Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Elko County Fair
Friday - August 29, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ELK-3   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
ELK-5   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
ELK-8   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ELK-3   08/29/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($5.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMPEROR'S CHOICE Aug23 Aug15 Aug03 Jul27 Jul06 (leon alex)IRONEYES R 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
MY BUDDY MEL Aug23 Aug17 Jul26 Jul20 Jun28 (estrada benedito)GAMEZ M 124 6.00 40% 1.50    
HEZADOOZIE Aug17 Aug09 Jul26 May31 Apr10 (mckin)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 2.50    
SCR  RESERVOIR Aug15 Feb05 Jan01 Nov27 Nov11 (mitchell chris )CORTEZ LUIS 119 4.00    
B D R BAXTER Aug15 Jul12 Jun29 Jun14 Feb26 (mitche)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 124 2.00    
 
ELK-5   08/29/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BENITO PRECIOSO Aug16         (carter rona)CERVANTES OSCAR 122 2.00 26% 2.80    
BEAUTY IN AUTISM Aug16 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 Jun15 (mckin)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 125 2.50    
BLAZING VALERIE         (dominguez jo)NUNNALLY BLAKE 117 8.00 25% 3.10    
GLORIOUS OSCAR Aug16 Jun21 Apr28 Mar17 Oct25 (amezcua ruben)GAMEZ M 122 10.00    
GO CAMI OH Aug16 Jul19 Jul13 Jun20 May30 (mitche)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 117 4.00    
RUNAWAY ANNIE Aug17 Aug16 Aug24 Aug18 Sep02 (nolazco jesu)VASQUEZ CARMEN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELK-8   08/29/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
T J MAGIC Jul20 Jul06 May24 May18 May10 (jensen mark)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00    
CHIEF MISCHIEF Jul27 Jul20 Jul05 Aug30 Aug24 (dahlke kyle)ALAYA ERIC 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
TIZ CURLY JOE Aug23 Aug08 Jul11 Jul05 Jun22 (tschirgi )IRONEYES R 124 10.00    
WORK ORDER Aug15 Jul20 Jul05 Mar16 Mar01 (mckin)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 4.00    
STAYSOBER Aug15 Aug31 Aug16 Sep03   (carter rona)CERVANTES OSCAR 124 4.50 44% 1.30    
BRUTAL BUSINESS Aug17 Aug09 Jul26 Jul05 Oct27 (scudder mike)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 2.50 32% 2.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.