Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Evangeline Downs
Friday - July 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-1   WIN (1/2/9/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/9/4/3)-(1/2/9/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/9/4/3)-(1/2/9/4/3)-(1/2/9/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/2/9/4/3)-(6/3/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/2/9/4/3)-(6/3/4)-(1/8/9) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
EVD-2   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(1/8/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(1/8/9)-(2/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
EVD-3   WIN (1/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/9)-(1/6/8/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/8/9)-(1/6/8/9)-(1/6/8/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/8/9)-(2/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/8/9)-(2/5/1)-(3/1/10/8/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
EVD-4   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(3/1/10/8/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(3/1/10/8/6)-(10/7/9/1/2) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
EVD-5   WIN (3/1/10/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/10/8/6)-(3/1/10/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/10/8/6)-(3/1/10/8/6)-(3/1/10/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/1/10/8/6)-(10/7/9/1/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/1/10/8/6)-(10/7/9/1/2)-(2/4/3/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-6   WIN (10/7/9/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/7/9/1/2)-(10/7/9/1/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/7/9/1/2)-(10/7/9/1/2)-(10/7/9/1/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/7/9/1/2)-(2/4/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/7/9/1/2)-(2/4/3/6)-(6/4/8/2/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-7   WIN (2/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/6)-(2/4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/6)-(2/4/3/6)-(2/4/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/3/6)-(6/4/8/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3/6)-(6/4/8/2/5)-(8/5/6/2/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-8   WIN (6/4/8/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/8/2/5)-(6/4/8/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/8/2/5)-(6/4/8/2/5)-(6/4/8/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/8/2/5)-(8/5/6/2/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
EVD-9   WIN (8/5/6/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/6/2/1)-(8/5/6/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/5/6/2/1)-(8/5/6/2/1)-(8/5/6/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EVD-1   07/04/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONEGAL FREEDOM Jun19 May24 Apr25 Jan28 Dec22 (noel dane)BARRERA J 124 2.00 60% 0.70    
COOL GUITAR May30 May03 Apr17 Mar23 Mar07 (landry alle)MELANCON JANSEN 118 3.50 13% 6.90    
SUNNY SASSICAIA May15 Apr23 Jan25 Sep16 Sep04 (thomas lee)MCMAHON J 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
SEASONAL LOVE Jun06 Dec19 Nov14 Oct25   (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
MY LIAM May29 May15 Apr24 Feb20 Jan29 (ramirez l)PEREZ CARLOS 116 20.00    
DONEGAL DREAMER May15 Apr30 Feb08 Jan04 Nov27 (noel dane)VARGAS P 124 20.00    
MAYBE EYE'LL CALL May31 May15 Apr17 Aug03 Jul15 (bourgeois)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
STABLE AGENT May22 Apr17 Feb26 Jan03 Nov17 (orseno joseph )THORNTON G 121 15.00    
LOUDERMILK Apr30 Jan29 Jan15 Dec13 Nov06 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
10  STORM SNIPER Jun12 May08 Apr25     (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 121 8.00    
11  C F CANTGOFORTHAT May15 Apr04 Mar14 Feb21 Apr06 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 15.00    
12  C F SPUNIE STYLE Jun21 May31 Feb06 Oct10   (robbins ra)RAMIREZ JR 114 20.00    
 
EVD-2   07/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASY BET May08 Apr12 Feb15 Jan28 Jan11 (segura kear)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 15.00    
BE BO May30 Apr09 Feb21 Feb06 Jan04 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 122 4.00    
DR STRICKLANDS ACE May21 Mar03 Feb21 Jan28 Dec13 (averett ronn)BARRERA J 119 10.00 16% 5.10    
ONE LINE RULER Jun14 May21 Apr24 Mar06 Feb23 (henry eric)THORNTON G 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SHE'S STORMING May30 May02 Apr25 Mar21 Mar01 (mouton chadwic)GREEN AUBRIE 122 4.50    
SIENNA BREEZE Jun07 May09 Apr24 Mar03 Feb15 (rosier charles)ROSIER R 119 2.50 39% 1.50    
SCR  CRUSIN LIKE A CAT Jun05 May09 Apr11 Feb22 Feb08 (landry alle)MELANCON JANSEN 119 2.00    
 
EVD-3   07/04/2025 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS LOUISE Jun07 May09 Apr19 Mar09 Feb08 (jeansonne ju)BARRERA J 121 2.00 70% 0.40    
FROSTED MIRACLE Apr13 Mar16 Feb08 Jan26   (cano mu)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 5.00    
KNOCKED OUT Jun20 May23 May14 Apr25 Mar23 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 121 4.50    
CHIEF EXPRESS Jun13 May29 Apr18 Apr05 Feb12 (ramirez)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
SCR  TWENTY FOUR GRAND Jun19 Jan20 Jan01 Dec12 Nov23 (zeringue j)EDISON JOCELYN 116 15.00    
TALKSALOT May29 May09 Apr19 Mar09 Feb07 (sanchez c)MCMAHON J 121 3.00    
CHARLUCHE May29 Apr19 Feb23 Jan26 Nov02 (brinkman bret)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 15.00    
BROADWAY STAR May09 Dec26 Nov29 Aug23 Jul20 (cuccia j)THORNTON G 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
IMELDA'S SAVER May23 Sep22       (ramirez l)PEREZ CARLOS 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-4   07/04/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAY DANE May17 Apr26 Mar19 Oct26 Jul06 (journet albert)ARANA KELVIN 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
COURAGEOUS CUPID May29 May15 Apr23 Mar16 Feb14 (sanchez c)MCMAHON J 124 3.50 44% 1.30    
LICK SKILLET Jun06 May02 Mar13 Jan25   (segura kearn)BARRERA J 121 1.60    
CATCHIN DRAMA May08 Mar21 Mar04 Feb16 Feb06 (morrell cynthi)MUNOZ SERGIO 121 15.00    
THE MONOPOLY MAN Jun19 Mar09 Feb28 Jan03 Nov30 (diodoro rob)MELANCON JANSEN 124 1.80 18% 4.60    
HWY TWENTY RIDE Jun12 May23 May10 Apr04 Mar16 (west henry)RAMIREZ JR 121 6.00    
 
EVD-5   07/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEGFORFORGIVENESS Jun12 May15 Apr30 Apr17 Oct31 (cano mu)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 1.80 24% 3.20    
QUICK ZONG Jun19 May15 May01 Feb22 Jan30 (dison ma)FUSILIER C 124 4.50    
BOBBY MERLOT Jun12 May03 Apr10 Feb22 Jan30 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 124 2.50 51% 1.00    
GOLD CAPO Jun05 May15 May01 Apr10 Feb20 (mojica a)ARANA KELVIN 119 10.00    
FREEWAY Jun14 Mar20 Feb14 Jan18 Jan04 (thompson kevin)PEREZ CARLOS 116 15.00    
ASTROLOGY WONOWON Jun19 Jun06 May22 May08 Apr24 (patt roland )BARRERA J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
KNIGHT'S GOLD Jun13 May31 May22 May08 Apr11 (cormier cardel)ROSIER R 121 20.00    
SERGEANT RECKLESS May24 May11 Apr05 Mar03 Feb18 (ward ronni)RAMIREZ JR 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
LITTLE JONY Jun12 May25 May03 Sep16 Aug28 (journet alb)EBOW III 119 20.00    
10  DISTORTED MATH May01 Feb07 Jan08 Dec18 Nov23 (bernard john)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-6   07/04/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUS PRESS STAR Mar08 Jan25 Oct16 Feb29 Feb09 (duhon joseph )VARGAS P 117 20.00 8% 11.50    
BLUE RIDGE QUEEN Jun12 May10 Apr16 Feb20 Feb01 (toups brent)MCMAHON J 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
DOLLY'S GUITAR Jun12 May22 Apr24 Apr05 Mar20 (larrosa)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 15.00    
STAR ANISE May29 May09 Apr16 Mar09 Feb21 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 4.50    
CZAR'S BALLERINA Jun12 May23 May10 Apr18 Mar20 (cano mu)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 6.00    
CHATON ROUGE Jun03 May11 Apr05 Mar21 Feb21 (rangel raul)BARRERA J 120 12.00    
HONEST ANGUS May09 Apr10 Feb05 Jan16 Oct30 (breaux sa)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
HAUNTRESS Jun12 Apr16 Mar06 Nov28 Oct30 (brinkman br)MELANCON JANSEN 120 10.00    
LUMINOUS FLIGHT Jun05 May07 Apr16 Mar20 Feb28 (robbins hance )THORNTON G 117 8.00 10% 9.20    
10  PULPIT'S DREAM Jun05 May10 Apr26 Nov26 Oct30 (latour nichola)PEREZ CARLOS 115 3.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  CINCY'S ANNA Jun19 Apr23 Dec19 Nov21 Nov01 (breaux sa)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
 
EVD-7   07/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOMEKINDA SPECIAL Jun14 Apr25 Apr11 Mar08   (bourgeois)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00    
MISS MAXIMUS May17 Apr24 Mar08 Feb13 Jan09 (ducoing sturge)THORNTON G 122 3.00 34% 2.00    
FIJI'S DEAL Apr25         (ward ronnie)MUNOZ SERGIO 116 15.00 8% 11.50    
MOON MIST Mar30 Dec07       (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 122 2.00 27% 2.70    
CATCHYALATER Jun15 Feb23 Jan27 Dec07 Jun08 (munoz yovani)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 3.50    
AGE OF REASON May21 Jan30 Dec07 Nov21 Oct26 (brinkman br)MELANCON JANSEN 119 8.00 6% 15.60    
THISONEISFORYOU Jun19 Jun21 May29 May17 Mar21 (castille carrol)FUSILIER C 122 4.50    
 
EVD-8   07/04/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNDAY BREEZE May15 Apr12 Mar18 Mar01 Feb01 (duhon paul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 10.00    
IRON IN THE FIRE May24 Apr18 Apr09 Feb22 Jan03 (landry ray)FUSILIER C 122 20.00 7% 12.90    
RAZOR CREST May31 Apr25 Mar18 Feb20 Jan18 (david sam)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
SOUNDS LIKE POWER May29 May10 Apr12 Mar04 May17 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 122 2.50 12% 7.00    
SPINNING ACES Jun12 May23 Apr12 Feb19 Feb01 (dandridge )ALBERT S 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
LETMIKEFIGUREITOUT May21 Apr26 Oct30 Jun10 Mar10 (klanfer alan)POMPELL L 122 1.60 45% 1.20    
F T W SLAM May29 May10 Mar23 Feb22 Jan25 (jeansonne just)THORNTON G 122 6.00    
LAURI'S WISH May10 Apr10 Feb13 Jan11 Dec28 (wong jonathan)MCMAHON J 122 5.00 8% 11.60    
DREWMAZING Jun21 May09 Mar20 Feb16 Jan26 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 122 20.00    
 
EVD-9   07/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. BRAD'S COWBOY Jun13 Apr25 Oct26 Aug24 Aug10 (grimaldo jose)MCMAHON J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
LOUISIANA LUCA Jun21 May31 May15 Apr19 Feb12 (cormier cardel)PEREZ CARLOS 119 10.00 6% 15.20    
BARR'S BAY Jun21 May31 May01 Apr05 Feb22 (gonzal)RUIZ GARCIA 124 30.00    
SCR  FLAMINGTHUNDERBIRD May31 May17 May03 Apr24 Apr05 (duhon paul)MELANCON JANSEN 124 8.00    
TAUREAN Jun12 Apr24 Jan18 Dec12 Nov29 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 3.50 24% 3.10    
JOSIE'S PRIORITY Jun20 May22 May08 Mar06 Feb20 (robbins hanc)EDISON JOCELYN 119 12.00 13% 6.70    
KNIGHT'S VALOR May15 Apr26       (averett ronnie)ROSIER R 121 30.00    
QUIK PUNCH Jun21 May15 Apr10 Feb20 Jan18 (bourgeois)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.00 34% 1.90    
MY CHULUPA May31 May15       (perron gerard)FUSILIER C 121 15.00    
10  RUNNER RUNNER (IRE) May31 May08 Apr24 Jul26 Jun13 (david b)BARRERA J 124 4.50    
11  WARRIOR'S FLEET Jun12 May15 Apr17     (ward ronni)RAMIREZ JR 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.