Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fairmount Park
Saturday - July 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FP-1   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(2/7)-(4/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FP-2   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/7/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/7)-(2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/7)-(4/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/7)-(4/6)-(2/3/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FP-3   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/1/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/6)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(2/3/1)-(7/3/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FP-4   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(7/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(7/3/8)-(5/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
FP-5   WIN (7/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/8)-(7/3/8/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/8)-(7/3/8/1)-(7/3/8/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/8)-(5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/3/8)-(5/2)-(8/10/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FP-6   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/2)-(8/10/4/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
FP-7   WIN (8/10/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/10/4/7)-(8/10/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/10/4/7)-(8/10/4/7)-(8/10/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FP-1   07/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUR DE' PORT Jun24 Jun07 May10 Apr26 Apr03 (quinonez )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 4.00    
SCR  ATRAXA         (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 120 10.00 26% 2.90    
GOODBYE INDY         (lynch harr)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 120 10.00 26% 2.90    
DISTRACTED Jun28 Jun07       (becker scott)WALES T 120 2.00    
ZIPADEEDOODA Jun24 Jun07 May20 May03 Jan30 (delong ben)SIMPSON M 120 15.00    
LOOK MY WAY Jun24 Jun07 May20 Apr22 Dec22 (lynch e)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHICA CON SUERTE Jun07         (schlenk j)ULLOA JOAN 120 20.00    
SCR  HELEN OF C'VILLE Jun14 May31       (becker scott)LOPEZ A 120 3.00    
 
FP-2   07/12/2025 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EL MUCHO Jun12 May25 Apr20 Apr03 Nov25 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 124 3.50    
ALTO ROAD Jun26 Jun05 Apr04 Nov13 Oct23 (martinez )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 4.50 38% 1.60    
DEMAND RANSOM Jun26 Jun10 May17 Apr26 Oct29 (hughes earl)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 10.00    
CANTSTEALMYTHUNDER Jun24 May20 Apr26 Nov27 Oct24 (plasters lori)DIEGO JAVIER 124 6.00    
MINNESOTA MOON Jun17 Jun03 May20 Apr26 Mar28 (quinonez m)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 8.00    
SCR  MAQAMAT May17 Aug22 Jul28 Jul11 Jun04 (plasters lori)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 2.50    
WHISTLEWHILEYOUMOW Jun07 May20 Feb19 Jan24 Jan08 (blea jr)GILES EMMANUEL 124 5.00 23% 3.30    
 
FP-3   07/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAYGROUND WARRIOR Jun07 May24 May10 Apr26 Mar30 (blea jr)GILES EMMANUEL 120 4.00    
  (by DRILL SERGEANT out of LEGACY TYPE by WILDCAT HEIR)
ROAD BLUE Jun24 May24       (wilborn kevin)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 10.00    
  (by ROAD RULER out of CONGRATS IN BLUE by CONGRATS)
SCR  DON'TTAPTHETILL         (becker scott)FELIX E 120 3.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of BLUE BABY by TOUCH GOLD)
SOMETHINTOBELIEVEN Jun24 Jun07 May24 May10 Apr26 (pompell robert)DIEGO JAVIER 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of MAGIC CHAPEL by CHAPEL ROYAL)
HANG TUFF Jun24 Jun07 May24 Apr26 Nov02 (pompell rob)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 12.00    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of SASSY BUCK by KUGELIS)
VOLODYMYR Z Jun07         (becker scott)WALES T 120 6.00 11% 8.00    
  (by ATTA BOY ROY out of ZIPPERINI by CITY ZIP)
SCR  MONROE ATTACK         (childers shane)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 10.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of LADIES DRINK FREE by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY)
 
FP-4   07/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MERLOTTI Jun21 Jun04 May17 Apr29 Jan02 (wainwright john)FELIX E 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
SIXWILLBERICH Jun08 Apr30 Apr06 Feb26 Jan03 (watkins james)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 3.00 53% 0.90    
MAASAI WARRIOR Jun21 May03 Apr09 Mar04 Feb08 (leonard geo)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 2.00 16% 5.10    
PETE'S LEGACY Jun28 Jun03 May17 Nov02 Oct24 (essenprei)ULLOA JOAN 126 5.00    
COOLTHING Jul01 Jun21 Jun03 May17 Apr03 (lynch harr)SIMPSON M 118 10.00    
MISTER SHARPIE Jun28 Jun07 May24 May10 Apr26 (durham mike)WALES T 124 4.00    
 
FP-5   07/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IDEA MAN Jun24 Jun07 May24 May03 Apr03 (martinez )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 6.00    
STROPE Jun24 Jun08 May06 Oct26 Oct08 (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 126 8.00    
JUNIOR BUG May29 May10 Apr25 Oct30 Sep15 (martinez a)WALES T 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
TRICKY MOMENT Jun21 Jun03 May17 Oct22 Oct08 (martin dawn)GILES EMMANUEL 118 10.00    
HOLCOMBE Jun17 May31 May13 Apr26 Oct17 (blea tony )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 10.00    
SCR  BROWN RESERVE Jun24 Jun10 May24 May13 Apr21 (durham mike)FELIX E 124 4.50    
SUPREMELY Jun24 May22 Apr24 Apr03 Mar06 (rodriguez edu)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
ON THE MONEY RED Jun24 Jun03 May06 Oct26 Sep28 (retana gabe)DIEGO JAVIER 126 12.00 13% 6.70    
 
FP-6   07/12/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HALO HONEY Jun24 Jun07 May24 Apr29 Oct29 (essenpreis edwa)ORTIZ ALVIN 118 4.00    
COME ON LADY Jun24 Jun07 May24 Oct15 Sep12 (delong ben)SIMPSON M 124 5.00 8% 12.20    
AINAD TEMPLE Jun07 May10       (becker scott)FELIX E 120 6.00    
TRY Jun24 Apr29 Oct29 Oct12 Sep28 (wainwright j)GILES EMMANUEL 118 10.00    
SAINT GHAALEB Jun21 Jun03       (becker scott)WALES T 120 2.00 56% 0.80    
BOYCE'S BANDITA Jun16 Jun01 May05 Apr20 Apr07 (mcewen billy )SANTOS ADEMAR 124 3.00    
 
FP-7   07/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIMITY Jun28 Jun17 Jun03 May20 May06 (martinez-linare)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 15.00    
CAT TALE BREEZE Jun28 Jun10 Oct26 Oct12 Sep28 (quinonez ma)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 20.00    
CHANEL POINT Jun28 Jun10 May13 Apr29 Sep07 (martinez )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 12.00    
BALI BABY Jun15 Jun01 Mar29 Dec19 Oct28 (quinonez maximi)REYES FRANK 124 8.00 11% 8.50    
AIR GERRI Jun14 May13 Apr29 Oct29 Oct15 (manley steve)FELIX E 124 6.00    
SCR  COCKTAIL CUTIE May06 Apr22 Nov27 Oct31 Oct17 (manley steve)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 4.50    
CANDY LOOKER May27 May13 May28 May04 Apr16 (fridley st)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 10.00 6% 16.70    
K O AMERICAN PIE Jun10 May27 May13 Apr29 Mar24 (durham mike)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 3.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  LUCY JANE Jun28 Oct24 Oct12 Sep22 Sep12 (foxwor)ORTEGA JOSEPH 124 20.00    
10  MORO MAESTRO Jun28 Jun10 May20 May06 Apr22 (delong ben)SIMPSON M 126 2.50 11% 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.