Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Monday - August 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(4/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(4/6/1)-(4/3/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LAD-2   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(4/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(4/3/7)-(6/5/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-3   WIN (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/7)-(4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/7)-(6/5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7)-(6/5/2/7)-(6/1/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-4   WIN (6/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/2/7)-(6/5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/2/7)-(6/5/2/7)-(6/5/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/2/7)-(6/1/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2/7)-(6/1/7/8)-(2/5/3/4/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LAD-5   WIN (6/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/7/8)-(6/1/7/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/1/7/8)-(6/1/7/2/8)-(6/1/7/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/1/7/8)-(2/5/3/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7/8)-(2/5/3/4/6)-(7/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-6   WIN (2/5/3/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/3/4/6)-(2/5/3/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/3/4/6)-(2/5/3/4/6)-(2/5/3/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/5/3/4/6)-(7/9/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
LAD-7   WIN (7/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/9/2)-(7/9/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/2)-(7/9/2/4/3)-(7/9/2/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   08/18/2025 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FRAN'S STAR Apr11 Mar21 Jan30 Jan01 Dec14 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 2.00    
2  CUSTOM'S CLEARED Jun17 May13 Mar22 Feb27 Feb08 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 2.50 47% 1.10    
3  SWEET TALKIN SLICK Aug05 Jun16 May05 Mar23 Jan31 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 1.80    
4  SLEW CITY HENRY Jul21 Feb14 Dec20 Sep24 Sep10 (jarvis robert)PENA JONUELLE 118 30.00    
5  CHASTE ONE Jul15 Jun10 May25 May05 Mar13 (hargrave kenne)MUNOZ SERGIO 127 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  WICKED SECRET Jul25 Jun28 Jun07 Apr11 Mar20 (zeringue w)RAMIREZ JR 125 3.50 19% 4.30    
 
LAD-2   08/18/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINCOLN PRODUCTION Jul16 Jun22 Jun07 May19 May05 (gomez rafa)BATISTA X 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  LITTLEBITOFAJIMMY Jul15         (antwine )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 12.00    
3  NELLE TUE MANI Jul16 Jun30 May19 May05 Apr19 (pedigo randy)BOREL H 120 20.00    
4  YAKETY YOCK Jul16 Jan16 Dec13 Nov15 Oct10 (johnson henr)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 1.20 58% 0.70    
5  C F JIMMY RAY Jul15 Jul04 Jun17 Jun02 May17 (balderas alfo)VARGAS P 120 5.00    
6  CHIEF NOW NOW Jul28 Jul15 Jun17 May13   (fogarty desm)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 1.40 14% 6.00    
 
LAD-3   08/18/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR AMEN Jul16 Jun24 May13 Feb07 Jan24 (morris rowdy)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 6.00    
SCR  CUTE DINERO QUEEN Aug06 Jun30 Jun01 May03 Feb20 (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 124 4.50    
3  ANN'S STORM Jul16 Jul01 Jun17 Jun03 May22 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.00 16% 5.30    
4  STARSNMOTION Feb27 Jan25 Sep26 Aug19 Jul01 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 2.50 41% 1.50    
SCR  COME WHAT MAE Jul26 Jun21 Jun06 Apr30 Apr17 (jackson dwa)EBOW III 119 20.00    
6  CALAJA Nov21 Sep24 Sep09 Jun04 May21 (foster joseph)LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.50    
7  MARDI GRAS ALARM Aug04 Jul23 Jul01 Jun17 May28 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 12.00 7% 14.20    
SCR  GIANT TUDE Jun21 May09 Apr19 Jan18 Jan03 (ramirez ed)RAMIREZ JR 124 20.00    
SCR  BATTY May18 Feb22 Dec13 Nov02 Aug21 (lara jorge)PENA JONUELLE 119 15.00    
SCR  PLUM WINE Jul25 Jun21 May19 May01 Apr05 (johnson henry)VARGAS P 124 5.00    
 
LAD-4   08/18/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUCHO MACHO CAM Jul30 Jul12 Jul04 Jun20 May31 (love alan)RAMIREZ JR 123 8.00    
2  REGATTA BAY Aug04 Jul25 Jun29 Jun16 May20 (broussard )BATISTA X 120 5.00 19% 4.30    
3  BRILLIANT CALL Jul23 Jul04 Jun09 Mar12 Feb17 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.00    
4  FIRST CAPE Aug01 Jul22 Jun29 Jun01 May17 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 123 20.00    
5  MOONOVERMONTGOMERY Aug06 Jul05 Jun12 May23 May10 (broussard jervon)BOREL H 123 3.50 21% 3.80    
6  STORM STRATEGY Jul30 Jul04 May03 Mar22 Feb14 (gonzalez)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 1.50 36% 1.80    
7  BUTCHY BOY Aug06 Jul23 Jun17 May25 May13 (dixon tim)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-5   08/18/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG TAP BABY Jul28 Jun17 May13 Aug21 Aug06 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
2  DUMBSTRUCK Jul28 Jun24 May27 Sep26 Aug14 (wilson shane)RODRIGUEZ T 125 6.00 ★    
3  KAH NIGH Aug04 Jul16 Jun29 Jun05 May16 (dussette alvi)VARGAS P 124 20.00    
4  DECLARE WAR Aug04 Jun24 Jun10 Mar10 Feb25 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 123 30.00    
5  SLIM JIMMY Jul30 Jul04 Jun15 May31 May18 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 125 15.00    
6  INCREDIBLE SHOT Jul28 Jun15 May04 Aug29 Aug09 (wong jonatha)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 125 1.50 48% 1.10    
7  HEXCEL Aug04 Jun22 May20 Mar07 Feb14 (munoz yovani)PENA JONUELLE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  ROWDY JESS Jul28 Jul15 May20 Apr04 Mar14 (tillis jerr)SANTIAGO EDWARD 125 50.00 5% 19.00    
9  HEAT LIGHTNING Jul29 Jul05 Jun10 May19 May05 (camejo jos)BATISTA X 125 4.00    
 
LAD-6   08/18/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUDY GEMSTONE Jul05 Jun22 Jun08     (gelner j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
  (by HIGHWAY TO FAME out of CAT IN DE NILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
2  KAYDENCES CALAMITY         (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 119 2.00 44% 1.30    
  (by VIOLENCE out of HALAMA by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
3  BELLA BLU MOON Jul05 May24       (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 119 4.50 6% 16.00    
  (by DELHOMME out of TIME FOR DECEPTION by DESERT GOD)
4  KARA FLASH         (gomez rafae)SANTIAGO EDWARD 116 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AWESOME BET out of BETTY LOU by HOLY BULL)
5  HOT PINK Jul11 Jul05 Jun14     (jacks e)VARGAS P 119 2.50 24% 3.10    
  (by HOLD ME BACK out of GO GO PINK by FOREST CAMP)
6  PRINCESS DEEANA         (dunn henry)BATISTA X 116 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of DEELITES D'OR by AFTERNOON DEELITES)
7  CAT RANCHER         (asmussen stev)PENA JONUELLE 114 15.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of SWEETER STILL by ROCK OF GIBRALTAR (IRE))
8  ALYDAN         (pish danny)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 10.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of DO THE DANSE by KAFWAIN)
9  SHESABEAST         (ramaekers eri)LOZADA CARLOS 119 12.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of OUR SMILE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
10  BRUNCH SPOT Jun14         (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 10.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of TEXAS TEMPEST by BERNARDINI)
 
LAD-7   08/18/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAT ATE THE CANARY Jul30 Jul22 May25 Feb22 Feb08 (jacks ka)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 30.00    
2  WISHFUL WINKER Aug08 Jun28 Jun06 May23 Apr20 (cravens ro)BATISTA X 124 8.00 15% 5.60    
3  GIVIN OFF SPARKS Jun20 May14 Oct30 Aug17   (sanchez)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 116 10.00 ★    
4  FLAMENGO'S QUEEN (IRE) Jul29 May30 Aug22     (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 119 1.50 ★    
SCR  REINA'S VISION Jul29 Jun24 Aug27 Aug06 Jul01 (romero dal)BOREL H 121 12.00    
6  DEES LITTLE GIRL Jun24 May11 Sep26 Aug20 Jun11 (vincent jar)SANTIAGO EDWARD 124 50.00    
7  FICKLE MISTRESS Jul28 Jul07 Jun07 May17 Apr21 (fogarty desmond)SINGH R 124 5.00 38% 1.70    
8  Y CITY Jul29 Jun09 May26 Apr27 Mar21 (prather john )LOZADA CARLOS 119 10.00    
9  BE NICE         (lara jorge)PENA JONUELLE 114 15.00 22% 3.60    
10  LADYPACKSAPISTOL Jul29 Jun28 Jun07 May03 Mar27 (gelner jayde)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 8.00    
11  HELLABELLA Jun22         (clary jaylan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.