Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - May 09, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(4/5/1)-(7/1/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-2   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(7/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(7/1/6/2)-(2/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-3   WIN (7/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/2)-(7/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/2)-(7/1/6/2)-(7/1/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/6/2)-(2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/6/2)-(2/4/3)-(1/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-4   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(1/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(5/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-5   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(5/1/4)-(5/4/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-6   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   05/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINNING CANDY Mar03 Feb05 Jan15 Aug23 Jul26 (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.50    
2  LIVING WATER Feb28 Dec27 Dec11 Nov21 Oct24 (kravets m)CORA D 120 3.50    
3  BOSS HOLIDAY Apr23 Mar28 Mar06 Feb07 Dec19 (albright am)RAMOS O 120 6.00 5% 18.10    
4  CHAIN REACTION Apr23 Mar15 Feb28 Jan29 Jan15 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 120 2.50    
5  SASSY LAD Apr23 Mar28 Mar06 Jan02 Dec20 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 66% 0.50    
6  GOLDEN ARM Apr21 Mar28 Mar15 Feb22 Jan11 (smith lawrenc)ROJAS MARTINA 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-2   05/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SADIE'S GRACE Dec19 Nov07 Oct09 Sep09 Aug07 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  FREYDIS May03 Mar22 Nov29 Nov03 Oct24 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 122 2.50    
3  COWGIRL NATION Apr24 Apr02 Feb28 Feb19 Jan18 (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.00    
4  IRACEBETH Apr24 Mar13 Jan30 Dec19 Nov27 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 119 1.60 37% 1.70    
5  EMPRESS ARIANA Dec06 Mar06 Jan03 Dec12 Nov23 (beattie cody)ROJAS MARTINA 122 4.00 17% 5.00    
 
PEN-3   05/09/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOWTIME MATINEE Apr15         (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 4.00 33% 2.10    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of START THE SHOW by OXBOW)
SCR  PAOL LABAMBA         (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TALENT SEARCH out of LADY PAOLLA by YANKEE MON)
3  GOOD FRIDAY MAN Apr23 Feb19 Dec30 Dec19 Nov22 (zalalas michae)CONNER TYLER 121 15.00    
  (by PAT ON THE BACK out of FRIDAY MASS by REDEEMED)
4  DANCING ON AIR Apr15 Mar04 Feb19 Jan29 Nov18 (arce josue)GONZALEZ MELVIS 116 6.00    
  (by AIROFORCE out of BOTTLE DANCE by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
5  WARRIOR'S COBBLER Sep10         (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 121 4.50    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of PEACH ALLEY by JUMP START)
6  COME PRIMA Mar20 Mar07       (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 3.00 8% 11.40    
  (by WELL SPELLED out of MY SONATA by NOBLE CAUSEWAY)
7  SENSE OF WONDER Apr23         (zalalas m)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by ROWAYTON out of PRINGIPESSA by EL PADRINO)
8  HOT ROD KITTY Feb19         (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 121 12.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of AMY'S KITTY by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
PEN-4   05/09/2025 5610ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH COCO Mar21 Feb03 Nov29 Nov07 Oct04 (merryman eliza)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.00    
2  WARRIOR'S DEFENSE May01 Mar21 Jan03 Nov29 Nov07 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
3  DANCING CHIME May01 Mar28 Mar13 Mar06 Feb20 (harigeorgiou ko)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  FLEETING EMBER May01 Mar28 Mar07 Feb07 Dec19 (kreiser c)FLORES E 122 2.00 24% 3.10    
5  GIRVINIZED Apr21 Apr05 Mar07 Feb20 Dec27 (allen f)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50    
 
PEN-5   05/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIME OF OUR LIVES Apr25 Mar20 Mar07 Dec18 Dec06 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.60 39% 1.60    
2  ELEVENMONTHSLATER Mar07 Feb19 Dec20 Oct23 Oct09 (martinez a)CORA D 120 6.00    
3  FAR TOO FOXY Apr25 Apr14 Mar27 Feb24 Feb06 (bobadilla j)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 10.00 5% 18.40    
4  PRETTY LILY May01 Apr14 Mar27 Mar03 Feb05 (rojas osval)RAMOS O 120 3.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  INDINI Apr23 Feb06 Mar07 Feb22   (kravets bruce)ROJAS MARTINA 124 2.50    
6  KAPADOKYA Apr25 Mar15 Feb19 Jan11 Dec27 (martinez a)AGUILAR M 120 8.00    
 
PEN-6   05/09/2025 5490ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIXIE GROOVE Apr05 Mar05 Feb12 Jan27 Dec09 (abrams jack)RUIZ ELISEO 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
2  ALWAYS LAUGHING Apr19 Mar27 Feb23 Jan25 Dec27 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50    
3  SUZY Q THE QUEEN Apr23 Sep25 Sep12 Aug23 Aug09 (manning j)FLORES E 120 20.00    
4  WESTERN LANE Feb16 Jan24 May17 Mar30 Feb16 (brion keri)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  DIVINE GRACE Mar28 Feb23 Dec27 Dec02 Aug10 (ness jami)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.40 41% 1.50    
 
PEN-7   05/09/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUNS N' ROJAS Apr25 Mar27 Mar13 Feb27 Dec08 (albright amy)FLORES E 124 3.50    
2  CAUGHTANDCOLLECTED Oct23 Sep28 Sep17 Aug23 Jul26 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00    
3  MIGHTY MINION May02 Apr25 Mar28 Mar21 Mar07 (bobadilla j)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  LAKE NAKURU Apr25 Mar28 Mar13 Feb28 Feb06 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 6.00 8% 11.00    
5  ROADTRIPTONOWHERE Feb21 Jan08 Dec04 Oct28 Sep24 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 124 2.50 63% 0.60    
6  ECLIPTICALS BEAR Apr24 Mar21 Feb27 Feb07 Dec12 (agnew naoise)ROJAS MARTINA 124 10.00    
SCR  ARTISTIC REASON Apr29 Mar25 Mar04 Jan28 Dec31 (abrams ronald)RUIZ ELISEO 124 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.