Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - August 05, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(3/4)-(2/1/3) 12 $0.20 $2.40 
ASD-2   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    DD (3/4)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(2/1/3)-(1/3/6/5) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
ASD-3   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (2/1/3)-(1/3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(1/3/6/5)-(6/5/1/4) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-4   WIN (1/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/5)-(1/3/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/5)-(1/3/6/5)-(1/3/6/5) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (1/3/6/5)-(6/5/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6/5)-(6/5/1/4)-(7/6/3) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-5   WIN (6/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/1/4)-(6/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/1/4)-(6/5/1/4)-(6/5/1/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (6/5/1/4)-(7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1/4)-(7/6/3)-(8/1/5/4) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-6   WIN (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/3)-(7/6/3)-(7/6/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (7/6/3)-(8/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ASD-7   WIN (8/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/5/4)-(8/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/5/4)-(8/1/5/4)-(8/1/5/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   08/05/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RANGER TOWN Jun15 May25 May10     (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 3.50    
  (by THE HUNK out of STRANGER TIDES by UNION RAGS)
OMAHA WARRIOR         (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 1.60 55% 0.80    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of ARCINA by ARCH)
SCR  KEEPITINTHEFAMILY         (williams dew)BENNETT MATHEW 122 6.00    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of DIAMONDS DENA by NORTHERN AFLEET)
MARKING BROADWAY Apr10         (williams de)TOWNSEND SHAVON 122 2.50    
  (by MARKING out of LIGHTS ON BROADWAY by REAL SOLUTION)
AREUNOTENTERTAINED         (brown ja)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 4.50 20% 3.90    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of LADY LAPUMA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
ASD-2   08/05/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAJUN BERTI Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 Sep18 Sep09 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 124 3.00    
SCR  OHTANI Jul22 Jul02 Aug28 Aug14 Jul25 (gardipy jr)PRUITT CIERA 119 15.00    
COLONEL KLINK Jul13 Jun30 Jun09 May25 Jan15 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 124 1.20 46% 1.20    
SHIRLEY'S SHERMAN Jul22 Jul02 Jun10 Jun03 Sep24 (desjarlais r)BENNETT MATHEW 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SPIRE Jul02 Jun23 May27 Sep23 Sep03 (brown ja)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 2.00    
 
ASD-3   08/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Manitoba Oaks Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASUALLY CLASSY Jul16 Jun17 Jun04 Apr19 Jan30 (pruitt lise)PRUITT CIERA 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of ENLIGHTENMENT by STREET SENSE)
WELCOMETOHOLLYWOOD Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 Feb20 Feb04 (brown jar)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 0.50 67% 0.50    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of ARCH OF TROY by ARCHARCHARCH)
MCGILL Jul23 Jun25 Jun04 Dec15 Nov23 (anderson )SEECHARAN A 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of LEXI TAP by PLEASANT TAP)
SCR  TWOLEFTTOLOAD Jul22 Jul08 Jun18 Jun03 May20 (nault michael)BYNOE DAMARIO 114 6.00    
  (by SPECULATING out of TALKN TIL MIDNIGHT by BROKEN VOW)
LINDA'S MAP Jul22 Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 Dec05 (moreno carlos)ALI RONALD 114 4.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MAGDALENA'S MOMENT by HARBOR THE GOLD)
MAYBE SO Jun14 May18 May03 Apr20 Mar30 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 114 15.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of EDIT by NAHUEL)
 
ASD-4   08/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST A POSE Jul14 Jun11 Jun02 May14 Sep11 (pruitt lise)BENNETT MATHEW 123 1.20 49% 1.00    
SWEETNESS TO Jul29 Oct06 Sep15 Sep07 Aug14 (constant )SEECHARAN A 121 30.00    
SNEAKY SITUATION Jul29 Jul09 Jun23 May27 May14 (cole terry)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 117 2.50 23% 3.30    
DOGWOODSMILLIEJANE Jul14 Jun17 Jun02 Feb27 Jan29 (gardipy j)PARRIS SACHIN 116 3.00    
SUBLIME EUPHORIA Jul29 Oct08 Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 (gardipy r)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 121 25.00 5% 19.00    
ALMOST GOT LUCKY Jul29 Jun17 May20 Mar26 Mar03 (stanford mar)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
FRESNO CHILE Jul09 Jun17 Jun02 Mar23 Feb05 (fraser l)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 20.00    
 
ASD-5   08/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALMING FORCE Jul02         (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 119 4.00 10% 9.20    
  (by SURF CAT out of OBSESIVECOMPULSIVE by CURLIN)
ROCKY TOP MISCHIEF Jul29 Jul02 Jun18 Jan29 Jan15 (homer ja)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SPECIAL RELATIVITY by COWBOY CAL)
GRAY HAVENS Jul15 Jun18       (taphorn mike)BENNETT MATHEW 119 25.00    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of BEARS PRINCESS by OLMODAVOR)
SGT. FILKOW Sep09 Aug27       (husbands ti)DALRYMPLE DARIO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of THUNDER GIRL by CRAFTY)
DAZZLE ME DAWN Jul11 Jun07 May23 Aug23   (vanoverscho)MARTI ALEXANDER 114 3.00 31% 2.20    
  (by COUNTERFORCE out of DAZ LIN DAWN by POPULAR (SAF))
ZEN ZONE Dec08 Oct06       (homer jason)TOWNSEND SHAVON 124 2.00 37% 1.70    
  (by TAMARANDO out of SIOUX ZEN by TIZNOW)
FLYING TEX Jul13 Jun21 May30 May02 Mar07 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 5.00    
  (by CONNECT out of STRANGER TIDES by UNION RAGS)
SWISS LAKER BOY Jun11 May28 May14 Apr15 Mar19 (laing sherry)PARRIS SACHIN 114 50.00    
  (by TAMARANDO out of SWISS LAKE YODELER by SWISS YODELER)
 
ASD-6   08/05/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUSSIAN PEARL (NZ) Jul22 Jul15 Jul01 May28 May14 (gaskin steven)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 15.00    
MISS Z Jul22 Jul09 Jun25 Jun03 May13 (mustard d)TOWNSEND SHAVON 123 12.00    
SAVAGE LOVE Jul22 Jun25 Jun02 Sep23 Sep10 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ADAM'S CREED Jul09 Jun03 Sep23 Sep02 Aug13 (wise richar)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 123 4.00    
MISS CHARGE IT Jul14 Jul08 May24 May16 May02 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 1.80    
ALWAYS THE LIL ONE Jul22 Jul14 Jul02 Jun17 Jun02 (pruitt lise)BELLE SHAVON 123 3.00 18% 4.60    
STOLEN HALO Jul25 Jun21 May24 May10 Apr13 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 123 5.00 47% 1.10    
 
ASD-7   08/05/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAMAYIM Jul22 Jul09 Jun24 Jun11 May28 (nault mic)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 4.00 19% 4.10    
CAPTIVE KITTEN Jul22 Jul09 Jun24 Jun11 May27 (morse victor)BENNETT MATHEW 124 30.00    
WILL THE THRILL Jul23 Jul14 Jun23 Jun11 May21 (rawson fred)CUMBERBATCH R 124 2.00    
EXOTIC'S BEAR Jul02 Jun23 Jun10 May27 May13 (stanford mar)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
PLENTIFUL Jul02 Jun18 Aug22 Jul24 Jun28 (duncan)LEWIS ANTHONY 124 7.00 7% 12.40    
REALLY SLOW Jul29 Jul16 Jul02 Jun18 Jun03 (morse vi)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 40.00    
BIG INVESTMENT Jul23 Jul14 Jun25 Jun11 May28 (stanford )SEECHARAN A 124 5.00    
CHARMING CHARLIE Jul22 Jul14 Jun24 Jun11 May28 (delaronde lee)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.