Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - May 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(2/1)-(1/4/3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-2   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/1)-(1/4/3/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(1/4/3/2)-(2/6/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-3   WIN (1/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/2)-(1/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/2)-(1/4/3/2)-(1/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/3/2)-(2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3/2)-(2/6/4)-(5/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-4   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(5/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4)-(5/2/1)-(1/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-5   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(1/6/5)-(4/3/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-6   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   05/15/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKIMBLE SHANKS Apr24 Mar20 Feb21 Jan08 Dec13 (kreiser timoth)CONNER TYLER 122 1.80    
SCR  SOCIAL JOE Mar24 Feb21 Jan08 Dec18 Dec03 (gallimore tr)TORRES L 112 20.00    
SCR  SAINT TEMPLAR May03 Mar13 Jan02 Dec18 Dec11 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 24% 3.10    
4  STATELY ORDER Apr24 Mar13 Feb15 Jan31 Dec22 (rathman eli)RAMOS O 122 8.00    
5  SPINNING MUSICIAN May02 Mar13 Feb21 Jan02 Dec18 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
6  COPPERHEAD CREEK Apr24 Mar14 Mar06 Feb24 Jan28 (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 122 6.00 12% 7.60    
 
PEN-2   05/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUMMALICIOUS Jun12 May23 Apr16 Mar13 Jan30 (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  KAZD'OR Apr25         (sinnefia paul)TUNON JORDANO 121 3.00 45% 1.20    
3  VINO AMORE Apr25 Mar21 Mar07 Feb20   (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 2.00    
SCR  BRAMWELL Apr25 Mar21 Mar07 Feb20 Feb07 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 1.60    
5  MARGO'S MARGARITA Apr25 Mar02 Feb08 Dec29 Dec07 (fields kevin)CONNER TYLER 121 8.00    
 
PEN-3   05/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOCIALLY AWKWARD Apr24 Mar13 Feb21 Jan28 Jan08 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 124 2.00 29% 2.50    
2  RETWEET Nov17 Oct26 Sep21 Aug30 Aug01 (perez rupert)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  IN SPADES Apr01 Mar03 Feb03 Jan08 Dec17 (beattie t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50 10% 8.80    
4  BESTSUGARDADDYEVER May03 Aug18 Jul23 Jun30 Jun10 (ness jamie)CHUAN MARTIN 120 6.00 28% 2.60    
5  JAYJAYDEE Mar28 Mar13 Jan08 Nov27 Nov01 (kravets m)CORA D 120 8.00    
6  MAJOR THOMAS Oct21 Sep25 Aug30 Jul04 Jun11 (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00    
7  TAKE THE PLEDGE Mar20 Feb21 Dec11 Nov20 Sep13 (lynch cat)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00    
 
PEN-4   05/15/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATOMICO Mar22 Jan12 Oct25 Sep22 Aug09 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 4.50    
2  POKER PLAYER KAZ Apr25 Feb27 Feb07     (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.00 52% 0.90    
3  BULLRING BULLY Mar20 Mar07 Feb06 Jan02 Dec01 (gazzie)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 5.00    
4  SCOTT TWENTYTWO Apr25 Mar28 Feb27 Jan26 Dec01 (o'callahan )RAMOS O 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MALIBU KNIGHT Apr24 Feb28 Jan08 Dec12 Oct25 (rathman eli)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 4.00    
6  WE'RE EVEN Apr25 Feb21 Jan03 Nov20 Oct25 (stites w)CORA D 122 3.00 24% 3.30    
 
PEN-5   05/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET TALIA May02 Apr10 Mar23 Mar01 Jan31 (mcfarlane b)HAMILTON WESTON 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  DESI'S REWARD May01 Mar14 Feb28 Dec06 Oct30 (beattie cody)TORRES JOMAR 122 1.50 33% 2.10    
3  MY BOSS LADY Apr25 Mar28 Mar14 Feb28 Feb06 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50    
4  CARLY HUSTLE Apr25 Mar28 Mar14 Feb21 Dec13 (harigeorgiou konstan)CORA D 122 15.00    
5  G'S FIREBALL Apr25 Apr10 Mar14 Feb27 Feb06 (kreiser timot)ROJAS MARTINA 122 1.40 38% 1.60    
 
PEN-6   05/15/2025 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC PATH Apr18 Mar20 Feb27 Jan27 Jan03 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 124 1.60 48% 1.10    
2  COVE BAY BOY Apr25 Mar27 Mar14 Feb19 Jan09 (albright ge)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 4.00    
3  NAUGHTY SQUIDWARD Mar20 Jan08 Dec12 Nov20   (montford leslie)FLORES E 124 20.00    
4  HUNDRED PROOF Apr25 Mar26 Mar19 Feb25 Jan28 (castillo mich)OCASIO M 124 2.00    
5  VOLODYMYR May07 Apr25 Jun25 Jun18 May31 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  LUCKY DOUBLE ZERO Apr25 Mar28 Mar20 Feb27 Jan09 (beattie san)RAMOS O 124 3.50 14% 6.00    
 
PEN-7   05/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BETCHA BOOTS BABE Feb20 Feb06 Dec19 Nov29 Nov14 (johnson m)FLORES E 124 20.00    
2  KELLY'S PARTY GIRL May01 Mar28 Mar14 Feb21 Dec20 (demario a)CORA D 124 20.00    
3  BRAMBLE BUSH Oct30 Oct05 Sep27 Sep07 Aug21 (gorham michael )MENA E 124 1.80 27% 2.70    
4  PRUSSIAN BLUE May01 Oct31 Aug21 Jul26 Jul10 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.00 43% 1.30    
5  EARLY FROST May01 Mar20 Mar06 Nov13 Oct23 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WEDONTBELIEVEHER May06 Aug27 Aug12 May28 May07 (englehart jeff)TORRES JOMAR 124 3.50    
7  PHANCY PHILLY May01 Mar28 Feb28 Feb06 Jan09 (beattie cody)ROJAS MARTINA 124 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.