Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Legacy Downs
Saturday - May 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LEG-1   WIN (6/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/7)-(6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/7)-(2/7/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
LEG-2   WIN (2/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/5)-(2/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/5)-(2/7/4/5)-(2/7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LEG-3   WIN (2/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/4)-(2/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/4)-(2/1/7/4)-(2/1/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LEG-4   WIN (9/7/6/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/7/6/2/1)-(9/7/6/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/7/6/2/1)-(9/7/6/2/1)-(9/7/6/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (9/7/6/2/1)-(5/3/8/2)-(3/6/4/5/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
LEG-5   WIN (5/3/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/8/2)-(5/3/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/8/2)-(5/3/8/2)-(5/3/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/8/2)-(3/6/4/5/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
LEG-6   WIN (3/6/4/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/5/2)-(3/6/4/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/5/2)-(3/6/4/5/2)-(3/6/4/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LEG-1   05/17/2025 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST Burning Memories Purse ($30K) 3 F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO MORE SHOTS May03 Apr06 Jul21     (hibdon)BAILON JADHIR 116 8.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of MADAME WARRIOR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
COURT LINE May03 Apr06 Mar23     (wise jaso)MEDINA ANGEL 120 2.00 33% 2.00    
  (by COURT VISION out of BREAD LINE by CATIENUS)
MY MERINO MAYOR May03         (hoffman robe)NUNNALLY BLAKE 116 3.50    
  (by GIANT EXPECTATIONS out of KARNER BLUE by SMOKE GLACKEN)
SCR  K. O. ANNIE May03         (compton jesse)FACKLER CHRIS 122 10.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of WAR FLOWER by WAR FRONT)
FAST N BREEZY May03 Apr12 Mar23 Feb23   (johnson a)QUINONEZ B 118 10.00    
  (by WIN WIN WIN out of MIDNIGHT STREET by SUMMER FRONT)
NIGHT TRIX May09 Feb23       (anderson )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of TOUGH BUSINESS by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
ADETERMINEDMOM May03 Mar23 Mar09 Feb23 Nov17 (donlin d)HISBY RONALD 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COURT VISION out of CHELSEA'S LINCOLN by MULDOON)
 
LEG-2   05/17/2025 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDENLUTE Apr18 Apr06 Feb21 Feb08 Jan11 (big ha)BAILON JADHIR 125 6.00    
HONEYFROMTHESOUTH May03 Apr11 Mar30 Mar16 Feb28 (johnson m)MEDINA ANGEL 120 3.00 60% 0.70    
JUSTIN SPEIGHT May02 Apr12 Mar07 Nov07 Oct11 (castillo sal)RAMOS B 125 3.50    
SUEZ May02 Apr18 Mar29 Mar15 Mar07 (castillo jose)FACKLER CHRIS 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
ITS A DEAL May02 Apr18 Mar15 Mar02 Nov17 (rushton temple)MECHE COLE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
WEBCAM May03 Apr19 Apr04 Mar22 Mar09 (rushton temp)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 6.00    
SCHMOOZE Apr26 Apr11 Mar28 Mar15 Mar01 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 2.50 14% 6.00    
 
LEG-3   05/17/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INCITATUS Apr18 Mar29 Nov02 Oct20 Oct05 (rushton stac)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 3.50 29% 2.50    
JAKE THE GREAT May11 Apr12 Apr06 Mar23 Mar07 (crabtree )MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.50 39% 1.50    
CASPER JUSTICE May03 Apr11 Mar28 Mar14 Mar01 (arceo antoni)RAMOS B 125 8.00    
NASTY EXAGGERATOR Apr19 Apr06 Mar21 Feb28 Jan28 (crabtr)BAILON JADHIR 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
MONGOLIAN MOON May03 Apr19 Apr06 Mar22 Mar14 (rushton s)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 6.00    
BIG HEARTED FACTOR May02 Apr25 Apr05 Mar23 Mar07 (hawley joe)FACKLER CHRIS 125 6.00    
UNFATHOMED May11 Apr16 Dec19 Dec04 Nov23 (gonzalez v)QUINONEZ B 125 2.50 8% 12.20    
GERDY'S BOY May04 Apr20 Apr06 Oct28 May20 (rivera gregorio )MECHE COLE 120 12.00    
 
LEG-4   05/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YUTAN TAPIT Apr25 Apr11 Mar16 Sep21 Sep06 (rivera gregorio )QUINONEZ B 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of SISTI'S PRIDE by FORESTRY)
CHEAT CODE Apr25 Apr11 Mar16 Sep21 Sep06 (compton jesse)FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of SHE'S CHEEKY by BLACK MINNALOUSHE)
TITOS PARTY Apr11 Mar16 Mar02     (hawley joe)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 20.00    
  (by WEDDING PARTY out of LOOKN' ATTA WIN by NOTIONAL)
REDS CASHN GOLD May02 Apr26 Mar30 Mar16 Nov17 (becker steve)NUNNALLY BLAKE 122 15.00    
  (by GOLD FOR CASH out of RED HEADED WOMAN by CACTUS RIDGE)
P R MORE WHISKEY May02 Apr13 Mar30 Mar16 Sep27 (big hair )MEDINA ANGEL 122 2.50    
  (by COURT VISION out of P R GIRL CRUSH by GOLD SCHLEIGER)
INSPIRING INDEED Apr25 Mar28 Mar02 Mar03   (schind)BAILON JADHIR 125 8.00 7% 13.20    
  (by BIG TIME PLAYER out of ALEXIS INSPIRES by AFLEET ALEX)
LEME LOVE Apr13 Mar30 Mar16     (hemmer terrell)HISBY RONALD 122 6.00 10% 9.10    
  (by LIAISON out of LOVESABLUMIN by BLUMIN AFFAIR)
SCR  SANDHILL MO May02 Apr13 Mar16     (deisley gale)MECHE COLE 117 5.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of LUNA ARGENTA by MALIBU MOON)
PLAYER ONE READY Apr25 Apr11 Mar28 Mar16 Mar17 (sorensen mike)RAMOS B 125 4.00 56% 0.80    
  (by HOLIDAY JUSTICE out of MEXICALI GOLD by TOUCH GOLD)
10  CANDY MAN CAM Apr25 Apr11 Mar28 Mar16 Mar02 (luke gary)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 8.00    
  (by BIG TIME PLAYER out of MY SHADOW by SEEKING DAYLIGHT)
 
LEG-5   05/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNIGHTED May03 Apr19 Apr05 Mar29 Mar15 (rushton temple)MECHE COLE 120 15.00    
BACK BAYOU Apr26 Apr05 Mar22 Mar08 Feb08 (gonzalez isai )HISBY RONALD 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
LEAOFLITTLEFAITH Apr26 Apr19 Apr05 Mar22 Mar08 (thompson gra)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 2.50 7% 13.10    
SCR  HURTS SO GOOD May03 Apr19 Apr05 Mar21 Mar09 (ramaekers eri)FACKLER CHRIS 125 10.00    
ONE SON OF A CHIEF Apr19 Mar22 Jul11 Apr06 Feb17 (wise jaso)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.50 69% 0.50    
MUCHO GIFTED Apr19 Mar22 Mar09 Feb22 Sep04 (rushton stacy)RAMOS B 125 12.00    
XY FACE May03 Apr06 Mar09 Feb23 Jan02 (gonzalez v)QUINONEZ B 125 6.00    
WAR HAWK Apr26 Apr13 Apr04 Mar23 Mar16 (anders)BAILON JADHIR 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
PRINCE IS MY BOY Apr26 Apr12 Mar30 Mar16 Feb22 (anderson )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 4.50    
 
LEG-6   05/17/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHES STEEL DREAMIN Apr12 Mar28 Mar15 Mar07 Sep15 (bobier bob)HISBY RONALD 125 12.00    
JULIE JEAN Apr12 Mar28 Mar15 Mar07 Sep28 (arceo anton)MECHE COLE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
JOCOTE Apr12 Mar15 Mar01 Sep28 Aug23 (wise jaso)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 55% 0.80    
JUST LUCK Apr18 Mar28 Mar07 Sep28 Aug23 (anders)BAILON JADHIR 125 12.00 8% 11.90    
MISS ADDISYN K Apr18 Mar28 Mar07 Sep28 Sep14 (hines ann)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
SING CHARMER SING Apr25 Apr06 Mar15 Mar01 Sep15 (compton jesse)FACKLER CHRIS 125 5.00 15% 5.70    
JOSIES SCORE Apr12 Mar28 Mar15 Sep28 Sep08 (rivera p)RAMOS B 125 4.00    
NONA Apr12 Mar07 Sep07 Aug18 Apr26 (hoffman robe)NUNNALLY BLAKE 125 6.00    
P R GIRLFRIEND Apr05 Mar28 Mar07 Sep28 Sep02 (zastrow cary)BETHKE A 125 20.00    
10  WENT HOME Apr12 Mar28 Mar15 Sep02 Apr27 (rivera gregorio )QUINONEZ B 125 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.