Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tillamook County Fair
Wednesday - August 06, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TIL-2   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
TIL-4   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
TIL-5   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
TIL-6   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/4/5/2)-(1/4/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TIL-7   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TIL-8   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TIL-2   08/06/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORDIGAN Aug07 Jun30 Jun22 Jun15   (dickinson jo)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 6.00 8% 11.20    
  (by DOMINO JOHNSON out of COUNTESS CAPOTE by CAPOTE'S PROSPECT)
2  TWISTIN WITH LINDA Jul10 Jun14 Jun06 May26   (hernandez j)CERVANTES OSCAR 124 4.00    
  (by AFRASHAD out of GIACOMINA by MATTY G)
3  LUCKY C Jul04 Mar28       (lyons s)SAMUELS JAKE 124 2.00    
  (by OM out of LUCKY CHRISTIANA by LUCKY PULPIT)
4  STORMY RYTHM Jun21 Jun14 Apr26 Mar28 Feb20 (wheeler t)JENSEN P 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of CATCHY RYTHM by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
5  BEDOWNTOMESSAROUND Jul05 Jun28 Jun21 May17 May03 (beckne)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 124 2.50    
  (by BROOKS 'N DOWN out of PANTYHOSE by AWESOME OF COURSE)
6  ZEPHYR CAT Jun15 Oct13 Oct07 Sep29 Sep16 (hurley dennis)ELLIS DEVON 126 8.00 64% 0.60    
  (by SIERRA SUNSET out of STARRY CAT by TABASCO CAT)
 
TIL-4   08/06/2025 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AIN'T NO SISSY Jul25 Jul05 Jun28 Jun14 Sep13 (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E 126 6.00    
2  CHRISTINE'S JACK Jul26 Jul13 Jun29 Jun01 Oct12 (smith jackie)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 2.50 8% 11.50    
3  AWESOME MOVE Jul20 Jun28 Jun14 May11 Aug09 (birdwell te)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 4.00    
4  CHELSIESDANZIGLITE Jul05 Jun22 Oct06 Sep23 Sep16 (lyons s)SAMUELS JAKE 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  RUN SNAPPY Jun15 Sep29 Sep09 Jul20 Jun23 (lowe n)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 1.00 70% 0.40    
 
TIL-5   08/06/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NATIONHEART Jul10 Jul04 Jun29 Oct13 Sep22 (hurley denni)SMITH E 126 5.00    
2  WORKDAY Jul11 Jul04 Jun22 Oct13 Oct06 (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 126 3.00 28% 2.60    
3  LOOKIN FOR GOLD Aug10 Aug07 Jul13 Jun29 Jun22 (dickinson jo)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 8.00    
4  CABALLERANGO Jun29 Jun22 Oct14 Oct06 Sep29 (boyle mary)SAMUELS JAKE 126 2.50 26% 2.80    
5  BIG BAD BRIAN Jul10 Jun21 Jun06 Oct13 Sep29 (stillwell tucke)ELLIS DEVON 126 6.00 18% 4.60    
6  SILENT DECLARATION Jul27 Jul20 Jul12 May31 May17 (birdrattle)CARLSON J 121 3.00    
 
TIL-6   08/06/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO SUGAFOOT Jun28 Jun22 Oct14 Oct06 Sep16 (beckner t)JENSEN P 126 4.00 68% 0.50    
2  SHESALILRUNAWAY Jul10 Jun28 Jun15 Oct13 Sep29 (harris john)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  SARI'S TIGER Jul04 Jun21       (cox jo)ELLIS DEVON 126 6.00    
4  BLOWING BAYOU Jul10 Jul04 Jun21 Oct14 Oct07 (abrahamson mar)SAMUELS JAKE 126 3.00 ★    
5  GET'EM TIGER Jul10 Jul04 Jun14 Sep01 Aug10 (hurley denni)SMITH E 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  SILVERS LAST DANCE Jul27 Jul12 Oct13 Jul13 Jun29 (birdrattle)CARLSON J 121 6.00    
7  CLIPPERVILE GIRL Jul10 Jun28 Jun22 Jun08 Sep29 (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E 126 2.50    
 
TIL-7   08/06/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR MEMPHIS Jul11 Jun29 Jun21 Oct14 Oct06 (hurley denni)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 4.00    
2  HIDETHELOOT Jul27 Jul19 Sep07 Sep01 Jul27 (birdrattler na)SAMUELS JAKE 126 3.50 10% 9.30    
3  LUCCA'S LEGACY Jul11 Jun28 Jun07 Oct14 Sep30 (harshman loegan)ELLIS DEVON 126 2.50    
4  HAKUNUI Jul10 Jul04 Jun21 Jun14 Oct07 (lyons kendra)SMITH E 126 3.00 55% 0.80    
5  BABY FRANKIE Jul26 Jun28 Jun08 Jun09 May19 (van d)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 8.00    
6  OUR EMPIRE Jul10 Jul04 Jun21 Oct13 Sep15 (maelfeyt )JENSEN P 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TIL-8   08/06/2025 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUZZED BY A TIGER Jun28 Oct14 Sep30 Sep16 Aug24 (hurley de)TIMENTWA TALLIYAH 121 4.50 63% 0.60    
2  TIZ CURLY JOE Jul11 Jul05 Jun22 Jun08 Aug30 (stewart scot)NUNNALLY BLAKE 126 6.00    
3  COUNT ASHER Jul04 Jun28 Oct14 Sep30 Sep15 (lyons s)ELLIS DEVON 126 8.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  THIRSTY THURSDAY Jul27 Jul20 Jul12 Jun01 May18 (birdrattle)CARLSON J 121 5.00    
5  MOUNT PELLIAR Jun21 Jun07 May18 Feb15 Jan26 (greine)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 0.80    
SCR  SHERRYS BABY Jul04 Jun22 Jun07 Oct06 Sep30 (lopez s)LOPEZ E 121 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.