Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Prairie Meadows
Saturday - May 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRM-1   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(7/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3)-(7/6/5)-(5/4/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-2   WIN (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/5)-(7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/5)-(5/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5)-(5/4/6)-(4/2/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-3   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(4/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(4/2/3)-(2/5/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-4   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/6/3)-(4/2/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(2/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(2/5/7)-(5/7/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-5   WIN (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/7)-(2/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/7)-(2/5/7)-(2/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/7)-(5/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7)-(5/7/6/3)-(7/3/6/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-6   WIN (5/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/6/3)-(5/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/6/3)-(5/7/6/3)-(5/7/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/6/3)-(7/3/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRM-7   WIN (7/3/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/6/8)-(7/3/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/6/8)-(7/3/6/8)-(7/3/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRM-1   05/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($46.519K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DELACINA Jul07 Jun08 Apr05 Feb19   (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 120 3.50    
SIPPING FIREWATER Sep07 Jul05 Jun10     (mcshane d)ROMAN KEVIN 116 5.00    
LUCKYHOTSTUFF Apr12 Mar09 Sep22 Aug19 Aug05 (martinez kel)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
ADDASQUECKTOIT Sep28 Sep13       (jordan todd )JORDAN R 124 2.50 32% 2.20    
MY HEART'S ON FIRE Sep28 Aug30 Aug11 Jul27 Jul07 (fett brandi)TOHILL S 124 8.00    
QUIET I'M NOT Sep28 Aug30 Aug11 Jun21 May24 (chleborad lyn)BACON W 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
 
PRM-2   05/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED RIVER Mar28 Mar01 Dec27 Dec07 Apr21 (hornsby t)DE CRUZ 124 5.00    
SCR  SARGENT FRANK Apr04         (loy dewain)PICKNER XAVIER 119 10.00    
REMAINING NAMELESS Apr25 Mar15 Mar09 Dec20 Dec07 (martinez kel)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 4.00    
MAJOR JESSE Apr26         (loy dewain)HUCKABY RONNIE 119 15.00    
SOUTHFORK Apr04 Jan24 Apr21 Feb09 Dec29 (martin e)BIRZER E 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
IRISH COAST Mar08 Sep01 Aug16 Aug03 Jul14 (martinez kelli)ROMAN KEVIN 124 2.50 24% 3.10    
STATE SCHOOL SMART Apr19 Apr05 Mar08 Jun10 Mar02 (schutz pam)BACON W 124 2.00 45% 1.20    
 
PRM-3   05/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($21.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NORTHWIND Apr26 Apr05 Mar22 Mar16 Mar08 (condon schuyler)CORBETT W 124 12.00    
JUST PLAIN ORNERY Apr26 Apr05 Mar22 Feb23 Oct26 (rushton stet)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 10.00    
SCR  COUNT DE MONET Apr13 Mar23 Jan19 Dec13 Oct16 (chleborad lyn)BACON W 120 2.00    
ABSOLUTE CHAOS Apr26 Apr05 Mar22 Mar08 Feb22 (condon schuyler)TOHILL S 124 3.50 20% 4.00    
CHARTER OAK Apr26 Apr01 Mar08 Nov16 Oct23 (martinez )DE CRUZ 124 3.00 55% 0.80    
ALLO ENRY Apr26 Mar30 Mar01 Feb14 Nov01 (loy dewaine)BIRZER E 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
MAX'S MAP Mar28 Mar05 Feb07 Dec28 Nov29 (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 124 6.00    
 
PRM-4   05/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAME NELLIE Mar23 Mar09 Mar02 Aug18 Aug03 (donlin larry )BACON W 121 4.50    
HIGHWOOD Sep22 Aug31 Jul25 Jun02 May17 (tracy tanner)JORDAN R 121 8.00 30% 2.30    
MAUI MISTRESS Apr29 Apr01 Mar18 Dec06 Nov14 (corderman)TRIANA JR 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
TRIBEST (ARG) Mar23 Mar04 Feb07 Jan27 Dec27 (martinez )DE CRUZ 121 2.50 40% 1.50    
GOLDEN EDGE Apr11 Mar23 Feb28 Feb16 Jan31 (hornsby tammy)TORRES HUGO 120 3.00    
CHERBOURG Mar12 Feb19 Jan26 Dec20 Dec04 (arnett g)BIRZER E 121 3.50    
SHE'S MY KINDAGIRL Apr12 Mar29 Mar14 Feb28 Sep14 (condon schuy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 6.00    
 
PRM-5   05/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45.209K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAME ON STEVE Sep27 Sep14 Aug09 Jul19   (wellington t)JORDAN R 118 10.00    
  (by SPANIARD out of STEVIE'S LIL SIS by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
DONTDRINKANDDRIVE Sep23 Aug26 Aug09 Jul19 Jun29 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 118 4.00 28% 2.50    
  (by OXBOW out of LARKING by GREEN FOREST)
STEELY EYE Apr20         (tracy tanner)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 3.00    
  (by STROLL out of WILD PENNY by CONGRATS)
LA FEE'S SECRET May25 May11       (fett brandi)CORBETT W 124 2.50    
  (by ALTERNATION out of LA FEE VERTE by TIZNOW)
GETTISTOWN         (martin n)BIRZER E 124 15.00 18% 4.50    
  (by SERENGETI out of HOMETOWN QUEEN by PLEASANT COLONY)
SCR  D D'S LEGACY Jun07 Aug21 Jul22 Jul01 Jun12 (figueroa)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50    
  (by RACE DAY out of DO IT by WILD GOLD)
CHERRY GLEN         (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 118 6.00 18% 4.50    
  (by STROLL out of SAKAKAWEA by ROSSINI)
 
PRM-6   05/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Golden Circle Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLIAMS EMPIRE Oct12 Sep28 Sep01 Aug15 Jul06 (hone bart)CORBETT W 118 6.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of KETTLE VALLEY by CITY ZIP)
SCR  DON'T FLY STAND BY Mar22 Feb19 Dec27 Nov26 Sep28 (eikleberry ke)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 3.00    
  (by UPSTART out of MISS EMELINA by BIG BROWN)
HASTY FLYER Apr26 Apr12 Mar09 Feb23 Nov08 (condon schuy)JORDAN R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SPEED ON TAP by TAPIT)
SPINNING PRIDE Apr03 Mar19       (candelas bla)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 5.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of CHANEL'S PRIDE by ALPHABET SOUP)
TIME TO FLY Apr24 Mar20 Feb03 Jan16 Dec04 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of SMARTY B by SMARTY JONES)
LOCK AND LOAD Apr18         (arnett g)BIRZER E 118 8.00 8% 10.90    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of LITTLE BLACK BOOK by NOTEBOOK)
HOLA JOEY Mar30 Feb17 Feb01 Dec07 Nov08 (jacquot gene)BACON W 124 3.50 28% 2.50    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of ENGAGED by BELONG TO ME)
ROME'S CONQUEST Apr13         (arnett g)ROMAN KEVIN 118 10.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of TRUE CHICK by YES IT'S TRUE)
 
PRM-7   05/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MASTER JANE Mar30 Mar15 Mar01 Sep07 Aug04 (rushton s)TRIANA JR 119 10.00    
SCR  KIKI KRAZY Apr24 Apr03 Mar01 Jan20 Dec04 (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 119 3.00    
ALOHA BABY Apr24 Apr04 Mar22 Feb17 Jan31 (loy dewain)HUCKABY RONNIE 119 4.00 29% 2.50    
SINGING EMMA May10 May02 Mar30 Mar09 Mar02 (loy de)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00    
CAITLIN TIME Oct18 Sep13 Aug09     (von ke)JORDAN R 115 5.00    
MOTOWN DYNAMIC Apr26 Apr12 Mar30 Jan18 Jan03 (martinez )DE CRUZ 124 8.00 11% 7.90    
TELL ME WHEN May02 Apr12 Mar15 Feb28 Oct31 (flores oscar)BACON W 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
HIDDEN VASE Aug16 Jul18 Apr07 Feb09 Jan11 (arnett g)BIRZER E 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
THAT'S OUR VISION Feb23 Sep28 Sep13 Aug11 Jul28 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 116 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.