Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - July 26, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/3)-(7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/3)-(1/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3)-(1/7/2/4)-(8/6/2/9/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/4)-(1/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/4)-(1/7/2/4)-(1/7/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/2/4)-(8/6/2/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2/4)-(8/6/2/9/7)-(6/7/8/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-3   WIN (8/6/2/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/6/2/9/7)-(8/6/2/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/6/2/9/7)-(8/6/2/9/7)-(8/6/2/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/6/2/9/7)-(6/7/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/6/2/9/7)-(6/7/8/5)-(5/6/2/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/7/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/8/5)-(6/7/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/8/5)-(6/7/8/5)-(6/7/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/8/5)-(5/6/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/8/5)-(5/6/2/7)-(3/6/2/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (5/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/2/7)-(5/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/2/7)-(5/6/2/7)-(5/6/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/2/7)-(3/6/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2/7)-(3/6/2/5)-(6/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (3/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/2/5)-(6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2/5)-(6/5/4)-(7/2/10/6/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/4)-(6/5/4)-(6/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/4)-(7/2/10/6/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/2/10/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/10/6/9)-(7/2/10/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/10/6/9)-(7/2/10/6/9)-(7/2/10/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   07/26/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEART'S COMPASS Jun11 Jun03 Jan19 Nov23 Sep08 (keller)ARAUJO VICENTE 118 3.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SAILOR'S VALENTINE by MIZZEN MAST)
SCR  LIPSTICK AND ROUGE Jul05         (caiazzo co)ALMODOVAR GERALD 118 6.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of LIPSTICK PULPIT by PULPIT)
ELEVATED POWER Jul18 Jun27 Jun04 May07   (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of LAZULITE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
FAB GIRL Jul05 Apr11 Mar09 Feb02   (capuano p)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 4.50 16% 5.40    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MIZZ FABULOUS by TIZ WONDERFUL)
SCR  BIG GIRL Jul09 Jun11       (caiazzo corby)ACOSTA D 118 4.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of SHE STAYS ROLLIN by WAR FRONT)
DARING DELIGHT Jun29 May23 Apr25 Mar28 Feb07 (kjelstrup evel)PEREZ XAVIER 118 4.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of DARE TO BE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
PRINCESS BLAME Dec02 Oct26 Oct01     (brown ronney)BATISTA A 124 2.50 54% 0.90    
  (by BLAME out of OUT OF MY DREAMS by TWO PUNCH)
 
CT-2   07/26/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEEMAW'S GIRL Jul10 Jun20 May24     (reggett)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 116 4.00 51% 1.00    
  (by REDIRECT out of MEEMAW'S HEART by LION HEARTED)
LIL KNOCKOUT Jul19 Jun21 May24 Jan05 Dec27 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 124 4.50 10% 8.80    
  (by LEOFRIC out of MISS TURTLEDOVE by HARLINGTON)
MAMASLITTLEMONSTER Jul19         (straug)RIOS-CONDE JR 116 30.00    
  (by MONSTER MASH out of MAMASLITTLESECRET by PROSPECTOR STREET)
HOUSE ALERT Jul05 Jun27 May24 Mar21 Feb28 (rofe jean)CESPEDES JHORMA 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of BANK TELLER by BANKER'S GOLD)
SMART CRY Jun21 Jun06       (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 116 5.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of CLEVER by SMARTY JONES)
SKIE'S MUSIC Jul05 Jun06 May09 Apr23 Mar14 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 116 1.80    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of SHILOH ROAD by CONGRATS)
KEEP SHINING ON US Jul05 Jun06 May09 Apr23 Mar14 (petty kristy)ACOSTA D 116 3.00 13% 6.90    
  (by JUBA out of CAMERON STREET by DENIS OF CORK)
 
CT-3   07/26/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THANK YA PETE Jul05 Jun20 May23 May15 Apr25 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 124 10.00    
ZIO LORENZO Jul05 May17 Apr25 Apr03 Jan16 (peltroche v)PELTROCHE ELIAS 124 8.00 14% 6.20    
LOST WEEKEND Jun20 Feb07 Jan18 Dec22 Dec12 (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 122 30.00    
TWIXTER Jul04 Jun13 May22 Apr25 Mar28 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
IT'LL DO Jun28 Jun15 May25 May09 Apr13 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.00    
CHANGE YOUR LUCK Jul17 Jun26 Jun05 May24 Apr25 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 124 4.50 16% 5.40    
OPTIMISTIC NATE Jul13 May08 Apr23 Mar29 Mar22 (gillespie a)STOKES J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
IRISH WARLOCK Jun26 Feb21 Jan18 Dec15 Nov16 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
HAGLER Jul10 Jun29 Jun01 May18 Apr18 (collins tim)CESPEDES JHORMA 113 10.00 9% 10.60    
 
CT-4   07/26/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POWERED BY LOVE Jul11 Jun12 May15 Apr23 Apr03 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 2.50    
LORD OF CORK Jun26 May23 May02 Apr19 Oct12 (sigler)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 20.00    
SCR  SCAR NOSE Jul03 Jun26 May31 Apr19 Mar28 (rangel ricardo)HIRALDO JOHN 116 50.00    
STRAIGHT TO WATER Jun27 Jun07 May16 Apr12 Mar30 (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 116 4.50    
NO BRAKE NEEDED May29 May09 Apr23 Mar20 Feb27 (keller )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
RUNALDO Jul03 May23 Apr25 Nov16 Oct12 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.40 59% 0.70    
LOGSTRADAMUS Jun05 May16 May02 Feb21 Jan31 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 124 6.00 13% 6.80    
ESPRESSO Jun26 May23 May02 Oct12 Jul19 (brown a)RODRIGUEZ V 124 10.00 6% 16.30    
 
CT-5   07/26/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
READY FOR MAGIC Jul04 Jun22 May24 May11 Apr18 (singh som)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 116 1.40    
SERENADE ME Jul05 Jun13 May23 May01   (gillespie a)STOKES J 120 10.00 6% 16.10    
SOMETHINGWONDERFUL Jul16 Jun07 May17 Apr25 Jan18 (aguirre anth)DIAZ JR 120 8.00    
A P M NOTION Jun22 Jun15 Jun08 Jul07 Jun22 (mohan d)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 20.00    
MELANCIA Jun28 Jun08 May09 Apr06 Mar09 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 1.80 37% 1.70    
SLOW NO MO Jun21 Jun06 May24 May03 Nov07 (keller)ARAUJO VICENTE 116 4.50 25% 3.10    
SWAN Jun07 May17 Apr26 Apr05 Mar27 (gillespie r)RAMGEET R 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-6   07/26/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON THE COME UP Jul17 Jun06 May08 Apr23 Mar22 (brown ronne)CESPEDES JHORMA 113 5.00    
CLAW Jul10 Jun19 Jun06 May08 Apr23 (sandoval micha)CHILO MAXIMO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
KING KONTIE May19 Apr17 Mar15 Feb26 Feb05 (figgins olli)DIAZ JR 120 2.50 54% 0.90    
TIME TO ROCK Jun20 May08 Apr18 Mar13 Jun08 (viands st)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 1.80    
BIGZ'S CABANA BOY Jul12 Jun27 May30 Apr18 Feb27 (straug)RIOS-CONDE JR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
GEORGE Jun19 Apr18 Oct30 Oct10 Sep19 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00 16% 5.20    
WILDHUNCH Mar14 Feb14 Dec16 Oct22 Oct13 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.50    
 
CT-7   07/26/2025 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Sylvia Bishop Memorial Purse ($75K) 3 F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVER THE BULL Jun21 May10 Apr26 Apr17 Feb26 (sterli)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 5.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of OVER YOU by OVERANALYZE)
OUR STREET ANGEL Jun12 May15 Apr24 Mar14 Feb27 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 12.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of ROCKY'S ANGEL by ROCK SLIDE)
OUR MISS CROSSBOW Jul10 Jun07 May15 Apr23 Mar14 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of OUR MISS BOP by BOP)
ITALIAN SONG Jul05 Jun06 Apr26     (runco c)CULLUM W 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MITOLE out of SATURDAY NTHE PARK by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
SUMMON THE GLAM Jun21 Jun07 May22 May15 Apr24 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 4.50 18% 4.60    
  (by JUBA out of SUMMON THE SPIRIT by SUMMER BIRD)
ZIP START Jun20 May22 Nov02 Oct12 Sep12 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 54% 0.80    
  (by UPSTART out of DANCING FOR GLORY by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
CT-8   07/26/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAPPHIRUS Jul12 Jul04 Jun05 May29 May01 (rofe j)RIOS-CONDE JR 118 20.00    
RIVERLEE Jul17 May31 Apr26 Mar27 Jun28 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 3.00 19% 4.20    
BEST HOP IS A DROP Jul12 Jun14 May29 May03 Mar15 (atkins )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 120 20.00    
SAN SEBASTIAN May31 Apr26 Mar14 Feb06 Jan25 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 15.00    
BOUNDFORABRUISIN Jul10 May22 May02 Mar22 Mar13 (jackson g)CRUZ ANGEL 118 4.00    
HEART OF GOLD Jul10 Jun12 May17 Apr11 Mar15 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
FAVORITE ROAD Jun19 May30 May17 May03 Apr23 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 118 2.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  GOGO GADGET Apr26 Apr03 Mar14 Feb06 Jan11 (calhoun amanda)ACOSTA D 122 15.00    
JUBACANTFIXTHIS Jul10 Jun19 May31 Apr26 Apr17 (knudsen kent)STOKES J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  JUBA MARCHES ON Jul04 Jun05 May22 Apr24 Mar21 (brown ronne)CESPEDES JHORMA 111 5.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  ALDARIGHTTRICKS Jul19 Jul04 Jun05 Jul13 Jun22 (lewis r)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00    
SCR  MAJESTY'S COWBOY Jun30 May25 Apr04 Jan30 Jan17 (dixon geoffre)SIMPSON JASON 122 30.00    
SCR  WHY WINCHILL WHY Jul07 Jun30 Jun15 May19 Mar28 (meeks karl)STOKES J 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.