Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - August 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(5/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(5/3/7)-(4/2/3/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/7)-(5/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/7)-(5/3/7)-(5/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/7)-(4/2/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/7)-(4/2/3/8)-(1/3/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/2/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/3/8)-(4/2/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/3/8)-(4/2/3/8)-(4/2/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/3/8)-(1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3/8)-(1/3/7)-(3/4/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/7)-(1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/7)-(3/4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7)-(3/4/6/1)-(4/8/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/4/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/1)-(3/4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/1)-(3/4/6/1)-(3/4/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/6/1)-(4/8/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6/1)-(4/8/6/1)-(6/4/9/2/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/8/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/6/1)-(4/8/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/6/1)-(4/8/6/1)-(4/8/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/6/1)-(6/4/9/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/8/6/1)-(6/4/9/2/7)-(1/3/2/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/4/9/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/9/2/7)-(6/4/9/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/9/2/7)-(6/4/9/2/7)-(6/4/9/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/9/2/7)-(1/3/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/4)-(1/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/4)-(1/3/2/4)-(1/3/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   08/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG DILEMMA Jul17 Jun20 May30 Apr27 Apr18 (brown ronne)CESPEDES JHORMA 117 2.00    
2  BULLRING BULLY Jul24 Jul11 May15 Mar20 Mar07 (gazzier k)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.50 39% 1.60    
3  FULL PROOF Dec01 Oct17 Sep07 Mar15 Feb09 (clagett c)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 120 20.00    
4  CHASING COLTON Jun26 May09 Apr23 Mar20 Feb27 (jones e)ACOSTA D 118 1.80 15% 5.80    
5  MO JOKE Aug01 Jul13 Jul05 Jun01 May11 (brown ronney)BATISTA A 122 6.00 15% 5.80    
6  RUNNINGTHENUMBERS Aug07 Jul17 Jun26 May22 May16 (racanelli m)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00    
 
CT-2   08/16/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MODEST KAY Aug09 Jul25 Jun12 May02 Apr18 (gomez r)LARROSA G 116 30.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of KEYSTONE PIPELINE by LOUIS QUATORZE)
SCR  KEEPEROFTHEBELLES Jul10         (curtis la)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 15.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of THREE BELLES by FLATTER)
3  MEEMAW'S GIRL Jul26 Jul10 Jun20 May24   (regget)ARAUJO VICENTE 116 3.00 16% 5.20    
  (by REDIRECT out of MEEMAW'S HEART by LION HEARTED)
4  KEEP SHINING ON US Jul26 Jul05 Jun06 May09 Apr23 (petty kristy)ACOSTA D 116 3.50    
  (by JUBA out of CAMERON STREET by DENIS OF CORK)
5  PRESHOW HYPE Jul05 Jun06 May09 Apr23 Mar14 (brown ronne)CESPEDES JHORMA 109 1.80 58% 0.70    
  (by BAYERN out of PRESHOW by BERTRANDO)
6  SMART CRY Jul26 Jun21 Jun06     (grams timothy )CHILO MAXIMO 116 2.50    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of CLEVER by SMARTY JONES)
7  REMY'S TOP GUN Jul10 May23       (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of REMY DOODLES by GRAND SLAM)
 
CT-3   08/16/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMERSTATEOFMIND Jul24 Jul05 Apr29 Apr04 Mar07 (knoblauch-perez )CRUZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
2  STARLITE WALKER Jul24 Jul10 Nov27 Sep19 Aug10 (reynolds )BOCACHICA J 122 4.00 31% 2.20    
3  COWBOY AT HEART Jul24 Jun06 Jan30 Jan02 Nov02 (walters d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00 6% 14.80    
4  GOLDEN KEY Jul10 Jun19 May08 Apr19 Mar28 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 0.60 41% 1.40    
5  JIMMY THE KID Jul05 May15 Apr23 Mar20 Feb28 (martin r)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
6  SUTTON VALLEY Apr23 Mar06 Jan30 Jan11 Dec05 (venham d)MAWING A 122 20.00    
7  GABRIEL SEVEN Jul10 Jun14 May24 Mar15 Feb21 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00    
8  JAMES GANG May15 Apr23 Apr12 Mar20 Feb28 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-4   08/16/2025 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PINK DINGHY Jun05 May16 May01 Apr10 Feb07 (contreras javier)CRUZ ANGEL 120 1.80 46% 1.20    
SCR  MY HANDSOME MAN Jul26 Jun15 May26 May13 Apr12 (ovando)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 15.00    
3  PLATINUM GHOST Jul16 Jun25 Jun03 Jan09 Dec05 (meyers sh)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 29% 2.50    
4  BONNIE BILL Jul25 Jul03 Jun14 May23 May09 (shanley timo)BATISTA A 120 20.00    
SCR  AMIDSHIPS Jul10 Apr19 Feb05 Sep13 Jul12 (runco c)CULLUM W 120 4.00    
6  TOUR GUIDE Jul25 Jun28 Jun05 May22 Apr10 (brown ronne)CESPEDES JHORMA 113 12.00    
7  TYCOON (GB) Jul25 Jul03 Apr14 Mar25 Mar04 (calhoun amanda)ACOSTA D 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FIBER STRONG May22 Apr19 Feb08 Dec14 Sep27 (runco jef)BOCACHICA J 120 3.00    
 
CT-5   08/16/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZIO LORENZO Jul26 Jul05 May17 Apr25 Apr03 (peltroche v)PELTROCHE ELIAS 124 20.00 5% 18.20    
2  CORONATION TIME Jul03 Jun20 May16 Apr25 Apr03 (brown ronney)BATISTA A 122 6.00    
3  DOCTOR PARDO Jul04 Jun14 May16 Apr23 Apr11 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 6.00 27% 2.60    
4  UNIFIED WEEKEND Jul04 May24 Apr11 Mar21 Mar01 (adorno je)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.50 26% 2.80    
5  I AM THAT I AM Jul19 May08 Apr06 Mar21 Mar13 (jones e)LARA VICTOR 112 15.00    
6  MON GATEAU May01 Mar22 Feb08 Jan18 Dec14 (brown ronne)CESPEDES JHORMA 115 5.00 9% 9.60    
7  TOAST TO COAST Aug08 Jul12 Jun15 May26 May09 (murdoc)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.00    
8  ABUELO PAPS Aug07 Jul24 Jun22 May31 May09 (magee kieron)ACOSTA D 122 2.00    
 
CT-6   08/16/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RENEGADE RABBIT Jul18 Jul12 Jun21 Jun06 May23 (o'neill m)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  INDICATOR Jul19 May11 Apr11 Mar21 Feb24 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 120 1.20    
3  TALENTED LINO Jul04 Jun06 May03 Apr23 Mar22 (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 116 15.00    
4  MAGICAL SURPRISE Jul19 Jun05 Jul20 Jun20 Apr19 (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.00 38% 1.70    
5  HUMOROUS Jul04 Jun14 May29 May10 Apr23 (brown ronne)CESPEDES JHORMA 109 20.00    
SCR  MOR D'ORO Jun14 May23 May10 Apr25   (brown keith)MENDEZ MARSHALL 116 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  EASY PASS Aug02 Jul19 Jun14 May31 May10 (groves janice)LARROSA G 120 6.00    
8  ESTRELLA FUGAZ Aug07 Jul19 Jul03 Jun20 May23 (peltroche v)PELTROCHE ELIAS 120 5.00 32% 2.10    
 
CT-7   08/16/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TOODLESWASMYNAME Jul17 Jul03 Jun21 May30 May08 (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 116 20.00    
2  K. BEE Jul19 Jun21       (bourne lori )DIAZ JR 120 10.00 5% 17.80    
3  FLYIN MAYAN Jun21 May30 May08 Apr26 Mar08 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 116 15.00    
4  ANNAPOLIS ROAD Jul19 Jun21 May24 Oct12 Sep21 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 4.50 21% 3.80    
5  JOHN'S NOTION Jul19 May24 May08 Apr26 Apr03 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 116 20.00    
6  LIFE IS DAILY Jul25 Jun28       (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 1.20 38% 1.60    
7  CAFFEINENNICOTINE Jul19 Jun21 May24 Apr26 Apr03 (meehan elizabeth)ACOSTA D 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  YANKEE DOODLE KID Jul19 Jul03 May29 Apr18 Mar07 (brown ronne)CESPEDES JHORMA 109 20.00    
9  RAY OF SUNSHINE Jul19 Jun27 May30 May10 Apr18 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 3.50 15% 5.60    
10  DIRECT APPEAL Aug02 Jul19 Jun27 Jun21 May24 (clatterbuck)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00    
 
CT-8   08/16/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOPPING HENRY Jul05 Jun21 May22 Apr19 Mar28 (brown ronne)CESPEDES JHORMA 115 1.40 46% 1.20    
2  PARK AVE PRINCE May08 Apr10 Mar13 Feb01 Jan02 (jones e)LARA VICTOR 112 10.00 8% 10.80    
3  AUBURN MILL Jul10 Jun20 May23 May08 Apr10 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 10% 9.30    
4  JUBA BOUND Aug01 Jul11 Jun20 Jun13 May22 (knudsen kent)HO WESLEY 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  TAKE YOUR TIME Jul17 Jun20 May23 May01 Apr17 (hanagan lela)DIAZ JR 124 2.50    
6  DOC ELM Aug09 Jul17 Jun20 Jul27 Jul06 (wilhelm tab)RAMGEET R 122 30.00    
7  GOLD FIBER Jul24 Jul05 Jun12 May29 Mar29 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 4.50    
8  ROCKING TO HOME Jun20 May09 May01 Apr17 Jan23 (obed-letts ket)CHILO MAXIMO 120 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.