Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Saturday - July 05, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/3/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/2)-(2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(2/4)-(3/1/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-2   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/4)-(3/1/6/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(3/1/6/7)-(2/7/8/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PEN-3   WIN (3/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/7)-(3/1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/7)-(3/1/6/7)-(3/1/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/6/7)-(2/7/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6/7)-(2/7/8/3)-(5/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-4   WIN (2/7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/8/3)-(2/7/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/8/3)-(2/7/8/3)-(2/7/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/8/3)-(5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/8/3)-(5/1/3)-(3/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-5   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(3/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(3/1/4)-(6/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-6   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(6/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   07/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORD'S LADY Jun12 May30 May03 Apr12 Mar14 (allen ferris)TORRES JOMAR 122 2.50 64% 0.60    
QUIVIRA CRANE Jun12 May01 Mar13 Dec19 Nov27 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
YOU KNOW ME Jun17 May29 May03 Apr08 Mar14 (martinez alex)OCASIO M 120 4.50    
DIAMOND ESSENCE Jun18 May30 May03 Apr08 Mar21 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00    
SCR  RISKY DAY Jun17 May28 May12 Apr21   (martinez alex)TUNON JORDANO 120 30.00    
VIXENZHYPNOTKHONEY Jun05 May16 Apr25     (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 5.00    
FIRST PEARL May15 Apr12 Mar29 Feb21 Feb01 (perri gin)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00    
 
PEN-2   07/05/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 SOFT Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RAINAS ROLLIN May20 Sep14 Aug16 Jul24 Jul03 (rogers ronald)ROJAS MARTINA 116 5.00    
LUCCI Jun18 May28 Jan04 Dec14 Nov27 (potts g)CONNER TYLER 123 1.60 66% 0.50    
SCR  WICKED FINN Jun26 Sep21 Sep04 Aug17 Jul27 (ke)GONZALEZ JORGE 121 6.00    
LOUISIANIMAL Jun22 Jun07 May10 Apr26 Apr05 (magee ki)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
JACK SLYE Jun26 Jun13 Jul17 Jul05 Jun19 (catanio pau)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 15.00    
SCR  TROPHY ROOM Jun06 May23 May03 Mar27 Mar14 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 123 8.00    
BRADITUDE May28 Aug30 Jul19 Jun13 May20 (rogers rona)INIRIO J 121 3.00    
SCR  FLOAT ON Jun20 Jun05 May19 Jan08 Dec20 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 123 4.50    
 
PEN-3   07/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE BIT RISKY Jun14 Jun06 May09 Apr18 Mar07 (keil c)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 2.00 17% 4.90    
ABBY'S SPIRIT Jun13 May30 May16 May02 Mar27 (stites flin)INIRIO J 121 3.50    
PURECRAZIGROOVE Jun13 May30 May16 May02 Mar27 (harigeorgiou konstan)CORA D 121 2.50 48% 1.10    
GRUMPY BROOKSIE Jun13 May16 May02 Mar27 Mar06 (cifarelli fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 15.00    
LONG TOM Jun07 May30 May16 May02 Apr24 (harigeorgiou konst)FLORES E 121 50.00    
WEMBY Jun11 May21 Apr25 Mar14 Jan08 (nunley randy)TORRES JOMAR 125 3.00 12% 7.50    
FREEDOM'S START Jun13 May30 May02 Aug29 Aug15 (albright r)CHIAPPE R 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-4   07/05/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 SOFT Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MUSIC BOX DANCER Jun11 Apr25 Mar21 Jan02 Dec18 (cifarelli f)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 20.00    
GENTLE BREEZE Jun08 Nov03 Oct05 Sep12 Aug17 (allard ed)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.00 29% 2.40    
WIZARDOFEZ Jun12 May30 May03 Mar14 Feb26 (rozell ron)AGUILAR M 123 8.00 6% 16.60    
WARRIOR'S WAY OUT Jun11 Jun06 May23 Apr25 Mar28 (bobadilla f)CORA D 123 12.00    
HEAVY TIMBER Apr01 Feb27 Jan08 Dec03 Nov11 (vega ric)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 15.00    
BRUDER Jan09 Dec20 Dec01 Nov02 Oct17 (beattie m)CONNER TYLER 123 4.50    
BEWARE OF PRIDE Jun12 Mar14 Feb22 Dec21 Nov03 (pino v)AGUILAR JEAN 123 2.00 27% 2.80    
TONIGHT Jun22 Feb14 Jan24 Dec27 Nov29 (simoff andrew)BEATO INOEL 120 4.00 11% 7.90    
 
PEN-5   07/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAIL POLISH Jun06 Mar14 Feb27 Jan09 Nov29 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 121 3.50 21% 3.70    
HOT DANCE Jun13 May22 May10 Apr11 Mar23 (magee ki)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 121 3.00    
STASSI May19 May07 Nov27 Nov08 Oct25 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
NO EASY ANSWER Jun06 May07 Mar20 Feb20 Dec15 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 125 2.50    
GOLDEN EIB MICRPHN Jul18 Jul03 May30 May11 Apr19 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.50 40% 1.50    
COMBAT HOOFS Jun27 Jun13 Jun02 May22 May02 (harigeorgiou ko)BEATO INOEL 125 6.00    
 
PEN-6   07/05/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 SOFT Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSTPARTY Jun13 Apr27 Nov15 Nov01 Oct10 (allen ferris)CONNER TYLER 121 3.50 20% 4.00    
SMART SHERYL LEE Jun19 May07 Apr23 Mar28 Aug22 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 125 2.50    
BEST KISS YET Mar29 Feb14 Dec05 Oct06 Aug24 (beattie m)TORRES JOMAR 121 2.00 52% 0.90    
NEW BOOTS Jun19 Jun05 May22 May11 Mar20 (demario charles)BEATO INOEL 118 8.00 5% 18.80    
OLIVIA DEE May02 Nov13 Oct23 Aug22 Aug14 (martin charle)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 6.00    
POLICE WOMAN Jun13 May15 Apr27 Feb23 Dec13 (woodit joseph)DELGADO A 121 15.00    
SCR  BLACKDIAMOND DINNY Mar27 Mar07 Feb07 Dec12 Nov22 (beattie m)CHIAPPE R 121 8.00    
 
PEN-7   07/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAR TOO FOXY Jun07 May09 Apr25 Apr14 Mar27 (bobadilla f)CORA D 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
DESI'S REWARD May15 May01 Mar14 Feb28 Dec06 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 123 5.00    
PRINCESS CUPID Jun13 Jun03 May05 Apr25 Apr02 (penaloza mi)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 118 4.50    
SANSA ARIEL May08 Mar27 Feb06 Jan08 Dec19 (beattie cody)TORRES JOMAR 123 2.50 22% 3.60    
TIME OF OUR LIVES Jun13 May09 Apr25 Mar20 Mar07 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 123 3.00    
SHINELIKEADIAMOND Jun19 May01 Mar20 Mar06 Feb20 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 125 3.50 27% 2.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.