Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Monmouth Park
Sunday - August 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MTH-1   WIN (7/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/3/6)-(7/4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/3/6)-(7/4/3/6)-(7/4/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/3/6)-(1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3/6)-(1/6/7)-(1/7/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
MTH-2   WIN (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/7)-(1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/7)-(1/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7)-(1/7/6)-(3/2/4/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
MTH-3   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/6)-(3/2/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6)-(3/2/4/8)-(6/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
MTH-4   WIN (3/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/8)-(3/2/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/8)-(3/2/4/8)-(3/2/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/4/8)-(6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4/8)-(6/3/5)-(4/2/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-5   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(4/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(4/2/1/3)-(1/9/3/4/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
MTH-6   WIN (4/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/1/3)-(4/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/1/3)-(4/2/1/3)-(4/2/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/1/3)-(1/9/3/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1/3)-(1/9/3/4/5)-(1/6/5/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
MTH-7   WIN (1/9/3/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/3/4/5)-(1/9/3/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/9/3/4/5)-(1/9/3/4/5)-(1/9/3/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/9/3/4/5)-(1/6/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/9/3/4/5)-(1/6/5/2)-(7/2/5/8/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
MTH-8   WIN (1/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/2)-(1/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/2)-(1/6/5/2)-(1/6/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/5/2)-(7/2/5/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
MTH-9   WIN (7/2/5/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/8/3)-(7/2/5/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/8/3)-(7/2/5/8/3)-(7/2/5/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MTH-1   08/17/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEA MAIDEN Aug02 Jul04 Jun15 Oct12 Sep27 (huston rory )CASTILLO ISAAC 121 8.00    
SCR  WHATTA WORLD Aug03 Jun28 Jun09 May17 Mar14 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.50    
SHAKREVENGE Jul26 Jun27 Jun14 May17 Apr02 (avila car)MARIN SAMUEL 124 4.00 12% 7.30    
BOLT OF PARADISE Aug03 Jun25 May24 Feb19 Jan26 (crook-dema)SANCHEZ J 124 5.00 17% 4.90    
SPECIAL AFFAIR Jul26 Jul04 Jun20 Jun07 May24 (hernand)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 10.00    
K D KAKES Aug03 Jul12 Jun07 May19 Apr29 (padilla esteb)RANGEL JOEZER 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
PEONY Jul26 Apr24 Feb08 Dec07 Nov03 (dougherty devo)CAMACHO SAMY 124 1.40 49% 1.00    
KITTY'S PRETTY Aug03 Jul11 Jun13 Feb01 Dec29 (gonzalez clau)OCASIO M 119 20.00    
 
MTH-2   08/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FENWICK JACK Aug01 Jul01 May12 Apr29 Apr08 (pino v)AGUILAR JEAN 121 4.00 26% 2.90    
ADMIRAL'S WAVE Aug01 Jun27 May11 Apr23 Mar30 (padilla esteba)ADORNO ABNER 121 4.00    
MY MAMBA Aug08 Jul09 Jun22 May31 May10 (simone michael)CAMACHO SAMY 121 5.00    
SCR  KING MIANO Apr18 Mar29 Mar08 Jan29 Dec20 (yanez reynaldo)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.50    
GUN RIGHT Aug03 Jun28 Jun15 May17 Mar30 (gomez pompey)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 2.50    
BRYCE CANYON Aug01 May03 Apr16 Mar22 Mar02 (yanez rey)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 111 8.00 23% 3.30    
ARAK Jul19 Jun20 Jun08 May21 Apr30 (milne j)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-3   08/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORALITO         (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 119 4.00 32% 2.10    
FERATOVIC Jul27 Jul12 Jun28 Jun15 May31 (rabadan sergio)MARIN SAMUEL 123 8.00    
SCR  ALPHADINI Aug03 Jun29 Jun06 May19 Apr22 (velazquez )ROWLAND MADELINE 119 5.00    
ZHU DADDY Jul27 Jul11 Jun09 May17 Mar08 (avila c)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 2.00    
SCR  CLASSICAL TALE Jun07 Oct11 Sep01 Jul26   (rabadan sergio)CAMACHO SAMY 119 15.00    
CHANGE YOUR NAME Jul27 Jul20 Jun08 Apr24 Apr05 (dougherty dev)OCASIO M 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WHY ME LORD         (huston k)IORIO MELISSA 119 8.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  DAVE THE GREAT Jul24 Jun29 Jun08 May10   (gonzalez )VARGAS A 119 3.50    
 
MTH-4   08/17/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEOPATRA'S NILE May10 Mar22 Feb22 Jan24 Jan05 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 121 2.50    
WHITE LILACS Aug01 Jun21 May26 Mar19 Feb15 (pino v)CAMACHO SAMY 122 3.00 14% 6.30    
MRS. KATZ Aug01 May10 Apr19 Mar29 Mar05 (o'connell ka)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.50 57% 0.70    
CENTER STAGE Jul17 Mar16 Jan16 Dec15 Nov04 (mosco ro)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 121 4.00 8% 11.70    
MISS M M Aug01 Jul04 Jun20 Jun07 May11 (crowell susan)OLVER MADISON 121 8.00    
LULLABY LAND Jul23 Jun19 Nov25 Oct17 Sep20 (abrams jack)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 8.00    
SCR  DRINKS ON ME Aug01 Dec21 Dec07 Oct11 Sep20 (tessor)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 15.00    
ROZAY SUMMER Aug01 Jun14 Jun07 May11 Apr27 (yanez reynal)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-5   08/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Sorority Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAZZLING DAME Jun27         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 116 2.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of AWESOME DAMA by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
SPITFIRE Jul24 Jun20       (mcpeek )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 3.00    
  (by ARTIE SCHILLER out of DONTGETINMYWAY by MACHIAVELLIAN)
FOND OF YOU Jul26         (stidham m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 1.80 29% 2.50    
  (by STORMY ATLANTIC out of HALLIE BELLE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
MINE STRIKE Jun29 May29       (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 118 6.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of DANYELLI by MINESHAFT)
DAKOTA CAM Jul18 Jun01       (gonzalez claud)TORREALBA JG 118 15.00 10% 9.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CLAIRVOYANCE by ARCH)
SLICK MERLIN Jul27 Jul04       (spina charle)LOPEZ PASCACIO 116 3.50 30% 2.40    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of CRAFTY COED by CRAFTY FRIEND)
 
MTH-6   08/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOSTALGIA'S SMILE Jul26 Jul13 Jun22 Jun01 May01 (david carlos)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.00 11% 7.90    
JACE IS NO JOKE Aug09 Jul27 Jul12 Jun14 May31 (synnefias pana)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.00 21% 3.90    
AVES MAKIN' WAVES Jul18 Jul04 Jun08 May11 Apr21 (crowell susan)OLVER MADISON 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
FLATTERS CHANCE Jul27 Jun29 May25 Apr13 Mar07 (cudworth paul)COTTO L 124 4.00 42% 1.40    
MINE SEEKER Jul18 Jun29 Jun08 May25 May10 (crowell susan)JARA FERNANDO 120 15.00    
SCR  ITS PIZZA TIME Jul06 Jun08 Apr27 Apr09 Mar05 (ramirez silvin)CAMACHO SAMY 117 2.50    
GUNNERY SERGEANT Aug08 Jul06 Jun15 May26 May10 (nunn douglas)IORIO MELISSA 117 6.00    
SPICE BAG Jul18 Jul06 Jun22 May11 Mar12 (dini mik)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 10.00    
 
MTH-7   08/17/2025 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP IT UP Jul18 Jun07 May25 Apr27 Oct31 (ryerson jame)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  A COZY THING Jul27 Jul06 Jun01 May17 Dec13 (einhorn k)VARGAS A 117 20.00    
BLAME THE BANKER Jul18 Jun29 Jun01 May25 Oct13 (synnefias pana)MARIN SAMUEL 117 3.50 13% 6.90    
SINGALONG KAYLA Aug08 Jul18 Jun29 May25 Mar29 (wilson tony)JARA FERNANDO 121 8.00 10% 8.90    
ALLISON PARK Aug02 Jun15 May24 May10 Sep07 (mcburney pat)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 8.00 6% 15.00    
DUELA DENT Jun28 Jun14 Jun01 Apr21 Feb04 (plaza albert)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 12.00    
PRINCESS GLADYS Jul18 Jun29 May25 May02 Oct24 (dini mik)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 121 15.00    
WELLAREYOUHAPPYNOW Aug08 Jul18 Jun28 Dec27 Dec13 (sullivan ellio)CAMACHO SAMY 121 5.00    
MISCHIEF MAXEY Jul13 Jun29 May17 Apr18 Mar24 (servis c)PENNINGTON F 118 4.50 14% 5.90    
10  REASSESS Aug03 Jul12 Jun28 Jun13 May15 (crowell su)SANCHEZ J 121 10.00    
 
MTH-8   08/17/2025 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARTUCHO Jul19 Sep15 Aug17 Jun09 May04 (brown c)MARIN SAMUEL 121 2.00 52% 0.90    
HATCH (GB) Jul27 Jul12 Jun14 May24 May03 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
VIRGINIA CITY Jul04 May25 Apr26 Mar15 Feb22 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 121 8.00    
VINSANITY Aug01 Jul19 Jul05 Jun08 May02 (arriaga antoni)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00    
DENYING Jul26 Jun29 Jun14 May18 May10 (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 121 4.00 9% 9.60    
TALKLESSWORKMORE Jul04 Jun14 Apr24 Feb17 Jan18 (ness jamie)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 3.50 18% 4.60    
RUN HAPPY PAPPY Jul05 Jun15 May26 May11 Aug24 (sanchez jo)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 114 10.00    
JERSEY PERFECTION Aug01 Oct18 Sep26 Sep07 Aug25 (dougherty dev)OLVER MADISON 121 30.00    
SCR  TESTED Jul17 Jun21 Mar14 Feb20 Jan27 (schultz linds)JARA FERNANDO 117 8.00    
 
MTH-9   08/17/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($22K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TWENTYEIGHTTOTHREE Jul30 Jul07 Jun02 May20 May06 (padilla-precia)ADORNO ABNER 119 20.00    
MAILMAN MONEY Aug03 Jul19 Jun28 Jun14 Jan04 (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 4.50 14% 6.40    
RYAN'S FLEET Aug02 Jul09 Jun17 May06 Apr15 (leung carlo)DE KEMICH 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SHAKIN LOOSE Aug10 Jul20 Jun27 Jun05 May10 (synnefias pa)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 10.00    
SPANISH NOBLE Jul06 Jun15 May18 May03 Apr18 (o'connell )SANCHEZ J 121 6.00 11% 7.80    
SHOGUN BE FAST Aug03 Jul06 May31 Jan08 Nov20 (synnefias pana)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00    
BE HERE Jul19 Jun28 Jun14 Jun01 May18 (delgado jorge)JARA FERNANDO 120 5.00 39% 1.50    
DRAKON Jul19 Jun28 Jun14 May16 Apr06 (david a)CAMACHO SAMY 119 5.00 10% 8.70    
INTO IT Jun21 May25 Mar09 Jan25 Dec26 (dutrow richa)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 4.00    
10  LEO MONTE Aug03 Jul06 May18 Apr25 Mar29 (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 121 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.