Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Louisiana Downs
Friday - July 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(4/3/1)-(5/6/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LAD-2   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(5/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(5/6/4)-(3/6/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LAD-3   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(3/6/2)-(3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LAD-4   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(3/4)-(4/8/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LAD-5   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/4)-(4/8/5/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(4/8/5/7)-(7/3/5/2) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
LAD-6   WIN (4/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/5/7)-(4/8/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/5/7)-(4/8/5/7)-(4/8/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/5/7)-(7/3/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LAD-7   WIN (7/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/2)-(7/3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/2)-(7/3/5/2)-(7/3/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LAD-1   07/04/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C F JIMMY RAY Jun17 Jun02 May17 Apr17 Mar09 (husak gary)BATISTA X 120 3.50    
AWESOME WILLIAM Jun22 Jun07 May19     (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
ZONG'S FAVOR Jun02 May13 Dec18 Nov05 Sep23 (antwine micha)PENA JONUELLE 120 2.50 8% 11.20    
CRIGLER Jun24 Jun07 May19     (gibson j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 0.80 65% 0.50    
DIXIE'S ASTRO Jun17 Jan31 Jan04 Dec18 Nov20 (dunn r)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 8.00    
 
LAD-2   07/04/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOWARD'S GRIT Jun23 Jun15 Jun03 May25 Sep14 (dorochenko gennad)BOREL H 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
BRILLIANT CALL Jun09 Mar12 Feb17 Jan26 Jan04 (gibson jon)BATISTA X 123 5.00    
CHOU CHOU D'AVEN (FR) Jun02 Mar12 Mar02 Feb16 Jan23 (gibson j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 125 4.00 24% 3.10    
GEE NO HOLLANDER Jun10 May03 Apr18 Mar22 Feb07 (wilson melto)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 1.40 35% 1.80    
STORM STRATEGY May03 Mar22 Feb14 Jun28 Mar29 (asmussen stev)PENA JONUELLE 118 1.60    
 
LAD-3   07/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMMA GOING TO WIN Jun17 Jun01 May11 Apr09 Mar28 (rangel raul)PENA JONUELLE 117 4.50    
HAVEN'T A RED CENT Dec21 Aug14 Jun29 May27 Apr18 (gibson j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 3.50    
SCR  CALL SADIE May31 Apr27 Apr12 Mar21 Feb17 (fogarty desmo)LOZADA CARLOS 118 4.00    
NICE MOVE Jun17 Jun03 May20 Apr24 Apr11 (witt ernie)BATISTA X 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
HITTIN MY STRIDE Mar21 Feb02 Dec31 Nov03 Sep24 (diodoro robe)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 1.00 69% 0.40    
INEZ May26 May13 Apr10 Sep24 Sep10 (jarvis robert)BOREL H 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-4   07/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BEAMER Jun01 May20 May05 Apr05 Mar21 (claire alexi)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.00    
PAYTON'S INDIAN Jun22 Jun07 May19 Dec18 Dec04 (borel renay)BOREL H 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
PIGGY TALES UP May05 Jan04 Nov18 Oct09 Jul27 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 1.60 61% 0.60    
NOWNOWDANCER May27 May19 Feb21 Feb06 Jan16 (nelson eri)GONZALEZ NICASIO 121 20.00    
CECE WAVE Jun14 May24 Apr26 Feb13 Jan31 (morris rowdy)PENA JONUELLE 119 20.00    
CHIP SHORTAGE Jun06 May24 Mar21 Mar09 Feb16 (shamsie mike)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 6.00 9% 10.00    
BEAUTIFUL TEMPLE May17 Apr24 Nov05 Oct10 Sep18 (camejo jos)BATISTA X 124 3.00    
 
LAD-5   07/04/2025 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARMING LEAH Jun10 May25 Apr06 Feb08 Jan11 (jacks karen )NIEVES EMANUEL 124 2.00    
SCR  COEUR ROUGE Jun24 May17 Jan20 Dec12 Nov23 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 2.50    
SMALL TOWN HEROINE May23 Dec22 Nov23 Sep25 Sep10 (jeansonne jus)LOZADA CARLOS 118 1.80 72% 0.40    
NIGHT TIZZY Jun16 Apr30 Sep24 Sep14 Aug27 (beene linda)PENA JONUELLE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DADDIES CORKSCREW May26 Apr25       (cates al)HEBERT LINDSEY 118 20.00    
BREAK OUT SISTER Jun23 Jun10 May26 May05 Feb22 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 6.00    
 
LAD-6   07/04/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAWAIIAN ARGUMENT Jun13 May21 May01 Feb13 Jan16 (zenon shelton)MECHE COLE 117 20.00    
MALAKI EMPIRE May20 Mar16 Sep16 Aug27 May15 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
GO BROTHER GO Jun23 May27 Mar21 Feb16 Feb02 (munoz yovani)PENA JONUELLE 117 6.00    
MIDNIGHT HALO Jun24 May27 Feb13 Jan29 Jan15 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.50 55% 0.80    
PURRRFECT RHYTHM May27 Feb16 Dec20 Dec07 Oct26 (gibson jon)BATISTA X 122 2.50 9% 10.50    
TAKEOVER FIFTYFOUR Jun23 Jun07 May21 May01 Apr09 (ramirez jul)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 8.00    
FLINT ROCK Jun23 Jun10 May13 May03 Nov05 (dorochenko gennad)BOREL H 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
CABRO TORO Jun07 May20 May03 Feb13 Jan16 (beavin judy)MUNOZ SERGIO 122 3.00 13% 6.80    
 
LAD-7   07/04/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
Z'S GUITAR Jun15 Jun01 Oct12 Aug17 Jul18 (zenon shelton)MECHE COLE 113 15.00    
ROCKALL Jun02 May05 Jan17 Jan02 Dec14 (lara jorge)PENA JONUELLE 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
COUSIN LARRY Jun09 May25 May05 Apr26 Mar07 (cravens ronn)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 3.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  THUNDER ROAD Jun09 May05 Mar02 Jan31 Jan17 (dodson cliffo)LOZADA CARLOS 121 20.00    
ALL TOGETHER Jun16 Jun07 May12 Feb13 Jan03 (beavin judy)EDISON JOCELYN 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
NUMERO SIETE Jun16 Jun02 May11 Apr30 Apr16 (claire ale)BATISTA X 125 2.50    
OVERANALYTICAL Jun16 May05 Mar13 Feb06 Jan12 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 1.50 45% 1.20    
LEVY Jun16 Jun01 May17 Apr26 Apr18 (broussard jervon)BOREL H 121 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.