Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Great Falls
Saturday - July 26, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GF-1   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $3.00 $6.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    DD (2/1)-(5/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
GF-2   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $3.00 $18.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
GF-3   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/1) 1 $3.00 $3.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
GF-4   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/2) 1 $3.00 $3.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
GF-5   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/1) 1 $3.00 $3.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
GF-7   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $3.00 $6.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
GF-8   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $3.00 $18.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GF-1   07/26/2025 3465ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIVATE TRAX Jul20 Jul13 Jul28 Jul20 Jun14 (dennis g)GAMEZ M 126 4.00 18% 4.70    
FUN CITY Jul19 Jul27 Jul19 Jun21 Jul01 (birdrattler)MEINEKE SHELDON 121 5.00 48% 1.10    
BARKEEPER Jul29 Jul22 Jul31     (goodluck cot)BANDA F 126 7.00    
LITTLE MORE LOVE Jul13 Jun28 Jun20 May30 May16 (ball jay)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 2.50    
SCR  IMMORAL Jul13 May30 May11 Apr19 Apr06 (birdrat)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 2.00    
 
GF-2   07/26/2025 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEW EVERY MORNING Jul19 Jul12 Jun20 May31 May16 (gibbs tyl)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 2.00 19% 4.40    
REGAL REDWOOD Jul19 Jul13 May16 Apr16 Mar27 (birdrat)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
DELTA DELTA Jul19 Jul13 Jun07 May31 May18 (birdrattle)BAD JOSSIAH 126 4.00    
BUFFUM'S BEAUTY Jul19 Jul20 Jul29 Jul22 Jul16 (alejandre fi)BANDA F 121 8.00    
CHRISTINE'S JACK Jul13 Jun29 Jun01 Oct12 Sep29 (smith jackie)JOURNET JARRED 126 3.00 61% 0.60    
CHICKNFINGERFRIDAY Jul19 Jul13 Jun21 Jun14 Apr16 (fitzpatrick )ANDROS CORRINE 126 3.50    
 
GF-3   07/26/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENSIBLE LUTE Jul13 May16 Mar12 Feb05 Jan22 (nelson bucks)ANDROS CORRINE 126 2.00    
ZZYZX Jul10 Jun08 Sep30 Sep23 Aug17 (hanson mark)GAMEZ M 126 3.00    
INZAWAY Jul20 Jul13 Jun28 Apr02 Mar25 (dennis cl)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 3.50    
ABRAA JABRAA Jul20 Jul12 Jun29 Jun07 Jun01 (birdrat)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 1.60 44% 1.30    
 
GF-4   07/26/2025 3465ft DIRT RC11 FAST Overnight Fillies And Mares Purse ($7.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOFIA STRONG Jul19 Jun07 Oct14 Sep30 Sep22 (smith j)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 3.50    
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of TUNA by EVEN THE SCORE)
LUCY TREASURE Jul12 Jun21 Jun07 May26 Apr29 (birdrattler natha)GAMEZ M 126 1.60    
  (by BOOS out of STREET FAIR by STREET CRY (IRE))
HAYNESPUN Jul19 Jun15 May31 May17 May11 (warren kayla)JOURNET JARRED 126 3.00    
  (by HAYNESFIELD out of SPINNING STEEL by HARD SPUN)
IMA TROUBLE MAKER Jul19 Jul12 May31 May18 May11 (nelson bucks)ANDROS CORRINE 126 2.00 43% 1.30    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of R LA PATRONA by BENCHMARK)
 
GF-5   07/26/2025 3465ft DIRT RC11 FAST Turf Club Overnight TB Derby Purse ($7.4K) 3 ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG SWAG Jul20 Jul13 Jun22 Jun13 May30 (oliver d)ANDROS CORRINE 124 1.60    
  (by BODEXPRESS out of BIG BREAK by MR. BIG)
THE WINNING EDGE Jul19 Jun07 May30 May16 May03 (cross p)JOURNET JARRED 124 3.00 34% 1.90    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of FACTOR OUT by THE FACTOR)
PARADISE POKER Jul20 Jul13 Jun15     (gibbs tyl)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 2.00    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of TWO TO TANGO by TAPIT)
AMERICAN TANGO Jul20 Jul13 Jun15 May17 Mar26 (fitzpatric)BAD JOSSIAH 124 3.50    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of GO ARGENTO by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
GF-7   07/26/2025 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($7.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONTUCKY Jun20 Sep28 Aug30 Aug18 Jul28 (gibbs tyl)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 1.60 50% 1.00    
SCR  PAISLEES PROMISE Jun27 Jun07 Apr29 Apr03 Mar19 (birdrattle)CARLSON J 121 8.00    
SCR  CALEB CAT Jul19 Jul12 Jun20 Jun01 Jul28 (oliver d)JOURNET JARRED 126 2.50    
ZHIVAGO Jul19 Dec09 Nov25 Nov10 Oct15 (carlson er)BAD JOSSIAH 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ASPHALT ANDY Jun20 Jun01 Mar11 Feb18 Jan23 (birdrattler)MEINEKE SHELDON 121 3.50    
 
GF-8   07/26/2025 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARLEN'S PROSPECT Jul19 Jul28 Jul31 Jul30 Jul16 (birdrattle)CARLSON J 124 4.00    
PERSISTENT TOUCH Jul16 May15 May07     (birdrattler )BANDA F 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
WESTON Jun29 Jun07 Sep09 Aug18 Jun07 (hanson mark)ANDROS CORRINE 124 2.50 35% 1.80    
BIG BLUE NOTE Jul20 May26 May17 May11 Jan29 (warren kayla)JOURNET JARRED 119 2.00 43% 1.30    
SHE'S ON FIRE Jul20 Jul13 Oct19 Sep17 Aug28 (wippert)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 7.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.