug03 Jul20 Jul05 Jun27 (ramirez silvin)MARIN SAMUEL 121 2.50 31% 2.20    
STRONG LIGHT Aug16 Jul31 Jun22 Feb15 Feb01 (samsundar ros)JARA FERNANDO 121 6.00    
SCR  IMMENSE FAITH Sep01 Aug01 Jul18 Jul05 May17 (yanez rey)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 109 12.00    
AINT NO JOKE Sep01 Aug10 Aug03 Jul06 Jun21 (ward dan)VARGAS A 121 3.00 33% 2.00    
CURLIN GUNNER Aug16 Jul03 Jun07 May12 Apr09 (villanueva ser)CAMACHO SAMY 121 15.00 5% 18.50    
THREE CAPTAINS Sep07 Aug23 Aug09 Jun21 May25 (simone m)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 121 6.00    
 
MTH-9   09/14/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POST COMMAND Aug24 Jul20 May25 May18 Oct18 (spina charles)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.00    
SPARTACUS'S DUDE Aug22 Aug01 Jun21 Jun01 Apr26 (mcburney patr)OLVER MADISON 117 30.00 5% 19.00    
GIANT JAMES Aug24 Aug09 Aug01 Jul20 Jun08 (harris holly)JARA FERNANDO 121 4.50    
FABELMAN Aug16 Aug01 Jul06 Jun21 Feb02 (ward dan)VARGAS A 121 5.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  LAIRD OF MAGNOLIA Aug10 Jul26 Jun29 Jun22 Jun14 (arriaga an)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 113 6.00    
SCR  PERSISTEN Aug07 Jul18 Jul04 Jun21 May26 (avila car)SUTHERLAND C 117 8.00    
THAT SUN OF A GUN Sep06 Jul27 Jun22 May26 May12 (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 121 30.00    
DANGEROUS DRIVER Aug22 Aug01 Jun26 Jun14 May18 (moreno-)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 5.00    
EDITOR'S CHOICE Aug31 Aug08 Jul20 Jun29 Jun14 (cash j)MOYA F 124 20.00    
10  TAP THE CANDY Aug31 Aug09 Jul06 Jul02 Jun01 (aro mich)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 119 30.00    
11  MUNGO Aug31 Jun21 May03 Apr12 Mar26 (richards renaldo)LEON SONNY 121 6.00 15% 5.50    
12  WRECKING BALL Aug31 Dec06 Nov09 Oct03 Sep09 (alvarado diane)AGUILAR JEAN 121 8.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  TESTED Aug28 Jul17 Jun21 Mar14 Feb20 (schultz lindsa)MARIN SAMUEL 117 3.50    
SCR  COALVILLE Aug26 Aug02 Jul10 Jun22 Jul01 (crook-demasi k)MARIN SAMUEL 121 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.