Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Thursday - September 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/4/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/2)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-2   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(4/3/6)-(6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-3   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(6/1)-(3/2/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-4   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(3/2/5/8)-(3/1) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
BTP-5   WIN (3/2/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/8)-(3/2/9/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/8)-(3/2/9/5/8)-(3/2/9/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-6   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(3/2/6/9)-(2/4/3/7) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
BTP-7   WIN (3/2/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/9)-(3/2/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/9)-(3/2/6/9)-(3/2/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/6/9)-(2/4/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BTP-8   WIN (2/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/7)-(2/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/7)-(2/4/3/7)-(2/4/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   09/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EGYPTIAN KING Aug27 Jul30 Jul10 May07 Mar20 (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 123 2.00    
MANSION PARTY Sep03 Aug06 Jul23 Jul09 Jun27 (short w)JURADO EDDIE 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
VENEZUELAN FAITH Sep03 Aug13 Jul12 Jun20 Jun05 (nunez mauri)FIGUEROA SERGIO 123 3.00    
ORBI ONE Aug07 Jun26 Jun12 May27 Mar01 (ortiz )GRISALES DANILO 123 1.40    
ICONIC ROCK Aug13 Jul31 Jul03 Jun26 Jun13 (mendieta aleja)PAULY SUMMER 118 6.00 51% 0.90    
 
BTP-2   09/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FACTUALITY Aug14 Jul10 Jun26 Jun04 May09 (shetron p)CORREA L 119 6.00 8% 12.30    
PRIX Aug21 Aug07 Jun26 May22 Apr04 (alessi james)JURADO EDDIE 123 5.00    
RABBLE Aug14 Jul30 Jul17 May24 May16 (caramori ca)FIGUEROA SERGIO 119 2.00 61% 0.60    
HEAVENLY CHARM Sep02 Aug20 Aug07 Jul19 Jul04 (dailey ronald)OUZTS W 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
NIGHT CRY Aug20 Jul23 Jun25 Jun10 May21 (gorostieta)HERNANDEZ N 125 2.50    
FORTUNE DREAMS Sep02 Aug14 Jul25 Jul12 Jun13 (spanabel r)MCKEE J 123 3.50    
 
BTP-3   09/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEUTRAL CAUSE Aug25 Jul25 Jun27 May10 Jan11 (axmaker w)MURGIA A 123 6.00    
PRINCESS ELANY Aug21 Aug06 Jul23 Jun19 Aug09 (ruvalcaba )HERNANDEZ N 125 4.50    
STAY FAITHFUL Sep03 Aug07 Feb06 Jan02 Nov27 (short thoma)FIGUEROA SERGIO 123 3.00 25% 3.00    
GREY MARKET Aug28 Jul06 May31 Apr25 Feb07 (caramori caio)PAULY SUMMER 116 1.60 42% 1.40    
SCR  LIL TEMPTATION Aug29 Aug15 Aug02 Jul19 Mar04 (quinones raul)JURADO EDDIE 125 3.50    
AIN'T NO OTHER Jul26 Jun05 Apr23 Mar17 Feb06 (cline rob)CORREA L 123 10.00 11% 8.30    
 
BTP-4   09/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JARLIAN Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 Jul01 May30 (quinones raul)JURADO EDDIE 123 3.50 8% 12.00    
SCR  MITHRIDATES Aug30 Aug23 Aug13 Jul26 Jul03 (mendieta aleja)PAULY SUMMER 118 4.00    
THISPOINTINTIME Jul11 Jun26 Jun05 May23 Mar05 (melancon p)HERNANDEZ N 123 12.00    
SCR  STOP THE SPREAD Aug29 Aug09 Jul11 Jun08 Apr28 (caramori ed)FIGUEROA SERGIO 123 2.50    
SCR  WHERE IS LISA Aug01 Jul18 Jul02 May29 May22 (antonuik)RODRIGUEZ A 123 8.00    
PINEDALE Aug15 Jul24 Jul01 Nov12 Sep25 (canani ni)CORREA L 123 1.80 68% 0.50    
 
BTP-5   09/11/2025 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHEMELEY Aug06 Jul25       (cline robert )ZONETT KEYNER 121 5.00    
MAMAS LULLABYE Aug28 Apr30 Apr19 Apr05 Mar26 (cook devin)JURADO EDDIE 125 2.00 25% 3.00    
KAYLEIGH'S KITTEN Aug28 Jul23 Jul05 Jun25 Jun05 (jackson jeffrey)MOJICA JR 125 3.00 36% 1.80    
GUST FRONT Aug20 Jul30 Jul09     (sandy ste)CORREA L 125 8.00    
SCR  APRIL ASTER Aug15 Dec02       (lopez a)MCKEE J 125 10.00 6% 17.10    
GUSSY Aug16 Jul23 Jul02 Jun13 Feb27 (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 125 20.00    
BLACK BETY Sep02 Aug20 Aug02 Jul12   (donjuan ser)NUNEZ Y 121 15.00    
BERRY Aug28 Sep16       (fernandez kelly )DIAZ CESAR 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
B. SWIFTY Aug29 Aug20 Aug02 Jul08 Jun25 (salas marce)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 4.00    
 
BTP-6   09/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL PEJE Aug09 Jul26 Jul11 Jun11 May30 (locker timothy)MURGIA A 122 10.00 7% 13.60    
HALLOWEEN Aug15 Jul09 Jun13 May30 May06 (grubbs l)MOJICA JR 125 2.50    
TIMELESS BOUNTY Aug20 Aug09 Jul16 Jun04 May16 (ocasio osv)VILLARREAL OSCAR 122 5.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  LILTONYTWOPHONES Aug28 May31 May17 May05 Apr09 (moreno tit)HERNANDEZ N 122 12.00    
SCR  EYE WITNESS Aug28 Jul31 Jun28 May16 Apr30 (caramori ca)FIGUEROA SERGIO 122 4.00    
LOFTY ADJUDICATOR Aug31 Jul16 Jun10 May16 Nov09 (navarrete)CORREA L 122 1.20    
 
BTP-7   09/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRIKE PRICE Aug27 Jul31 Jul12 Jul01 Jun12 (schuette sheryl)HERMAN NOEL 118 12.00    
CUPIX Jul13 Jun17 May20 May05 Apr12 (reed r)MCKEE J 123 2.50 24% 3.20    
CUE COUNTRY ROADS Aug16 Aug02 Jul11 Jun28 Jun13 (meredith c)HERNANDEZ A 123 3.50 41% 1.40    
TUN TAVERN Aug16 Jun28 Jun05 May06 Apr26 (vosler euge)FIGUEROA SERGIO 119 5.00    
SCR  HECTOR B Aug13 Jul31 Jul16 Jul02 Jun19 (melancon p)HERNANDEZ N 123 20.00    
I JUST DON'T NO Aug22 Jul31 Jul05 Jun26 Jun05 (hall j)PAULY SUMMER 118 4.50 12% 7.30    
HAVEGUNSWILLTRAVEL Aug23 Jun20 May28 May09 Apr22 (dalton michelle)MOJICA JR 125 6.00    
WILDERZAR Aug28 Aug08 Jul26 Jul02 Jun19 (dailey ronald)OUZTS W 123 12.00    
KOHAKU Aug28 Jul31 Jul12 Jun05 May21 (alessi james)JURADO EDDIE 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-8   09/11/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLIE'S BOOK Aug28         (wittek kar)VILLARREAL OSCAR 121 12.00    
STARSHIP D'ORO Aug23 Aug10 Jul23 Jun20 Jun13 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 121 3.50 43% 1.30    
ABSOLUTE ZERO Aug20 Jul29 Jun23 Mar27   (gorostieta)HERNANDEZ N 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
THE TOWN TAP Aug06 Jul23       (vosler euge)FIGUEROA SERGIO 121 8.00 25% 2.90    
BAYTOWN BULLEIT Jul29 Jun16 May28 Apr21 Mar08 (mcentee paul)BOCACHICA O 121 4.50    
SCOVILLE Aug28 Aug15 Jul04 Mar08 Feb14 (mcguire lin)MURGIA A 121 5.00    
IMPROBABLE CAUSE Sep03 Aug20 Jul31 Jul12 Jun24 (vaughn terry)CANUTO THIAGO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT NOIR Aug26 Aug15 Jul31 Jul19 Jul09 (donjuan se)HERNANDEZ A 125 2.50    
SCR  MALEVAJE Aug28 Jul23 Jul10 Jun26 Oct25 (seglin e)MEZA JJ 121 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.